La contrarrevolución del virrey Abascal: Lima, 1806-1816 (Estudios)

Durante los años del colapso de la monarquía española, el Virreinato del Perú estuvo gobernado por Fernando de Abascal, quien, en alianza con la élíte de Lima, aplicó una política de represión en términos ideológicos y militares ante cualquier intento separatista o revolucionario, tanto dentro de su jurisdicción virreinal como fuera de ella, entre cuyos territorios vecinos estaban Quito, Chile y Charcas. Asimismo, mediante esta estrategia, el Virreinato de Lima intentó recuperar parte de la influencia perdida en América del Sur como consecuencia de la aplicación de las reformas borbónicas, especialmente durante la segunda mitad del siglo XVIII. El presente artículo pone atención a la respuesta de Lima contra al movimiento insurgente desatado en Quito a partir de 1809.

Buenas intenciones y efectos perversos. Los límites del reformismo institucional en Colombia y Venezuela (Otros Temas)

Este artículo analiza las reformas institucionales emprendidas por Colombia y Venezuela para enfrentar las crisis de la democracia durante los noventa. Si bien los intentos de reforma han comprendido desde la descentralización y la transformación de los sistemas electorales hasta las reformas constitucionales, las reformas parecerían no haber generado los resultados adecuados dado que, en algunos casos, parecen haber profundizado las crisis. Al respecto se argumenta que toda reforma puede producir efectos imprevistos, no siempre benéficos. Dado que toda reforma implica costos, se torna necesario desprenderse de aquellos diagnósticos que perciben la realidad como verdad incuestionable.

Ajustes y reformas económicas en los países andinos: entre el optimismo y la desesperanza (Coyuntura)

El autor describe las reformas económicas emprendidas por los países andinos desde la década del noventa. Este análisis se acompaña de una evaluación de los resultados obtenidos, sus efectos redistributivos, su impacto en la estructura social y el contexto internacional en que se desenvolvieron. El artículo concluye con una perspectiva crítica del Consenso de Washington, y alerta sobre la necesidad urgente de que los países del área realicen reformas dirigidas a mejorar el sistema educativo, la distribución del ingreso, el empleo y el acceso a oportunidades.

Narraciones compartidas: imaginarios políticos entre Charcas y Buenos Aires. (De las reformas borbónicas al proceso juntista) [Estudios]

Este artículo expone los vínculos entre las élites charqueñas y rioplatenses desde mediados del siglo XVIII hasta inicios del siglo XIX, con una mirada que incorpora la relación territorial y el vínculo de las culturas políticas que se entretejen en la conformación de ambas élites. El trabajo da cuenta de los vínculos políticos entre el mundo charqueño y el rioplatense, asumiendo ambas realidades como vinculadas e interdependientes, y muestra que dicho vínculo estuvo configurado por narraciones y preocupaciones comunes, el impacto de la crisis imperial de 1808, la resonancia de la insurgencia indígena en los años previos (La Gran Regelión de los Andes y la Rebelión de Túpac Katari) y las experiencias autonomistas del mundo andino: La Plata (Chiquisaca) y La Paz. Se utilizan los aportes de la historia conceptual y la sociología política para analizar esos complejos mundos políticos y de conformación de élites.

Las reformas de Raúl Castro: evaluación de horizontes y contenidos alternativos (Coyuntura)

El artículo analiza las últimas reformas hechas por el gobierno cubano a partir de la estructura del sistema político establecido en ese país y su relación y efectividad con las instituciones, la ciudadanía y actores locales cubanos. Argumenta que los cambios buscan mejorar la crisis económica y gobernabilidad del país, sin concesiones que permitan el establecimiento de nuevos actores políticos. Concluye que los diversos grupos, sociabilidades, redes deben constituir un mínimo de acuerdos y colaboraciones sobre la restitución de derechos a los ciudadanos, así como los modos y plazos para poner fin al monopolio legal y control/represión del Estado.

