A data driven approach for automating vehicle activated signs

Vehicle activated signs (VAS) display a warning message when drivers exceed a particular threshold. VAS are often installed on local roads to display a warning message depending on the speed of the approaching vehicles. VAS are usually powered by electricity; however, battery and solar powered VAS are also commonplace. This thesis investigated devel-opment of an automatic trigger speed of vehicle activated signs in order to influence driver behaviour, the effect of which has been measured in terms of reduced mean speed and low standard deviation. A comprehen-sive understanding of the effectiveness of the trigger speed of the VAS on driver behaviour was established by systematically collecting data. Specif-ically, data on time of day, speed, length and direction of the vehicle have been collected for the purpose, using Doppler radar installed at the road. A data driven calibration method for the radar used in the experiment has also been developed and evaluated. Results indicate that trigger speed of the VAS had variable effect on driv-ers’ speed at different sites and at different times of the day. It is evident that the optimal trigger speed should be set near the 85th percentile speed, to be able to lower the standard deviation. In the case of battery and solar powered VAS, trigger speeds between the 50th and 85th per-centile offered the best compromise between safety and power consump-tion. Results also indicate that different classes of vehicles report differ-ences in mean speed and standard deviation; on a highway, the mean speed of cars differs slightly from the mean speed of trucks, whereas a significant difference was observed between the classes of vehicles on lo-cal roads. A differential trigger speed was therefore investigated for the sake of completion. A data driven approach using Random forest was found to be appropriate in predicting trigger speeds respective to types of vehicles and traffic conditions. The fact that the predicted trigger speed was found to be consistently around the 85th percentile speed justifies the choice of the automatic model.

The differential roles of D-Pax2 variants in regulating Drosophila eye and bristle development

The ability to appropriately interact with the environment is crucial to an organism’s survival. The establishment of functional sensory systems, such as the bristles and eyes in Drosophila, is a critical event during the development of the organism. The transcription factor D Pax2 is involved in the differentiation of the shaft and glial cells in the developing bristle (Kavaler et al., Dev, 126:2261-2272, 1999) and of the cone and primary pigment cells in the developing eye (Fu and Noll, Genes Dev, 11:389-405, 1997). How D-Pax2 contributes to distinct differentiative pathways in different cell types is not known. Recent work by Anna Czechowski and Katherine Harmon (personal communication) identified a mutation in the D-Pax2 gene that introduced a stop codon at the end of exon 9, effectively truncating the protein. This mutation affects bristle, but not eye, development. We thus suspected regions after exon 9 are required for D-Pax2 function only in the bristles and may also be associated with alternative splicing of the D Pax2 transcript. We plan to assess the role of the carboxy terminal region of the protein by establishing transgenic lines bearing rescue constructs of D-Pax2 with either the complete coding sequence or with deletions of specific exons. To date, we have generated the first rescue construct bearing the complete coding region of the gene driven by a 3 KB upstream regulatory region of D-Pax2 and are currently generating transgenic fly lines with this construct.

Differential Habituation of Male Betta Splendens to Qualitatively Different Stimuli

Habituation is a learning mechanism that functions to decrease the amount of energy and attention focused on a certain stimuli. Male Siamese Fighting Fish, Betta splendens, are territorial animals that defend their territories using a number of aggressive displays. Male Bettas have previously shown the ability to habituate to the presence of a conspecific male when visually exposed to each other. Due to the costly nature of many of the male Betta’s displays, I hypothesized that male Bettas should differentially habituate to qualitatively different stimuli. I presented each of three groups of male Betta splendens with a different stimulus, each presenting a different level of interactivity. I predicted that the Bettas would be more likely to habituate to a less interactive stimulus than a more interactive one. No significant habituation was observed in any of the groups and no significant differences in latency to display or length of display between all three groups were observed. However, overall data trends suggest that habituation was indeed occurring and that the three different stimuli elicited different levels of display. The limited amount of visual exposure to the stimuli in this experiment might account for why results were insignificant.

