952 resultados para implied probability distribution function


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The specimen distribution pattern of a species can be used to characterise a population of interest and also provides area-specific guidance for pest management and control. In the municipality of Dracena, in the state of São Paulo, we analysed 5,889 Lutzomyia longipalpis specimens collected from the peridomiciles of 14 houses in a sector where American visceral leishmaniasis (AVL) is transmitted to humans and dogs. The goal was to analyse the dispersion and a theoretical fitting of the species occurrence probability. From January-December 2005, samples were collected once per week using CDC light traps that operated for 12-h periods. Each collection was considered a sub-sample and was evaluated monthly. The standardised Morisita index was used as a measure of dispersion. Adherence tests were performed for the log-series distribution. The number of traps was used to adjust the octave plots. The quantity of Lu. longipalpis in the sector was highly aggregated for each month of the year, adhering to a log-series distribution for 11 of the 12 months analysed. A sex-stratified analysis demonstrated a pattern of aggregated dispersion adjusted for each month of the year. The classes and frequencies of the traps in octaves can be employed as indicators for entomological surveillance and AVL control.

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Reports of triatomine infestation in urban areas have increased. We analysed the spatial distribution of infestation by triatomines in the urban area of Diamantina, in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. Triatomines were obtained by community-based entomological surveillance. Spatial patterns of infestation were analysed by Ripley’s K function and Kernel density estimator. Normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land cover derived from satellite imagery were compared between infested and uninfested areas. A total of 140 adults of four species were captured (100 Triatoma vitticeps, 25Panstrongylus geniculatus, 8 Panstrongylus megistus, and 7 Triatoma arthurneivai specimens). In total, 87.9% were captured within domiciles. Infection by trypanosomes was observed in 19.6% of 107 examined insects. The spatial distributions ofT. vitticeps, P. geniculatus, T. arthurneivai, and trypanosome-positive triatomines were clustered, occurring mainly in peripheral areas. NDVI values were statistically higher in areas infested by T. vitticeps and P. geniculatus. Buildings infested by these species were located closer to open fields, whereas infestations of P. megistus andT. arthurneivai were closer to bare soil. Human occupation and modification of natural areas may be involved in triatomine invasion, exposing the population to these vectors.

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A novel test of spatial independence of the distribution of crystals or phases in rocksbased on compositional statistics is introduced. It improves and generalizes the commonjoins-count statistics known from map analysis in geographic information systems.Assigning phases independently to objects in RD is modelled by a single-trial multinomialrandom function Z(x), where the probabilities of phases add to one and areexplicitly modelled as compositions in the K-part simplex SK. Thus, apparent inconsistenciesof the tests based on the conventional joins{count statistics and their possiblycontradictory interpretations are avoided. In practical applications we assume that theprobabilities of phases do not depend on the location but are identical everywhere inthe domain of de nition. Thus, the model involves the sum of r independent identicalmultinomial distributed 1-trial random variables which is an r-trial multinomialdistributed random variable. The probabilities of the distribution of the r counts canbe considered as a composition in the Q-part simplex SQ. They span the so calledHardy-Weinberg manifold H that is proved to be a K-1-affine subspace of SQ. This isa generalisation of the well-known Hardy-Weinberg law of genetics. If the assignmentof phases accounts for some kind of spatial dependence, then the r-trial probabilitiesdo not remain on H. This suggests the use of the Aitchison distance between observedprobabilities to H to test dependence. Moreover, when there is a spatial uctuation ofthe multinomial probabilities, the observed r-trial probabilities move on H. This shiftcan be used as to check for these uctuations. A practical procedure and an algorithmto perform the test have been developed. Some cases applied to simulated and realdata are presented.Key words: Spatial distribution of crystals in rocks, spatial distribution of phases,joins-count statistics, multinomial distribution, Hardy-Weinberg law, Hardy-Weinbergmanifold, Aitchison geometry

