Supplementation of diets for Santa Ines sheep with organic and inorganic zinc sources

This research was conducted with objective to evaluate the effect of different zinc (Zn) sources and doses in the diet for Santa Ines sheep. Forty lambs at weaning, with 18.4 kg of body weight were supplemented with three different sources of zinc (zinc oxide (ZnO), zinc amino acid and zinc proteinate) and three doses of zinc (200, 400 and 600 mg/kg DM) added to the basal diet. At every 28 days, animals were weighted and blood samples were collected for analyses of zinc (Zn), alkaline phosphatase and immunoglobulin G (IgG) and M (IgM). At the end of experiment, liver samples were collected for determination of the hepatic zinc levels. Zinc was analyzed with atomic absorption spectrophotometer, while phosphatase alkaline and immunoglobulins G and M were analyzed using Laborlab and Bioclin kits, respectively. There was no effect of diets on phosphatase alkaline levels and hepatic zinc, but there was difference in the plasmatic zinc levels and IgG and IgM levels. Based on the accumulation of hepatic zinc, the estimate of the zinc bioavailability, through the regression equation, showed that supplementation with organic and inorganic sources of zinc did not differ in the diet of Santa Ines sheep.

Study of thiabendazole resistance and volatile organic compounds production of Penicillium expansum strains

The years of excessive use of thiabendazole to control Penicillium expansum has induced the development of resistance. Sensitivity of fourty eight strains collected from orchards and packinghouses in Emilia Romagna to pure and commercial TBZ was determined in vitro on TBZ amended medium (400μg/mL). Out of 48 strains, 35 were thiabendazole-sensitive (S) and 13 were thiabendazole-resistant (R). Microtiter assay adapted to P. expansum, showed EC50 values ranging from 54 to 320 μg/mL for ten TBZ-resistant strains. At the highest dose (50 μg/mL), resistant strains growth was not inhibited and the reported MICs value were >1000 μg/mL. Therefore, preliminary screening combined with microtiter assay, can be a good strategy to test susceptibility to TBZ. Mutations in the β-tubulin gene were studied on amino acid sequences from residue 167 to residue 357 of 10 P. expansum strains. Mutation at codon 198 was associated with TBZ-resistance. However, its absence in 3 resistant strains can be explained by the involvement of other mechanisms. Moreover, a P. expansum strain LB8/99 showed good antifungal effect against some fungal pathogens through double petri dish assay. It inhibited both mycelium growth and conidia germination of B. cinerea, C. acutatum, and M. laxa, and reduced significantly by 53% and 18% respectively P. expansum. Three major VOCS: geosmin, phenethyl alcolhol (PEA) and an unknown substance were identified by GC-MS analysis. Consistent fumigation of fungal pathogens with PEA (1230 mg/mL), inhibited both conidia germination and mycelium growth of all pathogens, except conidia germination of P. expansum that was reduced by 90% with respect to control. While, the concentration of PEA produced naturally by LB8/99 was ineffective in controlling the pathogens and seemed to have a synergic or additive effect with the other VOCS. Investigations to study the biofumigant effect of LB8/99 on other commodities like seeds and seedlings are in progress.

Perfluoroalkylated substances in food matrices: development of mass spectrometry based analytical methods and preliminary monitoring

Perfluoroalkylated substances are a group of chemicals that have been largely employed during the last 60 years in several applications, widely spreading and accumulating in the environment due to their extreme resistance to degradation. As a consequence, they have been found also in various types of food as well as in drinking water, proving that they can easily reach humans through the diet. The available information concerning their adverse effects on health has recently increased the interest towards these contaminants and highlighted the importance of investigating all the potential sources of human exposure, among which diet was proved to be the most relevant. This need has been underlined by the European Union through Recommendation 2010/161/EU: in this document, Member States were called to monitor their presence of in food, producing accurate estimations of human exposure. The purpose of the research presented in this thesis, which is the result of a partnership between an Italian and a French laboratory, was to develop reliable tools for the analysis of these pollutants in food, to be used for generating data on potentially contaminated matrices. An efficient method based on liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry for the detection of 16 different perfluorinated compounds in milk has been validated in accordance with current European regulation guidelines (2002/657/EC) and is currently under evaluation for ISO 17025 accreditation. The proposed technique was applied to cow, powder and human breast milk samples from Italy and France to produce a preliminary monitoring on the presence of these contaminants. In accordance with the above mentioned European Recommendation, this project led also to the development of a promising technique for the quantification of some precursors of these substances in fish. This method showed extremely satisfying performances in terms of linearity and limits of detection, and will be useful for future surveys.

