988 resultados para semi-parametric estimation


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L’objectiu d’aquest estudi va ser analitzar un element del component tàctic com a factor determinant en el rendiment del futbol, és a dir, comprovar si hi ha diferències en l’execució del bloc de Fonaments Individuals per Demarcació (FID) corresponent a la defensa de l’espai per la posició dels laterals en el futbol, entre les categories amateur i semi-professional. Es van enregistrar un total de 18 partits, on 9 dels quals feien referència a l’equip de l’Arbúcies Club de Futbol i la resta a l’equip de la Unió Esportiva Llagostera. Les variables estudiades van ser les següents: cobertures al central que defensa al possessor de la pilota, evitar passades interiors que guanyin l’esquena, defensa individual dels jugadors que intenten passar per l’esquena del segon central (entrar-sortir) i eliminar l’espai de desmarcada en profunditat, mantenint la línia amb el central. Per analitzar-les es va utilitzar el programa Longomatch i el Excel on hi vam configurar un instrument d’avaluació. Els principals resultats del treball van ser que l’equip de la Unió Esportiva Llagostera va fer menys errors en l’execució dels FID, tot i que va seguir tenint errors en el compliment d’aquests fonaments.

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Due to the rise of criminal, civil and administrative judicial situations involving people lacking valid identity documents, age estimation of living persons has become an important operational procedure for numerous forensic and medicolegal services worldwide. The chronological age of a given person is generally estimated from the observed degree of maturity of some selected physical attributes by means of statistical methods. However, their application in the forensic framework suffers from some conceptual and practical drawbacks, as recently claimed in the specialised literature. The aim of this paper is therefore to offer an alternative solution for overcoming these limits, by reiterating the utility of a probabilistic Bayesian approach for age estimation. This approach allows one to deal in a transparent way with the uncertainty surrounding the age estimation process and to produce all the relevant information in the form of posterior probability distribution about the chronological age of the person under investigation. Furthermore, this probability distribution can also be used for evaluating in a coherent way the possibility that the examined individual is younger or older than a given legal age threshold having a particular legal interest. The main novelty introduced by this work is the development of a probabilistic graphical model, i.e. a Bayesian network, for dealing with the problem at hand. The use of this kind of probabilistic tool can significantly facilitate the application of the proposed methodology: examples are presented based on data related to the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis. The reliability and the advantages of this probabilistic tool are presented and discussed.

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The degree of fusion at the anterior aspect of the sacral vertebrae has been scored in 242 male and female skeletons from the Lisbon documented collection, ranging in age from 16 to 59 years old. Statistical tests indicate a sex difference towards earlier fusion in young females compared with young males, as well as a clear association between degree of fusion and age. Similar results have been found in documented skeletal samples from Coimbra and Sassari, and the recommendations stated by these authors regarding age estimation have been positively tested in the Lisbon collection. Although more research from geographically diverse samples is required, a general picture of the pattern of sacral fusion and its associations with age and sex is emerging. We also provide a practical example of the usefulness of the sacrum in age estimation in a forensic setting, a mass grave from the Spanish Civil War. It is concluded that the scoring of the degree of fusion of the sacral vertebrae, specially of S1-2, can be a simple tool for assigning skeletons to broad age groups, and it should be implemented as another resource for age estimation in the study of human skeletal remains.