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BACKGROUND: We sought to investigate the relationship between infarct and dyssynchrony post- myocardial infarct (MI), in a porcine model. Mechanical dyssynchrony post-MI is associated with left ventricular (LV) remodeling and increased mortality. METHODS: Cine, gadolinium-contrast, and tagged cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) were performed pre-MI, 9 ± 2 days (early post-MI), and 33 ± 10 days (late post-MI) post-MI in 6 pigs to characterize cardiac morphology, location and extent of MI, and regional mechanics. LV mechanics were assessed by circumferential strain (eC). Electro-anatomic mapping (EAM) was performed within 24 hrs of CMR and prior to sacrifice. RESULTS: Mean infarct size was 21 ± 4% of LV volume with evidence of post-MI remodeling. Global eC significantly decreased post MI (-27 ± 1.6% vs. -18 ± 2.5% (early) and -17 ± 2.7% (late), p < 0.0001) with no significant change in peri-MI and MI segments between early and late time-points. Time to peak strain (TTP) was significantly longer in MI, compared to normal and peri-MI segments, both early (440 ± 40 ms vs. 329 ± 40 ms and 332 ± 36 ms, respectively; p = 0.0002) and late post-MI (442 ± 63 ms vs. 321 ± 40 ms and 355 ± 61 ms, respectively; p = 0.012). The standard deviation of TTP in 16 segments (SD16) significantly increased post-MI: 28 ± 7 ms to 50 ± 10 ms (early, p = 0.012) to 54 ± 19 ms (late, p = 0.004), with no change between early and late post-MI time-points (p = 0.56). TTP was not related to reduction of segmental contractility. EAM revealed late electrical activation and greatly diminished conduction velocity in the infarct (5.7 ± 2.4 cm/s), when compared to peri-infarct (18.7 ± 10.3 cm/s) and remote myocardium (39 ± 20.5 cm/s). CONCLUSIONS: Mechanical dyssynchrony occurs early after MI and is the result of delayed electrical and mechanical activation in the infarct.