Food safety and zoonotic enteric pathogens: sources, risk factors and transmission routes of human salmonellosis and campylobacteriosis

Salmonella and Campylobacter are common causes of human gastroenteritis. Their epidemiology is complex and a multi-tiered approach to control is needed, taking into account the different reservoirs, pathways and risk factors. In this thesis, trends in human gastroenteritis and food-borne outbreak notifications in Italy were explored. Moreover, the improved sensitivity of two recently-implemented regional surveillance systems in Lombardy and Piedmont was evidenced, providing a basis for improving notification at the national level. Trends in human Salmonella serovars were explored: serovars Enteritidis and Infantis decreased, Typhimurium remained stable and 4,[5],12:i:-, Derby and Napoli increased, suggesting that sources of infection have changed over time. Attribution analysis identified pigs as the main source of human salmonellosis in Italy, accounting for 43–60% of infections, followed by Gallus gallus (18–34%). Attributions to pigs and Gallus gallus showed increasing and decreasing trends, respectively. Potential bias and sampling issues related to the use of non-local/non-recent multilocus sequence typing (MLST) data in Campylobacter jejuni/coli source attribution using the Asymmetric Island (AI) model were investigated. As MLST data become increasingly dissimilar with increasing geographical/temporal distance, attributions to sources not sampled close to human cases can be underestimated. A combined case-control and source attribution analysis was developed to investigate risk factors for human Campylobacter jejuni/coli infection of chicken, ruminant, environmental, pet and exotic origin in The Netherlands. Most infections (~87%) were attributed to chicken and cattle. Individuals infected from different reservoirs had different associated risk factors: chicken consumption increased the risk for chicken-attributed infections; animal contact, barbecuing, tripe consumption, and never/seldom chicken consumption increased that for ruminant-attributed infections; game consumption and attending swimming pools increased that for environment-attributed infections; and dog ownership increased that for environment- and pet-attributed infections. Person-to-person contacts around holiday periods were risk factors for infections with exotic strains, putatively introduced by returning travellers.

On the inheritance and mechanism of baculovirus resistance of the codling moth, Cydia pomonella (L.)

