914 resultados para Naive Bayes


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Zielsetzung: Diese Studie untersuchte die Validität und Reliabilität von verschiedenen visuellen dentalen Vergrösserungshilfen in Bezug auf die okklusale Kariesdiagnostik mit Hilfe des International Caries Detection and Assessment System (ICDAS). Material und Methode: Die Okklusalflächen von 100 extrahierten Zähnen wurde an einer zuvor bestimmten Stelle von 10 Studenten (5 Studenten des 3. Jahreskurses (Bachelor-Studenten) und 5 Studenten des 4. Jahreskurses (Master-Studenten) der Zahnmedizinischen Kliniken der Universität Bern) und 4 Zahnärzten visuell untersucht und nach ICDAS auf das Vorhandensein und die Tiefe einer kariösen Läsion beurteilt. Die Beurteilung der Zähne erfolgte je zwei Mal von blossem Auge, mit einem Galilei-Lupensystem (2.5x Vergrösserung), mit einem Kepler-Lupensystem (4.5x Vergrösserung) und mit dem Operationsmikroskop (10x Vergrösserung) mit mindestens 24 Stunden Abstand zwischen den jeweiligen Untersuchungen. Als Goldstandard diente die Histologie. Die statistische Auswertung der Untersuchungen erfolgte mit der Berechnung der Kappa-Koeffizienten für die Intra- und Inter-Untersucher Reliabilität sowie einer Bayes-Analyse durch Ermittlung von Sensitivität, Spezifität und der Fläche unter der Receiver Operating Characteristic Kurve (AUC). Ergebnisse: Bei den Untersuchungsdurchläufen, welche mit dentalen Vergrösserungshilfen für die Diagnostik der okklusalen Zahnoberflächen durchgeführt wurden, sank die Anzahl der mit einem ICDAS-Code 0 (gesunde Zahnoberfläche) beurteilten Zähne, während die Quantität des Codes 3 (Schmelzeinbruch) mit höheren Vergrösserungen drastisch zunahm. Mit steigendem Vergrösserungsfaktor liessen sich sowohl mehr Schmelzkaries als auch Dentinkaries richtig erkennen (bessere Sensitivität), im Gegenzug sanken aber die Werte der Spezifität auf ein klinisch unakzeptables Niveau. Während der Abfall der Spezifität und AUC-Werte bei der Beurteilung von Schmelzkaries unter Verwendung von kleinen Vergrösserungen lediglich einen Trend darstellte, waren die Verschlechterungen in der Diagnostik bei der Dentinkaries unter der Zuhilfenahme von höheren Vergrösserungen häufig signifikant. So stiegen zum Beispiel bei den Zahnärzten die Werte der Sensitivität (Bandbreite) auf dem D3-Diagnostikniveau von 0.47 (0.17-0.79) bei dem Durchlauf von Auge auf 0.91 (0.83-1.00) bei der Benutzung des Operationsmikroskopes an, während jedoch die Spezifitätswerte (Bandbreite) von 0.78 (0.58-0.95) auf 0.30 (0.07-0.55) sanken. Ebenfalls einen negativen Einfluss von optischen Hilfsmitteln zeigte sich bei der Inter-Untersucher Reliabilität, während die Intra-Untersucher Reliabilität unbeeinflusst blieb. Die persönliche klinische Erfahrung scheint sowohl in Bezug auf das Mass der Übereinstimmung visueller Kariesdiagnostik als auch auf die Präferenz bei der Vergabe der ICDAS-Codes und somit auf die Werte der Validität einen wesentlichen Faktor auszumachen. Die Studenten erreichten die besten Werte der Sensitivität, indes die Zahnärzte dies bei der Spezifität erzielten. Schlussfolgerung: Insgesamt zeigte sich, dass ICDAS nicht für den zusätzlichen Gebrauch von optischen Vergrösserungen konzipiert wurde. Da es auf Grund von der Zuhilfenahme von dentalen Vergrösserungen zu mehr und unnötigen invasiven Behandlungsentscheidungen kommen könnte, ist von der Zuhilfenahme derselben für die okklusale Kariesdiagnostik mit ICDAS abzuraten.

