959 resultados para Feature scale simulation
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Surveillance registers monitor the prevalence of cerebral palsy and the severity of resulting impairments across time and place. The motor disorders of cerebral palsy can affect children’s speech production and limit their intelligibility. We describe the development of a scale to classify children’s speech performance for use in cerebral palsy surveillance registers, and its reliability across raters and across time. Speech and language therapists, other healthcare professionals and parents classified the speech of 139 children with cerebral palsy (85 boys, 54 girls; mean age 6.03 years, SD 1.09) from observation and previous knowledge of the children. Another group of health professionals rated children’s speech from information in their medical notes. With the exception of parents, raters reclassified children’s speech at least four weeks after their initial classification. Raters were asked to rate how easy the scale was to use and how well the scale described the child’s speech production using Likert scales. Inter-rater reliability was moderate to substantial (k > .58 for all comparisons). Test–retest reliability was substantial to almost perfect for all groups (k > .68). Over 74% of raters found the scale easy or very easy to use; 66% of parents and over 70% of health care professionals judged the scale to describe children’s speech well or very well. We conclude that the Viking Speech Scale is a reliable tool to describe the speech performance of children with cerebral palsy, which can be applied through direct observation of children or through case note review.
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Dissertação submetida para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Saúde Pública Especialidade de Economia da Saúde
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RESUMO: Um dos principais resultados das intervenções de Fisioterapia dirigidas a utentes com Dor Lombar Crónica (DLC) é reduzir a incapacidade funcional. A Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) é um instrumento amplamente aceite a nível internacional na medição do nível de incapacidade funcional reportada pelos indivíduos com DLC. O objetivo deste estudo é dar um contributo para a adaptação cultural da versão portuguesa da QBPDS (QBPDS-VP) e investigar o poder de resposta e interpretabilidade da escala. Metodologia: Realizou-se um estudo metodológico, multicentro, baseado num coorte prospetivo de 132 utentes com DLC. Os utentes foram recrutados a partir da lista de espera de 16 serviços de Medicina Física e de Reabilitação/Fisioterapia de várias áreas geográficas de Portugal. A QBPDS- VP foi administrada 3 vezes, em 3 momentos de recolha de dados distintos: T0 - momento inicial (utentes em lista de espera); T1 - 1 semana de intervalo (início dos tratamentos de Fisioterapia); e T2 - 6 semanas de intervalo (pós-intervenção de Fisioterapia). Os dados recolhidos em T0 foram utilizados para a análise fatorial e para o estudo da consistência interna (n=132); os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T1 (n=132) para a fiabilidade teste-reteste; e os dados da amostra emparelhada de T0 e T2 (n=120) para a análise do poder de resposta e interpretabilidade. A âncora externa utilizada foi a perceção global de mudança, neste caso a PGIC- VP, que foi respondida em T1 e T2. O nível de significância para o qual os valores se consideraram satisfatórios foi de p≤ 0,05. O tratamento dos dados foi realizado no software IBM SPSS Statistics (versão 20). Resultados: A QBPDS- VP é uma escala unidimensional, que revela uma excelente consistência interna (α de Cronbach= 0,95) e uma fiabilidade teste-reteste satisfatória (CCI= 0,696; IC 95%: 0,581–0,783). Esta escala demonstrou um poder de resposta moderado, quando aplicada em utentes com DLC ( = 0,426 e AAC= 0,741; IC 95%: 0,645 – 0,837). A Diferença Mínima Detetável (DMD) estimada foi de 19 pontos e as estimativas da Diferença Mínima Clinicamente Importante (DMCI) variaram entre 7 (pelo método curva ROC) e 8 pontos (pelo método “diferença média de pontuação”). A estimativa pela curva ROC deriva do ponto ótimo de corte de 6,5 pontos, com Área Abaixo da Curva (AAC)= 0,741, sensibilidade de 72%, e especificidade de 71%. Uma análise complementar da curva ROC baseada nas diferenças de pontuações da QBPDS, expressa em percentagem, revelou um ponto ótimo de corte de - 24% (AAC= 0,737, sensibilidade de 71%, e especificidade de 71%). Para pontuações iniciais da QBPDS- VP mais altas (≥34 pontos), foi encontrado um ponto ótimo de corte de 10,5 pontos (AAC= 0,738, sensibilidade de 73%, e especificidade de 67%). Conclusão: A QBPDS-VP demonstrou bons níveis de fiabilidade e poder de resposta, recomendando-se o seu uso na medição e avaliação da incapacidade funcional de utentes com DLC. A DMD estimada, de 19 pontos, determinou uma amplitude válida da QBPDS-VP de 19 a 81 pontos. Este estudo propõe estimativas de DMCI da QBPDS- VP numa aplicação específica da escala (em utentes com DLC que são referidos para a intervenção de Fisioterapia). A pontuação inicial da QBPDS- VP deve ser considerada na interpretação de mudanças de pontuação, após a intervenção de Fisioterapia.------------ ABSTRACT: One of the main results of physiotherapy interventions for patients with Chronic Low Back Pain (CLBP) is decrease the functional disability. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale (QBPDS) is an instrument widely accepted internationally, in measuring the level of disability reported by individuals with CLBP. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the cultural adaptation of the Portuguese version of QBPDS (QBPDS - PV) and investigate the Responsiveness and Interpretability of QBPDS-PV. Methodology: This was a methodological and multicenter study, based on a sample of 132 subjects with CLBP. The patients were recruited from the waiting lists of 16 medicine rehabilitation service, in many Portugal districts. The Quebec Back Pain Disability Scale was administered in three different moments: T0 – baseline (patients in the waiting list); T1- one week after T0 (the beginning of treatment); and T2 – six weeks after T1 (the posttreatment). The data collected at T0 were used for factor analysis and to study the internal consistency (n = 132); paired sample data of T0 and T1 (n=132) were used for test-retest reliability, and sample data paired for T0 and T2 (n=120) used for responsiveness and interpretability analysis. The external anchor was the global perception of change, measured by the Portuguese version of Patient’s Global Impression of Change (PGIC) Scale. The minimal level of significance established was p ≤ 0,05. Data analysis was performed using the IBM SPSS Statistics software (version 20). Results: The QBPDS-PV is a unidimensional scale, demonstrates an excellent internal consistency (Cronbach's