Reformas o nuevo Código del Trabajo (Tema Central)

El ministro de Relaciones Laborales ecuatoriano ha informado al país que prepara un nuevo Código del Trabajo. En verdad, se trata de un proyecto de reformas y no realmente un nuevo Código del Trabajo. Con ese antecedente, el presente artículo hace un análisis de las propuestas del Gobierno, dividiéndolas en tres grupos: unas inaceptables porque privarían a los trabajadores de derechos de los que vienen gozando y que están actualmente previstos en la legislación positiva, y porque serían manifiestamente inconstitucionales, otras reformas serían enunciados abstractos sobre los cuales cabe su desarrollo mediante normas que lo mismo pueden ser favorables que perjudiciales a trabajadores y trabajadoras, por lo tanto, no es dable ni respaldar ni combatir su adopción, y, finalmente, aquellos temas que, siendo imprescindibles, no son planteados en la propuesta de reformas.

La reforma antes de la reforma. La construcción del nuevo Código del Trabajo (Tema Central)

Dada la inminencia de la reforma laboral que pretende expresarse en un nuevo Código del Trabajo, en este pequeño ensayo se busca explorar los elementos más importantes de esa transformación, para ello se plantean dos tesis: la primera relativa a la influencia del contexto económico en la reforma laboral, es decir, es la estrategia denominada “cambio de matriz productiva” la que determinará la forma de trabajo y de trabajador que desde el Estado se impulsa, la otra tesis está relacionada con el avance de las reformas, no en el sentido de los diálogos con las organizaciones de trabajadores, empleadores y el Estado, sino desde los visos de lo que será el nuevo Código del Trabajo, que ya empiezan a identificarse en las múltiples normas de carácter secundario que en estos años ha emitido el ejecutivo, ya sea como Ministerio de Relaciones Laborales o como Presidencia de la República.

Ecuador

Ecuador’s total population numbers some 15,682,792 inhabitants, and includes 14 nationalities accounting for around 1,100,000 people, all joined together in a series of local, regional and national organisations. 60.3% of the Andean Kichwa live in six provinces in the Central-North Mountains; 24.1% live in the Amazon region and belong to ten nationalities; 7.3% live in the Southern Mountains; and the remaining 8.3% live in the Coastal region and the Galapagos Islands. 78.5% still live in rural areas and 21.5% in urban areas. The current Constitution of the Republic recognises the country as a “…constitutional state of law and social justice, democratic, sovereign, independent, unitary, intercultural, multinational and secular”. Over the last five years, the country has undergone a series of political and institutional reforms. At the same time, however, enforcing and guaranteeing the collective rights recognised in the Constitution has become a challenge to the process, and a permanent point of disagreement between the government, headed by the economist Rafael Correa, and the indigenous social organisations. The government’s economic action has been largely marked by an opening up of the extractive industries - oil, copper and gold - to foreign investment, either of Chinese or Belarussian origin, or from other Latin American countries such as Brazil, Chile or Argentina. This has resulted in risk to and impacts on the territorial and cultural integrity of various indigenous peoples, and an uncertainty created around the true validity of the broad collective rights enshrined in the Constitution.

What kind of European Banking Union? Bruegel Policy Contribution [2012/12?]June 25, 2012

This paper discusses the creation of a European Banking Union. First, we discuss questions of design. We highlight seven fundamental choices that decision makers will need to make: Which EU countries should participate in the banking union? To which categories of banks should it apply? Which institution should be tasked with supervision? Which one should deal with resolution? How centralised should the deposit insurance system be? What kind of fiscal backing would be required? What governance framework and political institutions would be needed? In terms of geographical scope, we see the coverage of the banking union of the euro area as necessary and of additional countries as desirable, even though this would entail important additional economic difficulties. The system should ideally cover all banks within the countries included, in order to prevent major competitive and distributional distortions. Supervisory authority should be granted either to both the ECB and a new agency, or to a new agency alone. National supervisors, acting under the authority of the European supervisor, would be tasked with the supervision of smaller banks in accordance with the subsidiarity principle. A European resolution authority should be established, with the possibility of drawing on ESM resources. A fully centralized deposit insurance system would eventually be desirable, but a system of partial reinsurance may also be envisaged at least in a first phase. A banking union would require at least implicit European fiscal backing, with significant political authority and legitimacy. Thus, banking union cannot be considered entirely separately from fiscal union and political union. The most difficult challenge of creating a European banking union lies with the short-term steps towards its eventual implementation. Many banks in the euro area, and especially in the crisis countries, are currently under stress and the move towards banking union almost certainly has significant distributional implications. Yet it is precisely because banks are under such stress that early and concrete action is needed. An overarching principle for such action is to minimize the cost to the tax payers. The first step should be to create a European supervisor that will anchor the development of the future banking union. In parallel, a capability to quickly assess the true capital position of the system’s most important banks should be created, for which we suggest establishing a temporary European Banking Sector Task Force working together with the European supervisor and other authorities. Ideally, problems identified by this process should be resolved by national authorities; in case fiscal capacities would prove insufficient, the European level would take over in the country concerned with some national financial participation, or in an even less likely adverse scenario, in all participating countries at once. This approach would require the passing of emergency legislation in the concerned countries that would give the Task Force the required access to information and, if necessary, further intervention rights. Thus, the principle of fiscal responsibility of respective member states for legacy costs would be preserved to the maximum extent possible, and at the same time, market participants and the public would be reassured that adequate tools are in place to address any eventuality.

