Assessing trends in insured losses from floods in Spain 1971-2008

Economic impacts from floods have been increasing over recent decades, a fact often attributed to a changing climate. On the other hand, there is now a significant body of scientific scholarship all pointing towards increasing concentrations and values of assets as the principle cause of the increasing cost of natural disasters. This holds true for a variety of perils and across different jurisdictions. With this in mind, this paper examines the time history of insured losses from floods in Spain between 1971 and 2008. It as- sesses whether any discernible residual signal remains after adjusting the data for the increase in the number and value of insured assets over this period of time. Data on insured losses from floods were sourced from Consorcio de Com- pensacíon de Seguros (CCS). Although a public institution, CCS compensates homeowners for the damage produced by floods, and thus plays a role similar to that of a private insurance company. Insured losses were adjusted using two proxy measures: first, changes in the total amount of annual surcharges (premiums) paid by customers to CCS, and secondly, changes in the total value of dwellings per year. The adjusted data reveals no significant trend over the period 1971-2008 and serves again to confirm that at this juncture, societal in- fluences remain the prime factors driving insured and economic losses from natural disasters.

Characterization of the antioxidant capacity of natives fruits from the Brazilian Amazon Region

The objective of the present study was to characterize the chemistry and the antioxidant capacity in 8 species of native fruits from Amazonia. All the fruits were collected at full physiological and commercial maturity from properties located at: Boa Vista / RR, São Luiz do Anauá / RR, Manaus / AM, and Belém / PA. At the end of the experiment, the functional pattern for the camu-camu fruits showed that the total phenolic and ascorbic acid content and antioxidant assays were superior compared to the other samples. Despite the functional losses detected for the freeze-dried samples of the camu-camu fruit, all the other freeze-dried samples kept under -20ºC showed appropriate stability for long-term storage. In addition, it was also observed that fruit peel showed higher antioxidant activity than pulp or samples containing peel and pulp tissues in the same extract. When the ratio between the ORAC and total phenolic assays were observed, the uxi fruit demonstrated the highest antioxidant power compared to the other fruits studied, despite its relatively low levels of phenolic compound content and ORAC values. This means that there is a relevant contribution of these phenolic compounds to the antioxidant activity of uxi fruit.

Pyörivän magneettivuon aiheuttamien tehohäviöiden mittaus sähköteräslevystä.

Kiertomagnetoinnin, eli pyörivän magneettivuon, on havaittu aiheuttavan sähkökoneiden rautapiireissä käytetyissä sähköteräslevyissä merkittävästi vaihtovuota suuremman tehohäviön. Sähkökoneet suunnitellaan käyttäen vaihtovuomittaukseen perustuvia levymateriaalin tehohäviöarvoja, vaikka pyörivien sähkökoneiden rautapiireissä on alueita, joissa esiintyy pyörivä vuontiheysjakauma. Tämän johdosta rautahäviöiden tarkka laskeminen on vaikeaa. Työssä käsitellään rautaa magneettisena materiaalina, siinä muodostuvia tehohäviöitä vaihtovuolla sekä pyörivällä magneettivuolla sekä esitetään pyörivän magneettivuon aiheuttamien tehohäviöiden mittaukseen soveltuvat mittalaitteet ja laitteiden toiminnan perusta. Pyörivän magneettivuon aiheuttamat tehohäviöt määritetään sähkö- ja magneettikentänvoimakkuuden mittaukseen perustuvalla laitteistolla, joka suunniteltiin ja valmistettiin työn yhteydessä. Mittaukset suoritettiin kidesuuntaamattomille sähköteräksille M350-50A, M600-50A ja M800-50A. Mittaustulosten perusteella laitteistoa voidaan pitää toimivana.

