Measurement of 13CO2 in expired air as an index of compliance to a high carbohydrate diet naturally enriched in 13C.

The aim of this study was to determine whether breath 13CO2 measurements could be used to assess the compliance to a diet containing carbohydrates naturally enriched in 13C. The study was divided into two periods: Period 1 (baseline of 4 days) with low 13C/12C ratio carbohydrates. Period 2 (5 days) isocaloric diet with a high 13C/12C ratio (corn, cane sugar, pineapple, millet) carbohydrates. Measurements were made of respiratory gas exchange by indirect calorimetry, urinary nitrogen excretion and breath 13CO2 every morning in post-absorptive conditions, both in resting state and during a 45-min low intensity exercise (walking on a treadmill). The subjects were 10 healthy lean women (BMI 20.4 +/- 1.7 kg/m2, % body fat 24.4 +/- 1.3%), the 13C enrichment of oxidized carbohydrate and breath 13CO2 were compared to the enrichment of exogenous dietary carbohydrates. At rest the enrichment of oxidized carbohydrate increased significantly after one day of 13C carbohydrate enriched diet and reached a steady value (103 +/- 16%) similar to the enrichment of exogenous carbohydrates. During exercise, the 13C enrichment of oxidized carbohydrate remained significantly lower (68 +/- 17%) than that of dietary carbohydrates. The compliance to a diet with a high content of carbohydrates naturally enriched in 13C may be assessed from the measurement of breath 13CO2 enrichment combined with respiratory gas exchange in resting, postabsorptive conditions.

Integració d'una wiki al Campus Virtual de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona

Aquest projecte presenta una sol·lució per tal d’incorporar una eina wiki al Campus Virtual de la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona. Enfront de la metodologia docent clàssica, la wiki oferirà funcionalitats orientades al treball col·laboratiu i fomentarà la participació de l’alumne. L’objectiu final és tenir una eina completament integrada al Campus Virtual, que aprofiti l’aplicatiu existent i s’interrelacioni amb la resta de mòduls presents.

An interregional input-output analysis of the pollution content of trade flows and environmental trade balances between five states in the US Mid-West

In this paper we attempt an empirical application of the multi-region input-output (MRIO) method in order to enumerate the pollution content of interregional trade flows between five Mid-West regions/states in the US –Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan and Wisconsin – and the rest of the US. This allows us to analyse some very important issues in terms of the nature and significance of interregional environmental spillovers within the US Mid-West and the existence of pollution ‘trade balances’ between states. Our results raise questions in terms of the extent to which authorities at State level can control local emissions where they are limited in the way some emissions can be controlled, particularly with respect to changes in demand elsewhere in the Mid-West and US. This implies a need for policy co-ordination between national and state level authorities in the US to meet emissions reductions targets. The existence of an environmental trade balances between states also raises issues in terms of net losses/gains in terms of pollutants as a result of interregional trade within the US and whether, if certain activities can be carried out using less polluting technology in one region relative to others, it is better for the US as a whole if this type of relationship exists.

The Export Base Model with a Supply-Side Stimulus to the Export Sector

Paper delivered at the Western Regional Science Association Annual Conference, Sedona, Arizona, February, 2010.

Inter-Connectedness In The Scottish Economy, 1998-2004

The measurement of inter-connectedness in an economy using input-output tables is not new, however much of the previous literature has not had any explicit dynamic dimension. Studies have tried to estimate the degree of inter-relatedness for an economy at a given point in time using one inputoutput table, some have compared different economies at a point in time but few have looked at the question of how inter-connectedness within an economy changes over time. The publication in 2009 of a consistent series of inputoutput tables for Scotland offers the researcher the opportunity to track changes in the degree of inter-connectedness over the seven year period 1998 to 2004. The paper is in two parts. A simple measure of inter-connectedness is introduced in the first part of the paper and applied to the Scottish tables. It is shown that although the aggregate results might appear to indicate a degree of import substitution was taking place this result is not robust to industrial disaggregation. In the second part of the paper an extraction method is applied to an eleven sector disaggregation of the Scottish economy in order to estimate how interconnectedness has changed over time for each industrial sector. It is shown that for the majority of sectors the degree of interconnectedness with the rest of the Scottish economy has grown for others, in particular Financial Services and Energy and Water Supply it has not.

Exclusive Nightclubs and Lonely Hearts Columns: Nonmonotone Participation in Optional Intermediation

In many decentralised markets, the traders who benefit most from an exchange do not employ intermediaries even though they could easily afford them. At the same time, employing intermediaries is not worthwhile for traders who benefit little from trade. Together, these decisions amount to non-monotone participation choices in intermediation: only traders of middle “type” employ intermediaries, while the rest, the high and the low types, prefer to search for a trading partner directly. We provide a theoretical foundation for this, hitherto unexplained, phenomenon. We build a dynamic matching model, where a trader’s equilibrium bargaining share is a convex increasing function of her type. We also show that this is indeed a necessary condition for the existence of non-monotone equilibria.

