Elicitation of subjective crop yield PDF

En este trabajo se investiga la coherencia y confiabilidad de estimaciones de funciones de densidad de probabilidad (FDP) subjetivas de rendimientos de cultivos realizadas por un amplio grupo de agricultores. Se utilizaron tres técnicas de elicitación diferentes: el método de estimación de FDP en dos pasos, la distribución Triangular y la distribución Beta. Los sujetos entrevistados ofrecieron estimaciones para los valores puntuales de rendimientos de cultivos (medio, máximo posible, más frecuente y mínimo posible) y para las FDP basadas en la estimación de intervalos. Para evaluar la persistencia, se utilizaron los conceptos de persistencia temporal y persistencia metodológica. Los resultados son interesantes para juzgar la adecuación de las técnicas de estimación de probabilidades subjetivas a los sistemas de ayuda en la toma de decisiones en agricultura.

The five and seven factors personality models: differences and similitude between the TCI-R, NEO-FFI-R and ZKPQ-50-CC

The present study tests the relationships between the three frequently used personality models evaluated by the Temperament Character Inventory-Revised (TCI-R), Neuroticism Extraversion Openness Five Factor Inventory – Revised (NEO-FFI-R) and Zuckerman-Kuhlman Personality Questionnaire-50- Cross-Cultural (ZKPQ-50-CC). The results were obtained with a sample of 928 volunteer subjects from the general population aged between 17 and 28 years old. Frequency distributions and alpha reliabilities with the three instruments were acceptable. Correlational and factorial analyses showed that several scales in the three instruments share an appreciable amount of common variance. Five factors emerged from principal components analysis. The first factor was integrated by A (Agreeableness), Co (Cooperativeness) and Agg-Host (Aggressiveness-Hostility), with secondary loadings in C (Conscientiousness) and SD (Self-directiveness) from other factors. The second factor was composed by N (Neuroticism), N-Anx (Neuroticism-Anxiety), HA (Harm Avoidance) and SD (Self-directiveness). The third factor was integrated by Sy (Sociability), E (Extraversion), RD (Reward Dependence), ImpSS (Impulsive Sensation Seeking) and NS (novelty Seeking). The fourth factor was integrated by Ps (Persistence), Act (Activity), and C, whereas the fifth and last factor was composed by O (Openness) and ST (Self- Transcendence). Confirmatory factor analyses indicate that the scales in each model are highly interrelated and define the specified latent dimension well. Similarities and differences between these three instruments are further discussed.

Efecto del momento de aplicación, utilización de coadyuvantes y volumen de tratamiento en la efectividad de tebufenocida para el control de Cydia Pomonella (L.) (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)

En ensayos realizados en plantaciones de manzanos en 1994 en Hood River, Oregon, se evaluó el porcentaje de daño obtenido cuando se trataron la primera y segunda generación de Cydia pomonella L con tebufenocida (RH 5992). variando tan sólo la fecha del primer tratamiento para la primera generación. Se evaluaron la persistencia, porcentaje de recubrimiento e influencia en la efectividad de tebufenocida dependiendo del volumen de caldo aplicado por hectárea y del coadyuvante utilizado. No se obtuvieron diferencias significativas entre los distintos momentos de aplicación de tebufenocida, ni tampoco entre el tipo de coadyuvante utilizado, pero sí se obtuvieron entre volúmenes. En árboles de tamaño medio, el porcentaje de mortalidad larvaria fue del 60,89r cuando se aplicó tebufenocida a un volumen de 935 1/ha. y del 81,1% cuando se aplicó a un volumen de 3.745 1/ha, porcentaje que no decreció hasta 32 días después del tratamiento. Se obtuvo una buena correlación entre porcentaje de cobertura y porcentaje de mortalidad cuando se trató con 935 1/ha.

The Effect of Switching Ranibizumab to Aflibercept in Refractory Cases of Macular Edema Secondary to Ischemic Central Vein Occlusion.