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The brain tissue is made of neuronal and glial cells generated in the germinal layer bordering the ventricles. These cells divide, differentiate and migrate following specific pathways. The specification of GABAergic interneurons and glutamatergic neurons has been broadly studied but little is known about the origin, the fate and the function of early glial cells in the embryonic telencephalon. It has been commonly accepted since long that the glial cells and more particularly the astrocytes were generated after neurogenesis from the dorsal telencephalon. However, our work shows that, unlike what was previously thought, numerous glial cells (astroglia and polydendrocytes) are generated during neurogenesis in the early embryonic stages from E14.5 to E16.5, and originate from the ventral Nkx2.1-expressing precursors instead. NK2 homeobox 1 (Nkx2.1) is a member of the NK2 family of homeodomaincontaining transcription factors. The specification of the MGE precursors requires the expression of the Nkx2.1 homeobox gene. Moreover, Nkx2.1 is previously known to regulate the specification of GABAergic interneurons and early oligodendrocytes in the ventral telencephalon. Here, in my thesis work, I have discovered that, in addition, Nkx2.1 also regulates astroglia and polydendrocytes differentiation. The use of Nkx2.1 antibody and Nkx2.1 riboprobe have revealed the presence of numerous Nkx2.1-positive cells that express astroglial markers (like GLAST and GFAP) in the entire embryonic brain. Thus, to selectively fate map MGE-derived GABAergic interneurons and glia, we crossed Nkx2.1-Cre mice, Glast-Cre ERT+/- inducible mice and NG2-Cre mice with the Cre reporter Rosa26-lox-STOP-lox-YFP (Rosa26-YFP) mice. The precise origin of Nkx2.1-positive astroglia has been directly ascertained by combining glial immunostaining and focal electroporation of the pCAG-GS-EGFP plasmids into the subpallial domains of organotypic slices, as well as, by using in vitro neurosphere experiments and in utero electroporation of the pCAG-GS-tomato plasmid into the ventral pallium of E14.5 Nkx2.1-Cre+/Rosa-YFP+/- embryos. We have, thus, confirmed that the three germinal regions of the ventral telencephalon i.e. the MGE, the AEP/POA and the triangular septal nucleus are able to generate early astroglial cells. Moreover, immunohistochemistry for several astroglial cells and polydendrocyte markers, both in the Nkx2.1-/- and control embryos and in the neurospheres, has revealed a severe loss of both glial cell types in the Nkx2.1 mutants. We found that the loss of glia corresponded to a decrease of Nkx2.1-derived precursor division capacity and glial differentiation. There was a drastic decrease of BrdU+ dividing cells labeled for Nkx2.1 in the MGE*, the POA* and the septal nucleus* of Nkx2.1 mutants. In addition, we noticed that while some remaining Nkx2.1+ precursors still succeeded to give rise to post-mitotic neurons in vitro and in vivo in the Nkx2.1-/-, they completely lost the capacity to differentiate in astrocytes. Altogether, these observations indicate for the first time that the transcription factor Nkx2.1 regulates the proliferation and differentiation of precursors in three subpallial domains that generate early embryonic astroglia and polydendrocytes. Furthermore, in order to investigate the potential function of these early Nkx2.1- derived glia, we have performed multiple immunohistochemical stainings on Nkx2.1-/- and wild-type animals, and Nkx2.1-Cre mice that were crossed to Rosa-DTA+/- mice in which the highly toxic diphtheria toxin aided to selectively deplete a majority of the Nkx2.1-derived cells. Interestingly, in these two mutants, we observed a drastic and significant loss of GFAP+, GLAST+, NG2+ and S100ß+ astroglial cells at the telencephalic midline and in the medial cortical areas. This cells loss could be directly correlated with severe axonal guidance defects observed in the corpus callosum (CC), the hippocampal commissure (HIC), the fornix (F) and the anterior commissure (AC). Axonal guidance is a key step allowing neurons to form specific connections and to become organized in a functional network. The contribution of guidepost cells inside the CC and the AC in mediating the growth of commissural axons have until now been attributed to specialized midline guidepost astroglia. Previous published results in our group have unravelled that, during embryonic development, the CC is populated in addition to astroglia by numerous glutamatergic and GABAergic guidepost neurons that are essential for the correct midline crossing of callosal axons. Therefore, the relative contribution of individual neuronal or glial populations towards the guidance of commissural axons remains largely to be investigated to understand guidance mechanisms further. Thus, we crossed Nkx2.1-Cre mice with NSE-DTA+/- mice that express the diphtheria toxin only in neurons and allowed us to selectively deplete Nkx2.1-derived GABAergic neurons. Interestingly, in the Nkx2.1-/- mice, the CC midline was totally disorganized and the callosal axons partly lost their orientation, whereas in the Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/- and the Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/- mice, the axonal organization of the CC was not affected. In the three types of mice, hippocampal axons of the fornix were not properly fasciculated and formed disoriented bundles through the septum. Additionally, the AC formation was completely absent in Nkx2.1-/- mice and the AC was divided into two/three separate paths in the Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/- mice that project in wrong territories. On the other hand, the AC didn't form or was reduced to a relatively narrower tract in the Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/- mice as compared to wild-type AC. These results clearly indicate that midline Nkx2.1-derived cells play a major role in commissural axons pathfinding and that both Nkx2.1-derived guidepost neurons and glia are necessary elements for the correct development of these commissures. Furthermore, during our investigations on Nkx2.1-/- and Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/- mice, we noticed similar and severe defects in the erythrocytes distribution and the blood vessels network morphology in the embryonic brain of both mutants. As the Cre-mediated recombination was never observed to occur in the blood vessels of Nkx2.1-Cre mice, we inferred that the vessels defects observed were due to the loss of Nkx2.1-derived cells and not to the cells autonomous effects of Nkx2.1 in regulating endothelial cell precursors. Thereafter, the respective contribution of individual Nkx2.1-regulated neuronal or glial populations in the blood vessels network building were studied with the use of transgenic mice strains. Indeed, the use of Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/- mice indicated that the Nkx2.1-derived neurons were not implicated in this process. Finally, to discriminate between the two Nkx2.1-derived glial cell populations, the GLAST+ astroglia and the NG2+ polydendrocytes, an NG2-Cre mouse strain crossed to the Rosa-DTA+/- mice was used. In that mutant, the blood vessel network and the erythrocytes distribution were similarly affected as observed in Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/- animals. Therefore, this result indicates that most probably, the NG2+ polydendrocytes are involved in helping to build the vessels network in the brain. Taken altogether, these observations show that during brain development, Nkx2.1- derived embryonic glial cells act as guidepost cells on the guidance of axons as well as forming vessels. Both Nkx2.1-regulated guidepost GABAergic neurons and glia collaborate to guide growing commissural axons, while polydendrocytes are implicated in regulating brain angiogenesis. - Le tissu cérébral est composé de cellules neuronales et gliales générées dans les couches germinales qui bordent les ventricules. Ces cellules se divisent, se différencient et migrent selon des voies particulières. La spécification des interneurones GABAergiques et des neurones glutamatergiques a été largement étudiée, par contre, l'origine, le destin et la fonction des cellules gliales précoces du télencéphale embryonnaire restent peu élucidées. Depuis longtemps, il était communément accepté que les cellules gliales, et plus particulièrement les astrocytes, sont générés après la neurogénèse à partir du télencéphale dorsal. Toutefois, notre travail montre que