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models

In recent years there has been increasing concern about the identification of parameters in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified. For the researcher using Bayesian methods, a lack of identification may not be evident since the posterior of a parameter of interest may differ from its prior even if the parameter is unidentified. We show that this can even be the case even if the priors assumed on the structural parameters are independent. We suggest two Bayesian identification indicators that do not suffer from this difficulty and are relatively easy to compute. The first applies to DSGE models where the parameters can be partitioned into those that are known to be identified and the rest where it is not known whether they are identified. In such cases the marginal posterior of an unidentified parameter will equal the posterior expectation of the prior for that parameter conditional on the identified parameters. The second indicator is more generally applicable and considers the rate at which the posterior precision gets updated as the sample size (T) is increased. For identified parameters the posterior precision rises with T, whilst for an unidentified parameter its posterior precision may be updated but its rate of update will be slower than T. This result assumes that the identified parameters are pT-consistent, but similar differential rates of updates for identified and unidentified parameters can be established in the case of super consistent estimators. These results are illustrated by means of simple DSGE models.

Joint estimates of automatic and discretionary fiscal policy for the OECD

Official calculations of automatic stabilizers are seriously flawed since they rest on the assumption that the only element of social spending that reacts automatically to the cycle is unemployment compensation. This puts into question many estimates of discretionary fiscal policy. In response, we propose a simultaneous estimate of automatic and discretionary fiscal policy. This leads us, quite naturally, to a tripartite decomposition of the budget balance between revenues, social spending and other spending as a bare minimum. Our headline results for a panel of 20 OECD countries in 1981-2003 are .59 automatic stabilization in percentage-points of primary surplus balances. All of this stabilization remains following discretionary responses during contractions, but arguably only about 3/5 of it remains so in expansions while discretionary behavior cancels the rest. We pay a lot of attention to the impact of the Maastricht Treaty and the SGP on the EU members of our sample and to real time data.