Background: Macular edema resulting from central retinal vein occlusion is effectively treated with anti-vascular endothelial growth factor injections. However, some patients need monthly retreatment and still show frequent recurrences. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the visual and anatomic outcomes of refractory macular edema resulting from ischemic central retinal vein occlusion in patients switched from ranibizumab to aflibercept intravitreal injections. Patients and Methods: We describe a retrospective series of patients followed in the Medical Retina Unit of the Jules Gonin Eye Hospital for macular edema due to ischemic central retinal vein occlusion, refractory to monthly retreatment with ranibizumab, and changed to aflibercept. Refractory macular edema was defined as persistence of any fluid at each visit one month after last injection during at least 6 months. All patients had to have undergone pan-retinal laser scan. Results: Six patients were identified, one of whom had a very short-term follow-up (excluded from statistics). Mean age was 57 ± 12 years. The mean changes in visual acuity and central macular thickness from baseline to switch were + 20.6 ± 20.3 ETDRS letters and - 316.4 ± 276.6 µm, respectively. The additional changes from before to after the switch were + 9.2 ± 9.5 ETDRS letters and - 248.0 ± 248.7 µm, respectively. The injection intervals could often be lengthened after the switch. Conclusions: Intravitreal aflibercept seems to be a promising alternative treatment for macular edema refractory to ranibizumab in ischemic central retinal vein occlusion.

Caracterización selvícola de las masas monoespecíficas de pino laricio en Cataluña

En el presente trabajo se ha abordado, a partir de la información suministrada por el Segundo Inventario Forestal Nacional, la caracterización de las masas monoespecíficas de pino laricio en Cataluña (NE de España), formalizándola en una tipología de enfoque silvogenético. Basándose en los resultados obtenidos del análisis factorial realizado sobre variables dasométricas, los categoremas de la tipología se articularon sobre aspectos concernientes a la distribución diamétrica y espesura del rodal, identificándose nueve tipos. El carácter irregularizado, presente en cinco de ellos aunque con rasgos diferentes, se examinó a través de la distribución de Weibull truncada. La tipología, que se maneja computando tan sólo el nivel de regenerado y los diámetros de los pies inventariables, contempla los distintos estadios evolutivos y permite diagnosticar situaciones comprometidas en cuanto a la persistencia de la masa, bien causadas por deficientes estados de espesura o por falta de regenerado.

Hepatitis C virus variants resistant to macrocyclic NS3-4A inhibitors subvert IFN-β induction by efficient MAVS cleavage.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The hepatitis C virus (HCV) NS3-4A protease is essential for the HCV life cycle and a prime target of antiviral treatment strategies. Protease inhibitors, however, are limited by emergence of resistance-associated amino acid variants (RAVs). The capacity to cleave and inactivate mitochondrial antiviral-signaling protein (MAVS) in the RIG-I-signaling pathway is a cardinal feature of NS3-4A, by which HCV blocks induction of interferon-(IFN)-β, thereby promoting viral persistence. Here, we aimed to investigate the impact of NS3-4A RAVs on MAVS cleavage. METHODS: The impact of NS3-4A RAVs on MAVS cleavage was assessed using immunoblot analyses, luciferase reporter assays and molecular dynamics simulations to study the underlying molecular principles. IFN-β was quantified in serum from patients with different NS3-4A RAVs. RESULTS: We show that macrocyclic NS3-4A RAVS with substitutions at residue D168 of the protease result in an increased capacity of NS3-4A to cleave MAVS and suppress IFN-β induction compared with a comprehensive panel of RAVs and wild type HCV. Mechanistically, we show the reconstitution of a tight network of electrostatic interactions between protease and the peptide substrate that allows much stronger binding of MAVS to D168 RAVs than to the wild-type protease. Accordingly, we could show IFN-β serum levels to be lower in patients with treatment failure due to the selection of D168 variants compared to R155 RAVs. CONCLUSIONS: Our data constitutes a proof of concept that the selection of RAVs against specific classes of direct antivirals can lead to the predominance of viral variants with possibly adverse pathogenic characteristics.

Effect of cattle on Salmonella carriage, diversity and antimicrobial resistance in free-ranging wild boar (Sus scrofa) in northeastern Spain