Taajuusmuuttajat voimalaitosten pumppauksissa, erityisesti syöttöveden pyörimisnopeussäädön vaikutus ruiskutusvesijärjestelmiin

Työn ensimmäisessä osassa tutustutaan pumppauksen teoriaan ja esitellään kuristus- ja pyörimisnopeussäätö. Toisessa osassa perehdytään pyörimisnopeussäädössä käytettävän taajuusmuuttajan rakenteeseen ja sen eri osissa syntyviin häviöihin. Kolmannessa osassa tutkitaan kolmen eri tavoin säädetyn pumppauksen toimintaa Pelloksen voimalaitoksella. Lauhdepumpun kierrosnopeussäätöä verrataan vaihtoehtoiseen kuristussäätöön. Viimeisessä osassa selvitetään mahdollisuutta poistaa pyörimisnopeussäädön turhaksi tekemä syöttövesiventtiili voimalaitosten suunnittelusta. Erityisesti etsitään vaihtoehtoisia menetelmiä ruiskutusveden tuottamiseen. Uusia vaihtoehtoja ruiskutusvedelle esitetään kaksitoista. Ruiskutusvesitekniikoita vertaillaan keskenään ja parasta vaihtoehtoa verrataan nykyiseen menettelyyn.

Energiansäästömahdollisuudet energiayhtiön toiminnassa

Työn tarkoituksena oli etsiä energian säästökohteita Etelä-Savon Energia Oy:n voimalaitos-, kaukolämpö- sekä sähkön siirto- ja jakelualalta. Työ liittyi Etelä-Savon Energia Oy:n sopimaan valtakunnalliseen energiansäästösopimukseen, jossa yhtiö sitoutui analysoimaan energian käyttönsä ja tekemään energia-analyysin pohjalta energiansäästösuunnitelman. Tässä työssä analysoitiin nykyinen energian käyttö ja etsittiin säästökohteita. Löydetyille säästökohteille määritettiin säästön sekä tarvittavan investoinnin suuruus ja suora takaisinmaksuaika investoinnille. Voimalaitoksen osalta ei löydetty suuria säästökohteita, mutta muutamia pienempiä lähinnä lämmityksiin liittyviä kohteita havaittiin. Kaukolämmön osalta säästökohteita löytyi lähinnä lämpökeskusten seisonta-aikaisista lämmityksistä, mutta kaukolämpöverkon osalta ei kannattavia säästökohteita löydetty. Sähkön siirron ja jakelun osalta loistehon kompensoinnin lisääminen vähentäisi häviöitä verkossa ja vähentäisi kompensoinnin tarvetta voimalaitoksen generaattorilla. Isoja säästökohteita ei löydetty, koska yhtiö on vuosien varrella tehostanut toimintaansa ja pienentänyt aktiivisesti energiahäviöitä.

Taajuusmuuttajan verkkovirran yliaallot pienitehoisissa kolmivaihekäytöissä

Pienitehoisessa taajuusmuuttajassa verkkojännite tasasuunnataan yleisesti diodisillalla. Taajuusmuuttajaa kuormitettaessa diodisilta aiheuttaa sen, että verkosta otettava virta on epäsinimuotoista ja sisältää runsaasti eri kertalukujen yliaaltoja. Tällainen virta vääristää verkon jännitettä sekä aiheuttaa häviöitä, resonansseja ja toimintaepävarmuutta sähkönjakeluverkkoon liitetyissä laitteissa ja komponenteissa. Työssä on tarkasteltu pienitehoisen kolmivaiheisen taajuusmuuttajan tulovirrassa esiintyviä yliaaltoja ja keinoja niiden rajoittamiseksi. Laitevalmistajien osalta syynä aiheen tutkimiseen ja kiinnostavuuteen ovat lähinnä uudet yliaaltoja käsittelevät standardit. Työssä onkin tutustuttu tarvittavin osin standardoinnin nykytilaan sekä seurattu standardeja valmistelevien työryhmien työtä ja tätä kautta perehdytty alaa käsittelevien standardien tulevaisuudennäkymiin Euroopan Unionin alueella. Käsittely on kohdistettu kolmivaiheisiin laitteisiin. Standardi IEC 61000-3-2 asettaa yliaaltorajat ammattikäyttöön tarkoitetuille laitteille, kun laitteen tuloteho on korkeintaan 1 kW. Tällä tehoalueella riittää kolmivaihelaitteille kuristimilla suoritettu passiivinen suodatus täyttämään asetetut viranomaisvaatimukset. Tähän liittyen on suunniteltu kolmivaihekuristin, joka on tarkoitettu käytettäväksi taajuusmuuttajasarjan lisävarusteena tehoalueella 0.12…2.2 kW.

