Segmenting the market of West Australian senior tourists using an artificial neural network

Measuring perceptions of customers can be a major problem for marketers of tourism and travel services. Much of the problem is to determine which attributes carry most weight in the purchasing decision. Older travellers weigh many travel features before making their travel decisions. This paper presents a descriptive analysis of neural network methodology and provides a research technique that assesses the weighting of different attributes and uses an unsupervised neural network model to describe a consumer-product relationship. The development of this rich class of models was inspired by the neural architecture of the human brain. These models mathematically emulate the neurophysical structure and decision making of the human brain, and, from a statistical perspective, are closely related to generalised linear models. Artificial neural networks or neural networks are, however, nonlinear and do not require the same restrictive assumptions about the relationship between the independent variables and dependent variables. Using neural networks is one way to determine what trade-offs older travellers make as they decide their travel plans. The sample of this study is from a syndicated data source of 200 valid cases from Western Australia. From senior groups, active learner, relaxed family body, careful participants and elementary vacation were identified and discussed. (C) 2003 Published by Elsevier Science Ltd.

Existence of multiple solutions for finite difference approximations to second-order boundary value problems

Error condition detected We consider discrete two-point boundary value problems of the form D-2 y(k+1) = f (kh, y(k), D y(k)), for k = 1,...,n - 1, (0,0) = G((y(0),y(n));(Dy-1,Dy-n)), where Dy-k = (y(k) - Yk-I)/h and h = 1/n. This arises as a finite difference approximation to y" = f(x,y,y'), x is an element of [0,1], (0,0) = G((y(0),y(1));(y'(0),y'(1))). We assume that f and G = (g(0), g(1)) are continuous and fully nonlinear, that there exist pairs of strict lower and strict upper solutions for the continuous problem, and that f and G satisfy additional assumptions that are known to yield a priori bounds on, and to guarantee the existence of solutions of the continuous problem. Under these assumptions we show that there are at least three distinct solutions of the discrete approximation which approximate solutions to the continuous problem as the grid size, h, goes to 0. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Quasiequilibrium problem in H-spaces

In the present paper, we study the quasiequilibrium problem and generalized quasiequilibrium problem of generalized quasi-variational inequality in H-spaces by a new method. Some new equilibrium existence theorems are given. Our results are different from corresponding given results or contain some recent results as their special cases. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Reforming the law of medical negligence: Solutions in search of a problem

The Commonwealth Government's Principles Based Review of the Law of Negligence recently recommended reforms aimed at limiting liability and damages arising from personal injury and death, in response to the growing perception that the current system of compensating personal injury had become financially unsustainable. Recent increases in medical liability and damages have eroded the confidence of doctors and their professional bodies, with fears of unprecedented desertion from and reduced recruitment into high risk areas, and one of the primary foci of the review concerned medical negligence. The article analyses proposals to redefine the principles necessary for the finding of negligence, against the terms of reference of the review. The article assumes that for the foreseeable future, Australia will persist with tort-based compensation for personal injury rather than developing a no-fault scheme. If the suggested changes to the fundamental principles of negligence are unlikely to reduce medical liability, greater attention might be given to the processes which come into play after the finding of negligence, where reform is more likely to benefit both plaintiffs and defendants.

Geometric nonlinear analysis of thin plates by a refined nonlinear non-conforming triangular plate element

Based on the refined non-conforming element method for geometric nonlinear analysis, a refined nonlinear non-conforming triangular plate element is constructed using the Total Lagrangian (T.L.) and the Updated Lagrangian (U.L.) approach. The refined nonlinear non-conforming triangular plate element is based on the Allman's triangular plane element with drilling degrees of freedom [1] and the refined non-conforming triangular plate element RT9 [2]. The element is used to analyze the geometric nonlinear behavior of plates and the numerical examples show that the refined non-conforming triangular plate element by the T.L. and U.L. approach can give satisfactory results. The computed results obtained from the T.L. and U.L. approach for the same numerical examples are somewhat different and the reasons for the difference of the computed results are given in detail in this paper. © 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