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Contexte : Parmi les infections nosocomiales, le Staphylocoque méticilline résistant (MRSA) est le germe pathogène le plus couramment identifié dans les hôpitaux du monde entier. La stratégie de contrôle des MRSA au CHUV implique le dépistage des patients à risque. Avec la méthode de dépistage par culture, le temps d'attente est de plusieurs jours. Ceci occasionne des problèmes dans la gestion des flux des patients, principalement à cause des mesures d'isolement. Pour réduire le temps d'attente, l'hôpital envisage d'utiliser une méthode de diagnostic rapide par "polymerase chain reaction" (PCR). Méthodologie : Les données concernant les dépistages réalisés, dans trois services durant l'année 2007, ont été utilisées. Le nombre de jours d'isolement a d'abord été déterminé par patient et par service. Ensuite une analyse des coûts a été effectuée afin d'évaluer la différence des coûts entre les deux méthodes pour chaque service. Résultats : Le principal impact économique de la méthode par PCR dépend principalement du nombre de jours d'isolements évités par rapport à la méthode de culture. Aux services de soins, l'analyse a été menée sur 192 dépistages. Quand la différence de jours d'isolement est de deux jours, le coût des dépistages diminue de plus de 12kCHF et le nombre de jours d'isolement diminue de 384 jours. Au centre interdisciplinaire des urgences, sur 96 dépistages, le gain potentiel avec la méthode PCR est de 6kCHF avec une diminution de 192 jours d'isolement. Aux soins intensifs adultes, la méthode de dépistage par PCR est la méthode la plus rentable avec une diminution des coûts entre 4KCHF et 20K CHF et une diminution des jours d'isolement entre 170 et 310. Pour les trois services analysés, les résultats montrent un rapport coût-efficacité favorable pour la méthode PCR lorsque la diminution des jours d'isolement est supérieure à 1.3 jour. Quand la différence de jours d'isolement est inférieure à 1.3, il faut tenir compte d'autres paramètres, comme le coût de matériel qui doit être supérieur à 45.5 CHF, et du nombre d'analyses par dépistage, qui doit être inférieur à 3, pour que la PCR reste l'alternative la plus intéressante. Conclusions : La méthode par PCR montre des avantages potentiels importants, tant économiques qu'organisationnels qui limitent ou diminuent les contraintes liées à la stratégie de contrôle des MRSA au CHUV. [Auteure, p. 3]

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[Table des matières] 1. Pourquoi s'intéresser à l'occupation inappropriée des lits de soins aigus au CHUV ?. - 1.1. Etat des lieux. - 1.1.1. Les chiffres du CHUV. - 1.1.2. La cellule de gestion des flux de patients. - 1.1.3. L'unité de patients en attente de placement. - 1.1.4. La pénurie de lits dans les EMS vaudois. - 1.1.5. Le vieillissement de la population vaudoise. - 1.2. Evidences nationales et internationales. - - 2. Estimation des coûts. - 2.1. Coûts chiffrables. - 2.1.1. Perte financière directe. - 2.1.2. Coûts des transferts pour engorgement. - 2.1.3. Coût d'opportunité. - 2.2. Coûts non chiffrables. - 2.2.1. Patients. - 2.2.2. Personnel médical. - 2.2.3. CHUV. - - 3. Propositions. - 3.1. Prises en charge alternatives. - 3.1.1. Les réseaux intégrés de services aux personnes âgées. - 3.1.2. Les courts séjours gériatriques. - 3.1.3. Autres solutions. - 3.2. Prévention. - 3.2.1. Prévention des chutes. - 3.2.2. La prévention par l'information aux personnes âgées. - 3.2.3. La prévention par l'information à l'ensemble de la population

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BACKGROUND: Although the importance of accurate femoral reconstruction to achieve a good functional outcome is well documented, quantitative data on the effects of a displacement of the femoral center of rotation on moment arms are scarce. The purpose of this study was to calculate moment arms after nonanatomical femoral reconstruction. METHODS: Finite element models of 15 patients including the pelvis, the femur, and the gluteal muscles were developed. Moment arms were calculated within the native anatomy and compared to distinct displacement of the femoral center of rotation (leg lengthening of 10 mm, loss of femoral offset of 20%, anteversion ±10°, and fixed anteversion at 15°). Calculations were performed within the range of motion observed during a normal gait cycle. RESULTS: Although with all evaluated displacements of the femoral center of rotation, the abductor moment arm remained positive, some fibers initially contributing to extension became antagonists (flexors) and vice versa. A loss of 20% of femoral offset led to an average decrease of 15% of abductor moment. Femoral lengthening and changes in femoral anteversion (±10°, fixed at 15°) led to minimal changes in abductor moment arms (maximum change of 5%). Native femoral anteversion correlated with the changes in moment arms induced by the 5 variations of reconstruction. CONCLUSION: Accurate reconstruction of offset is important to maintaining abductor moment arms, while changes of femoral rotation had minimal effects. Patients with larger native femoral anteversion appear to be more susceptible to femoral head displacements.