DTC-induktiomoottorikäytön soveltaminen keskitaajuusalueelle

Työssä tarkastellaan olemassa olevan suoraa vääntömomentin säätöä käyttävän taajuudenmuuttajan soveltamista keskitaajuusalueella toimiviin induktiomoottorikäyttöihin. Keskinopeusalueen sovellusten pyörimisnopeudet ovat tyypillisesti 6000…30000rpm. Tällöin invertterin lähtötaajuuden on nelinapaista moottoria ohjattaessa ulotuttava 1000Hz:iin. ABB:n ACS600 taajuudenmuuttajan nykyinen syöttötaajuus ulottuu noin 400Hz:iin ja sen keskimääräinen kytkentätaajuus on luokkaa 3kHz. Taajuudenmuuttajan keskimääräistä kytkentätaajuutta ei haluta tästä merkittävästi nostaa, koska tällöin pääteasteen mitoitusta ja rakennetta on muutettava. Tarkastelussa keskitytään täten jännitemodulointiin, joka määrittelee invertterin lähtöjännitteen käyrämuodon ja pääteasteen tehokytkimien kytkentätaajuuden. Työssä esitetään suoran käämivuon säädön periaatetta soveltava 30-kulmainen modulointimenetelmä (30-modulointi), jolla moottorin syöttövirrasta voidaan eliminoida 5. ja 7. yliharmoninen komponentti. Yliharmonisten komponenttien eliminointi mahdollistaa passiivisilla komponenteilla toteutetun alipäästösuodattimen asentamisen invertterin lähtöön, jolloin moottorissa tapahtuvat tehohäviöt saadaan pieniksi. 30-moduloinnin ohjaukseen ja säätöön esitetään menetelmät, jotka mahdollistavat sen toteuttamisen nykyiseen taajuudenmuuttajaan ohjelmallisesti ilman suuria laitteistomuutoksia. 30-moduloinnin ominaisuuksia tarkastellaan analyyttisin menetelmin ja sen toimintaa testataan esitettyjen teorioiden perusteella simuloimalla. 30-moduloinnin ohjelmallinen implementointi nykyiseen ACS600:een mahdollistaa periaatteessa noin 600Hz:n syöttötaajuuden saavuttamisen. Tällöin invertterin keskimääräinen kytkentätaajuus voidaan säätää koko pyörimisnopeusalueella alle 4kHz:n tasolle.

The Optimisation of the Draft Tube of a Hydro Power Plant at Off-Design Conditions

Several possible methods of increasing the efficiency and power of hydro power plants by improving the flow passages are investigated in this stydy. The theoretical background of diffuser design and its application to the optimisation of hydraulic turbine draft tubes is presented in the first part of this study. Several draft tube modernisation projects that have been carried out recently are discussed. Also, a method of increasing the efficiency of the draft tube by injecting a high velocity jet into the boundary layer is presented. Methods of increasing the head of a hydro power plant by using an ejector or a jet pump are discussed in the second part of this work. The theoretical principles of various ejector and jet pump types are presented and four different methods of calculating them are examined in more detail. A self-made computer code is used to calculate the gain in the head for two example power plants. Suitable ejector installations for the example plants are also discussed. The efficiency of the ejector power was found to be in the range 6 - 15 % for conventional head increasers, and 30 % for the jet pump at its optimum operating point. In practice, it is impossible to install an optimised jet pump with a 30 % efficiency into the draft tube as this would considerabely reduce the efficiency of the draft tube at normal operating conditions. This demonstrates, however, the potential for improvement which lies in conventional head increaser technology. This study is based on previous publications and on published test results. No actual laboratory measurements were made for this study. Certain aspects of modelling the flow in the draft tube using computational fluid dynamics are discussed in the final part of this work. The draft tube inlet velocity field is a vital boundary condition for such a calculation. Several previously measured velocity fields that have successfully been utilised in such flow calculations are presented herein.

