Complexity of rupture propagation in large earthquakes in relation to tectonic environment

Complexity in the earthquake rupture process can result from many factors. This study investigates the origin of such complexity by examining several recent, large earthquakes in detail. In each case the local tectonic environment plays an important role in understanding the source of the complexity.

Several large shallow earthquakes (M_s > 7.0) along the Middle American Trench have similarities and differences between them that may lead to a better understanding of fracture and subduction processes. They are predominantly thrust events consistent with the known subduction of the Cocos plate beneath N. America. Two events occurring along this subduction zone close to triple junctions show considerable complexity. This may be attributable to a more heterogeneous stress environment in these regions and as such has implications for other subduction zone boundaries.

An event which looks complex but is actually rather simple is the 1978 Bermuda earthquake (M_s ~ 6). It is located predominantly in the mantle. Its mechanism is one of pure thrust faulting with a strike N 20°W and dip 42°NE. Its apparent complexity is caused by local crustal structure. This is an important event in terms of understanding and estimating seismic hazard on the eastern seaboard of N. America.

A study of several large strike-slip continental earthquakes identifies characteristics which are common to them and may be useful in determining what to expect from the next great earthquake on the San Andreas fault. The events are the 1976 Guatemala earthquake on the Motagua fault and two events on the Anatolian fault in Turkey (the 1967, Mudurnu Valley and 1976, E. Turkey events). An attempt to model the complex P-waveforms of these events results in good synthetic fits for the Guatemala and Mudurnu Valley events. However, the E. Turkey event proves to be too complex as it may have associated thrust or normal faulting. Several individual sources occurring at intervals of between 5 and 20 seconds characterize the Guatemala and Mudurnu Valley events. The maximum size of an individual source appears to be bounded at about 5 x 10²⁶ dyne-cm. A detailed source study including directivity is performed on the Guatemala event. The source time history of the Mudurnu Valley event illustrates its significance in modeling strong ground motion in the near field. The complex source time series of the 1967 event produces amplitudes greater by a factor of 2.5 than a uniform model scaled to the same size for a station 20 km from the fault.

Three large and important earthquakes demonstrate an important type of complexity --- multiple-fault complexity. The first, the 1976 Philippine earthquake, an oblique thrust event, represents the first seismological evidence for a northeast dipping subduction zone beneath the island of Mindanao. A large event, following the mainshock by 12 hours, occurred outside the aftershock area and apparently resulted from motion on a subsidiary fault since the event had a strike-slip mechanism.

An aftershock of the great 1960 Chilean earthquake on June 6, 1960, proved to be an interesting discovery. It appears to be a large strike-slip event at the main rupture's southern boundary. It most likely occurred on the landward extension of the Chile Rise transform fault, in the subducting plate. The results for this event suggest that a small event triggered a series of slow events; the duration of the whole sequence being longer than 1 hour. This is indeed a "slow earthquake".

Perhaps one of the most complex of events is the recent Tangshan, China event. It began as a large strike-slip event. Within several seconds of the mainshock it may have triggered thrust faulting to the south of the epicenter. There is no doubt, however, that it triggered a large oblique normal event to the northeast, 15 hours after the mainshock. This event certainly contributed to the great loss of life-sustained as a result of the Tangshan earthquake sequence.

What has been learned from these studies has been applied to predict what one might expect from the next great earthquake on the San Andreas. The expectation from this study is that such an event would be a large complex event, not unlike, but perhaps larger than, the Guatemala or Mudurnu Valley events. That is to say, it will most likely consist of a series of individual events in sequence. It is also quite possible that the event could trigger associated faulting on neighboring fault systems such as those occurring in the Transverse Ranges. This has important bearing on the earthquake hazard estimation for the region.

Viral metagenomic analysis of feces of wild small carnivores

Background: Recent studies have clearly demonstrated the enormous virus diversity that exists among wild animals. This exemplifies the required expansion of our knowledge of the virus diversity present in wildlife, as well as the potential transmission of these viruses to domestic animals or humans. Methods: In the present study we evaluated the viral diversity of fecal samples (n = 42) collected from 10 different species of wild small carnivores inhabiting the northern part of Spain using random PCR in combination with next-generation sequencing. Samples were collected from American mink (Neovison vison), European mink (Mustela lutreola), European polecat (Mustela putorius), European pine marten (Martes martes), stone marten (Martes foina), Eurasian otter (Lutra lutra) and Eurasian badger (Meles meles) of the family of Mustelidae; common genet (Genetta genetta) of the family of Viverridae; red fox (Vulpes vulpes) of the family of Canidae and European wild cat (Felis silvestris) of the family of Felidae. Results: A number of sequences of possible novel viruses or virus variants were detected, including a theilovirus, phleboviruses, an amdovirus, a kobuvirus and picobirnaviruses. Conclusions: Using random PCR in combination with next generation sequencing, sequences of various novel viruses or virus variants were detected in fecal samples collected from Spanish carnivores. Detected novel viruses highlight the viral diversity that is present in fecal material of wild carnivores.

Escalation in shrimp production in the Sierra Leone industrial fishery

Applying Turkey's jackknife method on MSY estimates from the surplus production models of Schaefer and Fox showed that the optimum yield for shrimps in industrial fishery in Sierra Leone is estimated at 2,686.8 t with 15,822 fishing days. Annual catch for 1996 was 2,788 t, indicating an escalation in exploitation which, if prolonged, could bring reduced productivity as experienced in the fishery some years ago.

