An Early-Warning System for Hypo-/Hyperglycemic Events Based on Fusion of Adaptive Prediction Models

Introduction: Early warning of future hypoglycemic and hyperglycemic events can improve the safety of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) patients. The aim of this study is to design and evaluate a hypoglycemia / hyperglycemia early warning system (EWS) for T1DM patients under sensor-augmented pump (SAP) therapy. Methods: The EWS is based on the combination of data-driven online adaptive prediction models and a warning algorithm. Three modeling approaches have been investigated: (i) autoregressive (ARX) models, (ii) auto-regressive with an output correction module (cARX) models, and (iii) recurrent neural network (RNN) models. The warning algorithm performs postprocessing of the models′ outputs and issues alerts if upcoming hypoglycemic/hyperglycemic events are detected. Fusion of the cARX and RNN models, due to their complementary prediction performances, resulted in the hybrid autoregressive with an output correction module/recurrent neural network (cARN)-based EWS. Results: The EWS was evaluated on 23 T1DM patients under SAP therapy. The ARX-based system achieved hypoglycemic (hyperglycemic) event prediction with median values of accuracy of 100.0% (100.0%), detection time of 10.0 (8.0) min, and daily false alarms of 0.7 (0.5). The respective values for the cARX-based system were 100.0% (100.0%), 17.5 (14.8) min, and 1.5 (1.3) and, for the RNN-based system, were 100.0% (92.0%), 8.4 (7.0) min, and 0.1 (0.2). The hybrid cARN-based EWS presented outperforming results with 100.0% (100.0%) prediction accuracy, detection 16.7 (14.7) min in advance, and 0.8 (0.8) daily false alarms. Conclusion: Combined use of cARX and RNN models for the development of an EWS outperformed the single use of each model, achieving accurate and prompt event prediction with few false alarms, thus providing increased safety and comfort.

Food Security and Agri-Foreign Direct Investment in Weak States: Finding the Governance Gap to Avoid ‘Land Grab’

Food security is important. A rising world population coupled with climate change creates growing pressure on global world food supplies. States alleviate this pressure domestically by attracting agri-foreign direct investment (agri-FDI). This is a high-risk strategy for weak states: the state may gain valuable foreign currency, technology and debt-free growth; but equally, investors may fail to deliver on their commitments and exploit weak domestic legal infrastructure to ‘grab’ large areas of prime agricultural land, leaving only marginal land for domestic production. A net loss to local food security and to the national economy results. This is problematic because the state must continue to guarantee its citizens’ right to food and property. Agri-FDI needs close regulation to maximise its benefit. This article maps the multilevel system of governance covering agri-FDI. We show how this system creates asymmetric rights in favour of the investor to the detriment of the host state’s food security and how these problems might be alleviated.

Frolockender Glücks-Wunsch und freudiges Jubel-Geschrey bey dem wohlverwahrten Auszuge des fameusen Juden und Ertz-Land-Betriegers Joseph Süß Oppenheimer von Stuttgard nach Hohen-Neuffen und Asperg, und von daher den 4ten Febr. 1738 zum Galgen und denen Teuffeln, in einem kurzgefaßten Carmine, worinnen dessen vornehmste Verbrechen und Schindereyen angemercket

entworffen von den hart beträngt gewesenen Würtenbergischen Unterthanen

Betrachtung, welche über den gewesenen Würtembergischen Geheimden Rath, wie auch Cabinet-Minister und Financien-Director, nemlich, den stadt- und land-bekannten Juden Süß-Oppenheimer genannt, kürtzlich abgefasset, und in wohl-gesetzten Reim-Zeilen zusammen getragen worden

von Marcomanno

Kunstloses aber wahres Wort zum Besten der heranwachsenden jüdischen Jugend : bei Eröffnung d. 2. Provizial-Land-Tages d. Herzogthums Schlesien ... am 13. Jan. 1828 d. sämmtl. hochverert. Herren Ständen ... gewidmet

von C. B. Bergis

Recharge Areas and Geochemical Evolution of Groundwater in an Alluvial Aquifer System in the Sultanate of Oman

A regional hydrogeochemical model was developed to evaluate the geochemical evolution of different groundwaters in an alluvial aquifer system in the Interior of Oman. In combination with environmental isotopes the model is able to extract qualitative and quantitative information about recharge, groundwater flow paths and hydraulic connections between different aquifers. The main source of water to the alluvial aquifer along the flow paths ofWadi Abyadh andWadi M’uaydin in the piedmont is groundwater from the high-altitude areas of the Jabal Akhdar and local infiltration along the wadi channels. In contrast, the piedmont alluvial aquifer alongWadi Halfayn is primarily replenished by lateral recharge from the ophiolite foothills to the east besides smaller contributions from the Jabal Akhdar and local infiltration. Further down gradient in the Southern Alluvial Plain aquifer a significant source of recharge is direct infiltration of rain and surface runoff, originating from a moisture source that approaches Oman from the south. The model shows that the main geochemical evolution of the alluvial groundwaters occurs along the flow path from the piedmont to the Southern Alluvial Plain, where dedolomitization is responsible for the observed changes in the chemical and carbon isotope composition in these waters.