Das Cydia pomonella Granulovirus (CpGV, Baculoviridae) wird seit Ende der 1980er Jahre als hoch-selektives und effizientes biologisches Bekämpfungsmittel zur Kontrolle des Apfelwicklers im Obstanbau eingesetzt. Seit 2004 wurden in Europa verschiedene Apfelwicklerpopulationen beobachtet die resistent gegenüber dem hauptsächlich angewendeten Isolat CpGV-M aufweisen. Die vorliegende Arbeit befasst sich mit der Untersuchung der Vererbung und des Mechanismus der CpGV Resistenz. Einzelpaarkreuzungen zwischen einem empfindlichen Laborstamm (CpS) und einem homogen resistenten Stamm (CpRR1) zeigten, dass die Resistenz durch ein einziges dominantes Gen, das auf dem Z-Chromosom lokalisiert ist, vererbt wird. Massernkreuzungen zwischen CpS und einer heterogen resistenten Feldpopulation (CpR) deuteten zunächst auf einen unvollständig dominanten autosomalen Erbgang hin. Einzelpaarkreuzungen zwischen CpS und CpR bewiesen jedoch, dass die Resistenz in CpR ebenfalls monogen dominant und geschlechtsgebunden auf dem Z-Chromosom vererbt wird. Diese Arbeit diskutiert zudem die Vor- und Nachteile von Einzelpaarkreuzungen gegenüber Massernkreuzungen bei der Untersuchung von Vererbungsmechanismen. Die Wirksamkeit eines neuen CpGV Isolates aus dem Iran (CpGV-I12) gegenüber CpRR1 Larven, wurde in Bioassays getestet. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass CpGV-I12 die Resistenz in allen Larvenstadien von CpRR1 brechen kann und fast so gut wirkt wie CpGV-M gegenüber CpS Larven. Daher ist CpGV-I12 für die Kontrolle des Apfelwicklers in Anlagen wo die Resistenz aufgetreten ist geeignet. Um den der CpGV Resistenz zugrunde liegenden Mechanismus zu untersuchen, wurden vier verschiedene Experimente durchgeführt: 1) die peritrophische Membran degradiert indem ein optischer Aufheller dem virus-enthaltenden Futtermedium beigefügt wurde. Das Entfernen dieser mechanischen Schutzbarriere, die den Mitteldarm auskleidet, führte allerdings nicht zu einer Reduzierung der Resistenz in CpR Larven. Demnach ist die peritrophische Membran nicht am Resistenzmechanismus beteiligt. 2) Die Injektion von Budded Virus in das Hämocoel führte nicht zur Brechung der Resistenz. Folglich die die Resistenz nicht auf den Mitteldarm beschränkt, sondern auch in der Sekundärinfektion wirksam. 3) Die Replikation von CpGV in verschiedenen Geweben (Mitteldarm, Hämolymphe und Fettkörper) von CpS und CpRR1 wurde mittels quantitativer PCR verfolgt. In CpS Larven konnte in allen drei Gewebetypen sowohl nach oraler als auch nach intra-hämocoelarer Infektion eine Zunahme der CpGV Genome in Abhängigkeit der Zeit festgestellt werden. Dagegen konnte in den Geweben aus CpRR1 nach oraler sowie intra-hämocoelarer Infektion keine Virusreplikation detektiert werden. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass die CpGV Resistenz in allen Zelltypen präsent ist. 4) Um zu untersuchen ob ein humoraler Faktor in der Hämolymphe ursächlich an der Resistenz beteiligt ist, wurde Hämolymphe aus CpRR1 Larven in CpS Larven injiziert und diese anschließend oral mit CpGV infiziert. Es konnte jedoch keine Immunreaktion beobachtet und kein Faktor in der Hämolymphe identifiziert werden, der Resistenz induzieren könnte. Auf Grundlage dieser Ergebnisse kann festgestellt werden, dass in resistenten Apfelwicklerlarven die virale Replikation in allen Zelltypen verhindert wird, was auf eine Virus-Zell Inkompatibilität hinweist. Da in CpRR1 keine DNA Replikation beobachtet wurde, wird die CpGV Resistenz wahrscheinlich durch eine frühe Unterbindung der Virusreplikation verursacht.Das früh exprimierte Gen pe38 codiert für ein Protein, das wahrscheinlich für die Resistenzbrechung durch CpGV-I12 verantwortlich ist. Interaktionen zwischen dem Protein PE38 und Proteinen in CpRR1 wurden mit Hilfe des Yeast Two-Hybrid (Y2H) Systems untersucht. Die detektierten Interaktionen sind noch nicht durch andere Methoden bestätigt, jedoch wurden zwei mögliche Gene auf dem Z-Chromosom und eines auf Chromosom 15 gefunden, wie möglicherweise an der CpGV Resistenz beteiligt sind.

Novel isolates of Cydia pomonella granulovirus (CpGV): deciphering the molecular mechanism for overcoming CpGV resistance in codling moth (Cydia pomonella)