Role of the c-Jun N-terminal Kinase signaling in pancreatic β-cells

L'insuline est une hormone qui diminue la concentration de sucre dans le sang et qui est produite par la cellule β du pancréas. Un défaut de production de cette hormone est une des causes principales du diabète. Cette perte de production d'insuline est la conséquence à la fois, de la réduction du nombre de cellules β et du mauvais fonctionnement des cellules β restantes. L'inflammation, en activant la voie de signalisation «c-Jun N-terminal Kinase» (JNK) contribue au déclin de ces cellules. Cette voie de signalisation est activée par des protéines telles que des kinases qui reçoivent le signal de stress. Dans ce travail de thèse nous nous sommes intéressés à étudier le rôle de «Dual leucine zipper bearing kinase» (DLK) comme protéine capable de relayer le stress inflammatoire vers l'activation de la voie JNK dans les cellules β-pancréatiques. Nous montrons que DLK est présente dans les cellules β-pancréatiques et qu'elle agit effectivement comme un activateur de la voie de signalisation de JNK. En outre, DLK joue un rôle clé dans le contrôle de l'expression de l'insuline, de la sécrétion de l'insuline en réponse au glucose et au maintien de la survie des cellules β. Si l'expression de cette protéine diminue, la cellule produit moins d'insuline et sera plus sensible à la mort en réponse au stress inflammatoire. A l'inverse si l'expression de DLK est augmentée, la cellule β produit et secrète plus d'insuline. Des variations de l'expression de DLK sont par ailleurs, associées à l'état de santé de la cellule β. Chez la ratte en gestation ou la souris obèse, dans lesquelles la cellule β produit plus d'insuline, l'expression de DLK est augmentée. En revanche dans les cellules β des patients diabétiques, l'expression de DLK est diminuée par rapport aux cellules non malades. En résumé, DLK est nécessaire pour le bon fonctionnement de la cellule β-pancréatique et son expression corrèle avec le degré de santé des cellules, faisant que cette protéine pourrait être une cible thérapeutique potentiel. Les cellules β-pancréatiques ont la capacité de réguler la sécrétion d'insuline en s'adaptant précisément au stimulus et à la glycémie. La fonction de la cellule β est cruciale dans l'homéostasie du glucose puisque sa dysfonction et sa mort mènent au développement des diabètes de type 1 et 2. De nombreuses études suggèrent que l'inflammation pourrait avoir un rôle dans la dysfonction et la destruction de ces cellules dans le diabète de type 2. L'excès chronique de cytokines proinflammatoires accélère le dysfonctionnement de la cellule β pancréatique par un mécanisme qui implique la voie de signalisation «c-Jun N-terminal Kinase» (JNK). L'activation de cette voie est organisée par des protéines d'échafaudages. Elle se fait par trois étapes successives de phosphorylation impliquant une «Mitogen Activated Protein Kinase Kinase Kinase» (MAP3K), une MAP2K et JNK. Dans ce travail de thèse nous montrons l'expression abondante et spécifique de la MAP3K «Dual Leucine Zipper Bearing Kinase» (DLK) dans les cellules β pancréatiques. Cela est la conséquence de l'absence du répresseur transcriptionnel «Repressor Element 1 Silencing Transcription». Nous montrons également que DLK régule l'activation de JNK et qu'il s'avère nécessaire pour la fonction et la survie de la cellule β pancréatique par un mécanisme impliquant le facteur de transcription PDX-1. L'invalidation de l'expression de DLK diminue l'expression de l'insuline et potentialise l'apoptose induite par des cytokines proinflammatoires. A l'inverse, la surexpression de DLK augmente l'expression et la sécrétion d'insuline induites par le glucose. Par conséquent des niveaux d'expression appropriés de DLK sont déterminants pour la fonction et la survie de la cellule β pancréatique. L'obésité et la grossesse sont caractérisées par une hyperinsulinémie qui résulte d'une augmentation de la production et de la sécrétion de l'insuline. L'expression de DLK est augmentée dans des îlots de rattes gestantes et des souris obèses comparés à leurs contrôles respectifs. A l'inverse, dans des sujets diabétiques, l'expression de DLK est diminuée. Ensemble ces résultats montrent l'importance de DLK dans l'adaptation des îlots par un mécanisme qui pourrait impliquer la voie de signalisation de JNK. Des défauts dans cette voie régulée par DLK pourraient contribuer au dysfonctionnement et la mort de la cellule β pancréatique et par conséquent au développement du diabète. L'étude détaillée du mécanisme par lequel DLK active la voie de signalisation JNK et régule la fonction de la cellule β pancréatique pourrait ouvrir la voie des nouvelles thérapies ciblant l'amélioration de la fonction de la cellule β dans le diabète. - Pancreatic β-cells are evidently plastic in their ability to regulate insulin secretion. The quantity of insulin released by these cells varies according to the stimulus, and the prevailing glucose concentration, β-cell function is pivotal in glucose homeostasis, as their dysfunction, and death can lead to development of type 1 and type 2 diabetes. There are numerous reports so far underlying the role of inflammation in dysfunction, and destruction of β-cells, in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. Chronic excess of pro¬inflammatory cytokines promotes a β-cell decline, via induction of the c-Jun N-terminal Kinase (JNK) pathway. The activation of the JNK pathway is organized by a scaffold protein-mediated module in which, a three-step phosphorylation cascade occurs. The latter includes, Mitogen activated protein kinase kinase kinase (MAP3K), MAP2K and JNK. In this thesis, we unveil that the MAP3K Dual Leucine Zipper Bearing Kinase (DLK) is selectively, and highly expressed in pancreatic β-cells, as the result from the absence of the transcriptional repressor named, Repressor Element 1 Silencing Transcription (REST). We show that DLK regulates activation of JNK, and is required for β-cell function and survival by modulating the PDX-1 transcription factor. Silencing of DLK expression diminishes insulin expression, and potentiated cytokine-mediated apoptosis. Conversely, overexpression of DLK increased insulin expression, and glucose-induced insulin secretion. Therefore, an appropriate level of DLK is critical for β-cell function and survival. Obesity and pregnancy are characterized by hyperinsulinemia resulting from an increased production and secretion of insulin. In isolated islets of pregnant rats, and obese mice, the expression of DLK was elevated when compared to their respective controls. However, decreased expression of DLK was observed in islets of individuals with diabetes. Taken together, we highlight the importance of DLK in islet adaptation, and describe a mechanism that may involve the JNK signaling. Deficiency in the JNK pathway regulated by DLK may contribute to β-cell failure and death, and thereby development of diabetes. Unraveling the mechanism whereby DLK activates the JNK pathway, and β-cell function, may pave the way for the design of novel therapies, aiming to improve β-cell function and survival in diabetes in general.