A global health problem caused by arsenic from natural sources

Arsenic is a carcinogen to both humans and animals. Arsenicals have been associated with cancers of the skin, lung, and bladder. Clinical manifestations of chronic arsenic poisoning include non-cancer end point of hyper- and hypo-pigmentation, keratosis, hypertension, cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. Epidemiological evidence indicates that arsenic concentration exceeding 50 mug l(-1) in the drinking water is not public health protective. The current WHO recommended guideline value for arsenic in drinking water is 10 mug l(-1), whereas many developing countries are still having a value of 50 mug 1(-1). It has been estimated that tens of millions of people are. at risk exposing to excessive levels of arsenic from both contaminated water and arsenic-bearing coal from natural sources. The global health implication and possible intervention strategies were also discussed in this review article. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Unraveling the barriers to reconceptualization of the problem in chronic pain: The actual and perceived ability of patients and health professionals to understand the neurophysiology

To identify why reconceptualization of the problem is difficult in chronic pain, this study aimed to evaluate whether (1) health professionals and patients can understand currently accurate information about the neurophysiology of pain and (2) health professionals accurately estimate the ability of patients to understand the neurophysiology of pain. Knowledge tests were completed by 276 patients with chronic pain and 288 professionals either before (untrained) or after (trained) education about the neurophysiology of pain. Professionals estimated typical patient performance on the test. Untrained participants performed poorly (mean +/- standard deviation, 55% +/- 19% and 29% +/- 12% for professionals and patients, respectively), compared to their trained counterparts (78% +/- 21% and 61% +/- 19%, respectively). The estimated patient score (46% +/- 18%) was less than the actual patient score (P < .005). The results suggest that professionals and patients can understand the neurophysiology of pain but professionals underestimate patients' ability to understand. The implications are that (1) a poor knowledge of currently accurate information about pain and (2) the underestimation of patients' ability to understand currently accurate information about pain represent barriers to reconceptualization of the problem in chronic pain within the clinical and lay arenas. (C) 2003 by the American Pain Society.

Gravitational waves : a 100-year tool applied to the dark energy problem

Recent observations from type Ia Supernovae and from cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies have revealed that most of the matter of the Universe interacts in a repulsive manner, composing the so-called dark energy constituent of the Universe. Determining the properties of dark energy is one of the most important tasks of modern cosmology and this is the main motivation for this work. The analysis of cosmic gravitational waves (GW) represents, besides the CMB temperature and polarization anisotropies, an additional approach in the determination of parameters that may constrain the dark energy models and their consistence. In recent work, a generalized Chaplygin gas model was considered in a flat universe and the corresponding spectrum of gravitational waves was obtained. In the present work we have added a massless gas component to that model and the new spectrum has been compared to the previous one. The Chaplygin gas is also used to simulate a L-CDM model by means of a particular combination of parameters so that the Chaplygin gas and the L-CDM models can be easily distinguished in the theoretical scenarios here established. We find that the models are strongly degenerated in the range of frequencies studied. This degeneracy is in part expected since the models must converge to each other when some particular combinations of parameters are considered.

O trabalho e a competência industriosa no beneficiamento de granitos : uma cartografia ergológica

