Revisión: tecnologia de agentes de software

Los agentes de software en la era de las redes globales son una herramienta vital para superar el fenómeno llamado "sobrecarga de información". El grado de madurez alcanzado en esta tecnología permite que hoy se puedan ver aplicaciones concretas funcionado en organizaciones, como así también en el escritorio del usuario hogareño. El objetivo de este trabajo es presentar una revisión bibliográfica sobre la tecnología de agentes de software, con orientación a los modelos que permiten gerenciar la sobrecarga de información.

Proposta de um método para escolha de software de automação de bibliotecas

Apresenta um método para avaliação e seleção de softwares de automação de bibliotecas. Consiste na atribuição de critérios e cálculos estatísticos em uma lista elaborada para a seleção e avaliação deste tipo de software. Este método pretender servir como instrumento de apoio à tomada de decisão no processo de escolha do software mais adequado às necessidades de cada instituição. Este trabalho foi motivado por uma demanda do Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia (IBICT) para automatizar a sua biblioteca.

Metabolic syndrome according to different definitions in a rapidly developing country of the African region

Rapport de synthèseLe syndrome métabolique représente un ensemble de facteurs de risque métaboliques souvent présents simultanément et il est associé à un risque accru de développer des maladies cardiovasculaires. La prevalence du syndrome métabolique est à la hausse au niveau mondial comme cela a souvent été documenté, en particulier dans les pays développés. Pourtant, les données concernant le syndrome métabolique dans les pays de la région sub-saharienne restent rares.Au cours des dernières années, plusieurs définitions du syndrome métabolique ont été formulées, dont celle du 'National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III', celle de 1 Organisation Mondiale de la Santé et celle du 'International Diabetes Federation'. Parmi les controverses au sujet du syndrome métabolique persiste la question de l'utilité de rechercher la présence du syndrome métabolique chez les patients diabétiques, étant donné que la présence d'un diabète en soit suffit pour identifier un individu à haut risque de faire un événement cardiovasculaire.L'objectif de ce travail de thèse a été de déterminer la prévalence du syndrome métabolique selon les trois définitions majeures mentionnées ci-dessus, grâce à une étude de population transversale, réalisée aux Seychelles en 2004 dans un échantillon représentatif de la population âgée de 24-65 ans (n=1255, taux de participation de 80.3%). L'intérêt d'examiner cette question dans ce pays était d'obtenir des informations dans un pays en transition épidémiologique.Les résultats de ce travail montrent que la prévalence du syndrome métabolique aux Seychelles est élevée, quelque soit la définition utilisée. Selon la définition utilisée, cette prévalence était d'environ 25% chez les hommes et variant entre 25 et 35% chez les femmes.Cependant, malgré des prévalences semblables selon ces trois définitions, la concordance entre ces définitions n'était pas bonne, impliquant que ces différentes définitions classifient, à un certain degré, des individus différents comme étant porteurs du syndrome métabolique.En outre, la plupart (environ 80%) des individus diabétiques avaient un syndrome métabolique. Après exclusion des individus diabétiques, la prévalence du syndrome métabolique dans la population est réduite d'environ un tiers, à environ 20-25%.Ces résultats montrent que, d'une part, le fardeau de maladie dû au syndrome métabolique aux Seychelles, un pays en voie de développement, est considérable. Cette observation peut potentiellement s'appliquer à d'autres pays à un stade de développement semblable. Cela renforce le besoin de mettre en oeuvre des stratégies de santé publique afin de cibler les causes de ces désordres métaboliques, tels que le surpoids et la sédentarité. D'un point de vue du diagnostic, les trois définitions du syndrome métabolique semblent classifier un nombre semblable de personnes atteints du syndrome métabolique dans cette population. Par contre, la relativement mauvaise concordance entre ces définitions - certaines personnes identifiés comme porteurs du syndrome métabolique selon une définition ne le sont pas selon une autre - confirme la nécessité de clarifier la signification de ces différentes définitions et/ou éventuellement de développer une définition unifiée et fiable du syndrome métabolique.

GIS-based debris flow source and runout susceptibility assessment from DEM data - a case study in NW Nicaragua

In October 1998, Hurricane Mitch triggered numerous landslides (mainly debris flows) in Honduras and Nicaragua, resulting in a high death toll and in considerable damage to property. The potential application of relatively simple and affordable spatial prediction models for landslide hazard mapping in developing countries was studied. Our attention was focused on a region in NW Nicaragua, one of the most severely hit places during the Mitch event. A landslide map was obtained at 1:10 000 scale in a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment from the interpretation of aerial photographs and detailed field work. In this map the terrain failure zones were distinguished from the areas within the reach of the mobilized materials. A Digital Elevation Model (DEM) with 20 m×20 m of pixel size was also employed in the study area. A comparative analysis of the terrain failures caused by Hurricane Mitch and a selection of 4 terrain factors extracted from the DEM which, contributed to the terrain instability, was carried out. Land propensity to failure was determined with the aid of a bivariate analysis and GIS tools in a terrain failure susceptibility map. In order to estimate the areas that could be affected by the path or deposition of the mobilized materials, we considered the fact that under intense rainfall events debris flows tend to travel long distances following the maximum slope and merging with the drainage network. Using the TauDEM extension for ArcGIS software we generated automatically flow lines following the maximum slope in the DEM starting from the areas prone to failure in the terrain failure susceptibility map. The areas crossed by the flow lines from each terrain failure susceptibility class correspond to the runout susceptibility classes represented in a runout susceptibility map. The study of terrain failure and runout susceptibility enabled us to obtain a spatial prediction for landslides, which could contribute to landslide risk mitigation.