During the last twenty years, Cydia pomonolla granulovirus (CpGV, Baculoviridae) has become the most important biological control agent for the codling moth (CM) in organic and integrated apple production. All registered products in Europe are based on the isolate CpGV-M, which was discovered 1964 in Mexico. A serious threat to future application of CpGV is the occurrence of CM field populations resistant to CpGV. Since 2003, populations with up to 10,000-fold reduced susceptibility were reported from orchards in Germany, France, Italy, Switzerland, Austria and the Netherlands. A putative alternative to CpGV-M are novel CpGV isolates which are able to overcome CM resistance. This thesis focuses on the identification and characterisation of resistance overcoming CpGV isolates and the analysis of their molecular difference to CpGV-M.rnSixteen CpGV isolates were tested against CM lab strains in bioassays. Hereby, five isolates were identified which were able to completely overcome resistance. The genomes of these isolates were compared to CpGV-M by restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) analysis. To identify the molecular factor responsible for improved virulence of some CpGV isolates, major genomic differences were sequenced and analysed. A 0.7 kb insertion was found in CpGV-I01, -I12 and -E2, but not in other resistance overcoming isolates. Analysis of the insertions sequence revealed that it might be due to a transposition event, but not involved in overcoming resistance. rnFor unequivocal identification of CpGV isolates, a new method based on molecular analysis was established. Partial sequencing of the conserved polyhedrin/granulin (polh/gran), late expression factor-8 (lef-8) and late expression factor-9 (lef-9) genes revealed single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). SNP analysis correlated with the grouping obtained by RFLP analysis. A phylogenetic classification due to different genome types A-E is proposed. Phylogenetic analysis suggested that CpGV-M was the phylogenetically youngest of the tested CpGV isolates.rnWhole genome sequencing of two resistance overcoming isolates CpGV-I12 (type D genome) and -S (type E genome) and CpGV-M (type A genome) was performed. Comparison of the three genomes revealed a high sequence identity. Several insertions and deletions ranging from 1-700 nucleotides (nt) were found. Comparison on open reading frame (ORF) level revealed that CpGV-I12 and -S shared only one protein alteration when compared to CpGV-M: a stretch of 24 nt present in ORF cp24 was not found in any of the resistance overcoming isolates. Cp24 codes for the early gene pe38. Combined with the results of phylogenetic analysis, it is proposed that these 24 nt are a recent insertion into the CpGV-M genome. The role of pe38 in overcoming resistance was investigated by knocking out pe38 of a CpGV-M based bacmid and swapping of CpGV-I12 pe38 of into the k.o. bacmid. When pe38 of CpGV-I12 was inserted into the k.o. bacmid, the infectivity could not be rescued, suggesting that the genomic portion of pe38 might play a role in its function.rnIt can be concluded that the recently observed CpGV resistance in CM is only related to type A genomes. RFLP and SNP analysis provide tools for identifying and characterising different CpGV isolates reliably, a pre-condition for a future registration of CpGV products based on novel CpGV isolates.rnrnrn

Sources and pathways of methane formed in oxidative environments

Methane is the most abundant reduced organic compound in the atmosphere. As the strongest known long-lived greenhouse gas after water vapour and carbon dioxide methane perturbs the radiation balance of Earth’s atmosphere. The abiotic formation of methane requires ultraviolet irradiation of organic matter or takes place in locations with high temperature and/or pressure, e.g. during biomass burning or serpentinisation of olivine, under hydrothermal conditions in the oceans deep or below tectonic plates. The biotic methane formation was traditionally thought to be formed only by methanogens under strictly anaerobic conditions, such as in wetland soils, rice paddies and agricultural waste. rnIn this dissertation several chemical pathways are described which lead to the formation of methane under aerobic and ambient conditions. Organic precursor compounds such as ascorbic acid and methionine were shown to release methane in a chemical system including ferrihydrite and hydrogen peroxide in aquatic solution. Moreover, it was shown by using stable carbon isotope labelling experiments that the thio-methyl group of methionine was the carbon precursor for the methane produced. Methionine, a compound that plays an important role in transmethylation processes in plants was also applied to living plants. Stable carbon isotope labelling experiments clearly verified that methionine acts as a precursor compound for the methane from plants. Further experiments in which the electron transport chain was inhibited suggest that the methane generation is located in the mitochondria of the plants. The abiotic formation of methane was shown for several soil samples. Important environmental parameter such as temperature, UV irradiation and moisture were identified to control methane formation. The organic content of the sample as well as water and hydrogen peroxide might also play a major role in the formation of methane from soils. Based on these results a novel scheme was developed that includes both biotic and chemical sources of methane in the pedosphere.rn

Incidence of HIV-1 drug resistance among antiretroviral treatment-naive individuals starting modern therapy combinations

Estimates of drug resistance incidence to modern first-line combination antiretroviral therapies against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) type 1 are complicated by limited availability of genotypic drug resistance tests (GRTs) and uncertain timing of resistance emergence.