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: Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) account for a growing burden of morbidity and mortality among people living with HIV in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). HIV infection and antiretroviral therapy interact with NCD risk factors in complex ways, and research into this "web of causation" has so far been largely based on data from high-income countries. However, improving the understanding, treatment, and prevention of NCDs in LMICs requires region-specific evidence. Priority research areas include: (1) defining the burden of NCDs among people living with HIV, (2) understanding the impact of modifiable risk factors, (3) evaluating effective and efficient care strategies at individual and health systems levels, and (4) evaluating cost-effective prevention strategies. Meeting these needs will require observational data, both to inform the design of randomized trials and to replace trials that would be unethical or infeasible. Focusing on Sub-Saharan Africa, we discuss data resources currently available to inform this effort and consider key limitations and methodological challenges. Existing data resources often lack population-based samples; HIV-negative, HIV-positive, and antiretroviral therapy-naive comparison groups; and measurements of key NCD risk factors and outcomes. Other challenges include loss to follow-up, competing risk of death, incomplete outcome ascertainment and measurement of factors affecting clinical decision making, and the need to control for (time-dependent) confounding. We review these challenges and discuss strategies for overcoming them through augmented data collection and appropriate analysis. We conclude with recommendations to improve the quality of data and analyses available to inform the response to HIV and NCD comorbidity in LMICs.

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OBJECTIVES It is still debated if pre-existing minority drug-resistant HIV-1 variants (MVs) affect the virological outcomes of first-line NNRTI-containing ART. METHODS This Europe-wide case-control study included ART-naive subjects infected with drug-susceptible HIV-1 as revealed by population sequencing, who achieved virological suppression on first-line ART including one NNRTI. Cases experienced virological failure and controls were subjects from the same cohort whose viraemia remained suppressed at a matched time since initiation of ART. Blinded, centralized 454 pyrosequencing with parallel bioinformatic analysis in two laboratories was used to identify MVs in the 1%-25% frequency range. ORs of virological failure according to MV detection were estimated by logistic regression. RESULTS Two hundred and sixty samples (76 cases and 184 controls), mostly subtype B (73.5%), were used for the analysis. Identical MVs were detected in the two laboratories. 31.6% of cases and 16.8% of controls harboured pre-existing MVs. Detection of at least one MV versus no MVs was associated with an increased risk of virological failure (OR = 2.75, 95% CI = 1.35-5.60, P = 0.005); similar associations were observed for at least one MV versus no NRTI MVs (OR = 2.27, 95% CI = 0.76-6.77, P = 0.140) and at least one MV versus no NNRTI MVs (OR = 2.41, 95% CI = 1.12-5.18, P = 0.024). A dose-effect relationship between virological failure and mutational load was found. CONCLUSIONS Pre-existing MVs more than double the risk of virological failure to first-line NNRTI-based ART.

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Manual counting of bacterial colony forming units (CFUs) on agar plates is laborious and error-prone. We therefore implemented a colony counting system with a novel segmentation algorithm to discriminate bacterial colonies from blood and other agar plates.A colony counter hardware was designed and a novel segmentation algorithm was written in MATLAB. In brief, pre-processing with Top-Hat-filtering to obtain a uniform background was followed by the segmentation step, during which the colony images were extracted from the blood agar and individual colonies were separated. A Bayes classifier was then applied to count the final number of bacterial colonies as some of the colonies could still be concatenated to form larger groups. To assess accuracy and performance of the colony counter, we tested automated colony counting of different agar plates with known CFU numbers of S. pneumoniae, P. aeruginosa and M. catarrhalis and showed excellent performance.