Salmonella is distributed worldwide and is a pathogen of economic and public health importance. As a multi-host pathogen with a long environmental persistence, it is a suitable model for the study of wildlife-livestock interactions. In this work, we aim to explore the spill-over of Salmonella between free-ranging wild boar and livestock in a protected natural area in NE Spain and the presence of antimicrobial resistance. Salmonella prevalence, serotypes and diversity were compared between wild boars, sympatric cattle and wild boars from cattle-free areas. The effect of age, sex, cattle presence and cattle herd size on Salmonella probability of infection in wild boars was explored by means of Generalized Linear Models and a model selection based on the Akaike’s Information Criterion. Prevalence was higher in wild boars co-habiting with cattle (35.67%, CI 95% 28.19–43.70) than in wild boar from cattle-free areas (17.54%, CI 95% 8.74–29.91). Probability of a wild boar being a Salmonella carrier increased with cattle herd size but decreased with the host age. Serotypes Meleagridis, Anatum and Othmarschen were isolated concurrently from cattle and sympatric wild boars. Apart from serotypes shared with cattle, wild boars appear to have their own serotypes, which are also found in wild boars from cattle-free areas (Enteritidis, Mikawasima, 4:b:- and 35:r:z35). Serotype richness (diversity) was higher in wild boars co-habiting with cattle, but evenness was not altered by the introduction of serotypes from cattle. The finding of a S. Mbandaka strain resistant to sulfamethoxazole, streptomycin and chloramphenicol and a S. Enteritidis strain resistant to ciprofloxacin and nalidixic acid in wild boars is cause for public health concern.

Lower limb lymphedema and neurological complications after lymphadenectomy for gynecological cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Lymphadenectomy is a frequent procedure for surgical staging of gynecological malignancies. Nevertheless, minor complications, such as lower limb lymphedema (LLL) and neurological complications (NCs), after pelvic and aorto-caval lymphadenectomy still remain underinvestigated. The present study considers short-term and long-term incidence and risk factors for LLL and NC in patients with gynecological cancer who underwent lymphadenectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In 2 different institutions, University of Turin and University of Lausanne, a total of 152 patients who received lymphadenectomy for endometrial, cervical, or ovarian cancer were retrospectively identified. During the follow-up, data about LLL and NC were collected by means of a questionnaire. Short-term and long-term incidence of LLL and NC was evaluated, and risk factors, such as age, body mass index, type of cancer, surgical approach, number and extension of the removed lymph nodes, presence of lymph node metastasis, and adjuvant treatments, were analyzed. RESULTS: Short-term incidence of LLL and NC after lymphadenectomy was high (36%) and predictive of long-term persistence. Between the analyzed risk factors, number of removed lymph nodes and adjuvant radiotherapy were significantly associated with an increased incidence of minor complications (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Lower limb lymphedema and NC are more frequent than expected. They are related to the radicality of lymphadenectomy and adjuvant radiotherapy. They affect the quality of life of the patients treated for gynecological cancer and their perceptions of healing. Minor complications are commonly persistent and need a prompt diagnosis and a specialized management to improve their prognosis.

Messaging Application Engine for Symbian Platform

Tämä diplomityö kuvaa viestintä sovelluksen ytimen kehitystyön Symbian-alustalle. Koko sovelluksen vaatimuksena oli vastaamattomiin puheluihin vastaaminen ennalta määritellyillä tekstiviesteillä käyttäjän määrittelemien sääntöjen mukaisesti. Ei-toiminnallisia vaatimuksia olivat resurssien käytön vähentäminen ja uudelleenkäytön mahdollistaminen. Täten tämän työn tavoitteena oli kehittää ydin, joka kapseloi sovelluksen sellaisen toiminnallisuuden, joka on käyttöliittymästä riippumatonta ja uudelleenkäytettävää. Kehitystyössä ohjasi Unified Process, joka on iteroiva, käyttötapauksien ohjaama ja arkkitehtuurikeskeinen ohjelmistoprosessi. Se kannusti käyttämään myös muita teollisuudenalan vakiintuneita menetelmiä, kuten suunnittelumalleja ja visuaalista mallintamista käyttäen Unified Modelling Languagea. Suunnittelumalleja käytettiin kehitystyön aikana ja ohjelmisto mallinnettiin visuaalisesti suunnittelun edistämiseksi ja selkiyttämiseksi. Alustan palveluita käytettiin hyväksi kehitysajan ja resurssien käytön minimoimiseksi. Ytimen päätehtäviksi määrättiin viestien lähettäminen sekä sääntöjen talletus ja tarkistaminen. Sovelluksen eri alueet, eli sovelluspalvelin ja käyttöliittymää, pystyivät käyttämään ydintä ja sillä ei ollut riippuvuuksia käyttöliittymätasolle. Täten resurssien käyttö väheni ja uudelleenkäytettävyys lisääntyi. Viestien lähettäminen toteutettiin Symbian-alustan menetelmin. Sääntöjen tallettamiseen tehtiin tallennuskehys, joka eristää sääntöjen sisäisen ja ulkoisen muodon. Tässä tapauksessa ulkoiseksi tallennustavaksi valittiin relaatiotietokanta. Sääntöjen tarkastaminen toteutettiin tavanomaisella olioiden yhteistoiminnalla. Päätavoite saavutettiin. tämä ja muut hyviksi arvioidut lopputulokset, kuten uudelleenkäytettävyys ja vähentynyt resurssien käyttö, arveltiin juontuvan suunnittelumallien ja Unified Processin käytöstä. Kyseiset menetelmät osoittivat mukautuvansa pieniinkin projekteihin. Menetelmien todettiin myös tukevan ja kannustavan kehitystyön aikaista oppimista, mikä oli välttämätöntä tässä tapauksessa.