Discordant secular trends in elevated blood pressure and obesity in children and adolescents in a rapidly developing country

BACKGROUND: The effect of the increasing prevalence of obesity on blood pressure (BP) secular trends is unclear. We analyzed BP and body mass index secular trends between 1998 and 2006 in children and adolescents of the Seychelles, a rapidly developing island state in the African region. METHODS AND RESULTS: School-based surveys were conducted annually between 1998 and 2006 among all students in 4 school grades (kindergarten and 4th, 7th, and 10th years of compulsory school). We used the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria to define obesity and elevated BP. The same methods and instruments were used in all surveys. Some 25 586 children and adolescents 4 to 18 years of age contributed 43 867 observations. Although the prevalence of obesity in boys and girls increased from 5.1% and 6.0%, respectively, in 1998 to 2000 to 8.0% and 8.7% in 2004 to 2006, the prevalence of elevated BP decreased from 8.4% and 9.8% to 6.9% and 7.8%. During the interval, mean age-adjusted body mass index increased by 0.57 kg/m(2) in boys and 0.58 kg/m(2) in girls. Mean age- and height-adjusted systolic BP decreased by -3.0 mm Hg in boys and -2.8 mm Hg in girls, whereas mean diastolic BP did not change substantially in boys (-0.2 mm Hg) and increased slightly in girls (0.4 mm Hg). CONCLUSIONS: At a population level, the marked increase in the prevalence of obesity in children and adolescents in the Seychelles was not associated with a commensurate secular rise in mean BP.

Evaluation of the toxicity of different metal compounds in the developing brain using aggregating cell cultures as a model.

To evaluate their toxicity in the developing brain, eight metal compounds, [bismuth sodium tartrate (BiNA-tartrate), CdCl(2), CoCl(2), HgCl(2), dimethyl mercury, NiCl(2), TlCl and triethyltin chloride (TET)] were tested in aggregating cell cultures of foetal rat telencephalon. The compounds were applied to the cultures continuously, either during an early developmental stage (between days 5 and 14) or during and advanced stage of maturation (between days 24 and 34). Changes in the activities of cell type-specific enzymes were used as a criterion for toxicity. A general cytotoxic effect was observed after treatment with either CdCl(2), HgCl(2) or TET at 10(-6)m, and with TlCl at 10(-5)m. Selective effects were found with BiNa-tartrate and dimethylmercury. CoCl(2) did not modify the parameters tested, whereas a stimulant effect was found with NiCl(2). The effects of several compounds were development dependent: HgCl(2), TET and TlCl were more toxic in immature cultures, whereas BiNa-tartrate, dimethylmercury and NiCl(2) were more effective in differentiated cultures.

Social reciprocity measures based on dyadic discrepancies: Methodological review and software development

This paper examines statistical analysis of social reciprocity at group, dyadic, and individual levels. Given that testing statistical hypotheses regarding social reciprocity can be also of interest, a statistical procedure based on Monte Carlo sampling has been developed and implemented in R in order to allow social researchers to describe groups and make statistical decisions.

Rationale and first results of developing at-risk (prodromal) criteria for bipolar disorder.

Bipolar affective disorder (BD) is a severe, recurrent and disabling disorder with devastating consequences for individuals, families and society. Although these hazards and costs provide a compelling rationale for development of early detection and early intervention strategies in BD, the development of at-risk criteria for first episode mania is still in an early stage of development. In this paper we review the literature with respect to the clinical, neuroantomical and neuropsychological data, which support this goal. We also describe our recently developed bipolar at-risk criteria (BAR). This criteria comprises the peak age range of the first onset of bipolar disorder, genetic risk, presenting with sub-threshold mania, cyclothymic features or depressive symptoms. An initial pilot evaluation of the BAR criteria in 22 subjects indicated conversion rates to proxies of first-episode mania of 23% within 265 days on average, and high specificity and sensitivity of the criteria. If prospective studies confirm the validity of the BAR criteria, then the criteria would have the potential to open up new avenues of research for indicated prevention in BD and might therefore offer opportunities to ameliorate the severity of, or even prevent BD.

