A priori parameterisation of the CERES soil-crop models and tests against several European data sets

Mechanistic soil-crop models have become indispensable tools to investigate the effect of management practices on the productivity or environmental impacts of arable crops. Ideally these models may claim to be universally applicable because they simulate the major processes governing the fate of inputs such as fertiliser nitrogen or pesticides. However, because they deal with complex systems and uncertain phenomena, site-specific calibration is usually a prerequisite to ensure their predictions are realistic. This statement implies that some experimental knowledge on the system to be simulated should be available prior to any modelling attempt, and raises a tremendous limitation to practical applications of models. Because the demand for more general simulation results is high, modellers have nevertheless taken the bold step of extrapolating a model tested within a limited sample of real conditions to a much larger domain. While methodological questions are often disregarded in this extrapolation process, they are specifically addressed in this paper, and in particular the issue of models a priori parameterisation. We thus implemented and tested a standard procedure to parameterize the soil components of a modified version of the CERES models. The procedure converts routinely-available soil properties into functional characteristics by means of pedo-transfer functions. The resulting predictions of soil water and nitrogen dynamics, as well as crop biomass, nitrogen content and leaf area index were compared to observations from trials conducted in five locations across Europe (southern Italy, northern Spain, northern France and northern Germany). In three cases, the model’s performance was judged acceptable when compared to experimental errors on the measurements, based on a test of the model’s root mean squared error (RMSE). Significant deviations between observations and model outputs were however noted in all sites, and could be ascribed to various model routines. In decreasing importance, these were: water balance, the turnover of soil organic matter, and crop N uptake. A better match to field observations could therefore be achieved by visually adjusting related parameters, such as field-capacity water content or the size of soil microbial biomass. As a result, model predictions fell within the measurement errors in all sites for most variables, and the model’s RMSE was within the range of published values for similar tests. We conclude that the proposed a priori method yields acceptable simulations with only a 50% probability, a figure which may be greatly increased through a posteriori calibration. Modellers should thus exercise caution when extrapolating their models to a large sample of pedo-climatic conditions for which they have only limited information.

Análisis de la arquitectura de webs mediante tests de estrés de navegación, de usabilidad y eye tracking

Evaluar una arquitectura de la información en un sitio web ya desplegado no resulta una tarea sencilla. La mayoría de las técnicas se centran en examinar la usabilidad del sistema que, aunque afecta a la arquitectura de la información, no es el único factor que influye en ella. La principal técnica que se utiliza es el test de estrés de navegación. Se muestra un aporte metodológico para hacer dicha técnica más informativa, llevándola más allá de la simple anotación en papel por parte del usuario de respuestas a las preguntas de navegación planteadas. Se propone la combinación de ésta con otras técnicas de evaluación de la usabilidad: la técnica de pensar en voz alta o thinking aloud y un cuestionario de usabilidad. Se ha utilizado un sistema de seguimiento de la mirada o eye tracking para complementar la información obtenida mediante las técnicas aplicadas. El enfoque metodológico planteado se ha puesto a prueba analizando una serie de sitios web de bibliotecas de universidades públicas españolas. Se muestra en los resultados la validez del enfoque empleado, así como el valor que dicho enfoque y el uso del eye tracking aportan al análisis de la arquitectura de la información respecto al test de estrés de navegación tradicional.