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PURPOSE To assess whether Bcl-2, an inhibitor of the apoptotic cascade, can predict response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with urothelial cancer of the bladder (UCB). METHODS Bcl-2 expression was analyzed in 2 different tissue microarrays (TMAs). One TMA was constructed of primary tumors and their corresponding lymph node (LN) metastases from 152 patients with chemotherapy-naive UCB treated by cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy (chemotherapy-naive TMA cohort). The other TMA was constructed of tumor samples obtained from 55 patients with UCB before neoadjuvant chemotherapy (transurethral resection of the bladder cancer) and after cystectomy with pelvic lymphadenectomy (residual primary tumor [ypT+], n = 38); residual LN metastases [ypN+], n = 24) (prechemotherapy/postchemotherapy TMA cohort). Bcl-2 overexpression was defined as 10% or more cancer cells showing cytoplasmic immunoreactivity. RESULTS In both TMA cohorts, Bcl-2 overexpression was significantly (P<0.05) more frequent in LN metastases than in primary tumors (chemotherapy-naive TMA group: 18/148 [12%] in primary tumors vs. 39/143 [27%] in metastases; postchemotherapy TMA: ypT+7/35 [20%] vs. ypN+11/19 [58%]). In the neoadjuvant setting, patients with Bcl-2 overexpression in transurethral resection of the bladder cancer specimens showed significantly (P = 0.04) higher ypT stages and less regression in their cystectomy specimens than did the control group, and only one-eighth (13%) had complete tumor regression (ypT0 ypN0). In survival analyses, only histopathological parameters added significant prognostic information. CONCLUSIONS Bcl-2 overexpression in chemotherapy-naive primary bladder cancer is related to poor chemotherapy response and might help to select likely nonresponders.

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PURPOSE To evaluate the safety, tolerability and bioactivity of ascending doses of MP0112, a designed ankyrin repeat protein (DARPin) that binds with high affinity to vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A), in treatment-naive patients with exudative age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN Phase I/II, open-label, multicenter, dose-escalation study. METHODS Patients were to receive a single intravitreal injection of MP0112 at doses ranging from 0.04 to 3.6 mg and be monitored for 16 weeks for safety, efficacy, pharmacokinetics, and dose response. RESULTS Altogether, 32 patients received a single injection of MP0112. The maximum tolerated dose was 1.0 mg because of a case of endophthalmitis in the 2.0 mg cohort. Drug-related adverse events were reported by 13 (41%) of 32 patients; they included ocular inflammation in 11 patients (7 mild, 4 moderate in severity). Visual acuity scores were stable or improved compared with baseline for ≥4 weeks following injection; both retinal thickness and fluorescein angiography leakage decreased in a dose-dependent manner. Rescue therapy was administered to 20 (91%) of 22 patients who received 0.04-0.4 mg MP0112 compared with 4 of 10 (40%) patients who received 1.0 or 2.0 mg. Of patients in the higher-dose cohorts who did not require rescue treatment, 83% (5/6) maintained reductions in central retinal thickness through week 16. CONCLUSIONS A single injection of 1.0 or 2.0 mg MP0112 resulted in mean decreases in retinal thickness and leakage area despite ocular inflammation. Larger-scale studies are warranted to confirm these observations.

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We consider a class of models with gauged U(1) R symmetry in 4D N=1 super-gravity that have, at the classical level, a metastable ground state, an infinitesimally small (tunable) positive cosmological constant and a TeV gravitino mass. We analyse if these properties are maintained under the addition of visible sector (MSSM-like) and hidden sector state(s), where the latter may be needed for quantum consistency. We then discuss the anomaly cancellation conditions in supergravity as derived by Freedman, Elvang and Körs and apply their results to the special case of a U(1) R symmetry, in the presence of the Fayet-Iliopoulos term (ξ) and Green-Schwarz mechanism(s). We investigate the relation of these anomaly cancellation conditions to the “naive” field theory approach in global SUSY, in which case U(1) R cannot even be gauged. We show the two approaches give similar conditions. Their induced constraints at the phenomenological level, on the above models, remain strong even if one lifted the GUT-like conditions for the MSSM gauge couplings. In an anomaly-free model, a tunable, TeV-scale gravitino mass may remain possible provided that the U(1) R charges of additional hidden sector fermions (constrained by the cubic anomaly alone) do not conflict with the related values of U(1) R charges of their scalar superpartners, constrained by existence of a stable ground state. This issue may be bypassed by tuning instead the coefficients of the Kahler connection anomalies (b K , b CK ).