Banking Union in the Eurozone and the European Union. CEPS Commentary, 12 June 2012

In this new CEPS Commentary, Jacopo Carmassi, Carmine Di Noia and Stefano Micossi present a rationale and detailed outline for the creation of a banking union in Europe. They argue that it is essential to clearly distinguish between what is needed to address a ‘systemic’ confidence crisis hitting the banking system – which is mainly or solely a eurozone problem – and ‘fair weather’ arrangements to prevent individual bank crises and, when they occur, to manage them in an orderly fashion so as to minimise systemic spillovers and the cost to taxpayers, which is of concern for the entire European Union.

Banking Union in three steps. CEPS Commentary, 12 June 2012

As the banking crisis in the eurozone becomes even more acute, CEPS Chief Executive Karel Lannoo exhorts the EU to not lose further precious time in creating a fully functional bank union, which would entail three main steps: creating a single supervisory authority, a common deposit protection and a harmonised bank resolution and liquidation system.

Countercyclical regulation in Solvency II: merits and flaws. CEPS Commentary, 25 June 2012

October 2011 saw the latest draft of Solvency II, the European Union’s code for regulation of the insurance industry. This commentary, a collective effort by a group of academics specializing in financial, banking and insurance institutions, argues that the latest proposals need to be drafted again, urgently.

Self-Fulfilling Crises in the Eurozone: An Empirical Test. CEPS Working Document No. 366, 22 June 2012

This paper tests the hypothesis that government bond markets in the eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) in the eurozone during 2010-11 was disconnected from underlying increases in the debt-to-GDP ratios and fiscal space variables, and was the result of negative self-fulfilling market sentiments that became very strong since the end of 2010. We argue that this can drive member countries of the eurozone into bad equilibria. We also find evidence that after years of neglecting high government debt, investors became increasingly worried about this in the eurozone, and reacted by raising the spreads. No such worries developed in stand-alone countries despite the fact that debt-to-GDP ratios and fiscal space variables were equally high and increasing in these countries.

An agenda for the European Council: feasible steps to bring the eurozone back from the precipice. CEPS Policy Brief No. 274, 20 June 2012

In the run-up to the emergency European Council meeting at the end of June, Stefano Micossi outlines in this Policy Brief the main elements of a realistic and yet incisive policy package, capable of reassuring financial markets and a bewildered public opinion. It is more than Germany has been willing to accept so far but much less than many of the demands it will confront at the Council meeting. More importantly, it only requires a minimum of additional disbursements by the member states, while strengthening risk-sharing for sovereign and banking risks.

The creation of euro area financial safety nets. Bruegel Working Paper 2012/09, July 2012

The financial crisis has exposed the need to devise stronger and broader international and regional safety nets in order to deal with economic and financial shocks and allow for countries to adjust. The euro area has developed several such mechanisms over the last couple of years through a process of trial and error and gradual enhancement and expansion. Their overall architecture remains imperfect and leaves areas of vulnerabilities. This paper provides an overview of the recent financial stability mechanisms and their various shortcomings and tries to brush the outline of a more comprehensive safety net architecture that would coherently address the banking, sovereign and external imbalances crises against both transitory and more permanent shocks. It aims to provide a roadmap for further improvements of the current mechanism and the creation of new devices including a banking resolution mechanism and amore powerfulmechanismto provide financial assistance addressing both the sovereign and external dimensions of the shocks thereby reducing the need for the ECB to fill the current void.