Beyond the Threshold: Life in the New Russia

Amanda Sprang spent nine months, from September of 1995 to May of 1996, studying at Colby College's program in St. Petersburg, Russia. Through contacts made during previous trips to Russia in middle and high school, Amanda was able to quickly rekindle her old friendships and make new ones with many young Russians from different backgrounds. The following work is a collection of twelve essays about life in the New Russia. The essays are framed by a foreword and an epilogue that help place the entire work in a historical context. Although the theme of each essay emerges from a particular incident, within every story Amanda has addressed numerous topics relating to Russian life in today’s changing society. Her first essay, “Art Klinika," takes place in an avant-garde night club in St. Petersburg, and includes a brief yet impressionable, encounter with three young Russian men. “The Birthday Party” recalls a wild evening at the home of her close friend, showing how the Russians greet special occasions. Both the third and fourth essays take place in Moscow, where Amanda returns to visit old friends. These two essays portray the lives of the new economic elite in comparison with the average citizen, as well as show how young Russians face the new challenges that greet them. "Politics Russian Style" recalls a political rally in St. Petersburg, and attempts to shed light on the wacky political world of an infant democracy. Chapters Six through Ten take place away from the western cities of St. Petersburg and Moscow, as Amanda brings us to the cold, mysterious land of Siberia in the dead of winter. She recounts her five day train ride with a retired, high-powered, Communist party official, her experiences in the provincial city of Irkutsk, and a brief trip to a Buddhist monastery and, later, an excursion to Lake Baikal. Back in St. Petersburg, Chapter Eleven gives a humorous account of a ski trip with several Russian friends. Amanda finishes her work with her final chapter, “The Dacha," which describes a weekend spent at a Russian country home with her friend's family.

Large economies with differential information but without free disposal

We consider exchange economies with a continuum of agents and differential information about finitely many states of nature. It was proved in Einy, Moreno and Shitovitz (2001) that if we allow for free disposal in the market clearing (feasibility) constraints then an irreducible economy has a competitive (or Walrasian expectations) equilibrium, and moreover, the set of competitive equilibrium allocations coincides with the private core. However when feasibility is defined with free disposal, competitive equilibrium allocations may not be incentive compatible and contracts may not be enforceable (see e.g. Glycopantis, Muir and Yannelis (2002)). This is the main motivation for considering equilibrium solutions with exact feasibility. We first prove that the results in Einy et al. (2001) are still valid without freedisposal. Then we define an incentive compatibility property motivated by the issue of contracts’ execution and we prove that every Pareto optimal exact feasible allocation is incentive compatible, implying that contracts of competitive or core allocations are enforceable.

Contract enforcement and incentive compatibility in large economies with differential information: the role of exact feasibility

We consider exchange economies with a continuum of agents and differential information about finitely many states of nature. It was proved in Einy, Moreno and Shitovitz (2001) that if we allow for free disposal in the market clearing (feasibility) constraints then an irreducible economy has a competitive (or Walrasian expectations) equilibrium, and moreover, the set of competitive equilibrium allocations coincides with the private core. However when feasibility is defined with free disposal, competitive equilibrium allocations may not be incentive compatible and contracts may not be enforceable (see e.g. Glycopantis, Muir and Yannelis (2002)). This is the main motivation for considering equilibrium solutions with exact feasibility. We first prove that the results in Einy et al. (2001) are still valid without free-disposal. Then we define an incentive compatibility property motivated by the issue of contracts’ execution and we prove that every Pareto optimal exact feasible allocation is incentive compatible, implying that contracts of a competitive or core allocations are enforceable.

Comparação do desempenho de duas bombas acopladas diretamente a geradores fotovoltaicos