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Disruption of the blood-brain and blood-spinal cord barriers (BBB and BSCB, respectively) and immune cell infiltration are early pathophysiological hallmarks of multiple sclerosis (MS), its animal model experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE), and neuromyelitis optica (NMO). However, their contribution to disease initiation and development remains unclear. In this study, we induced EAE in lys-eGFP-ki mice and performed single, nonterminal intravital imaging to investigate BSCB permeability simultaneously with the kinetics of GFP(+) myeloid cell infiltration. We observed a loss in BSCB integrity within a day of disease onset, which paralleled the infiltration of GFP(+) cells into the CNS and lasted for ∼4 d. Neutrophils accounted for a significant proportion of the circulating and CNS-infiltrating myeloid cells during the preclinical phase of EAE, and their depletion delayed the onset and reduced the severity of EAE while maintaining BSCB integrity. We also show that neutrophils collected from the blood or bone marrow of EAE mice transmigrate more efficiently than do neutrophils of naive animals in a BBB cell culture model. Moreover, using intravital videomicroscopy, we demonstrate that the IL-1R type 1 governs the firm adhesion of neutrophils to the inflamed spinal cord vasculature. Finally, immunostaining of postmortem CNS material obtained from an acutely ill multiple sclerosis patient and two neuromyelitis optica patients revealed instances of infiltrated neutrophils associated with regions of BBB or BSCB leakage. Taken together, our data provide evidence that neutrophils are involved in the initial events that take place during EAE and that they are intimately linked with the status of the BBB/BSCB.

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Imprecise manipulation of source code (semi-parsing) is useful for tasks such as robust parsing, error recovery, lexical analysis, and rapid development of parsers for data extraction. An island grammar precisely defines only a subset of a language syntax (islands), while the rest of the syntax (water) is defined imprecisely. Usually, water is defined as the negation of islands. Albeit simple, such a definition of water is naive and impedes composition of islands. When developing an island grammar, sooner or later a programmer has to create water tailored to each individual island. Such an approach is fragile, however, because water can change with any change of a grammar. It is time-consuming, because water is defined manually by a programmer and not automatically. Finally, an island surrounded by water cannot be reused because water has to be defined for every grammar individually. In this paper we propose a new technique of island parsing - bounded seas. Bounded seas are composable, robust, reusable and easy to use because island-specific water is created automatically. We integrated bounded seas into a parser combinator framework as a demonstration of their composability and reusability.

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PURPOSE To assess intra- and subretinal fluid during the loading phase with intravitreal ranibizumab in exudative age-related macular degeneration and to quantify the accuracy of crosshair scan spectral-domain optical coherence tomography with regard to retinal fluid. METHODS This is a retrospective study of 31 treatment-naive patients who received 3 monthly intravitreal ranibizumab injections. Visual acuity and the presence of retinal fluid were assessed at each visit using volume and crosshair scan protocols. RESULTS Visual acuity improved and central retinal thickness decreased significantly during the loading phase. However, retinal fluid persisted in two thirds of the patients. The accuracy of the crosshair scan to detect fluid was 93%. CONCLUSIONS A substantial proportion of eyes had persistent fluid after 3 months of ranibizumab injections. However, visual improvement was independent of residual fluid. Message: Crosshair scans detect relevant collections of retinal fluid accurately and may be sufficient in daily clinical practice. © 2015 S. Karger AG, Basel.

