Prediction of first coronary events with the Framingham score: a systematic review

BACKGROUND: Uncertainty exists about the performance of the Framingham risk score when applied in different populations. OBJECTIVE: We assessed calibration of the Framingham risk score (ie, relationship between predicted and observed coronary event rates) in US and non-US populations free of cardiovascular disease. METHODS: We reviewed studies that evaluated the performance of the Framingham risk score to predict first coronary events in a validation cohort, as identified by Medline, EMBASE, BIOSIS, and Cochrane library searches (through August 2005). Two reviewers independently assessed 1496 studies for eligibility, extracted data, and performed quality assessment using predefined forms. RESULTS: We included 25 validation cohorts of different population groups (n = 128,000) in our main analysis. Calibration varied over a wide range from under- to overprediction of absolute risk by factors of 0.57 to 2.7. Risk prediction for 7 cohorts (n = 18658) from the United States, Australia, and New Zealand was well calibrated (corresponding figures: 0.87-1.08; for the 5 biggest cohorts). The estimated population risks for first coronary events were strongly associated (goodness of fit: R2 = 0.84) and in good agreement with observed risks (coefficient for predicted risk: beta = 0.84; 95% CI 0.41-1.26). In 18 European cohorts (n = 109499), the corresponding figures indicated close association (R2 = 0.72) but substantial overprediction (beta = 0.58, 95% CI 0.39-0.77). The risk score was well calibrated on the intercept for both population clusters. CONCLUSION: The Framingham score is well calibrated to predict first coronary events in populations from the United States, Australia, and New Zealand. Overestimation of absolute risk in European cohorts requires recalibration procedures.

Ecological study of the predictors of successful management of dyslipidemia in HIV-infected patients on ART: the Swiss HIV Cohort Study

PURPOSE: Antiretroviral therapy (ART) may induce metabolic changes and increase the risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Based on a health care system approach, we investigated predictors for normalization of dyslipidemia in HIV-infected individuals receiving ART. METHOD: Individuals included in the study were registered in the Swiss HIV Cohort Study (SHCS), had dyslipidemia but were not on lipid-lowering medication, were on potent ART for >or= 3 months, and had >or= 2 follow-up visits. Dyslipidemia was defined as two consecutive total cholesterol (TC) values above recommended levels. Predictors of achieving treatment goals for TC were assessed using Cox models. RESULTS: Analysis included 958 individuals with median followup of 2.3 years (IQR 1.2-4.0). 454 patients (47.4%) achieved TC treatment goals. In adjusted analyses, variables significantly associated with a lower hazard of reaching TC treatment goals were as follows: older age (compared to 18-37 year olds: hazard ratio [HR] 0.62 for 45-52 year olds, 95% CI 0.47-0.82; HR 0.40 for 53-85, 95% CI 0.29-0.54), diabetes (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.26-0.59), history of coronary heart disease (HR 0.27, 95% CI 0.10-0.71), higher baseline TC (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.71-0.85), baseline triple nucleoside regimen (HR 0.12 compared to PI-only regimen, 95% CI 0.07-0.21), longer time on PI-only regimen (HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.33-0.46), longer time on NNRTI only regimen (HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.29-0.43), and longer time on PI/NNRTI regimen (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.26-0.43). Switching ART regimen when viral load was undetectable was associated with a higher hazard of reaching TC treatment goals (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.14-1.91). CONCLUSION: In SHCS participants on ART, several ART-related and not ART-related epidemiological factors were associated with insufficient control of dyslipidemia. Control of dyslipidemia in ART recipients must be further improved.

Drug-eluting or bare-metal stents for large coronary vessel stenting? The BASKET-PROVE (PROspective Validation Examination) trial: study protocol and design