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The most suitable method for estimation of size diversity is investigated. Size diversity is computed on the basis of the Shannon diversity expression adapted for continuous variables, such as size. It takes the form of an integral involving the probability density function (pdf) of the size of the individuals. Different approaches for the estimation of pdf are compared: parametric methods, assuming that data come from a determinate family of pdfs, and nonparametric methods, where pdf is estimated using some kind of local evaluation. Exponential, generalized Pareto, normal, and log-normal distributions have been used to generate simulated samples using estimated parameters from real samples. Nonparametric methods include discrete computation of data histograms based on size intervals and continuous kernel estimation of pdf. Kernel approach gives accurate estimation of size diversity, whilst parametric methods are only useful when the reference distribution have similar shape to the real one. Special attention is given for data standardization. The division of data by the sample geometric mean is proposedas the most suitable standardization method, which shows additional advantages: the same size diversity value is obtained when using original size or log-transformed data, and size measurements with different dimensionality (longitudes, areas, volumes or biomasses) may be immediately compared with the simple addition of ln k where kis the dimensionality (1, 2, or 3, respectively). Thus, the kernel estimation, after data standardization by division of sample geometric mean, arises as the most reliable and generalizable method of size diversity evaluation

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Living bacteria or yeast cells are frequently used as bioreporters for the detection of specific chemical analytes or conditions of sample toxicity. In particular, bacteria or yeast equipped with synthetic gene circuitry that allows the production of a reliable non-cognate signal (e.g., fluorescent protein or bioluminescence) in response to a defined target make robust and flexible analytical platforms. We report here how bacterial cells expressing a fluorescence reporter ("bactosensors"), which are mostly used for batch sample analysis, can be deployed for automated semi-continuous target analysis in a single concise biochip. Escherichia coli-based bactosensor cells were continuously grown in a 13 or 50 nanoliter-volume reactor on a two-layered polydimethylsiloxane-on-glass microfluidic chip. Physiologically active cells were directed from the nl-reactor to a dedicated sample exposure area, where they were concentrated and reacted in 40 minutes with the target chemical by localized emission of the fluorescent reporter signal. We demonstrate the functioning of the bactosensor-chip by the automated detection of 50 μgarsenite-As l(-1) in water on consecutive days and after a one-week constant operation. Best induction of the bactosensors of 6-9-fold to 50 μg l(-1) was found at an apparent dilution rate of 0.12 h(-1) in the 50 nl microreactor. The bactosensor chip principle could be widely applicable to construct automated monitoring devices for a variety of targets in different environments.

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The results of semiempirical molecular orbital calculations performed on aziridinone and diaziridinone employing the MNDO, AM1, and PM3 molecular models are presented. The AM1 method, which best reproduces ground-state molecular properties, is used to calculate electronic parameters and the use of these parameters for the evaluation of reactivity is discussed.

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In this paper a colour texture segmentation method, which unifies region and boundary information, is proposed. The algorithm uses a coarse detection of the perceptual (colour and texture) edges of the image to adequately place and initialise a set of active regions. Colour texture of regions is modelled by the conjunction of non-parametric techniques of kernel density estimation (which allow to estimate the colour behaviour) and classical co-occurrence matrix based texture features. Therefore, region information is defined and accurate boundary information can be extracted to guide the segmentation process. Regions concurrently compete for the image pixels in order to segment the whole image taking both information sources into account. Furthermore, experimental results are shown which prove the performance of the proposed method