Design, implementation and application of a generic framework for integrated regional land-use modeling

Land use is a crucial link between human activities and the natural environment and one of the main driving forces of global environmental change. Large parts of the terrestrial land surface are used for agriculture, forestry, settlements and infrastructure. Given the importance of land use, it is essential to understand the multitude of influential factors and resulting land use patterns. An essential methodology to study and quantify such interactions is provided by the adoption of land-use models. By the application of land-use models, it is possible to analyze the complex structure of linkages and feedbacks and to also determine the relevance of driving forces. Modeling land use and land use changes has a long-term tradition. In particular on the regional scale, a variety of models for different regions and research questions has been created. Modeling capabilities grow with steady advances in computer technology, which on the one hand are driven by increasing computing power on the other hand by new methods in software development, e.g. object- and component-oriented architectures. In this thesis, SITE (Simulation of Terrestrial Environments), a novel framework for integrated regional sland-use modeling, will be introduced and discussed. Particular features of SITE are the notably extended capability to integrate models and the strict separation of application and implementation. These features enable efficient development, test and usage of integrated land-use models. On its system side, SITE provides generic data structures (grid, grid cells, attributes etc.) and takes over the responsibility for their administration. By means of a scripting language (Python) that has been extended by language features specific for land-use modeling, these data structures can be utilized and manipulated by modeling applications. The scripting language interpreter is embedded in SITE. The integration of sub models can be achieved via the scripting language or by usage of a generic interface provided by SITE. Furthermore, functionalities important for land-use modeling like model calibration, model tests and analysis support of simulation results have been integrated into the generic framework. During the implementation of SITE, specific emphasis was laid on expandability, maintainability and usability. Along with the modeling framework a land use model for the analysis of the stability of tropical rainforest margins was developed in the context of the collaborative research project STORMA (SFB 552). In a research area in Central Sulawesi, Indonesia, socio-environmental impacts of land-use changes were examined. SITE was used to simulate land-use dynamics in the historical period of 1981 to 2002. Analogous to that, a scenario that did not consider migration in the population dynamics, was analyzed. For the calculation of crop yields and trace gas emissions, the DAYCENT agro-ecosystem model was integrated. In this case study, it could be shown that land-use changes in the Indonesian research area could mainly be characterized by the expansion of agricultural areas at the expense of natural forest. For this reason, the situation had to be interpreted as unsustainable even though increased agricultural use implied economic improvements and higher farmers' incomes. Due to the importance of model calibration, it was explicitly addressed in the SITE architecture through the introduction of a specific component. The calibration functionality can be used by all SITE applications and enables largely automated model calibration. Calibration in SITE is understood as a process that finds an optimal or at least adequate solution for a set of arbitrarily selectable model parameters with respect to an objective function. In SITE, an objective function typically is a map comparison algorithm capable of comparing a simulation result to a reference map. Several map optimization and map comparison methodologies are available and can be combined. The STORMA land-use model was calibrated using a genetic algorithm for optimization and the figure of merit map comparison measure as objective function. The time period for the calibration ranged from 1981 to 2002. For this period, respective reference land-use maps were compiled. It could be shown, that an efficient automated model calibration with SITE is possible. Nevertheless, the selection of the calibration parameters required detailed knowledge about the underlying land-use model and cannot be automated. In another case study decreases in crop yields and resulting losses in income from coffee cultivation were analyzed and quantified under the assumption of four different deforestation scenarios. For this task, an empirical model, describing the dependence of bee pollination and resulting coffee fruit set from the distance to the closest natural forest, was integrated. Land-use simulations showed, that depending on the magnitude and location of ongoing forest conversion, pollination services are expected to decline continuously. This results in a reduction of coffee yields of up to 18% and a loss of net revenues per hectare of up to 14%. However, the study also showed that ecological and economic values can be preserved if patches of natural vegetation are conservated in the agricultural landscape. -----------------------------------------------------------------------