BACKGROUND: Based on a subgroup analysis of 18-month BAsel Stent Kosten Effektivitäts Trial (BASKET) outcome data, we hypothesized that very late (> 12 months) stent thrombosis occurs predominantly after drug-eluting stent implantation in large native coronary vessel stenting. METHODS: To prove or refute this hypothesis, we set up an 11-center 4-country prospective trial of 2260 consecutive patients treated with > or = 3.0-mm stents only, randomized to receive Cypher (Johnson ; Johnson, Miami Lakes, FL), Vision (Abbott Vascular, Abbott Laboratories, IL), or Xience stents (Abbott Vascular). Only patients with left main or bypass graft disease, in-stent restenosis or stent thrombosis, in need of nonheart surgery, at increased bleeding risk, without compliance/consent are excluded. All patients are treated with dual antiplatelet therapy for 12 months. The primary end point will be cardiac death/nonfatal myocardial infarction after 24 months with further follow-up up to 5 years. RESULTS: By June 12, 229 patients (10% of the planned total) were included with a baseline risk similar to that of the same subgroup of BASKET (n = 588). CONCLUSIONS: This study will answer several important questions of contemporary stent use in patients with large native vessel stenting. The 2-year death/myocardial infarction-as well as target vessel revascularization-and bleeding rates in these patients with a first- versus second-generation drug-eluting stent should demonstrate the benefit or harm of these stents compared to cobalt-chromium bare-metal stents in this relevant, low-risk group of everyday patients. In addition, a comparison with similar BASKET patients will allow to estimate the impact of 12- versus 6-month dual antiplatelet therapy on these outcomes.

Vascular adaptation of the internal thoracic artery graft early and late after bypass surgery

OBJECTIVE: Flow mismatch between the supplying artery and the myocardial perfusion region has been observed in patients with internal thoracic artery grafts. Thus coronary flow changes of arterial (internal thoracic artery grafts) and saphenous (saphenous vein grafts) bypass grafts were studied early and late after coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS: Thirty patients undergoing elective bypass surgery (internal thoracic artery and saphenous vein grafts) were studied intraoperatively and (17 patients) 3 to 10 months postoperatively. Coronary flow was measured intraoperatively with the transit-time Doppler scanning technique. Postoperatively, flow velocity and coronary flow reserve were determined with the Doppler flow wire technique. Quantitative angiographic analysis was used to determine vessel size for calculation of absolute flow. RESULTS: Intraoperatively, internal thoracic artery graft flow was significantly lower than saphenous vein graft flow (31 +/- 8 vs 58 +/- 29 mL/min, P < .01). Postoperatively, internal thoracic artery graft flow increased significantly to 42 +/- 24 mL/min at 3 months and to 56 +/- 30 mL/min (P < .02 vs intraoperative value) at 10 months, respectively. However, saphenous vein graft flow remained unchanged over time (58 +/- 29 to 50 +/- 27 mL/min at 3 months and 46 +/- 27 mL/min at 10 months). Coronary flow reserve was abnormally low intraoperatively in the internal thoracic artery (1.3 +/- 0.3) and saphenous vein (1.6 +/- 0.5) grafts but increased significantly to normal values in both types of graft at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Bypass flow of the internal thoracic artery graft is significantly reduced intraoperatively when compared with that of the saphenous vein graft. However, 3 and 10 months after the operation, flow of the internal thoracic artery graft increases significantly and is similar to saphenous vein graft flow. This finding can be explained by an early flow mismatch of the native internal thoracic artery in the presence of a large perfusion territory. During follow-up, there is vascular remodeling of the internal thoracic artery, probably because of endothelium-mediated mechanisms.

Preliminary results following reinforcement of the pulmonary autograft to prevent dilatation after the Ross procedure

OBJECTIVE: The Ross operation remains a controversially discussed procedure, because concern exists regarding late dilatation of the neoaortic root and progressive regurgitation of the autograft valve. We present our early experience with an external reinforcement of the autograft, which is inserted into a prosthetic Dacron graft with an artificial aortic root configuration. This detail should help to prevent neoaortic root dilatation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 2006 and 2007, 12 patients (mean age 16 +/- 38 years; range 15-38 years) underwent a Ross procedure by this technique. Indications were aortic regurgitation (n = 2), aortic stenosis (n = 5), and combined aortic stenosis and insufficiency (n = 5). A bicuspid aortic valve was present in 9 patients. Balloon valvuloplasty had been performed in 7 patients. Follow-up was performed by clinical and echocardiographic examinations. RESULTS: No early or late deaths occurred in this small series, and freedom from reoperation is 100%. Echocardiographic follow-up confirmed absence of aortic insufficiency in 11 patients after a mean of 11 months (range 2-30 months). In 1 patient, a small asymmetric regurgitation jet was already observed at discharge echocardiography. As expected, no neoaortic root dilatation was observed during follow-up. All patients are in New York Heart Association class I. CONCLUSIONS: The present technique is a simple and reproducible technical step that does not require significant additional time. Inclusion of the autograft within a root prosthesis may be especially indicated in situations known for late autograft dilatation, namely, bicuspid aortic valve, predominant aortic insufficiency, and ascending aortic enlargement.