High-Speed Solid-Rotor Induction Machine – Electromagnetic Calculation and Design

Within the latest decade high-speed motor technology has been increasingly commonly applied within the range of medium and large power. More particularly, applications like such involved with gas movement and compression seem to be the most important area in which high-speed machines are used. In manufacturing the induction motor rotor core of one single piece of steel it is possible to achieve an extremely rigid rotor construction for the high-speed motor. In a mechanical sense, the solid rotor may be the best possible rotor construction. Unfortunately, the electromagnetic properties of a solid rotor are poorer than the properties of the traditional laminated rotor of an induction motor. This thesis analyses methods for improving the electromagnetic properties of a solid-rotor induction machine. The slip of the solid rotor is reduced notably if the solid rotor is axially slitted. The slitting patterns of the solid rotor are examined. It is shown how the slitting parameters affect the produced torque. Methods for decreasing the harmonic eddy currents on the surface of the rotor are also examined. The motivation for this is to improve the efficiency of the motor to reach the efficiency standard of a laminated rotor induction motor. To carry out these research tasks the finite element analysis is used. An analytical calculation of solid rotors based on the multi-layer transfer-matrix method is developed especially for the calculation of axially slitted solid rotors equipped with wellconducting end rings. The calculation results are verified by using the finite element analysis and laboratory measurements. The prototype motors of 250 – 300 kW and 140 Hz were tested to verify the results. Utilization factor data are given for several other prototypes the largest of which delivers 1000 kW at 12000 min-1.

Emergent power hierarchies and group performance (Published online: 7 Oct. 2014)

In newly formed groups, informal hierarchies emerge automatically and readily. In this study, we argue that emergent group hierarchies enhance group performance (Hypothesis 1) and we assume that the more the power hierarchy within a group corresponds to the task-competence differences of the individual group members, the better the group performs (Hypothesis 2). Twelve three-person groups and 28 four-person groups were investigated while solving the Winter Survival Task. Results show that emerging power hierarchies positively impact group performance but the alignment between task-competence and power hierarchy did not affect group performance. Thus, emergent power hierarchies are beneficial for group performance and although they were on average created around individual group members' competence, this correspondence was not a prerequisite for better group performance.