CD-Systems of Restarting Automata

Die vorliegende Arbeit behandelt Restartautomaten und Erweiterungen von Restartautomaten. Restartautomaten sind ein Werkzeug zum Erkennen formaler Sprachen. Sie sind motiviert durch die linguistische Methode der Analyse durch Reduktion und wurden 1995 von Jancar, Mráz, Plátek und Vogel eingeführt. Restartautomaten bestehen aus einer endlichen Kontrolle, einem Lese/Schreibfenster fester Größe und einem flexiblen Band. Anfänglich enthält dieses sowohl die Eingabe als auch Bandbegrenzungssymbole. Die Berechnung eines Restartautomaten läuft in so genannten Zyklen ab. Diese beginnen am linken Rand im Startzustand, in ihnen wird eine lokale Ersetzung auf dem Band durchgeführt und sie enden mit einem Neustart, bei dem das Lese/Schreibfenster wieder an den linken Rand bewegt wird und der Startzustand wieder eingenommen wird. Die vorliegende Arbeit beschäftigt sich hauptsächlich mit zwei Erweiterungen der Restartautomaten: CD-Systeme von Restartautomaten und nichtvergessende Restartautomaten. Nichtvergessende Restartautomaten können einen Zyklus in einem beliebigen Zustand beenden und CD-Systeme von Restartautomaten bestehen aus einer Menge von Restartautomaten, die zusammen die Eingabe verarbeiten. Dabei wird ihre Zusammenarbeit durch einen Operationsmodus, ähnlich wie bei CD-Grammatik Systemen, geregelt. Für beide Erweiterungen zeigt sich, dass die deterministischen Modelle mächtiger sind als deterministische Standardrestartautomaten. Es wird gezeigt, dass CD-Systeme von Restartautomaten in vielen Fällen durch nichtvergessende Restartautomaten simuliert werden können und andererseits lassen sich auch nichtvergessende Restartautomaten durch CD-Systeme von Restartautomaten simulieren. Des Weiteren werden Restartautomaten und nichtvergessende Restartautomaten untersucht, die nichtdeterministisch sind, aber keine Fehler machen. Es zeigt sich, dass diese Automaten durch deterministische (nichtvergessende) Restartautomaten simuliert werden können, wenn sie direkt nach der Ersetzung einen neuen Zyklus beginnen, oder ihr Fenster nach links und rechts bewegen können. Außerdem gilt, dass alle (nichtvergessenden) Restartautomaten, die zwar Fehler machen dürfen, diese aber nach endlich vielen Zyklen erkennen, durch (nichtvergessende) Restartautomaten simuliert werden können, die keine Fehler machen. Ein weiteres wichtiges Resultat besagt, dass die deterministischen monotonen nichtvergessenden Restartautomaten mit Hilfssymbolen, die direkt nach dem Ersetzungsschritt den Zyklus beenden, genau die deterministischen kontextfreien Sprachen erkennen, wohingegen die deterministischen monotonen nichtvergessenden Restartautomaten mit Hilfssymbolen ohne diese Einschränkung echt mehr, nämlich die links-rechts regulären Sprachen, erkennen. Damit werden zum ersten Mal Restartautomaten mit Hilfssymbolen, die direkt nach dem Ersetzungsschritt ihren Zyklus beenden, von Restartautomaten desselben Typs ohne diese Einschränkung getrennt. Besonders erwähnenswert ist hierbei, dass beide Automatentypen wohlbekannte Sprachklassen beschreiben.

On Parallel Communicating Grammar Systems and Correctness Preserving Restarting Automata

This paper contributes to the study of Freely Rewriting Restarting Automata (FRR-automata) and Parallel Communicating Grammar Systems (PCGS), which both are useful models in computational linguistics. For PCGSs we study two complexity measures called 'generation complexity' and 'distribution complexity', and we prove that a PCGS Pi, for which the generation complexity and the distribution complexity are both bounded by constants, can be transformed into a freely rewriting restarting automaton of a very restricted form. From this characterization it follows that the language L(Pi) generated by Pi is semi-linear, that its characteristic analysis is of polynomial size, and that this analysis can be computed in polynomial time.

A geometrical heuristic for drawing concept lattices

Concept lattices are used in formal concept analysis to represent data conceptually so that the original data are still recognizable. Their line diagrams should reflect the semantical relationships within the data. Up to now, no satisfactory automatic drawing programs for this task exist. The geometrical heuristic is the most successful tool for drawing concept lattices manually. It ueses a geometric representation as intermediate step between the list of upper covers and the line diagram of the lattice.