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Natural Abs represent the indigenous immune repertoire and are thus present at birth and persist throughout life. Previously, human autoantibodies to the alpha domain of the high-affinity IgE receptor (FcepsilonRIalpha) have been isolated from Ab libraries derived from normal donors and patients with chronic urticaria. To investigate whether these anti-FcepsilonRIalpha Abs are present in the germline repertoire, we constructed a phage Fab display library from human cord blood, which represents the naive immune repertoire before exposure to exogenous Ags. All isolated clones specific to the FcepsilonRIalpha had the same sequence. This single IgM Ab, named CBMalpha8, was strictly in germline configuration and had high affinity and functional in vitro anaphylactogenic activity. Inhibition experiments indicated an overlapping epitope on the FcepsilonRIalpha recognized by both CBMalpha8 and the previously isolated anti-FcepsilonRIalpha Abs from autoimmune and healthy donors. This common epitope on FcepsilonRIalpha coincides with the binding site for IgE. Affinity measurements demonstrated the presence of Abs showing CBMalpha8-like specificity, but with a significantly lower affinity in i.v. Ig, a therapeutic multidonor IgG preparation. We propose a hypothesis of escape mutants, whereby the resulting lower affinity IgG anti-FcepsilonRIalpha Abs are rendered less likely to compete with IgE for binding to FcepsilonRIalpha.

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Activities of daily living (ADL) are important for quality of life. They are indicators of cognitive health status and their assessment is a measure of independence in everyday living. ADL are difficult to reliably assess using questionnaires due to self-reporting biases. Various sensor-based (wearable, in-home, intrusive) systems have been proposed to successfully recognize and quantify ADL without relying on self-reporting. New classifiers required to classify sensor data are on the rise. We propose two ad-hoc classifiers that are based only on non-intrusive sensor data. METHODS: A wireless sensor system with ten sensor boxes was installed in the home of ten healthy subjects to collect ambient data over a duration of 20 consecutive days. A handheld protocol device and a paper logbook were also provided to the subjects. Eight ADL were selected for recognition. We developed two ad-hoc ADL classifiers, namely the rule based forward chaining inference engine (RBI) classifier and the circadian activity rhythm (CAR) classifier. The RBI classifier finds facts in data and matches them against the rules. The CAR classifier works within a framework to automatically rate routine activities to detect regular repeating patterns of behavior. For comparison, two state-of-the-art [Naïves Bayes (NB), Random Forest (RF)] classifiers have also been used. All classifiers were validated with the collected data sets for classification and recognition of the eight specific ADL. RESULTS: Out of a total of 1,373 ADL, the RBI classifier correctly determined 1,264, while missing 109 and the CAR determined 1,305 while missing 68 ADL. The RBI and CAR classifier recognized activities with an average sensitivity of 91.27 and 94.36%, respectively, outperforming both RF and NB. CONCLUSIONS: The performance of the classifiers varied significantly and shows that the classifier plays an important role in ADL recognition. Both RBI and CAR classifier performed better than existing state-of-the-art (NB, RF) on all ADL. Of the two ad-hoc classifiers, the CAR classifier was more accurate and is likely to be better suited than the RBI for distinguishing and recognizing complex ADL.

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Smart homes for the aging population have recently started attracting the attention of the research community. The "health state" of smart homes is comprised of many different levels; starting with the physical health of citizens, it also includes longer-term health norms and outcomes, as well as the arena of positive behavior changes. One of the problems of interest is to monitor the activities of daily living (ADL) of the elderly, aiming at their protection and well-being. For this purpose, we installed passive infrared (PIR) sensors to detect motion in a specific area inside a smart apartment and used them to collect a set of ADL. In a novel approach, we describe a technology that allows the ground truth collected in one smart home to train activity recognition systems for other smart homes. We asked the users to label all instances of all ADL only once and subsequently applied data mining techniques to cluster in-home sensor firings. Each cluster would therefore represent the instances of the same activity. Once the clusters were associated to their corresponding activities, our system was able to recognize future activities. To improve the activity recognition accuracy, our system preprocessed raw sensor data by identifying overlapping activities. To evaluate the recognition performance from a 200-day dataset, we implemented three different active learning classification algorithms and compared their performance: naive Bayesian (NB), support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF). Based on our results, the RF classifier recognized activities with an average specificity of 96.53%, a sensitivity of 68.49%, a precision of 74.41% and an F-measure of 71.33%, outperforming both the NB and SVM classifiers. Further clustering markedly improved the results of the RF classifier. An activity recognition system based on PIR sensors in conjunction with a clustering classification approach was able to detect ADL from datasets collected from different homes. Thus, our PIR-based smart home technology could improve care and provide valuable information to better understand the functioning of our societies, as well as to inform both individual and collective action in a smart city scenario.