No Brasil, assim como em outros países que recebem abundantes quantidades de radiação solar durante todo o ano, há um grande potencial para os sistemas que usam a tecnologia fotovoltaica para promover o bombeamento de água. Entretanto, a escolha dos conjuntos de motores e bombas mais adequados para cada situação passa pela análise do desempenho dos sistemas de bombeamento. Portanto, devem ser analisadas tanto as melhores configurações de geradores fotovoltaicos destinados a operar os conjuntos formados pelos motores e bombas, quanto às eficiências das bombas e da conversão fotovoltaica. Nesse trabalho são apresentadas medidas e comparações do desempenho de dois sistemas de bombeamento diretamente acoplados a geradores fotovoltaicos. Para tanto, foi construída uma bancada destinada a realizar uma série de experimentos. Um dos sistemas usou uma bomba centrífuga acoplada a um gerador fotovoltaico formado por três módulos fotovoltaicos. O outro, utilizou uma bomba volumétrica de diafragma acoplada a um único módulo fotovoltaico. Os experimentos foram conduzidos em duas etapas distintas. A primeira foi feita com os motores acoplados a uma fonte de potência em corrente contínua e serviu para a determinação das curvas de desempenho de cada uma das bombas, das curvas dos sistemas, assim como das curvas de corrente (I) e de tensão (V) de cada um dos motores que acionavam as bombas. A segunda foi realizada com os sistemas acoplados diretamente aos geradores fotovoltaicos. A determinação da configuração dos geradores fotovoltaicos destinados a acionar os diferentes sistemas de bombeamento em análise nesse trabalho foi feita por meio da sobreposição das curvas de corrente e tensão dos motores e dos módulos fotovoltaicos. A parte experimental, estando os sistemas acoplados aos geradores, constou de medidas realizadas em intervalos de tempo de cinco segundos, para cada bomba e em várias alturas, das seguintes variáveis: temperatura ambiente, irradiância, temperatura dos módulos, corrente e tensão do motor, rotação do motor, temperatura da água, diferencial de pressão entre entrada e saída da bomba e vazão. As diversas alturas foram simuladas por meio da abertura e/ou fechamento de uma válvula de controle de vazão colocada na extremidade tubulação de descarga, operada manualmente. Os procedimentos adotados nessa dissertação permitiram caracterizar os sistemas de bombeamento propostos, assim como determinar quais os arranjos mais adequados para operar cada sistema. Verificou-se que o melhor arranjo para operar o conjunto motor e bomba centrífuga foi aquele formado por três módulos fotovoltaicos ligados em paralelo, enquanto que a melhor opção para operar o conjunto motor e bomba de diafragma foi com somente um módulo fotovoltaico. De posse dos dados medidos foi possível determinar as eficiências: instantâneas, máximas instantâneas e diárias da conversão fotovoltaica assim como dos conjuntos motores e bombas, em diferentes alturas. Relativamente à conversão fotovoltaica, verificou-se que o conjunto motor e bomba centrífuga operou com eficiência instantânea máxima de 5,74% e eficiência diária de 4,70%, enquanto que o conjunto motor e bomba volumétrica de diafragma operou com eficiência instantânea máxima de 7,66% e eficiência diária de 5,82%. Relativamente à eficiência dos conjuntos motores e bombas, verificou-se que o conjunto motor e bomba centrífuga operou com eficiência instantânea máxima de 19,19% e eficiência diária de 16,79%, enquanto que o conjunto motor e bomba volumétrica de diafragma operou com eficiência instantânea máxima de 38,88% e eficiência diária de 34,30%. Verificou-se ainda que a altura foi determinante na eficiência do conjunto motor e bomba centrífuga e pouco influenciou na eficiência do conjunto motor e bomba de diafragma. Além dessas, outras considerações sobre o comportamento dos sistemas de bombeamento ao longo de um dia também foram ser registrados, tais como: limiares de irradiância para início e final de vazão, correntes de pico ou de arranque dos motores e correntes de início de vazão ou escoamento.

Dynamic hedging with stocastic differential utility

In this paper we study the dynamic hedging problem using three different utility specifications: stochastic differential utility, terminal wealth utility, and we propose a particular utility transformation connecting both previous approaches. In all cases, we assume Markovian prices. Stochastic differential utility, SDU, impacts the pure hedging demand ambiguously, but decreases the pure speculative demand, because risk aversion increases. We also show that consumption decision is, in some sense, independent of hedging decision. With terminal wealth utility, we derive a general and compact hedging formula, which nests as special all cases studied in Duffie and Jackson (1990). We then show how to obtain their formulas. With the third approach we find a compact formula for hedging, which makes the second-type utility framework a particular case, and show that the pure hedging demand is not impacted by this specification. In addition, with CRRA- and CARA-type utilities, the risk aversion increases and, consequently the pure speculative demand decreases. If futures price are martingales, then the transformation plays no role in determining the hedging allocation. We also derive the relevant Bellman equation for each case, using semigroup techniques.