Letrozole compared with tamoxifen for elderly patients with endocrine-responsive early breast cancer: the BIG 1-98 trial

PURPOSE: To explore potential differences in efficacy, treatment completion, and adverse events (AEs) in elderly women receiving adjuvant tamoxifen or letrozole for five years in the Breast International Group (BIG) 1-98 trial. METHODS: This report includes the 4,922 patients allocated to 5 years of letrozole or tamoxifen in the BIG 1-98 trial. The median follow-up was 40.4 months. Subpopulation Treatment Effect Pattern Plot (STEPP) analysis was used to examine the patterns of differences in disease-free survival and incidences of AEs according to age. In addition, three categoric age groups were defined: "younger postmenopausal" patients were younger than 65 years (n = 3,127), "older" patients were 65 to 74 years old (n = 1,500), and "elderly" patients were 75 years of age or older (n = 295). RESULTS: Efficacy results for subpopulations defined by age were similar to the overall trial results: Letrozole significantly improved disease-free survival (DFS), the primary end point, compared with tamoxifen. Elderly patients were less likely to complete trial treatment, but at rates that were similar in the two treatment groups. The incidence of bone fractures, observed more often in the letrozole group, did not differ by age. In elderly patients, letrozole had a significantly higher incidence of any grade 3 to 5 protocol-specified non-fracture AE compared with tamoxifen (P = .002), but differences were not significant for thromboembolic or cardiac AEs. CONCLUSION: Adjuvant treatment with letrozole had superior efficacy (DFS) compared with tamoxifen in all age groups. On the basis of a small number of patients older than 75 years (6%), age per se should not unduly affect the choice of adjuvant endocrine therapy.

[Localised rhabdomyosarcoma of the extremities in children and adolescents: results of the French experience]

PATIENTS AND METHODS: Forty-six patients with localised RMS of the limbs entered the MMT 89 and 95 study in France. We studied potential risk factors that were predictive of relapse and survival to propose a therapeutic approach of surgery and radiotherapy appropriate to the risk of relapse. RESULTS: Median age at diagnosis was 6.5 years [9 months to 15.5 years]. At time of diagnosis, 43% had marginal surgery and only 13% radical intervention. Primary re-excision was performed in 12% of the patients. All patients received chemotherapy, 43% had second look surgery and 37% received radiotherapy. Fifty-four percent of all tumors relapsed: local relapse 36%, nodes l8%, metastatic 40%, local and metastatic 16%. Estimated overall 5-year event-free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) were 40 and 57%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of RMS of the limbs is bad but only 37% of the patients had radiotherapy. We could define patients with very high risk among those with limbs RMS as nodal involvement (5 years overall survival OS 22%), alveolar histology (OS 38%) and site of hand and foot (4 survivors out of 10 patients). In further studies, these patients should be treated even more aggressive with early surgery followed by re-excision if necessary, chemotherapy including alkylating agents and systematic radiotherapy.

The pulmonary artery catheter: in medio virtus

OBJECTIVE: To clarify the role of the pulmonary artery catheter in the intensive care unit. DATA SOURCES: Recent and relevant literature from MEDLINE and authors' personal databases. STUDY SELECTION: Studies on pulmonary artery catheter use and use of other monitoring devices in critically ill patients. DATA EXTRACTION: Based largely on clinical experience and assessment of the relevant published literature and in response to recent articles attacking the pulmonary artery catheter, we propose that the pulmonary artery catheter is still a valuable tool for the hemodynamic monitoring of patients with complex disease processes in whom the information obtained from the pulmonary artery catheter may influence management. We suggest that there is a need to revisit the basics of hemodynamic management and reassess the way in which the pulmonary artery catheter is used, applying three key principles: correct measurement, correct data interpretation, and correct application. CONCLUSION: The pulmonary artery catheter is still a valuable tool for hemodynamic monitoring when used in selected patients and by physicians adequately trained to correctly interpret and apply the data provided.