Revealed cardinal preference

I prove that as long as we allow the marginal utility for money (lambda) to vary between purchases (similarly to the budget) then the quasi-linear and the ordinal budget-constrained models rationalize the same data. However, we know that lambda is approximately constant. I provide a simple constructive proof for the necessary and sufficient condition for the constant lambda rationalization, which I argue should replace the Generalized Axiom of Revealed Preference in empirical studies of consumer behavior. 'Go Cardinals!' It is the minimal requirement of any scientifi c theory that it is consistent with the data it is trying to explain. In the case of (Hicksian) consumer theory it was revealed preference -introduced by Samuelson (1938,1948) - that provided an empirical test to satisfy this need. At that time most of economic reasoning was done in terms of a competitive general equilibrium, a concept abstract enough so that it can be built on the ordinal preferences over baskets of goods - even if the extremely specialized ones of Arrow and Debreu. However, starting in the sixties, economics has moved beyond the 'invisible hand' explanation of how -even competitive- markets operate. A seemingly unavoidable step of this 'revolution' was that ever since, most economic research has been carried out in a partial equilibrium context. Now, the partial equilibrium approach does not mean that the rest of the markets are ignored, rather that they are held constant. In other words, there is a special commodity -call it money - that reflects the trade-offs of moving purchasing power across markets. As a result, the basic building block of consumer behavior in partial equilibrium is no longer the consumer's preferences over goods, rather her valuation of them, in terms of money. This new paradigm necessitates a new theory of revealed preference.

The regional economic impacts of biofuels: A review of multisectoral modelling techniques and evaluation of applications

The regional economic impact of biofuel production depends upon a number of interrelated factors: the specific biofuels feedstock and production technology employed; the sector’s embeddedness to the rest of the economy, through its demand for local resources; the extent to which new activity is created. These issues can be analysed using multisectoral economic models. Some studies have used (fixed price) Input-Output (IO) and Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) modelling frameworks, whilst a nascent Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) literature has also begun to examine the regional (and national) impact of biofuel development. This paper reviews, compares and evaluates these approaches for modelling the regional economic impacts of biofuels.

North Sea Oil and Genuine Saving in the Scottish Economy

The World Bank has published estimates of sustainability of consumption paths by adjusting saving rates to take account of the depletion of non-renewable resources. During the period of North Sea oil production Scotland has been in a fiscal union with the rest of the UK. The present paper adjusts the World Bank data to produce separate genuine saving estimates for Scotland and the rest of the UK for 1970-2009, based on a ‘derivation’ principle for oil revenues. The calculations indicate that Scotland has had a negative genuine saving rate for most of the period of exploitation of North Sea oil resources, with genuine saving being positive in the rest of the UK during this period.

The regional economic impacts of biofuels: A review of multisectoral modelling techniques and evaluation of applications

The regional economic impact of biofuel production depends upon a number of interrelated factors: the specific biofuels feedstock and production technology employed; the sector’s embeddedness to the rest of the economy, through its demand for local resources; the extent to which new activity is created. These issues can be analysed using multisectoral economic models. Some studies have used (fixed price) Input-Output (IO) and Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) modelling frameworks, whilst a nascent Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) literature has also begun to examine the regional (and national) impact of biofuel development. This paper reviews, compares and evaluates these approaches for modelling the regional economic impacts of biofuels.

Chasing Graduate Jobs?

This paper examines empirically the relationship between under-employment and migration amongst five cohorts of graduates of Scottish higher education institutions with micro-data collected by the Higher Education Statistical Agency. The data indicate that there is a strong positive relationship between migration and graduate employment—those graduates who move after graduation from Scotland to the rest of the UK or abroad have a much higher rate of graduate employment. Versions of probit regression are used to estimate migration and graduate employment equations in order to explore the nature of this relationship further. These equations confirm that there is a strong positive relationship between the probability of migrating and the probability of being in graduate employment even after other factors are controlled for. Instrumental variables estimation is used to examine the causal nature of the relationship by attempting to deal with the potential endogeneity of migration decisions. Overall the analysis is consistent with the hypotheses that a sizeable fraction of higher education graduates are leaving Scotland for employment reasons. In turn this finding suggests the over-education/under-employment nexus is a serious problem in Scotland.

Joint estimates of automatic and discretionary fiscal policy: the OECD 1981-2003

Official calculations of automatic stabilizers are seriously flawed since they rest on the assumption that the only element of social spending that reacts automatically to the cycle is unemployment compensation. This puts into question many estimates of discretionary fiscal policy. In response, we propose a simultaneous estimate of automatic and discretionary fiscal policy. This leads us, quite naturally, to a tripartite decomposition of the budget balance between revenues, social spending and other spending as a bare minimum. Our headline results for a panel of 20 OECD countries in 1981-2003 are .59 automatic stabilization in percentage-points of primary surplus balances. All of this stabilization remains following discretionary responses during contractions, but arguably only about 3/5 of it remains so in expansions while discretionary behavior cancels the rest. We pay a lot of attention to the impact of the Maastricht Treaty and the SGP on the EU members of our sample and to real time data.