de nombreuses cellules gliales sont générées à partir de précurseurs ventraux qui expriment le gène Nkx2.1, entre E14.5 et E16.5, c'est-à dire,à des stades embryonnaires très précoces. Le gène NK2 homéobox 1 (Nkx2.1) appartient à une famille de facteurs de transcription appelée NK2. Il s'agit de protéines qui contiennent un homéo-domaine. La spécification des précurseurs de la MGE requiert l'expression du gène homéobox Nkx2.1. De plus, la fonction du gène Nkx2.1 dans la régulation de la spécification des interneurones GABAergiques et des oligodendrocytes dans le télencéphale ventral était déjà connue. Au cours de mon travail de thèse, j'ai également mis en évidence que, Nkx2.1 régule aussi les étapes de prolifération et de différenciation de divers sous-types de cellules gliales soit de type astrocytes ou bien polydendrocytes. L'utilisation d'un anticorps contre la protéine Nkx2.1 ainsi qu'une sonde à ribonucléotides contre l'ARN messager du gène Nkx2.1 ont révélé la présence de nombreuses cellules positives pour Nkx2.1 qui exprimaient des marqueurs astrocytaires (comme GLAST et GFAP) dans le télencéphale embryonnaire. Afin de déterminer de manière sélective le sort des interneurones GABAergiques, des polydendrocytes et des astrocytes dérivés de la MGE, nous avons croisé soit des souris Nkx2.1-Cre, des souris Glast-Cre ERT+/- inductibles ou bien des souris NG2-Cre avec des souris Rosa26-lox-STOP-lox-YFP (Rosa26-YFP) Cre rapportrices. L'origine précise des astroglies positives pour Nkx2.1 a été directement établie en combinant une coloration immunologique pour les glies et une électroporation focale d'un plasmide pCAG-GS-EGFP dans les domaines subpalliaux de tranches organotypiques, puis également, par des cultures de neurosphères in vitro et des expériences d'électroporation in utero d'un plasmide pCAG-GS-tomato dans le pallium ventral d'embryons Nkx2.1-Cre+/Rosa- YFP+/- au stade E14.5. Nous avons donc confirmé que les trois régions germinales du télencéphale ventral, c'est-à-dire, la MGE, l'AEP/POA et le noyau triangulaire septal sont capables de générer des cellules astrogliales. D'autre part, l'immunohistochimie pour plusieurs marqueurs d'astrocytes ou de polydendrocytes, dans les embryons Nkx2.1-/- et contrôles ainsi que dans les neurosphères, a révélé une sévère perte de ces deux types gliaux chez les mutants. Nous avons trouvé que la perte de glies correspondait à une diminution de la capacité de division des précurseurs dérivés de Nkx2.1, ainsi que l'incapacité de ces précurseurs de se différencier en cellules gliales. Nous avons en effet observé une diminution importante des cellules BrdU+ en division exprimant Nkx2.1dans la MGE*, la POA* et le noyau septal* des mutants pour Nkx2.1. D'autre part, nous avons pu mettre en évidence aussi bien in vitro, qu'in vivo, que certains précurseurs Nkx2.1+ chez le mutant gardent la capacité à se différencier en neurones tandis qu'ils perdent celle de se différencier en cellules gliales. Prises dans leur ensemble, ces observations indiquent pour la première fois que le facteur de transcription Nkx2.1 régule les étapes de prolifération et de différentiation des précurseurs des trois domaines subpalliaux qui génèrent les astroglies et polydendrocytes embryonnaires précoces. Par la suite, dans le but de comprendre la fonction potentielle de ces glies précoces, nous avons procédé à de multiples colorations immunohistochimiques sur des animaux Nkx2.1-/- et sauvages, ainsi que sur des souris Nkx2.1-Cre croisées à des souris Rosa-DTA+/- dans lesquelles la toxine diphthérique hautement toxique a permis de supprimer sélectivement la majorité des cellules dérivées de Nkx2.1. De manière intéressante, nous avons observé dans ces deux mutants, une perte drastique et significative de cellules astrogliales GFAP+, GLAST+ et polydendrocytaires NG2+ et S100ß+ dans le télencéphale, à la midline et dans les aires corticales médianes. Ces pertes ont pu être directement corrélées avec des défauts de guidage axonal observés dans le corps calleux (CC), la commissure hippocampique (HIC), le fornix (F) et la commissure antérieure (AC). Le guidage axonal est une étape clé permettant aux neurones de former des connections spécifiques et de s'organiser dans un réseau fonctionnel. La contribution des cellules « guidepost » dans le CC et dans la AC comme médiateurs de la croissance des axones commissuraux à jusqu'à aujourd'hui été attribuée spécifiquement à des astroglies « guidepost » de la midline. Des résultats publiés précédemment dans notre groupe, ont permis de montrer que, pendant le développement embryonnaire, le CC est peuplé en plus de la glie par de nombreux neurones « guidepost » glutamatergiques et GABAergiques qui sont essentiels pour le croisement correct des axones callosaux à la midline. Ainsi, la contribution relative des populations individuelles neuronales ou gliales pour le guidage des axones commissuraux demande à être approfondie afin de mieux comprendre les mécanismes de guidage. A ces fins, nous avons croisé des souris Nkx2.1-Cre avec des souris NSE-DTA+/- qui expriment la toxine diphthérique uniquement dans les neurones et ainsi, nous avons pu sélectivement supprimer les neurones dérivés de domaines Nkx2.1+. Dans les souris Nkx2.1-/-,nous avons découvert que le CC était désorganisé avec des axones callosaux perdant partiellement leur orientation, alors que dans les souris Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/- et Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/-, l'organisation axonale n'était pas affectée. De plus, les faisceaux hippocampiques du fornix étaient défasciculés dans les trois types de mutants. Par ailleurs, la formation de la commissure antérieure (AC) était complètement absente dans les souris Nkx2.1-/- d'une part, et d'autre part, celle-ci était divisée en deux à trois voies séparées dans les souris Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/-. Finalement, la AC était soit absente, soit réduite de manière ne former plus qu'un faisceau relativement plus étroit dans les souris Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/- en comparaison avec la AC sauvage. Ces derniers résultats indiquent clairement que les cellules dérivées de Nkx2.1 à la midline, jouent un rôle majeur dans le guidage des axones commissuraux et que, autant les neurones, que les astrocytes « guidepost » dérivés de Nkx2.1, sont des éléments nécessaires au développement correct de ces commissures. En outre, lors de nos investigations sur les souris Nkx2.1-/- et Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/-, nous avons remarqués des défauts sévères et similaires dans la distribution des erythrocytes et dans la morphologie du réseau de vaisseaux sanguins dans le cerveau embryonnaire des deux mutants précités. Puisque nous n'avons jamais observé de recombinaison de la Cre recombinase dans les vaisseaux sanguins des souris Nkx2.1Cre, nous en avons déduit que les défauts de vaisseaux observés étaient dus à la perte de cellules dérivées de Nkx2.1. Il existerait donc en plus de la fonction cellulaire autonome de Nkx2.1 reconnue pour régulée directement la spécification des cellules endothéliales, une fonction indirecte de Nkx2.1. Afin de déterminer la contribution respective des populations individuelles neuronales ou gliales régulées par Nkx2.1 dans la construction du réseau de vaisseaux sanguins, nous avons utilisé diverses lignées de souris transgéniques. L'utilisation de souris Nkx2.1Cre+/NSE-DTA+/- a indiqué que les neurones dérivés de Nkx2.1 n'étaient pas impliqués dans ce processus. Finalement, afin de discriminer entre les deux populations de cellules gliales dérivées de Nkx2.1, les astroglies et les polydendrocytes, nous avons croisé une lignée de souris NG2-Cre avec des souris Rosa-DTA+/-. Dans ce dernier mutant, le réseau de vaisseaux sanguins du cortex ainsi que la distribution des erythrocytes étaient affectés de la même manière que dans le cortex des souris Nkx2.1Cre+/Rosa-DTA+/-. Par conséquent, ce résultat indique que très probablement, les polydendrocytes NG2+ sont impliqués dans la mise en place du réseau de vaisseaux dans le cerveau. Prises dans leur ensemble, ces observations montrent que durant le développement embryonnaire du cerveau, des sous-populations de glies régulées par Nkx2.1 jouent un rôle de cellules « guidepost » dans le guidage des axones, ainsi que des vaisseaux. Les polydendrocytes sont impliquées dans la régulation de l'angiogenèse tandis que, autant les neurones GABAergiques que les astrocytes collaborent dans le guidage des axones commissuraux en croissance.

