Banco de coyuntura: series trimestrales y mensuales del producto interno bruto (PIB), I-2001

Incluye Bibliografía

Banco de coyuntura: series trimestrales y mensuales del producto interno bruto (PIB), II-2001

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Banco de coyuntura: series trimestrales y mensuales del producto interno bruto (PIB), III-2001

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Informe sobre la recuperación del patrimonio documental estadístico histórico de la CEPAL. Las series de larga duración sobre las principales variables macroeconómicas de América Latina y el Caribe

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Indice de revistas y series que se reciben regularmente en la Biblioteca: suplemento, septiembre 1983-diciembre 1984

Contiene los nuevos titulos de publicaciones periodicas ingresadas a la coleccion de la Biblioteca CEPAL-ILPES desde septiembre de 1983.

América Latina y el Caribe: estimación de las series en paridades de poder adquisitivo (PPA): un ejercicio preliminar para el período 2000-2011

El propósito de este trabajo es generar series de paridades de poder adquisitivo (PPA)1 que permitan realizar simultáneamente comparaciones intertemporales e interespaciales de los principales agregados macroeconómicos para los países de América Latina y el Caribe (ALC), poniendo a disposición de los usuarios elementos metodológicos que posibiliten su interpretación y utilización descriptiva y analítica. El ejercicio que se reporta en las siguientes páginas está basado fundamentalmente en los resultados globales obtenidos en la Ronda 2005 del Programa de Comparación Internacional (PCI) así como en las versiones más recientes de las cuentas nacionales difundidas por los países de la región para el periodo 2000-2011; tiene la ventaja de incorporar las innovaciones que posiblemente otras series aun no han podido procesarlas y preparar la discusión técnica y el análisis de los resultados que arrojará la Ronda 2011 del Programa de Comparación Internacional, y con los cuales podría replicarse y ampliarse los tratamientos y aspectos metodológicos propuestos en esta nota. En ese escenario el desafío será obviamente mayor, pues al disponer de dos puntos (aunque no para todos los países de la región) o años de benchmark (2005 y 2011) existirá la posibilidad de realizar un ejercicio de interpolación y evaluar esos los resultados frente a aquellos que pueden ser obtenidos mediante una retropolación basada únicamente en las PPA del año 2011. Tanto los resultados como la metodología utilizada están abiertos al análisis y consideración de los usuarios y, por tanto, los autores solicitan la formulación de sugerencias y observaciones críticas que posibiliten mejorar el tratamiento estadístico de estas series.

Modelagem de comunicações móveis com a utilização de series temporais e geoestatísticas

O presente trabalho apresenta os resultados da modelagem de canal de propagação baseado em séries temporais multivariadas com a utilização de dados coletados em campanhas de medição e as principais características da urbanização de onze vias do centro da cidade de Belém-Pa. Modelos de função de transferência foram utilizados para avaliar efeitos na série temporal da potência do sinal recebido (dBm) que foi utilizada como variável resposta e como variáveis explicativas a altura dos prédios e as distâncias entre os prédios. Como nos modelos em séries temporais desconsideram-se as possíveis correlações entre amostras vizinhas, utilizou-se um modelo geoestatístico para se estabelecer a correção do erro deste modelo. Esta fase do trabalho consistiu em um conjunto de procedimentos necessários às técnicas geoestatísticas. Tendo como objetivo a análise em duas dimensões para dados espacialmente distribuídos, no que diz respeito à interpolação de superfícies geradas a partir das mostras georreferenciadas obtidas dos resíduos da potência do sinal recebido calculados com o modelo em séries temporais. Os resultados obtidos com o modelo proposto apresentam um bom desempenho, com erro médio quadrático na ordem de 0,33 dB em relação ao sinal medido, considerando os dados das onze vias do centro urbano da cidade de Belém/Pa. A partir do mapa de distribuição espacial da potência do sinal recebido (dBm), pode se identificar com facilidade as zonas infra ou supra dimensionadas em termos desta variável, isto é, beneficiadas ou prejudicadas com relação a recepção do sinal, o que pode resultar em um maior investimento da operadora (concessionária de telefonia celular móvel) local naquelas regiões onde o sinal é fraco.