Attribute exploration with background implications and exceptions

Implications between attributes can represent knowledge about objects in a specified context. This knowledge representation is especially useful when it is not possible to list all specified objects. Attribute exploration is a tool of formal concept analysis that supports the acquisition of this knowledge. For a specified context this interactive procedure determines a miminal list of valid implications between attributes of this context together with a list of objects which are counterexamples for all implications not valid in the context. This paper describes how the exploration can be modified such that it determines a mimimal set of implications that fills the gap between previously given implications (called background implications) and all valid implications. The list of implications can be simplified further if exceptions are allowed for the implications.

Concept exploration - a tool for creating and exploring conceptual hierarchies

Concept exploration is a knowledge acquisition tool for interactively exploring the hierarchical structure of finitely generated lattices. Applications comprise the support of knowledge engineers by constructing a type lattice for conceptual graphs, and the exploration of large formal contexts in formal concept analysis.

On-line analytical processing with conceptual information systems

A conceptual information system consists of a database together with conceptual hierarchies. The management system TOSCANA visualizes arbitrary combinations of conceptual hierarchies by nested line diagrams and allows an on-line interaction with a database to analyze data conceptually. The paper describes the conception of conceptual information systems and discusses the use of their visualization techniques for on-line analytical processing (OLAP).

Hierarchies of conceptual scales

Formal Concept Analysis allows to derive conceptual hierarchies from data tables. Formal Concept Analysis is applied in various domains, e.g., data analysis, information retrieval, and knowledge discovery in databases. In order to deal with increasing sizes of the data tables (and to allow more complex data structures than just binary attributes), conceputal scales habe been developed. They are considered as metadata which structure the data conceptually. But in large applications, the number of conceptual scales increases as well. Techniques are needed which support the navigation of the user also on this meta-level of conceptual scales. In this paper, we attack this problem by extending the set of scales by hierarchically ordered higher level scales and by introducing a visualization technique called nested scaling. We extend the two-level architecture of Formal Concept Analysis (the data table plus one level of conceptual scales) to many-level architecture with a cascading system of conceptual scales. The approach also allows to use representation techniques of Formal Concept Analysis for the visualization of thesauri and ontologies.

Conceptual knowledge discovery with frequent concept lattices

Knowledge discovery support environments include beside classical data analysis tools also data mining tools. For supporting both kinds of tools, a unified knowledge representation is needed. We show that concept lattices which are used as knowledge representation in Conceptual Information Systems can also be used for structuring the results of mining association rules. Vice versa, we use ideas of association rules for reducing the complexity of the visualization of Conceptual Information Systems.

Dual retrieval in conceptual information systems

Conceptual Information Systems provide a multi-dimensional conceptually structured view on data stored in relational databases. On restricting the expressiveness of the retrieval language, they allow the visualization of sets of realted queries in conceptual hierarchies, hence supporting the search of something one does not have a precise description, but only a vague idea of. Information Retrieval is considered as the process of finding specific objects (documents etc.) out of a large set of objects which fit to some description. In some data analysis and knowledge discovery applications, the dual task is of interest: The analyst needs to determine, for a subset of objects, a description for this subset. In this paper we discuss how Conceptual Information Systems can be extended to support also the second task.

Fast computation of concept lattices using data mining techniques

We present a new algorithm called TITANIC for computing concept lattices. It is based on data mining techniques for computing frequent itemsets. The algorithm is experimentally evaluated and compared with B. Ganter's Next-Closure algorithm.

Reverse pivoting in conceptual information systems

In database marketing, the behavior of customers is analyzed by studying the transactions they have performed. In order to get a global picture of the behavior of a customer, his single transactions have to be composed together. In On-Line Analytical Processing, this operation is known as reverse pivoting. With the ongoing data analysis process, reverse pivoting has to be repeated several times, usually requiring an implementation in SQL. In this paper, we present a construction for conceptual scales for reverse pivoting in Conceptual Information Systems, and also discuss the visualization. The construction allows the reuse of previously created queries without reprogramming and offers a visualization of the results by line diagrams.