Natural history of growth hormone deficiency in a pediatric cohort.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Controversies still exist regarding the evaluation of growth hormone deficiency (GHD) in childhood at the end of growth. The aim of this study was to describe the natural history of GHD in a pediatric cohort. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of a cohort of pediatric patients with GHD. Cases of acquired GHD were excluded. Univariate logistic regression was used to identify predictors of GHD persisting into adulthood. RESULTS: Among 63 identified patients, 47 (75%) had partial GHD at diagnosis, while 16 (25%) had complete GHD, including 5 with multiple pituitary hormone deficiencies. At final height, 50 patients underwent repeat stimulation testing; 28 (56%) recovered and 22 (44%) remained growth hormone (GH) deficient. Predictors of persisting GHD were: complete GHD at diagnosis (OR 10.1, 95% CI 2.4-42.1), pituitary stalk defect or ectopic pituitary gland on magnetic resonance imaging (OR 6.5, 95% CI 1.1-37.1), greater height gain during GH treatment (OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.3), and IGF-1 level <-2 standard deviation scores (SDS) following treatment cessation (OR 19.3, 95% CI 3.6-103.1). In the multivariate analysis, only IGF-1 level <-2 SDS (OR 13.3, 95% CI 2.3-77.3) and complete GHD (OR 6.3, 95% CI 1.2-32.8) were associated with the outcome. CONCLUSION: At final height, 56% of adolescents with GHD had recovered. Complete GHD at diagnosis, low IGF-1 levels following retesting, and pituitary malformation were strong predictors of persistence of GHD. © 2015 S. Karger AG, Basel.

Minimal requirements for parameters to be used for the development of predictive models for microbial source tracking. The example of the pair somatic coliphages and phages infecting Bacteroides

Several methods and approaches for measuring parameters to determine fecal sources of pollution in water have been developed in recent years. No single microbial or chemical parameter has proved sufficient to determine the source of fecal pollution. Combinations of parameters involving at least one discriminating indicator and one universal fecal indicator offer the most promising solutions for qualitative and quantitative analyses. The universal (nondiscriminating) fecal indicator provides quantitative information regarding the fecal load. The discriminating indicator contributes to the identification of a specific source. The relative values of the parameters derived from both kinds of indicators could provide information regarding the contribution to the total fecal load from each origin. It is also essential that both parameters characteristically persist in the environment for similar periods. Numerical analysis, such as inductive learning methods, could be used to select the most suitable and the lowest number of parameters to develop predictive models. These combinations of parameters provide information on factors affecting the models, such as dilution, specific types of animal source, persistence of microbial tracers, and complex mixtures from different sources. The combined use of the enumeration of somatic coliphages and the enumeration of Bacteroides-phages using different host specific strains (one from humans and another from pigs), both selected using the suggested approach, provides a feasible model for quantitative and qualitative analyses of fecal source identification.

Activating mutations of STAT5B and STAT3 in lymphomas derived from γδ-T or NK cells.

Lymphomas arising from NK or γδ-T cells are very aggressive diseases and little is known regarding their pathogenesis. Here we report frequent activating mutations of STAT3 and STAT5B in NK/T-cell lymphomas (n=51), γδ-T-cell lymphomas (n=43) and their cell lines (n=9) through next generation and/or Sanger sequencing. STAT5B N642H is particularly frequent in all forms of γδ-T-cell lymphomas. STAT3 and STAT5B mutations are associated with increased phosphorylated protein and a growth advantage to transduced cell lines or normal NK cells. Growth-promoting activity of the mutants can be partially inhibited by a JAK1/2 inhibitor. Molecular modelling and surface plasmon resonance measurements of the N642H mutant indicate a marked increase in binding affinity of the phosphotyrosine-Y699 with the mutant histidine. This is associated with the prolonged persistence of the mutant phosphoSTAT5B and marked increase of binding to target sites. Our findings suggest that JAK-STAT pathway inhibition may represent a therapeutic strategy.