Thermal decomposition and stability in a series of heterobimetallic carbonyl compounds of the type [Fe(CO)4(HgX)2] (X=Cl, Br, I)

Foram preparados compostos carbonílicos heterobimetálicos do tipo [Fe(CO)₄(HgX)₂] ( X= Cl, Br, I), contendo ligação metal-metal, objetivando investigar suas estabilidades térmicas em função do halogênio coordenado aos átomos de mercúrio. A caracterização destes complexos foi feita usando-se de técnicas espectroscópicas de infravermelho e ressonância magnética nuclear, além de análise elementar. O produto final das termodecomposições foi identificado através de espectroscopia no infravermelho e difratograma de raios-X, método de pó.

An alternative approach to deal with the absence of clinical trials: a proportional meta-analysis of case series studies

PURPOSE: Systematic reviews are criticized for frequently offering inconsistent evidences and absence of straightforward recommendations. Their value seems to be depreciated when the conclusions are uncertain. To describe an alternative approach of evaluating case series studies in health care when there is absence of clinical trials. METHODS: We provide illustrations from recent experiences. Proportional meta-analysis was performed on surgical outcomes: (a) case series studies, (b) use of cryoablation or radiofrequency ablation, and (c) patients with small renal cell carcinoma. The statistically significant difference between both interventions studied was defined if their combined 95% confidential interval (CI) did not overlap. RESULTS: As demonstrated by the example, this analysis is an alternative approach to provide some evidence of the intervention´s effects under evaluation and plotting all available case series in the absence of clinical trials for the health field. CONCLUSIONS: Although we are leading to a low level of evidence to determine efficacy, effectiveness and safety of interventions this alternative approach can help surgeons, physicians and health professionals for a provisionally decision in health care along with their clinical expertise and the patient´s wishes and circumstances in the absence of high-quality primary studies. It´s not a replacement for the gold standard randomized clinical trial, but an alternative analysis for clinical research.

Anaerobic-aerobic treatment of swine wastewater in uasb and batch reactors in series

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Mathematical modeling and analysis of the flocculation process in chambers in series

In this study, the flocculation process in continuous systems with chambers in series was analyzed using the classical kinetic model of aggregation and break-up proposed by Argaman and Kaufman, which incorporates two main parameters: K (a) and K (b). Typical values for these parameters were used, i. e., K (a) = 3.68 x 10(-5)-1.83 x 10(-4) and K (b) = 1.83 x 10(-7)-2.30 x 10(-7) s(-1). The analysis consisted of performing simulations of system behavior under different operating conditions, including variations in the number of chambers used and the utilization of fixed or scaled velocity gradients in the units. The response variable analyzed in all simulations was the total retention time necessary to achieve a given flocculation efficiency, which was determined by means of conventional solution methods of nonlinear algebraic equations, corresponding to the material balances on the system. Values for the number of chambers ranging from 1 to 5, velocity gradients of 20-60 s(-1) and flocculation efficiencies of 50-90 % were adopted.

Reproductive migration of fish and movement in a series of reservoirs in the Upper Parana River basin, Brazil

AbstractThis study evaluates the effectiveness of two fish passes at two hydropower dams (Canoas I and II) in the Upper Parana basin, which form part of a cascade of three reservoirs. Fish from 12 migratory species (3089 specimens) were captured during their ascending, reproductive migration and were tagged with hydrostatic tags. The recapture data (294 specimens over two consecutive years) showed that there is a strong tendency for the maintenance of ascending migration through reservoirs with fish passes but with differences in migratory activity within the same species. No eggs, larvae or juveniles of these species were found in samples collected over 5 years in the reservoirs above the fish passes. These data suggest that fish passes have contributed to the restoration of the migratory routes of adult fish but that in the absence of suitable spawning or nursery habitats for these species; they probably act as ecological traps and do not contribute to the recruitment of the species.