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BACKGROUND: An objective measurement of surgical procedures outcomes is inherent to professional practices quality control; this especially applies in orthopaedics to joint replacement outcomes. A self-administered questionnaire offers an attractive alternative to surgeon's judgement but is infrequently used in France for these purposes. The British questionnaire, the 12-item Oxford Hip Score (OHS) was selected for this study because of its ease of use. HYPOTHESIS: The objective of this study was to validate the French translation of the self-assessment 12-item Oxford Hip Score and compare its results with those of the reference functional scores: the Harris Hip Score (HHS) and the Postel-Merle d'Aubigné (PMA) score. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Based on a clinical series of 242 patients who were candidates for total hip arthroplasty, the French translation of this questionnaire was validated. Its coherence was also validated by comparing the preoperative data with the data obtained from the two other reference clinical scores. RESULTS: The translation was validated using the forward-backward translation procedure from French to English, with correction of all differences or mistranslations after systematized comparison with the original questionnaire in English. The mean overall OHS score was 43.8 points (range, 22-60 points) with similarly good distribution of the overall value of the three scores compared. The correlation was excellent between the OHS and the HHS, but an identical correlation between the OHS and the PMA was only obtained for the association of the pain and function parameters, after excluding the mobility criterion, relatively over-represented in the PMA score. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: Subjective questionnaires that contribute a personal appreciation of the results of arthroplasty by the patient can easily be applied on a large scale. This study made a translated and validated version of an internationally recognized, reliable self-assessment score available to French orthopaedic surgeons. The results obtained encourage us to use this questionnaire as a complement to the classical evaluation scores and methods.