Active surveillance of antibiotic resistance prevalence in urinary tract and skin infections in the outpatient setting

The aim of the study was to evaluate the need for active surveillance of antibiotic resistance in ambulatory infections. We measured the prevalence of antibiotic resistance in urinary tract infections (UTIs) (n = 1018) and skin infections (n = 213) diagnosed in outpatients between September 2008 and February 2009 in the Canton of Bern, Switzerland. Samples were stratified into 'solicited' (diagnostic work-up for study purpose only) and 'routine' (diagnostic work-up as part of standard care). Susceptibility patterns were compared for 463 Escherichia coli isolates from UTIs (231 solicited; 232 routine) and 87 Staphylococcus aureus isolates from skin infections (35 solicited; 52 routine). Overall, E. coli showed higher susceptibility to ampicillin, amoxicillin-clavulanic acid and norfloxacin in solicited than in routine samples. Among 15-45-year-old patients, susceptibility rates were comparable between solicited and routine samples for all antibiotics except for amoxicillin-clavulanic acid. However, among patients >45 years old, isolates from routine samples showed lower susceptibility to all β-lactams tested and quinolones than those from solicited samples. Extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing E. coli isolates were rare (solicited, 0.4%; routine, 1.7%; p 0.4). Susceptibility patterns of S. aureus were comparable between solicited and routine samples. Therefore, in the outpatient setting, susceptibility rates for E. coli isolates differ by indication for urinary culture and age. Surveillance based on samples taken during standard care may underestimate susceptibility rates for uncomplicated infections, especially among the elderly. Reports of resistance data should include age stratification.

Impact of antibiotic use on carbapenem resistance in Pseudomonas aeruginosa: is there a role for antibiotic diversity?

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between the rates of resistance of Pseudomonas aeruginosa to carbapenems and the levels and diversity of antibiotic consumption. Data were retrospectively collected from 20 acute care hospitals across 3 regions of Switzerland between 2006 and 2010. The main outcome of the present study was the rate of resistance to carbapenems among P. aeruginosa. Putative predictors included the total antibiotic consumption and carbapenem consumption in defined daily doses per 100 bed days, the proportion of very broad-spectrum antibiotics used, and the Peterson index. The present study confirmed a correlation between carbapenem use and carbapenem resistance rates at the hospital and regional levels. The impact of diversifying the range of antibiotics used against P. aeruginosa resistance was suggested by (i) a positive correlation in multivariate analysis between the above-mentioned resistance and the proportion of consumed antibiotics having a very broad spectrum of activity (coefficient = 1.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.58 to 2.96; P < 0.01) and (ii) a negative correlation between the resistance and diversity of antibiotic use as measured by the Peterson homogeneity index (coefficient = -0.52; P < 0.05). We conclude that promoting heterogeneity plus parsimony in the use of antibiotics appears to be a valuable strategy for minimizing the spread of carbapenem resistance in P. aeruginosa in hospitals.

Sensitivity of Nd isotopic composition in seawater to changes in Nd sources and paleoceanographic implications

It has been argued that past changes in the sources of Nd could hamper the use of the Nd isotopic composition (ϵNd) as a proxy for past changes in the overturning of deep water masses. Here we reconsider uncertainties associated with ϵNd in seawater due to potential regional to global scale changes in the sources of Nd by applying a modeling approach. For illustrative purposes we describe rather extreme changes in the magnitude of source fluxes, their isotopic composition or both. We find that the largest effects on ϵNd result from changes in the boundary source. Considerable changes also result from variations in the magnitude or ϵNd of dust and rivers but are largely constrained to depths shallower than 1 km, except if they occur in or upstream of regions where deep water masses are formed. From these results we conclude that changes in Nd sources have the potential to affect ϵNd. However, substantial changes are required to generate large-scale changes inϵNd in deep water that are similar in magnitude to those that have been reconstructed from sediment cores or result from changes in meridional overturning circulation in model experiments. Hence, it appears that a shift in ϵNdcomparable to glacial-interglacial variations is difficult to obtain by changes in Nd sources alone, but that more subtle variations can be caused by such changes and must be interpreted with caution.