Proportionality and Party Success in Europe

This thesis consists of four articles and an introductory section. The main research questions in all the articles are about proportionality and party success in Europe, at European, national or district levels. Proportionality in this thesis denotes the proximity of seat shares parties receive compared to their respective vote shares, after the electoral system’s allocation process. This proportionality can be measured through numerous indices that illustrate either the overall proportionality of an electoral system or a particular election. The correspondence of a single party’s seat shares to its vote shares can also be measured. The overall proportionality is essential in three of the articles (1, 2 and 4), where the system’s performance is studied by means of plots. In article 3, minority party success is measured by advantage-ratios that reveal single party’s winnings or losses in the votes to seat allocation process. The first article asks how proportional are the European parliamentary (EP) electoral systems, how do they compare with results gained from earlier studies and how do the EP electoral systems treat different sized parties. The reasons for different outcomes are looked for in explanations given by traditional electoral studies i.e. electoral system variables. The countries studied (EU15) apply electoral systems that vary in many important aspects, even though a certain amount of uniformity has been aspired to for decades. Since the electoral systems of the EP elections closely resemble the national elections, the same kinds of profiles emerge as in the national elections. The electoral systems indeed treat the parties differentially and six different profile types can be found. The counting method seems to somewhat determine the profile group, but the strongest variables determining the shape of a countries’ profile appears to be the average district magnitude and number of seats allocated to each country. The second article also focuses on overall proportionality performance of an electoral system, but here the focus is on the impact of electoral system changes. I have developed a new method of visualizing some previously used indices and some new indices for this purpose. The aim is to draw a comparable picture of these electoral systems’ changes and their effects. The cases, which illustrate this method, are four elections systems, where a change has occurred in one of the system variables, while the rest remained unchanged. The studied cases include the French, Greek and British European parliamentary systems and the Swedish national parliamentary system. The changed variables are electoral type (plurality changed to PR in the UK), magnitude (France splitting the nationwide district into eight smaller districts), legal threshold (Greece introducing a three percent threshold) and counting method (d’Hondt was changed to modified Sainte-Laguë in Sweden). The radar plots from elections after and before the changes are drawn for all country cases. When quantifying the change, the change in the plots area that is created has also been calculated. Using these radar plots we can observe that the change in electoral system type, magnitude, and also to some extent legal threshold had an effect on overall proportionality and accessibility for small parties, while the change between the two highest averages counting method had none. The third article studies the success minority parties have had in nine electoral systems in European heterogeneous countries. This article aims to add more motivation as to why we should care how different sized parties are treated by the electoral systems. Since many of the parties that aspire to represent minorities in European countries are small, the possibilities for small parties are highlighted. The theory of consociational (or power-sharing) democracy suggests that, in heterogeneous societies, a proportional electoral system will provide the fairest treatment of minority parties. The OSCE Lund Recommendations propose a number of electoral system features, which would improve minority representation. In this article some party variables, namely the unity of the minority parties and the geographical concentration of the minorities were included among possible explanations. The conclusions are that the central points affecting minority success were indeed these non-electoral system variables rather than the electoral system itself. Moreover, the size of the party was a major factor governing success in all the systems investigated; large parties benefited in all the studied electoral systems. In the fourth article the proportionality profiles are again applied, but this time to district level results in Finnish parliamentary elections. The level of proportionality distortion is also studied by way of indices. The average magnitudes during the studied periodrange from 7.5 to 26.2 in the Finnish electoral districts and this opens up unequal opportunities for parties in different districts and affects the shape of the profiles. The intra-country case allows the focus to be placed on the effect of district magnitude, since all other electoral systems are kept constant in an intra-country study. The time span in the study is from 1962 to 2007, i.e. the time that the districts have largely been the same geographically. The plots and indices tell the same story, district magnitude and electoral alliances matter. The district magnitude is connected to the overall proportionality of the electoral districts according to both indices, and the profiles are, as expected, also closer to perfect proportionality in large districts. Alliances have helped some small parties to gain a much higher seat share than their respective vote share and these successes affect some of the profiles. The profiles also show a consistent pattern of benefits for the small parties who ally with the larger parties.

Stochasticity in economic losses increases the value of reputation in indirect reciprocity.

Recent theory predicts harsh and stochastic conditions to generally promote the evolution of cooperation. Here, we test experimentally whether stochasticity in economic losses also affects the value of reputation in indirect reciprocity, a type of cooperation that is very typical for humans. We used a repeated helping game with observers. One subject (the "Unlucky") lost some money, another one (the "Passer-by") could reduce this loss by accepting a cost to herself, thereby building up a reputation that could be used by others in later interactions. The losses were either stable or stochastic, but the average loss over time and the average efficiency gains of helping were kept constant in both treatments. We found that players with a reputation of being generous were generally more likely to receive help by others, such that investing into a good reputation generated long-term benefits that compensated for the immediate costs of helping. Helping frequencies were similar in both treatments, but players with a reputation to be selfish lost more resources under stochastic conditions. Hence, returns on investment were steeper when losses varied than when they did not. We conclude that this type of stochasticity increases the value of reputation in indirect reciprocity.