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High-dose cefepime therapy is recommended for febrile neutropenia. Safety issues have been raised in a recent meta-analysis reporting an increased risk of mortality during cefepime therapy. Cefepime-related neurological toxicity has been associated with overdosing due to severe renal dysfunction. This study aimed to investigate the association between cefepime plasma concentrations and neurological toxicity in febrile neutropenic patients. Cefepime trough concentrations (by high-performance liquid chromatography) were retrospectively analyzed for 30 adult febrile neutropenic patients receiving the recommended high-dose regimen (6 g/day for a glomerular filtration rate [GFR] of >50 ml/min). The dose adjustment to renal function was evaluated by the ratio of the cefepime daily dose per 100 ml/min of glomerular filtration. The association between cefepime plasma concentrations and neurological toxicity was assessed on the basis of consistent neurological symptoms and/or signs (by NCI criteria). The median cefepime concentration was 8.7 mg/liter (range, 2.1 to 38 mg/liter) at a median of 4 days (range, 2 to 15 days) after the start of therapy. Neurological toxicity (altered mental status, hallucinations, or myoclonia) was attributed to cefepime in 6/30 (20%) patients (median GFR, 45 ml/min; range, 41 to 65 ml/min) receiving a median dose of 13.2 g/day per 100 ml/min GFR (range, 9.2 to 14.3 g/day per 100 ml/min GFR). Cefepime discontinuation resulted in complete neurological recovery for five patients and improvement for one patient. A multivariate logistic regression model confirmed high cefepime concentrations as an independent predictor of neurological toxicity, with a 50% probability threshold at ≥22 mg/liter (P = 0.05). High cefepime plasma concentrations are associated with neurological toxicity in febrile neutropenic patients with mild renal dysfunction. Careful adherence to normalized dosing per 100 ml/min GFR is crucial. Monitoring of plasma concentrations may contribute to preventing neurological toxicity of high-dose therapy for this life-threatening condition.