Presence of new mecA and mph(C) variants conferring antibiotic resistance in Staphylococcus spp. isolated from the skin of horses before and after clinic admission

Because of the frequency of multiple antibiotic resistance, Staphylococcus species often represent a challenge in incisional infections of horses undergoing colic surgery. To investigate the evolution of antibiotic resistance patterns before and after preventative peri- and postoperative penicillin treatment, staphylococci were isolated from skin and wound samples at different times during hospitalization. Most staphylococci were normal skin commensals and belonged to the common coagulase-negative group. In some cases they turned out to be opportunistic pathogens present in wound infections. MICs were determined for 12 antibiotics, and antibiotic resistance genes were detected by microarray. At hospital admission, horses harbored staphylococci that were susceptible to antibiotics or resistant to one group of drugs, mainly due to the presence of new variants of the methicillin and macrolide resistance genes mecA and mph(C), respectively. After 3 days, the percentage of Staphylococcus isolates displaying antibiotic resistance, as well as the number of resistance genes per isolate, increased moderately in hospitalized horses without surgery or penicillin treatment but dramatically in hospitalized horses after colic surgery as well as penicillin treatment. Staphylococcus species displaying multiple resistance were found to harbor mainly genes conferring resistance to beta-lactams (mecA and blaZ), aminoglycosides [str and aac(6')-Ie-aph(2')-Ia], and trimethoprim [dfr(A) and dfr(D)]. Additional genes conferring resistance to macrolides [mph(C), erm(C), and erm(B)], tetracycline [tet(K) and tet(M)], chloramphenicol [cat(pC221) and cat(pC223)], and streptothricin (sat4) appeared in several strains. Hospitalization and preventive penicillin use were shown to act as selection agents for multidrug-resistant commensal staphylococcal flora.

Loss of the high-affinity pentamidine transporter is responsible for high levels of cross-resistance between arsenical and diamidine drugs in African trypanosomes

Treatment of many infectious diseases is under threat from drug resistance. Understanding the mechanisms of resistance is as high a priority as the development of new drugs. We have investigated the basis for cross-resistance between the diamidine and melaminophenyl arsenical classes of drugs in African trypanosomes. We induced high levels of pentamidine resistance in a line without the tbat1 gene that encodes the P2 transporter previously implicated in drug uptake. We isolated independent clones that displayed very considerable cross-resistance with melarsen oxide but not phenylarsine oxide and reduced uptake of [(3)H]pentamidine. In particular, the high-affinity pentamidine transport (HAPT1) activity was absent in the pentamidine-adapted lines, whereas the low affinity pentamidine transport (LAPT1) activity was unchanged. The parental tbat1(-/-) line was sensitive to lysis by melarsen oxide, and this process was inhibited by low concentrations of pentamidine, indicating the involvement of HAPT1. This pentamidine-inhibitable lysis was absent in the adapted line KO-B48. Likewise, uptake of the fluorescent diamidine 4',6-diamidino-2-phenylindole dihydrochloride was much delayed in live KO-B48 cells and insensitive to competition with up to 10 muM pentamidine. No overexpression of the Trypanosoma brucei brucei ATP-binding cassette transporter TbMRPA could be detected in KO-B48. We also show that a laboratory line of Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, adapted to high levels of resistance for the melaminophenyl arsenical drug melarsamine hydrochloride (Cymelarsan), had similarly lost TbAT1 and HAPT1 activity while retaining LAPT1 activity. It seems therefore that selection for resistance to either pentamidine or arsenical drugs can result in a similar phenotype of reduced drug accumulation, explaining the occurrence of cross-resistance.