Bond strength tests of dental adhesive systems and their correlation with clinical results : a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the variability of bond strength test results of adhesive systems (AS) and to correlate the results with clinical parameters of clinical studies investigating cervical restorations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Regarding the clinical studies, the internal database which had previously been used for a meta-analysis on cervical restorations was updated with clinical studies published between 2008 and 2012 by searching the PubMed and SCOPUS databases. PubMed and the International Association for Dental Research abstracts online were searched for laboratory studies on microtensile, macrotensile and macroshear bond strength tests. The inclusion criteria were (1) dentin, (2) testing of at least four adhesive systems, (3) same diameter of composite and (4) 24h of water storage prior to testing. The clinical outcome variables were retention loss, marginal discoloration, detectable margins, and a clinical index comprising the three parameters by weighing them. Linear mixed models which included a random study effect were calculated for both, the laboratory and the clinical studies. The variability was assessed by calculating a ratio of variances, dividing the variance among the estimated bonding effects obtained in the linear mixed models by the sum of all variance components estimated in these models. RESULTS: Thirty-two laboratory studies fulfilled the inclusion criteria comprising 183 experiments. Of those, 86 used the microtensile test evaluating 22 adhesive systems (AS). Twenty-seven used the macrotensile test with 17 AS, and 70 used the macroshear test with 24 AS. For 28 AS the results from clinical studies were available. Microtensile and macrotensile (Spearman rho=0.66, p=0.007) were moderately correlated and also microtensile and macroshear (Spearman rho=0.51, p=0.03) but not macroshear and macrotensile (Spearman rho=0.34, p=0.22). The effect of the adhesive system was significant for microtensile and macroshear (p<0.001) but not for macrotensile. The effect of the adhesive system could explain 36% of the variability of the microtensile test, 27% of the macrotensile and 33% of the macroshear test. For the clinical trials, about 49% of the variability of retained restorations could be explained by the adhesive system. With respect to the correlation between bond strength tests and clinical parameters, only a moderate correlation between micro- and macrotensile test results and marginal discoloration was demonstrated. However, no correlation between these tests and a retention loss or marginal integrity was shown. The correlation improved when more studies were included compared to assessing only one study. SIGNIFICANCE: The high variability of bond strength test results highlights the need to establish individual acceptance levels for a given test institute. The weak correlation of bond-strength test results with clinical parameters leads to the conclusion that one should not rely solely on bond strength tests to predict the clinical performance of an adhesive system but one should conduct other laboratory tests like tests on the marginal adaptation of fillings in extracted teeth and the retention loss of restorations in non-retentive cavities after artificial aging.

IL1B and DEFB1 Polymorphisms Increase Susceptibility to Invasive Mold Infection After Solid-Organ Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in immune genes have been associated with susceptibility to invasive mold infection (IMI) among hematopoietic stem cell but not solid-organ transplant (SOT) recipients. METHODS: Twenty-four SNPs from systematically selected genes were genotyped among 1101 SOT recipients (715 kidney transplant recipients, 190 liver transplant recipients, 102 lung transplant recipients, 79 heart transplant recipients, and 15 recipients of other transplants) from the Swiss Transplant Cohort Study. Association between SNPs and the end point were assessed by log-rank test and Cox regression models. Cytokine production upon Aspergillus stimulation was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from healthy volunteers and correlated with relevant genotypes. RESULTS: Mold colonization (n = 45) and proven/probable IMI (n = 26) were associated with polymorphisms in the genes encoding interleukin 1β (IL1B; rs16944; recessive mode, P = .001 for colonization and P = .00005 for IMI, by the log-rank test), interleukin 1 receptor antagonist (IL1RN; rs419598; P = .01 and P = .02, respectively), and β-defensin 1 (DEFB1; rs1800972; P = .001 and P = .0002, respectively). The associations with IL1B and DEFB1 remained significant in a multivariate regression model (P = .002 for IL1B rs16944; P = .01 for DEFB1 rs1800972). The presence of 2 copies of the rare allele of rs16944 or rs419598 was associated with reduced Aspergillus-induced interleukin 1β and tumor necrosis factor α secretion by PBMCs. CONCLUSIONS: Functional polymorphisms in IL1B and DEFB1 influence susceptibility to mold infection in SOT recipients. This observation may contribute to individual risk stratification.

Genes outside The Hla Region affecting Susceptibility to Type 1 Diabetes - The Role of Iddm2 and Iddm9 in the Finnish Population