分子系统学分析平台的建立和应用

分子系统学建立在实验和计算的基础之上。DNA快速测序技术的普及为分子系统学家提供了大量数据，而序列分析技术则是探索数据发现知识的重要工具。在基因组时代，随着大量模式生物完整基因组序列的获得，分子系统学正面临着前所未有的机遇和挑战。一方面，生命之树计划有助于确定新的模式生物和开展相应的基因组计划;另一方面，模式生物的基因组计划有助于阐明它们之间的进化关系和基因组的进化模式。更为重要的是，分子系统学序列分析技术已经发展成为探索与整合基因组数据的强有力工具，从而在生命科学中发挥重要作用。事实上，分子系统学和基因组学的相互渗透正在形成一门崭新的交叉学科——系统发育基因组学。 为了奠定分子系统学研究中信息管理和数据分析工作的坚实基础，我们建立了分子系统发育分析平台。该平台为研究人员提供专业数据库服务和数据分析技术支持，以及相关的网络资源。 分子系统发育分析平台包括了3个专业数据库。第一个是DNA凭证标本数据库。该数据库中的记录包括了7项字段：英文科名、中文科名、物种拉丁名、采集人、采集号、采集地和采集时间。用户可以通过设定单个或多个字段的取值进行检索。截止2004年6月1日，该数据库共包括3491条标本记录。第二个是引物数据库。PCR引物是分子系统学实验的重要条件之一。该数据库中的记录包括3项字段：引物名称、序列内容和退火温度。用户可以通过设定单个或多个字段的取值进行检索。截止2004年6月1日，该数据库共包括170条用于扩增植物细胞核、叶绿体和线粒体基因组DNA序列的引物记录。第三个是生物计算数据库。该数据库为研究人员提供传输和保存序列分析数据和结果文件的服务。 为了确保数据库的安全性和使用性，我们开发了数据库的接口和检索工具，以及系统管理员和用户资格认证程序。通过前者，使用者可以进行数据的上传、下载、管理和检索等操作。而后者则是对不同使用者身份和权限进行设定。管理员的权限高于用户，主要负责本系统的日常维护和管理工作，以及对新增管理员和用户进行资格认证。 分析技术支持旨在帮助用户快速掌握常用的系统发育分析方法，进行有效的数据分析，从复杂的统计学算法和计算机程序中解放出来，将精力集中于计算结果的生物学解释。在该部分中，我们首先简要介绍了常用的分析方法，并且针对分子系统学中的不同问题提供了相应的解决方案。这些问题包括：系统发育重建、替代速率和分歧时间的估计、祖先分布区的重建、性状进化假说的检验、以及密码子水平适应性进化的检测。我们特别强调了似然比检验和贝叶斯推测作为方法论上的重要进展在分子系统学中所发挥的关键作用。本部分还包括大量常用的分子系统学程序或软件包及其快速使用说明和命令模块。下载安装之后，用户即可按照说明使用命令模块进行数据分析。 此外，该平台还提供了一些常用的网络资源地址，如生物信息中心、分子进化和系统发育实验室、专业期刊和相关数据库等。 最后还给出了4个应用实例，即针对特定分子系统学问题的解决方案和初步的分析结果。 第一个例子说明系统发育重建方法的应用。为了确定杨梅科的系统学位置，对6种DNA序列和叶绿体trnL-F区内的间隔性状进行了分析。单个分析表明这6种序列之间在系统学信息上存在显著差异。叶绿体基因组序列的合并分析强烈支持杨梅科和（木麻黄科，（桦木科，核果桦科））的姐妹群关系，而间隔性状的存在能够充分提高其分辨率和支持率。 第二个例子说明如何推测历史生物地理学过程。我们对壳斗目8科25属植物叶绿体基因组的trnL-F、matK、rbcL和atpB的合并序列进行了最大简约分析，得到唯一的最大简约树。基于该系统树和25属植物的地理分布数据，采用扩散－替代分析方法重建了系统树每个节点上的祖先分布区，推测了壳斗目的分布历史。结果表明，壳斗目的历史生物地理学过程由3次替代事件和20次扩散事件组成。其中最重要的替代事件是由于冈瓦纳大陆和劳亚大陆分离所导致的南青冈科及其姐妹群之间的分化。另外，在壳斗科和核心高等金缕梅类中多次发生从欧亚大陆到北美洲、甚至南美洲的平行扩散事件。 第三个例子说明如何估计分歧时间。我们仍然使用扩散－替代分析中所用的最大简约树作为分析的依据，并根据等级制似然比检验确定的最优替代模型对该系统树的支长进行了最大似然优化。似然比检验表明，该系统树不服从分子钟假说。我们以冈瓦纳大陆和劳亚大陆分离的地质事件和5个属的最早化石记录作为标定点，采用罚分似然法在没有分子钟的条件下估计了壳斗目的科间分歧时间。结果表明，绝大多数科间分歧事件都发生在白垩纪。 第四个例子说明如何检测密码子水平的适应性进化。分支间可变选择压力模型的似然比检验表明SARS冠状病毒的S基因在跨种传播过程中发生了正选择。