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Background: The ultimate goal of synthetic biology is the conception and construction of genetic circuits that are reliable with respect to their designed function (e.g. oscillators, switches). This task remains still to be attained due to the inherent synergy of the biological building blocks and to an insufficient feedback between experiments and mathematical models. Nevertheless, the progress in these directions has been substantial. Results: It has been emphasized in the literature that the architecture of a genetic oscillator must include positive (activating) and negative (inhibiting) genetic interactions in order to yield robust oscillations. Our results point out that the oscillatory capacity is not only affected by the interaction polarity but by how it is implemented at promoter level. For a chosen oscillator architecture, we show by means of numerical simulations that the existence or lack of competition between activator and inhibitor at promoter level affects the probability of producing oscillations and also leaves characteristic fingerprints on the associated period/amplitude features. Conclusions: In comparison with non-competitive binding at promoters, competition drastically reduces the region of the parameters space characterized by oscillatory solutions. Moreover, while competition leads to pulse-like oscillations with long-tail distribution in period and amplitude for various parameters or noisy conditions, the non-competitive scenario shows a characteristic frequency and confined amplitude values. Our study also situates the competition mechanism in the context of existing genetic oscillators, with emphasis on the Atkinson oscillator.

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This paper investigates a simple procedure to estimate robustly the mean of an asymmetric distribution. The procedure removes the observations which are larger or smaller than certain limits and takes the arithmetic mean of the remaining observations, the limits being determined with the help of a parametric model, e.g., the Gamma, the Weibull or the Lognormal distribution. The breakdown point, the influence function, the (asymptotic) variance, and the contamination bias of this estimator are explored and compared numerically with those of competing estimates.

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This paper proposes a novel approach for the analysis of illicit tablets based on their visual characteristics. In particular, the paper concentrates on the problem of ecstasy pill seizure profiling and monitoring. The presented method extracts the visual information from pill images and builds a representation of it, i.e. it builds a pill profile based on the pill visual appearance. Different visual features are used to build different image similarity measures, which are the basis for a pill monitoring strategy based on both discriminative and clustering models. The discriminative model permits to infer whether two pills come from the same seizure, while the clustering models groups of pills that share similar visual characteristics. The resulting clustering structure allows to perform a visual identification of the relationships between different seizures. The proposed approach was evaluated using a data set of 621 Ecstasy pill pictures. The results demonstrate that this is a feasible and cost effective method for performing pill profiling and monitoring.

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In a distributed key distribution scheme, a set of servers helps a set of users in a group to securely obtain a common key. Security means that an adversary who corrupts some servers and some users has no information about the key of a noncorrupted group. In this work, we formalize the security analysis of one such scheme which was not considered in the original proposal. We prove the scheme is secure in the random oracle model, assuming that the Decisional Diffie-Hellman (DDH) problem is hard to solve. We also detail a possible modification of that scheme and the one in which allows us to prove the security of the schemes without assuming that a specific hash function behaves as a random oracle. As usual, this improvement in the security of the schemes is at the cost of an efficiency loss.

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In Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment, it is vital to understand how lag times of individual cells are distributed over a bacterial population. Such identified distributions can be used to predict the time by which, in a growth-supporting environment, a few pathogenic cells can multiply to a poisoning concentration level. We model the lag time of a single cell, inoculated into a new environment, by the delay of the growth function characterizing the generated subpopulation. We introduce an easy-to-implement procedure, based on the method of moments, to estimate the parameters of the distribution of single cell lag times. The advantage of the method is especially apparent for cases where the initial number of cells is small and random, and the culture is detectable only in the exponential growth phase.

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Background: Imatinib has revolutionized the treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) and gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). Considering the large inter-individual differences in the function of the systems involved in its disposition, exposure to imatinib can be expected to vary widely among patients. This observational study aimed at describing imatinib pharmacokinetic variability and its relationship with various biological covariates, especially plasma alpha1-acid glycoprotein (AGP), and at exploring the concentration-response relationship in patients. Methods: A population pharmacokinetic model (NONMEM) including 321 plasma samples from 59 patients was built up and used to derive individual post-hoc Bayesian estimates of drug exposure (AUC; area under curve). Associations between AUC and therapeutic response or tolerability were explored by ordered logistic regression. Influence of the target genotype (i.e. KIT mutation profile) on response was also assessed in GIST patients. Results: A one-compartment model with first-order absorption appropriately described the data, with an average oral clearance of 14.3 L/h (CL) and volume of distribution of 347 L (Vd). A large inter-individual variability remained unexplained, both on CL (36%) and Vd (63%), but AGP levels proved to have a marked impact on total imatinib disposition. Moreover, both total and free AUC correlated with the occurrence and number of side effects (e.g. OR 2.9±0.6 for a 2-fold free AUC increase; p<0.001). Furthermore, in GIST patients, higher free AUC predicted a higher probability of therapeutic response (OR 1.9±0.5; p<0.05), notably in patients with tumor harboring an exon 9 mutation or wild-type KIT, known to decrease tumor sensitivity towards imatinib. Conclusion: The large pharmacokinetic variability, associated to the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic relationship uncovered are arguments to further investigate the usefulness of individualizing imatinib prescription based on TDM. For this type of drug, it should ideally take into consideration either circulating AGP concentrations or free drug levels, as well as KIT genotype for GIST.