MODEL UPDATING AND STRUCTURAL HEALTH MONITORING OF HORIZONTAL AXIS WIND TURBINES VIA ADVANCED SPINNING FINITE ELEMENTS AND STOCHASTIC SUBSPACE IDENTIFICATION METHODS

Wind energy has been one of the most growing sectors of the nation’s renewable energy portfolio for the past decade, and the same tendency is being projected for the upcoming years given the aggressive governmental policies for the reduction of fossil fuel dependency. Great technological expectation and outstanding commercial penetration has shown the so called Horizontal Axis Wind Turbines (HAWT) technologies. Given its great acceptance, size evolution of wind turbines over time has increased exponentially. However, safety and economical concerns have emerged as a result of the newly design tendencies for massive scale wind turbine structures presenting high slenderness ratios and complex shapes, typically located in remote areas (e.g. offshore wind farms). In this regard, safety operation requires not only having first-hand information regarding actual structural dynamic conditions under aerodynamic action, but also a deep understanding of the environmental factors in which these multibody rotating structures operate. Given the cyclo-stochastic patterns of the wind loading exerting pressure on a HAWT, a probabilistic framework is appropriate to characterize the risk of failure in terms of resistance and serviceability conditions, at any given time. Furthermore, sources of uncertainty such as material imperfections, buffeting and flutter, aeroelastic damping, gyroscopic effects, turbulence, among others, have pleaded for the use of a more sophisticated mathematical framework that could properly handle all these sources of indetermination. The attainable modeling complexity that arises as a result of these characterizations demands a data-driven experimental validation methodology to calibrate and corroborate the model. For this aim, System Identification (SI) techniques offer a spectrum of well-established numerical methods appropriated for stationary, deterministic, and data-driven numerical schemes, capable of predicting actual dynamic states (eigenrealizations) of traditional time-invariant dynamic systems. As a consequence, it is proposed a modified data-driven SI metric based on the so called Subspace Realization Theory, now adapted for stochastic non-stationary and timevarying systems, as is the case of HAWT’s complex aerodynamics. Simultaneously, this investigation explores the characterization of the turbine loading and response envelopes for critical failure modes of the structural components the wind turbine is made of. In the long run, both aerodynamic framework (theoretical model) and system identification (experimental model) will be merged in a numerical engine formulated as a search algorithm for model updating, also known as Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) process. This iterative engine is based on a set of function minimizations computed by a metric called Modal Assurance Criterion (MAC). In summary, the Thesis is composed of four major parts: (1) development of an analytical aerodynamic framework that predicts interacted wind-structure stochastic loads on wind turbine components; (2) development of a novel tapered-swept-corved Spinning Finite Element (SFE) that includes dampedgyroscopic effects and axial-flexural-torsional coupling; (3) a novel data-driven structural health monitoring (SHM) algorithm via stochastic subspace identification methods; and (4) a numerical search (optimization) engine based on ASA and MAC capable of updating the SFE aerodynamic model.

Long-term trends of HIV type 1 drug resistance prevalence among antiretroviral treatment-experienced patients in Switzerland

BACKGROUND:Accurate quantification of the prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) drug resistance in patients who are receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) is difficult, and results from previous studies vary. We attempted to assess the prevalence and dynamics of resistance in a highly representative patient cohort from Switzerland. METHODS:On the basis of genotypic resistance test results and clinical data, we grouped patients according to their risk of harboring resistant viruses. Estimates of resistance prevalence were calculated on the basis of either the proportion of individuals with a virologic failure or confirmed drug resistance (lower estimate) or the frequency-weighted average of risk group-specific probabilities for the presence of drug resistance mutations (upper estimate). RESULTS:Lower and upper estimates of drug resistance prevalence in 8064 ART-exposed patients were 50% and 57% in 1999 and 37% and 45% in 2007, respectively. This decrease was driven by 2 mechanisms: loss to follow-up or death of high-risk patients exposed to mono- or dual-nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitor therapy (lower estimates range from 72% to 75%) and continued enrollment of low-risk patients who were taking combination ART containing boosted protease inhibitors or nonnucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors as first-line therapy (lower estimates range from 7% to 12%). A subset of 4184 participants (52%) had >or= 1 study visit per year during 2002-2007. In this subset, lower and upper estimates increased from 45% to 49% and from 52% to 55%, respectively. Yearly increases in prevalence were becoming smaller in later years. CONCLUSIONS:Contrary to earlier predictions, in situations of free access to drugs, close monitoring, and rapid introduction of new potent therapies, the emergence of drug-resistant viruses can be minimized at the population level. Moreover, this study demonstrates the necessity of interpreting time trends in the context of evolving cohort populations.