Force Spectroscopy with Dual-Trap Optical Tweezers: Molecular Stiffness Measurements and Coupled Fluctuations Analysis

ABSTRACT Dual-trap optical tweezers are often used in high-resolution measurements in single-molecule biophysics. Such measurements can be hindered by the presence of extraneous noise sources, the most prominent of which is the coupling of fluctuations along different spatial directions, which may affect any optical tweezers setup. In this article, we analyze, both from the theoretical and the experimental points of view, the most common source for these couplings in dual-trap optical-tweezers setups: the misalignment of traps and tether. We give criteria to distinguish different kinds of misalignment, to estimate their quantitative relevance and to include them in the data analysis. The experimental data is obtained in a, to our knowledge, novel dual-trap optical-tweezers setup that directly measures forces. In the case in which misalignment is negligible, we provide a method to measure the stiffness of traps and tether based on variance analysis. This method can be seen as a calibration technique valid beyond the linear trap region. Our analysis is then employed to measure the persistence length of dsDNA tethers of three different lengths spanning two orders of magnitude. The effective persistence length of such tethers is shown to decrease with the contour length, in accordance with previous studies.

Suomalaisten osakerahastojen suorituskyvyn pysyvyys

Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena on tarkastella suomalaisten osakerahastojen suorituskyvyn pysyvyyttä (performance persistence). Tutkimus täydentää olemassa olevaa akateemista tutkimusta keskittymällä testaamaan eripituisia arviointi- ja sijoitusperiodeja. Lisätavoitteena on selvittää, ovatko jotkin suorituskyvyn mittareista muita parempia pysyvyyden tunnistamisessa. Tutkimuksen lähdeaineistona käytetään Kauppalehden toimittamaa rahastoaineistoa tammikuusta 1999 vuoden 2003 joulukuuhun. Tutkittavia osakerahastoja on yhteensä 28, joiden suorituskykyä mitataan kahdeksalla eri mittarilla. Tilastollisina menetelminä käytetään Spearmanin järjestyskorrelaatiokerrointa ja Kendallin yhteensopivuuskerrointa. Tutkimustulokset osoittavat jonkinasteista pysyvyyttä puolen vuoden, vuoden ja kahden vuoden tarkasteluperiodeilla. Kolmen vuoden tarkasteluperiodeilla pysyvyys on olematonta. Tulokset tukevat mm. Hendricksin ja muiden (1993) ja Sharpen (1995) tuloksia siinä, että mikäli pysyvyyttä esiintyy, on se lyhytaikaista. Poikkeuksellisen huonotuottoinen testijakso vaikuttaa kuitenkin tulosten yleistettävyyteen. Tulevan suorituskyvyn ennustamisessa yhtä mittaria ei voida nostaa ylitse muiden. Myöskään eksponentaalinen tasoitus ei juuri vaikuttanut tunnuslukujen kykyyn tunnistaa pysyvyyttä.

Septic Tenosynovitis of the Hand: Factors Predicting Need for Subsequent Débridement.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of septic hand tenosynovitis is complex, and often requires multiple débridements and prolonged antibiotic therapy. The authors undertook this study to identify factors that might be associated with the need for subsequent débridement (after the initial one) because of persistence or secondary worsening of infection. METHODS: In this retrospective single-center study, the authors included all adult patients who presented to their emergency department from 2007 to 2010 with septic tenosynovitis of the hand. RESULTS: The authors identified 126 adult patients (55 men; median age, 45 years), nine of whom were immunosuppressed. All had community-acquired infection; 34 (27 percent) had a subcutaneous abscess and eight (6 percent) were febrile. All underwent at least one surgical débridement and had concomitant antibiotic therapy (median, 15 days; range, 7 to 82 days). At least one additional surgical intervention was required in 18 cases (median, 1.13 interventions; range, one to five interventions). All but four episodes (97 percent) were cured of infection on the first attempt after a median follow-up of 27 months. By multivariate analysis, only two factors were significantly associated with the outcome "subsequent surgical débridement": abscess (OR, 4.6; 95 percent CI, 1.5 to 14.0) and longer duration of antibiotic therapy (OR, 1.2; 95 percent CI, 1.1 to 1.2). CONCLUSION: In septic tenosynovitis of the hand, the only presenting factor that was statistically predictive of an increased risk of needing a second débridement was the presence of a subcutaneous abscess. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Risk, III.