O intuito inicial desta pesquisa foi acompanhar processos de trabalho à luz do referencial teórico da Ergologia e, portanto, concebendo o trabalho como relação dialética entre técnica e ação humana. O objetivo era cartografar o trabalho no processo de beneficiamento de granitos em uma organização de grande porte localizada no Espírito Santo e, após algum tempo em campo, o problema delineou- se do seguinte modo: como se constitui a competência industriosa no beneficiamento de granitos em uma organização de grande porte? A pesquisa justifica-se uma vez que, a despeito da relevância econômica, o cenário capixaba de rochas ornamentais apresenta problemas precários no que diz respeito à gestão. Para os Estudos Organizacionais, a relevância é reforçada pelo fato de aproximar desta área a abordagem ergológica e demarcar no debate sobre competência a noção de competência industriosa, ainda não explorada nesse campo de estudo. Para realização da pesquisa, foi praticada uma cartografia ergológica, a partir da articulação das pistas cartográficas com o referencial teórico-conceitual da Ergologia, sendo utilizadas como técnicas: observação participante durante 6 meses, com uma média de 3 visitas a campo por semana; 8 entrevistas semiestruturadas e em profundidade de cerca de 50 minutos cada com trabalhadores operacionais; uma entrevista com gerente de produção e outra com representante da área de Gestão de Pessoas; conversas com os demais trabalhadores, a fim de enriquecer o diário de campo; novas conversas e observações ao final da análise, para confrontação-validação com os trabalhadores. A sistematização dos procedimentos de análise pode ser assim descrita: a) leituras flutuantes com objetivo de fazer emergirem aspectos centrais relacionados às duas dimensões do trabalho, técnica e ação humana; b) leituras em profundidade com objetivo de fazer emergirem singularidades e especificidades relativas à dialética entre ambas; c) leituras em profundidade com objetivo de fazer emergirem aspectos relativos aos ingredientes da competência industriosa. A despeito da não delimitação de categorias analíticas e subcategorias, a partir da análise emergiram cinco eixos analíticos: 1) os procedimentos a serem empregados no processo de beneficiamento de granitos, englobando: as etapas do beneficiamento; as funções a serem desempenhadas e as tarefas a serem desenvolvidas; as normas regulamentadoras; os conhecimentos técnicos necessários para programação e operação de máquinas; a ordem de produção prescrita pelo setor comercial; 2) o trabalho real, diferenciado do trabalho como emprego de procedimentos pelo foco dado à ação humana no enfrentamento de situações reais, repletas de eventos e variabilidades, em todo o processo, englobando: preparo de carga; laminação; serrada; levigamento; resinagem; polimento-classificação; retoque; fechamento de pacote; ovada de contêiner; 3) diferentes modos de usos de si que, em tendência, são responsáveis pela constituição do agir em competência em cada etapa do processo, na dialética entre técnica e ação humana; 4) o modo como cada ingrediente da competência industriosa atua e se constitui, bem como sua concentração, em tendência, em cada etapa do processo, a partir dos tipos de usos de si que, também em tendência, são mais responsáveis pelo agir em competência, apresentando assim o perfil da competência industriosa no beneficiamento de granitos na empresa em análise; 5) dois possíveis fatores potencializadores dos ingredientes da competência industriosa, a saber, a transdução e os não-humanos. A partir de todo o exposto, as últimas considerações problematizam aspectos relativos ao debate sobre competências e práticas de gestão de pessoas a partir da competência compreendida da seguinte forma: mestria no ato de tirar partido do meio e de si para gerir situações de trabalho, em que a ação consiste na mobilização de recursos dificilmente perceptíveis e descritíveis, inerentes ao trabalhador, porém constituídos e manifestos por usos de si por si e pelos outros no e para o ato real de trabalho, marcadamente num nível infinitesimal, diante de situações que demandam aplicação de protocolos concomitante à gestão de variabilidades e eventos em parte inantecipáveis e inelimináveis.

Brazil: an emerging military power? The problem of the use of force in Brazilian international relations in the 21st century

The central goal of this paper is thinking about the Brazilian military power and its linking to the international ambitions of the country in the 21st century. After a comparative analysis to other BRICs and with a historical one about Brazil's strategic irrelevance, we aim to establish what the minimum military capacity Brazil would need in order to meet the country's latest international interests. Similarly, it will be discussed if the National Strategy of Defense, approved in 2008, and the recent strategic agreements signed with France represent one more step toward this minimum military capacity.