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We analyze crash data collected by the Iowa Department of Transportation using Bayesian methods. The data set includes monthly crash numbers, estimated monthly traffic volumes, site length and other information collected at 30 paired sites in Iowa over more than 20 years during which an intervention experiment was set up. The intervention consisted in transforming 15 undivided road segments from four-lane to three lanes, while an additional 15 segments, thought to be comparable in terms of traffic safety-related characteristics were not converted. The main objective of this work is to find out whether the intervention reduces the number of crashes and the crash rates at the treated sites. We fitted a hierarchical Poisson regression model with a change-point to the number of monthly crashes per mile at each of the sites. Explanatory variables in the model included estimated monthly traffic volume, time, an indicator for intervention reflecting whether the site was a “treatment” or a “control” site, and various interactions. We accounted for seasonal effects in the number of crashes at a site by including smooth trigonometric functions with three different periods to reflect the four seasons of the year. A change-point at the month and year in which the intervention was completed for treated sites was also included. The number of crashes at a site can be thought to follow a Poisson distribution. To estimate the association between crashes and the explanatory variables, we used a log link function and added a random effect to account for overdispersion and for autocorrelation among observations obtained at the same site. We used proper but non-informative priors for all parameters in the model, and carried out all calculations using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in WinBUGS. We evaluated the effect of the four to three-lane conversion by comparing the expected number of crashes per year per mile during the years preceding the conversion and following the conversion for treatment and control sites. We estimated this difference using the observed traffic volumes at each site and also on a per 100,000,000 vehicles. We also conducted a prospective analysis to forecast the expected number of crashes per mile at each site in the study one year, three years and five years following the four to three-lane conversion. Posterior predictive distributions of the number of crashes, the crash rate and the percent reduction in crashes per mile were obtained for each site for the months of January and June one, three and five years after completion of the intervention. The model appears to fit the data well. We found that in most sites, the intervention was effective and reduced the number of crashes. Overall, and for the observed traffic volumes, the reduction in the expected number of crashes per year and mile at converted sites was 32.3% (31.4% to 33.5% with 95% probability) while at the control sites, the reduction was estimated to be 7.1% (5.7% to 8.2% with 95% probability). When the reduction in the expected number of crashes per year, mile and 100,000,000 AADT was computed, the estimates were 44.3% (43.9% to 44.6%) and 25.5% (24.6% to 26.0%) for converted and control sites, respectively. In both cases, the difference in the percent reduction in the expected number of crashes during the years following the conversion was significantly larger at converted sites than at control sites, even though the number of crashes appears to decline over time at all sites. Results indicate that the reduction in the expected number of sites per mile has a steeper negative slope at converted than at control sites. Consistent with this, the forecasted reduction in the number of crashes per year and mile during the years after completion of the conversion at converted sites is more pronounced than at control sites. Seasonal effects on the number of crashes have been well-documented. In this dataset, we found that, as expected, the expected number of monthly crashes per mile tends to be higher during winter months than during the rest of the year. Perhaps more interestingly, we found that there is an interaction between the four to three-lane conversion and season; the reduction in the number of crashes appears to be more pronounced during months, when the weather is nice than during other times of the year, even though a reduction was estimated for the entire year. Thus, it appears that the four to three-lane conversion, while effective year-round, is particularly effective in reducing the expected number of crashes in nice weather.

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We estimate the world distribution of income by integrating individualincome distributions for 125 countries between 1970 and 1998. Weestimate poverty rates and headcounts by integrating the density functionbelow the $1/day and $2/day poverty lines. We find that poverty ratesdecline substantially over the last twenty years. We compute povertyheadcounts and find that the number of one-dollar poor declined by 235million between 1976 and 1998. The number of $2/day poor declined by 450million over the same period. We analyze poverty across different regionsand countries. Asia is a great success, especially after 1980. LatinAmerica reduced poverty substantially in the 1970s but progress stoppedin the 1980s and 1990s. The worst performer was Africa, where povertyrates increased substantially over the last thirty years: the number of$1/day poor in Africa increased by 175 million between 1970 and 1998,and the number of $2/day poor increased by 227. Africa hosted 11% ofthe world s poor in 1960. It hosted 66% of them in 1998. We estimatenine indexes of income inequality implied by our world distribution ofincome. All of them show substantial reductions in global incomeinequality during the 1980s and 1990s.