A climatological analysis of high-precipitation events in Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica, and associated large-scale atmospheric conditions

The link between high precipitation in Dronning Maud Land (DML), Antarctica, and the large-scale atmospheric circulation is investigated using ERA-Interim data for 1979–2009. High-precipitation events are analyzed at Halvfarryggen situated in the coastal region of DML and at Kohnen Station located in its interior. This study further includes a comprehensive comparison of high precipitation in ERA-Interim with precipitation data from the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) and snow accumulation measurements from automatic weather stations (AWSs), with the limitations of such a comparison being discussed. The ERA-Interim and AMPS precipitation data agree very well. However, the correspondence between high precipitation in ERA-Interim and high snow accumulation at the AWSs is relatively weak. High-precipitation events at both Halvfarryggen and Kohnen are typically associated with amplified upper level waves. This large-scale atmospheric flow pattern is preceded by the downstream development of a Rossby wave train from the eastern South Pacific several days before the precipitation event. At the surface, a cyclone located over the Weddell Sea is the main synoptic ingredient for high precipitation both at Halvfarryggen and at Kohnen. A blocking anticyclone downstream is not a requirement for high precipitation per se, but a larger share of blocking occurrences during the highest-precipitation days in DML suggests that these blocks strengthen the vertically integrated water vapor transport (IVT) into DML. A strong link between high precipitation and the IVT perpendicular to the local orography suggests that IVT could be used as a “proxy” for high precipitation, in particular over DML's interior.

Detection system for Escherichia coli-specific virulence genes: absence of virulence determinants in B and C strains

We describe a rational approach to simultaneously test Escherichia coli strains for the presence of known virulence genes in a reverse dot blot procedure. Specific segments of virulence genes of E. coli designed to have similar hybridization parameters were subcloned on plasmids and subsequently amplified by PCR as unlabeled probes in amounts sufficient to be bound to nylon membranes. Various pathogenic isolates and laboratory strains of E. coli were probed for the presence of virulence genes by labeling the genomic DNA of these strains with digoxigenin and then hybridizing them to the prepared nylon membranes. These hybridization results demonstrated that besides the E. coli K-12 safety strain derivatives, E. coli B and C strains are also devoid of genes encoding any of the investigated virulence factors. In contrast, pathogenic E. coli control strains, used to evaluate the method, showed typical hybridization patterns. The described probes and their easy application on a single filter were shown to provide a useful tool for the safety assessment of E. coli strains to be used as hosts in biotechnological processes. This approach might also be used for the identification and characterization of clinically significant E. coli isolates from human and animal species.

Erläuterung der Concession für die Land-Judenschafft in der Pfaltz

Carl Theodor Kurfürst von der Pfalz

Is thermochemotherapy with the Synergo system a viable treatment option in patients with recurrent non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer?

OBJECTIVES To prospectively evaluate the outcome of combined microwave-induced bladder wall hyperthermia and intravesical mitomycin C instillation (thermochemotherapy) in patients with recurrent non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer. METHODS Between 2003 and 2009, 21 patients (median age 70 years, range 35-95 years) with recurrent non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (pTaG1-2 n = 9; pTaG3 n = 3; pT1 n = 9; concurrent pTis n = 8) were prospectively enrolled. Of 21 patients, 15 (71%) had received previous intravesical instillations with bacillus Calmette-Guérin, mitomycin C and/or farmorubicin. Thermochemotherapy using the Synergo system was carried out in 11 of 21 patients (52%) with curative intent, and in 10 of 21 patients (48%) as prophylaxis against recurrence. RESULTS The median number of thermochemotherapy cycles per patient was six (range 1-12). Adverse effects were frequent and severe: urinary urgency/frequency in 11 of 21 patients (52%), pain in eight of 21 patients (38%) and gross hematuria in five of 21 patients (24%). In eight of 21 patients (38%), thermochemotherapy had to be abandoned because of the severity of the adverse effects (pain in 3/8, severe bladder spasms in 2/8, allergic reaction in 2/8, urethral perforation in 1/8). Overall, six of 21 patients (29%) remained free of tumor after a median follow up of 50 months (range 1-120), six of 21 patients (29%) had to undergo cystectomy because of multifocal recurrences or cancer progression and seven of 21 patients (33%) died (2/7 of metastatic disease, 5/7 of non-cancer related causes). CONCLUSIONS Given the high rate of severe side-effects leading to treatment discontinuation, as well as the limited tumor response, thermochemotherapy should be offered only in highly selected cases of recurrent non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

Das Land zwischen Orient und Okzident : spanische Reise eines Juden

von Marcus Ehrenpreis. Mit e. Brief an den Verf. von Alfons Paquet. [Nach d. Schwed. 1927 ersch. Origin. vom Verf. in deutsch. Sprache bearb. u. wesentl. erg.]

A Passive Source Localization System for IEEE 802.15.4 Signal

In this work, we provide a passive location monitoring system for IEEE 802.15.4 signal emitters. The system adopts software defined radio techniques to passively overhear IEEE 802.15.4 packets and to extract power information from baseband signals. In our system, we provide a new model based on the nonlinear regression for ranging. After obtaining distance information, a Weighted Centroid (WC) algorithm is adopted to locate users. In WC, each weight is inversely proportional to the nth power of propagation distance, and the degree n is obtained from some initial measurements. We evaluate our system in a 16m-18m area with complex indoor propagation conditions. We are able to achieve a median error of 2:1m with only 4 anchor nodes.