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Background.  Cryptococcal meningitis is a leading cause of death in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immune deficiency syndrome. The World Health Organizations recommends pre-antiretroviral treatment (ART) cryptococcal antigen (CRAG) screening in persons with CD4 below 100 cells/µL. We assessed the prevalence and outcome of cryptococcal antigenemia in rural southern Tanzania. Methods.  We conducted a retrospective study including all ART-naive adults with CD4 <150 cells/µL prospectively enrolled in the Kilombero and Ulanga Antiretroviral Cohort between 2008 and 2012. Cryptococcal antigen was assessed in cryopreserved pre-ART plasma. Cox regression estimated the composite outcome of death or loss to follow-up (LFU) by CRAG status and fluconazole use. Results.  Of 750 ART-naive adults, 28 (3.7%) were CRAG-positive, corresponding to a prevalence of 4.4% (23 of 520) in CD4 <100 and 2.2% (5 of 230) in CD4 100-150 cells/µL. Within 1 year, 75% (21 of 28) of CRAG-positive and 42% (302 of 722) of CRAG-negative patients were dead or LFU (P<.001), with no differences across CD4 strata. Cryptococcal antigen positivity was an independent predictor of death or LFU after adjusting for relevant confounders (hazard ratio [HR], 2.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.29-4.83; P = .006). Cryptococcal meningitis occurred in 39% (11 of 28) of CRAG-positive patients, with similar retention-in-care regardless of meningitis diagnosis (P = .8). Cryptococcal antigen titer >1:160 was associated with meningitis development (odds ratio, 4.83; 95% CI, 1.24-8.41; P = .008). Fluconazole receipt decreased death or LFU in CRAG-positive patients (HR, 0.18; 95% CI, .04-.78; P = .022). Conclusions.  Cryptococcal antigenemia predicted mortality or LFU among ART-naive HIV-infected persons with CD4 <150 cells/µL, and fluconazole increased survival or retention-in-care, suggesting that targeted pre-ART CRAG screening may decrease early mortality or LFU. A CRAG screening threshold of CD4 <100 cells/µL missed 18% of CRAG-positive patients, suggesting guidelines should consider a higher threshold.

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AIMS To investigate the prognostic significance of macular capillary drop-out and previous panretinal laser photocoagulation in diabetic macular oedema treated with intravitreal ranibizumab. METHODS Retrospective observational case series. Treatment-naive patients with diabetic macular oedema that had been treated with intravitreal ranibizumab as per the RESTORE study protocol for at least 12 months were included. Some patients (n=15) had previous panretinal laser photocoagulation. Best-corrected visual acuity and central retina thickness were recorded monthly. The foveal avascular zone and the perifoveal capillaries were quantitatively and qualitatively assessed on fluorescein angiography on two occasions during the observational period. RESULTS From the 46 eyes (46 patients) in this study, 13 (28%) had evidence of perifoveal capillary drop-out. Central retinal thickness was significantly thinner at baseline (p=0.02) and throughout the study period in these eyes compared with those with normal perifoveal capillaries. Both groups responded with a significant gain of best-corrected visual acuity to ranibizumab treatment (7.6±3.3 and 6.3±1.3 ETDRS letters, respectively). Eyes with previous panretinal laser photocoagulation displayed a comparable final outcome regarding function and morphology, requiring a similar intensity of intravitreal injections. CONCLUSIONS Perifoveal capillary drop-out did not limit the gain of visual acuity from intravitreal ranibizumab treatment. The reduction of central retina thickness was similar to that seen in eyes with normal perifoveal capillaries. Central retinal thickness in eyes with perifoveal capillary drop-out was generally reduced. However, this did not affect their benefit from treatment. Ranibizumab did not increase the amount of perifoveal capillary loss.