Tyypin 1 diabeteksen perinnöllinen alttius Suomessa - HLA-alueen ulkopuolisten alttiuslokusten IDDM2 ja IDDM9 rooli taudin periytymisessä HLA-alue, joka sijaitsee kromosomissa 6p21.3, vastaa noin puolesta perinnöllisestä alttiudesta sairastua tyypin 1 diabetekseen. Myös HLA-alueen ulkopuolisten lokusten on todettu liittyvän sairausalttiuteen. Näistä kolmen lokuksen on varmistettu olevan todellisia alttiuslokuksia ja lisäksi useiden muiden, vielä varmistamattomien lokusten, on todettu liittyvän sairausalttiuteen. Tässä tutkimuksessa 12:n HLA-alueen ulkopuolisen alttiuslokuksen kytkentä tyypin 1 diabetekseen tutkittiin käyttäen 107:aa suomalaista multiplex-perhettä. Jatkotutkimuksessa analysoitiin IDDM9-alueen kytkentä ja assosiaatio sairauteen laajennetuissa perhemateriaaleissa sekä IDDM2-alueen mahdollinen interaktio HLA-alueen kanssa sairauden muodostumisessa. Lisäksi suoritettiin IDDM2-alueen suojaavien haplotyyppien alatyypitys tarkoituksena tutkia eri haplotyyppien käyttökelpoisuutta sairastumisriskin tarkempaa ennustamista varten. Ensimmäisessä kytkentätutkimuksessa ei löytynyt koko genomin tasolla merkitsevää tai viitteellistä kytkentää tutkituista HLA-alueen ulkopuolisista lokuksista. Voimakkain havaittu nimellisen merkitsevyyden tavoittava kytkentä nähtiin IDDM9-alueen markkerilla D3S3576 (MLS=1.05). Tutkimuksessa ei kyetty varmistamaan tai sulkemaan pois aiempia kytkentähavaintoja tutkituilla lokuksilla, mutta IDDM9-alueen jatkotutkimuksessa havaittu voimakas kytkentä (MLS=3.4) ja merkitsevä assosiaatio (TDT p=0.0002) viittaa vahvasti siihen, että 3q21-alueella sijaitsee todellinen tyypin 1 diabeteksen alttiusgeeni, jolloin alueen kattava assosiaatiotutkimus olisi perusteltu jatkotoimenpide. Sairauteen altistava IDDM2-alueen MspI-2221 genotyyppi CC oli nimellisesti yleisempi matalan tai kohtalaisen HLA-sairastumisriskin diabeetikoilla, verrattuna korkean HLA-riskin potilaisiin (p=0.05). Myös genotyyppijakauman vertailu osoitti merkitsevää eroa ryhmien välillä (p=0.01). VNTR-haplotyyppitutkimus osoitti, että IIIA/IIIA-homotsygootin sairaudelta suojaava vaikutus on merkitsevästi voimakkaampi kuin muiden luokka III:n genotyypeillä. Nämä tulokset viittaavat IDDM2-HLA -vuorovaikutukseen sekä siihen että IDDM2-alueen haplotyyppien välillä esiintyy etiologista heterogeniaa. Tämän johdosta IDDM2-alueen haplotyyppien tarkempi määrittäminen voisi tehostaa tyypin 1 diabeteksen riskiarviointia.

Toxicity screenings of nanomaterials: challenges due to interference with assay processes and components of classic in vitro tests.

Given the multiplicity of nanoparticles (NPs), there is a requirement to develop screening strategies to evaluate their toxicity. Within the EU-funded FP7 NanoTEST project, a panel of medically relevant NPs has been used to develop alternative testing strategies of NPs used in medical diagnostics. As conventional toxicity tests cannot necessarily be directly applied to NPs in the same manner as for soluble chemicals and drugs, we determined the extent of interference of NPs with each assay process and components. In this study, we fully characterized the panel of NP suspensions used in this project (poly(lactic-co-glycolic acid)-polyethylene oxide [PLGA-PEO], TiO2, SiO2, and uncoated and oleic-acid coated Fe3O4) and showed that many NP characteristics (composition, size, coatings, and agglomeration) interfere with a range of in vitro cytotoxicity assays (WST-1, MTT, lactate dehydrogenase, neutral red, propidium iodide, (3)H-thymidine incorporation, and cell counting), pro-inflammatory response evaluation (ELISA for GM-CSF, IL-6, and IL-8), and oxidative stress detection (monoBromoBimane, dichlorofluorescein, and NO assays). Interferences were assay specific as well as NP specific. We propose how to integrate and avoid interference with testing systems as a first step of a screening strategy for biomedical NPs.