Calculation of wood volume and stem taper using terrestrial single-image close-range photogrammetry and contemporary software tools

Abstract

The cost effectiveness of pharmacological smoking cessation therapies in developing countries: a case study in the Seychelles

OBJECTIVE: To examine the incremental cost effectiveness of the five first line pharmacological smoking cessation therapies in the Seychelles and other developing countries. DESIGN: A Markov chain cohort simulation. SUBJECTS: Two simulated cohorts of smokers: (1) a reference cohort given physician counselling only; (2) a treatment cohort given counselling plus cessation therapy. INTERVENTION: Addition of each of the five pharmacological cessation therapies to physician provided smoking cessation counselling. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost per life-year saved (LYS) associated with the five pharmacotherapies. Effectiveness expressed as odds ratios for quitting associated with pharmacotherapies. Costs based on the additional physician time required and retail prices of the medications. RESULTS: Based on prices for currently available generic medications on the global market, the incremental cost per LYS for a 45 year old in the Seychelles was 599 US dollars for gum and 227 dollars for bupropion. Assuming US treatment prices as a conservative estimate, the incremental cost per LYS was significantly higher, though still favourable in comparison to other common medical interventions: 3712 dollars for nicotine gum, 1982 dollars for nicotine patch, 4597 dollars for nicotine spray, 4291 dollars for nicotine inhaler, and 1324 dollars for bupropion. Cost per LYS increased significantly upon application of higher discount rates, which may be used to reflect relatively high opportunity costs for health expenditures in developing countries with highly constrained resources and high overall mortality. CONCLUSION: Pharmacological cessation therapy can be highly cost effective as compared to other common medical interventions in low mortality, middle income countries, particularly if medications can be procured at low prices.

The Th2 lymphoproliferation developing in LatY136F mutant mice triggers polyclonal B cell activation and systemic autoimmunity.

Lat(Y136F) knock-in mice harbor a point mutation in Tyr(136) of the linker for activation of T cells and show accumulation of Th2 effector cells and IgG1 and IgE hypergammaglobulinemia. B cell activation is not a direct effect of the mutation on B cells since in the absence of T cells, mutant B cells do not show an activated phenotype. After adoptive transfer of linker for activation of T cell mutant T cells into wild-type, T cell-deficient recipients, recipient B cells become activated. We show in vivo and in vitro that the Lat(Y136F) mutation promotes T cell-dependent B cell activation leading to germinal center, memory, and plasma cell formation even in an MHC class II-independent manner. All the plasma and memory B cell populations found in physiological T cell-dependent B cell responses are found. Characterization of the abundant plasmablasts found in secondary lymphoid organs of Lat(Y136F) mice revealed the presence of a previously uncharacterized CD93-expressing subpopulation, whose presence was confirmed in wild-type mice after immunization. In Lat(Y136F) mice, B cell activation was polyclonal and not Ag-driven because the increase in serum IgG1 and IgE concentrations involved Abs and autoantibodies with different specificities equally. Although the noncomplement-fixing IgG1 and IgE are the only isotypes significantly increased in Lat(Y136F) serum, we observed early-onset systemic autoimmunity with nephritis showing IgE autoantibody deposits and severe proteinuria. These results show that Th2 cells developing in Lat(Y136F) mice can trigger polyclonal B cell activation and thereby lead to systemic autoimmune disease.

Developing psychosis and its risk States through the lens of schizotypy.

Starting from the early descriptions of Kraepelin and Bleuler, the construct of schizotypy was developed from observations of aberrations in nonpsychotic family members of schizophrenia patients. In contemporary diagnostic manuals, the positive symptoms of schizotypal personality disorder were included in the ultra high-risk (UHR) criteria 20 years ago, and nowadays are broadly employed in clinical early detection of psychosis. The schizotypy construct, now dissociated from strict familial risk, also informed research on the liability to develop any psychotic disorder, and in particular schizophrenia-spectrum disorders, even outside clinical settings. Against the historical background of schizotypy it is surprising that evidence from longitudinal studies linking schizotypy, UHR, and conversion to psychosis has only recently emerged; and it still remains unclear how schizotypy may be positioned in high-risk research. Following a comprehensive literature search, we review 18 prospective studies on 15 samples examining the evidence for a link between trait schizotypy and conversion to psychosis in 4 different types of samples: general population, clinical risk samples according to UHR and/or basic symptom criteria, genetic (familial) risk, and clinical samples at-risk for a nonpsychotic schizophrenia-spectrum diagnosis. These prospective studies underline the value of schizotypy in high-risk research, but also point to the lack of evidence needed to better define the position of the construct of schizotypy within a developmental psychopathology perspective of emerging psychosis and schizophrenia-spectrum disorders.

Machine learning for spatial environmental data. Theory, applications and software

The book presents the state of the art in machine learning algorithms (artificial neural networks of different architectures, support vector machines, etc.) as applied to the classification and mapping of spatially distributed environmental data. Basic geostatistical algorithms are presented as well. New trends in machine learning and their application to spatial data are given, and real case studies based on environmental and pollution data are carried out. The book provides a CD-ROM with the Machine Learning Office software, including sample sets of data, that will allow both students and researchers to put the concepts rapidly to practice.