Enhanced Recovery after Elective Open Surgical Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: A Complementary Overview through a Pooled Analysis of Proportions from Case Series Studies

Objectives: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) programs in elective open surgical repair (OSR) of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA).Background: Open surgical repair of AAA is associated with high morbidity and mortality, prolonged hospital stay and high costs. ERAS programs contribute to the optimization of treatment by reducing hospital stay and improving clinical outcomes.Methods: A review of PubMed, EMBASE and LILACS databases was conducted. As only one randomized controlled trial was found, a pooled analysis of proportions from case series was conducted, considering it a complementary overview of the topic. Inclusion criteria were case series with more than five cases reported, adult patients who underwent an elective OSR of AAA and use of an ERAS program. ERAS was compared to conventional perioperative care. The pooled proportion and the confidence interval (CI) are shown for each outcome. The overlap of the CI suggests similar effect of the interventions studied.Results: Thirteen case series studies with ERAS involving 1,250 patients were compared to six case series with conventional care with a total of 1,429 patients. The pooled, respective proportions for ERAS and conventional care were: mortality, 1.51% [95% CI: 0.0091, 0.0226] and 3.0% [95% CI 0.0183, 0.0445]; and incidence of complications, 3.82% [95% CI 0.0259, 0.0528] and 4.0% [95% CI 0.03, 0.05].Conclusion: This review shows that ERAS and conventional care therapies have similar mortality and complication rates in OSR of AAA.

Clinical aspects of envenomation caused by Tityus obscurus (Gervais, 1843) in two distinct regions of Para state, Brazilian Amazon basin: a prospective case series

Background: Scorpion envenomations are a major public health problem in Brazil, whose most dangerous cases are attributable to the genus Tityus. This study was designed to compare the clinical and demographic features of envenomations by Tityus obscurus in two areas of the state of Para located in the Amazon basin. Were compared demographic findings, local and systemic signs and symptoms of human envenomations caused by T. obscurus that occurred in western and eastern areas of the state.Results: Forty-eight patients with confirmed envenomation by T. obscurus were evaluated from January 2008 to July 2011. Most of them came from the eastern region, where male and female patients were present in similar numbers, while males predominated in the west. Median age groups were also similar in both areas. Most scorpion stings took place during the day and occurred significantly more frequently on the upper limbs. The time between the sting and admission to the health center was less than three hours in both areas. Most eastern patients had local manifestations while in the west, systemic manifestations predominated. Local symptoms were similar in both areas, but systemic signs and symptoms were more common in the west. Symptoms frequently observed at the sting site were local and radiating pain, paresthesia, edema, erythema, sweating, piloerection and burning. The systemic manifestations were significantly higher in patients from the west. Futhermore, neurological symptoms such as general paresthesia, ataxia, dysarthria, myoclonus, dysmetria, and electric shock-like sensations throughout the body were reported only by patients from the west.Conclusion: The present study shows that two regions of Para state differ in the clinical manifestations and severity of confirmed envenomation by T. obscurus which suggests a toxicity variation resulting from the diversity of T. obscurus venom in different areas of the Brazilian Amazon basin, and that T. serrulatus antivenom can be successfully used against T. obscurus.

The bias in reversing the Box-Cox transformation in time series forecasting: An empirical study based on neural networks

The Box-Cox transformation is a technique mostly utilized to turn the probabilistic distribution of a time series data into approximately normal. And this helps statistical and neural models to perform more accurate forecastings. However, it introduces a bias when the reversion of the transformation is conducted with the predicted data. The statistical methods to perform a bias-free reversion require, necessarily, the assumption of Gaussianity of the transformed data distribution, which is a rare event in real-world time series. So, the aim of this study was to provide an effective method of removing the bias when the reversion of the Box-Cox transformation is executed. Thus, the developed method is based on a focused time lagged feedforward neural network, which does not require any assumption about the transformed data distribution. Therefore, to evaluate the performance of the proposed method, numerical simulations were conducted and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error, the Theil Inequality Index and the Signal-to-Noise ratio of 20-step-ahead forecasts of 40 time series were compared, and the results obtained indicate that the proposed reversion method is valid and justifies new studies. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.