α=0.95) and satisfactory test-retest reliability (ICC= 0.696, 95% CI: 0.581–0.783). The scale revealed moderate responsiveness when applied to patients with CLBP ( = 0.426 and AUC= 0.741, 95% CI: 0.645 - 0.837). The Smallest Detectable Change (SDC) was 19 points, whereas the Minimal Clinically Important Change (MCIC) ranged between 7 (ROC curve method) and 8 points (by the "mean difference score"). The estimate was derived from the ROC curve by an optimal cutoff point of 6.5 points, with Area Under the Curve (AUC)= 0.741, sensitivity 72%, and specificity of 71%. A complementary analysis of the ROC curve based on differences in QBPDS scores from baseline, expressed in percentage, revealed an optimal cutoff point of -24% (AUC= 0.737, sensitivity of 71%, and specificity of 71%). For the highest initial scores of QBPDS-PV (≥ 34 points) was found an optimal cutoff of 10.5 points (AUC= 0.738, sensitivity of 73%, and specificity 67%). Conclusion: The QBPDS-PV demonstrated good levels of reliability and responsiveness, being recommended its use in the measurement and evaluation of disability of patients with CLBP. The SDC of 19 points determined the QBPDS‟ scale width of 19 to 81. This study proposes MCIC values for QBPDS –PV for this specific setting (in CLBP patients who are referred for physiotherapy intervention). The QBPDS –PV baseline score have to be taken into account while interpreting the score change after physiotherapy intervention.
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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.
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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.
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Dissertação apresentada para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia do Ambiente, pela Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia e Gestão Industrial
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ABSTRACT - It is the purpose of the present thesis to emphasize, through a series of examples, the need and value of appropriate pre-analysis of the impact of health care regulation. Specifically, the thesis presents three papers on the theme of regulation in different aspects of health care provision and financing. The first two consist of economic analyses of the impact of health care regulation and the third comprises the creation of an instrument for supporting economic analysis of health care regulation, namely in the field of evaluation of health care programs. The first paper develops a model of health plan competition and pricing in order to understand the dynamics of health plan entry and exit in the presence of switching costs and alternative health premium payment systems. We build an explicit model of death spirals, in which profitmaximizing competing health plans find it optimal to adopt a pattern of increasing relative prices culminating in health plan exit. We find the steady-state numerical solution for the price sequence and the plan’s optimal length of life through simulation and do some comparative statics. This allows us to show that using risk adjusted premiums and imposing price floors are effective at reducing death spirals and switching costs, while having employees pay a fixed share of the premium enhances death spirals and increases switching costs. Price regulation of pharmaceuticals is one of the cost control measures adopted by the Portuguese government, as in many European countries. When such regulation decreases the products’ real price over time, it may create an incentive for product turnover. Using panel data for the period of 1997 through 2003 on drug packages sold in Portuguese pharmacies, the second paper addresses the question of whether price control policies create an incentive for product withdrawal. Our work builds the product survival literature by accounting for unobservable product characteristics and heterogeneity among consumers when constructing quality, price control and competition indexes. These indexes are then used as covariates in a Cox proportional hazard model. We find that, indeed, price control measures increase the probability of exit, and that such effect is not verified in OTC market where no such price regulation measures exist. We also find quality to have a significant positive impact on product survival. In the third paper, we develop a microsimulation discrete events model (MSDEM) for costeffectiveness analysis of Human Immunodeficiency Virus treatment, simulating individual paths from antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation to death. Four driving forces determine the course of events: CD4+ cell count, viral load resistance and adherence. A novel feature of the model with respect to the previous MSDEMs is that distributions of time to event depend on individuals’ characteristics and past history. Time to event was modeled using parametric survival analysis. Events modeled include: viral suppression, regimen switch due virological failure, regimen switch due to other reasons, resistance development, hospitalization, AIDS events, and death. Disease progression is structured according to therapy lines and the model is parameterized with cohort Portuguese observational data. An application of the model is presented comparing the cost-effectiveness ART initiation with two nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) plus one non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor(NNRTI) to two NRTI plus boosted protease inhibitor (PI/r) in HIV- 1 infected individuals. We find 2NRTI+NNRTI to be a dominant strategy. Results predicted by the model reproduce those of the data used for parameterization and are in line with those published in the literature.
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Informática
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Química
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia e Gestão Industrial
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia do ambiente, perfil de engenharia sanitária
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We contribute to the stated preference literature by addressing scale usage heterogeneity regarding how individuals answer attitudinal questions capturing lack of trust in institutions and fairness issues. Using a latent class model, we conduct a contingent valuation study to elicit the willingness-to-pay to preserve a recreational site. We find evidence that respondents within the same class, that is, with similar preferences and attitudes, interpret the Likert scale differently when answering the attitudinal questions. We identify different patterns of scale usage heterogeneity within and across classes and associate them with individual characteristics. Our approach contributes to better a understanding of individual behavior in the presence of protest attitudes.
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores