Spatio-temporal analyses of the relationship between armed conflict and climate change in the eastern Africa

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Distribution and Etiology of Chronic Respiratory Diseases in Primary Healthcare Departments in Cape Verde

Data on chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) are scarce or unavailable in most African countries. We aimed to determine the prevalence of CRD and associated risk factors in Cape Verde, at the primary healthcare level.

Decreasing Incidence and Changes in Serotype Distribution of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Persons Aged Under 18 Years Since Introduction of 10-Valent and 13-Valent Conjugate Vaccines in Portugal, July 2008 to June 2012

The 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) became available in Portugal in mid-2009 and the 13-valent vaccine (PCV13) in early 2010. The incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in patients aged under 18 years decreased from 8.19 cases per 100,000 in 2008–09 to 4.52/100,000 in 2011–12. However, IPD incidence due to the serotypes included in the 7-valent conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in children aged under two years remained constant. This fall resulted from significant decreases in the number of cases due to: (i) the additional serotypes included in PCV10 and PCV13 (1, 5, 7F; from 37.6% to 20.6%), particularly serotype 1 in older children; and (ii) the additional serotypes included in PCV13 (3, 6A, 19A; from 31.6% to 16.2%), particularly serotype 19A in younger children. The decrease in serotype 19A before vaccination indicates that it was not triggered by PCV13 administration. The decrease of serotype 1 in all groups, concomitant with the introduction of PCV10, is also unlikely to have been triggered by vaccination, although PCVs may have intensified and supported these trends. PCV13 serotypes remain major causes of IPD, accounting for 63.2% of isolates recovered in Portugal in 2011–12, highlighting the potential role of enhanced vaccination in reducing paediatric IPD in Portugal.

Three essays in risky behaviors

A PhD Dissertation, presented as part of the requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy from the NOVA - School of Business and Economics

Prevalência de infecção numa população de hemodialisados, em ambiente clínico

RESUMO: Foram estudados, numa análise retrospectiva, 1689 doentes com insuficiência renal crónica (IRC), pertencentes a 11 clínicas de hemodiálise, num período de 1 Janeiro de 2009 a 1 de Janeiro de 2012 (três anos). Utilizaram-se os dados clínicos desses doentes relativos a amostras de hemoculturas, exsudados purulentos e urinas assépticas, de forma a caracterizar os microorganismos existentes e relacionou-se com alguns dados demográficos. Os doentes do sexo masculino estiveram sempre em maior número pelo que também possuíam a maior média de idades nos vários casos. O presente estudo observou que cerca de metade da população em estudo que se encontra em HD possui menos de 68 anos. Na análise aos dados das hemoculturas confirmou-se que o S.aureus é o microrganismo predominante dos casos de infecção, embora exista uma grande diversidade de microorganismos. Verificou-se também, que quanto maior a idade do doente maior é probabilidade de contrair uma infecção. Os doentes que contraíram infecção foram em número similar, pelo que a sua distribuição por sexo também foi idêntica na infecção, mas não o era inicialmente. Para as amostras de hemoculturas, também se observou que quanto maior é a dimensão da clínica (número de doentes), maior é o número de infecções. Embora esta heterogeneidade já tenha sido descrita para outros países, demonstra que possivelmente existe uma oportunidade de nivelar as clínicas pelas melhores clínicas de forma a obter ganhos em saúde. Nas amostras de exsudados purulentos, o microrganismo mais frequente foi S.aureus, observando-se que com o aumento da idade aumenta também o número de infecções. A distribuição por sexo de doentes com e sem infecção foi semelhante. Nas urinas assépticas o microorganismo predominante foi a E.coli. Mais uma vez se observou que com o aumento da idade aumenta o número de infecções. Na distribuição por sexo, os doentes do sexo feminino encontravam-se em maior número, pelo que também foi o género que mais infecções apresentou. Conclui-se que o padrão de microorganismos apresentado foi de encontro com o esperado, existindo uma grande diversidade de microorganismos nas amostras estudadas. Para além disso a heterogeneidade das clínicas apresenta uma oportunidade para um estudo mais aprofundado pelos profissionais interessados na organização e qualidade dos laboratórios de análises.----------ABSTRACT: This retrospective study involves 1689 patients with chronic kidney disease from 11 clinics, from January 1st 2009 to January 1st 2012 (3 years). The Clinical data used for these patients related to blood culture samples, aseptic urine and purulent exudates, in order to characterize the microorganisms within and its relationship to some demographic data. There was a higher number of male patients and their average age distribution was also wider. The present study observed that around half of the studied population that is in HD is below the age of 68 years. While analyzing the data from the blood cultures, it was confirmed that S. aureus is the predominant microorganism in infections, although a wide variety of microorganisms exists. It was also found that the greater the age of the patient, the greater is the probability of contracting an infection. Patients who contracted infection were in similar number so their gender distribution was also similar in infection, even though it was not so initially. For the blood culture samples, it was also observed that the greater the size of the clinic (number of patients), the greater the number of infections. Although this heterogeneity has already been described for other countries, it demonstrates that there is an opportunity to even all the clinics to the best, in order to obtain health gains. In the samples of purulent exudates, the most frequent microorganism was S. aureus, noting that, with increasing age, the number of infections also increases. The distribution of patients by sex with and without infection was similar. In aseptic urines the predominant microorganism was E.coli. Once again, it was observed the number of infections increases with age. In the distribution by gender, female patients were more numerous, and as such this gender suffered more infections. Overall, the pattern of microorganisms that was detected was as expected, with a registered large diversity in the studied samples. Furthermore, the heterogeneity of the clinics presents an opportunity for a more profound study to be undertaken by professionals interested in the quality and organization of clinical analysis laboratories.

Health care needs and resources distribution: How to allocate financial resources in primary care trust?

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Distribution of the entodiniomorphid ciliate Troglocorys cava Tokiwa, Modrý, Ito, Pomajbíková, Petrželková, & Imai, , (Entodiniomorphida: Blepharocorythidae) in wild and captive chimpanzees.

Trophozoites of Troglocorys cava were detected in all but one of the wild chimpanzee populations from Rubondo Island (Tanzania), with a prevalence ranging between 20% and 78%. However, the ciliate was absent in all captive groups. Prevalence appeared to increase with the number of sequential samples taken from a particular individual and reached 95.5% in wild individuals sampled at least 4 times.

The Evolution of Population Distribution on the Iberian Peninsula: A Transnational Approach (1877–2001)

Surpassing the national perspective usually adopted, the authors confirmed the existence of a pattern of population distribution common to the whole Iberian Peninsula in the long run. This pattern is clearly associated with geographical factors. These variables seem to have more weight in explaining changes between 1877/78 and 1940 than in the period from 1940 to 2001. The observation of the cross-border region has shown that proximity to the frontier has not generated any distinct pattern of population density on either side of the boundary line. The spatial coherence of the observed phenomena throughout the Peninsula and of its evolution, independent of the border between states, reinforces the importance of geographic factors in their explanation. At the same time, this verification opens up new issues related to the effect of national political and economic policies.

Design of future distribution grids

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores

Coherent structures in open channel flows with bed load transport over an hydraulically rough bed

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil – Perfil de Estruturas

Tegumentary leishmaniasis in Northern Argentina: distribution of infection and disease, in three municipalities of Salta, 1990-1992

This work describes the epidemiological pattern of tegumentary leishmaniasis in an area north of Salta, Argentina. The prevalence and incidence were estimated by means of a cross-sectional study and two follow-up studies during two consecutive years. The Montenegro Skin Test (MST) was administered to 7336 subjects at baseline. The prevalence and incidence between 1990 and 1992 of infection (MST reactive) was 38‰ persons and 4.5‰ persons/year respectively. The prevalence and incidence of tegumentary leishmaniasis (presence of clinical signs) was 1.8‰ and 0.8‰ persons/year, respectively. A physical examination performed on 264 patients with MST reactive during three years revealed that 130 cases (49.2%) had some evident sign of infection (scar and/or lesion), with a clinical presentation compatible with leishmaniasis. Our study demonstrated that after the epidemic outbreak of 1985 the transmission in the study area returned to endemic levels in 1992, and also demonstrated the presence of the asymptomatic infection in the area.

First record on Loxosceles laeta (Nicolet, 1849) (Araneae, Sicariidae) in the West Zone of São Paulo City, São Paulo, Brazil, and considerations regarding its geographic distribution

Loxosceles laeta spiders were captured in the West zone of São Paulo City, this being the first record of the specie in this area. Since loxoscelism is an important public health problem in the South region of Brazil, it is necessary to investigate the presence of this spider in São Paulo City.

Prevalence and monthly distribution of head lice using two diagnostic procedures in several age groups in Uberlândia, State of Minas Gerais, Southeastern Brazil

Some epidemiological characteristics of head lice, Pediculus capitis, were studied using two procedures: cut hair analysis and head inspection. Higher prevalence rates were observed in the middle and at the end of the school terms. Both procedures indicated that children were the main reservoir for this type of pediculosis in Uberlândia.

Predicting the impacts of climate change on the distribution and conservation of endemic forest land snails of Madeira Island

Climate change is emerging as one of the major threats to natural communities of the world’s ecosystems; and biodiversity hotspots, such as Madeira Island, might face a challenging future in the conservation of endangered land snails’ species. With this thesis, progresses have been made in order to properly understand the impact of climate on these vulnerable taxa; and species distribution models coupled with GIS and climate change scenarios have become crucial to understand the relations between species distribution and environmental conditions, identifying threats and determining biodiversity vulnerability. With the use of MaxEnt, important changes in the species suitable areas were obtained. Laurel forest species, highly dependent on precipitation and relative humidity, may face major losses on their future suitable areas, leading to the possible extinction of several endangered species, such as Leiostyla heterodon. Despite the complexity of the biological systems, the intrinsic uncertainty of species distribution models and the lack of information about land snails’ functional traits, this analysis contributed to a pioneer study on the impacts of climate change on endemic species of Madeira Island. The future inclusion of predictions of the effect of climate change on species distribution as part of IUCN assessments could contribute to species prioritizing, promoting specific management actions and maximizing conservation investment.

Decline in prevalence and asymmetric distribution of human T cell lymphotropic virus 1 and 2 in blood donors, State of Minas Gerais, Brazil, 1993 to 2007

INTRODUCTION: Human T cell lymphotropic virus types 1 and 2 (HTLV-1/2) are endemic in Brazil and are screened for in transfusion services since 1993. This study evaluated the evolution of the prevalence of HTLV-1 and 2 in blood donors of the Hemominas Foundation from 1993 to 2007, and its geographical distribution in State of Minas Gerais, Brazil. METHODS: The Hemominas Foundation is a centralized blood center in Minas Gerais, Brazil. The sources of data were the Hemominas Foundation Technical Bulletin and files from the centralized serological laboratory. Donors were tested in the period using enzyme linked immuno sorbent assays (ELISA), followed by Western blot, when repeatedly reactive. The data were analyzed by EPIINFO 6.2 and TABWIN 3.5 softwares. RESULTS: The average seroprevalence in the period 1993-2007 was 0.1%. A steady decline occurred from 0.4% in 1993 to below 0.1% in 2002 and later, with a transient peak of 0.5% in 1994. HTLV reactivity distribution was asymmetrical in the state, with regions of higher prevalence, interspersed with low prevalence areas. Comparison of positive and negative donors verified that increasing age was proportional to virus positivity. Odds ratio for age ranged from 1.43 (30 to 39 years-old) to 3.09 (50 to 65 years-old). Women had a greater chance of being positive (OR-1.64), as previously described. CONCLUSIONS: Possible explanations for HTLV-1/2 prevalence decline are the exclusion of positive donors from the donor pool, an increase in repeat donors and ELISA test improvement, with reduction in the number of false positive results.