966 resultados para imbalanced class problem


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A retarded backward equation for a non-Markovian process induced by dichotomous noise (the random telegraphic signal) is deduced. The mean-first-passage time of this process is exactly obtained. The Gaussian white noise and the white shot noise limits are studied. Explicit physical results in first approximation are evaluated.

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This article presents an experimental study about the classification ability of several classifiers for multi-classclassification of cannabis seedlings. As the cultivation of drug type cannabis is forbidden in Switzerland lawenforcement authorities regularly ask forensic laboratories to determinate the chemotype of a seized cannabisplant and then to conclude if the plantation is legal or not. This classification is mainly performed when theplant is mature as required by the EU official protocol and then the classification of cannabis seedlings is a timeconsuming and costly procedure. A previous study made by the authors has investigated this problematic [1]and showed that it is possible to differentiate between drug type (illegal) and fibre type (legal) cannabis at anearly stage of growth using gas chromatography interfaced with mass spectrometry (GC-MS) based on therelative proportions of eight major leaf compounds. The aims of the present work are on one hand to continueformer work and to optimize the methodology for the discrimination of drug- and fibre type cannabisdeveloped in the previous study and on the other hand to investigate the possibility to predict illegal cannabisvarieties. Seven classifiers for differentiating between cannabis seedlings are evaluated in this paper, namelyLinear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis (PLS-DA), Nearest NeighbourClassification (NNC), Learning Vector Quantization (LVQ), Radial Basis Function Support Vector Machines(RBF SVMs), Random Forest (RF) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The performance of each method wasassessed using the same analytical dataset that consists of 861 samples split into drug- and fibre type cannabiswith drug type cannabis being made up of 12 varieties (i.e. 12 classes). The results show that linear classifiersare not able to manage the distribution of classes in which some overlap areas exist for both classificationproblems. Unlike linear classifiers, NNC and RBF SVMs best differentiate cannabis samples both for 2-class and12-class classifications with average classification results up to 99% and 98%, respectively. Furthermore, RBFSVMs correctly classified into drug type cannabis the independent validation set, which consists of cannabisplants coming from police seizures. In forensic case work this study shows that the discrimination betweencannabis samples at an early stage of growth is possible with fairly high classification performance fordiscriminating between cannabis chemotypes or between drug type cannabis varieties.

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Major histocompatibility complex class II (MHCII) expression is regulated by the transcriptional coactivator CIITA. Positive selection of CD4(+) T cells is abrogated in mice lacking one of the promoters (pIV) of the Mhc2ta gene. This is entirely due to the absence of MHCII expression in thymic epithelia, as demonstrated by bone marrow transfer experiments between wild-type and pIV(-/-) mice. Medullary thymic epithelial cells (mTECs) are also MHCII(-) in pIV(-/-) mice. Bone marrow-derived, professional antigen-presenting cells (APCs) retain normal MHCII expression in pIV(-/-) mice, including those believed to mediate negative selection in the thymic medulla. Endogenous retroviruses thus retain their ability to sustain negative selection of the residual CD4(+) thymocytes in pIV(-/-) mice. Interestingly, the passive acquisition of MHCII molecules by thymocytes is abrogated in pIV(-/-) mice. This identifies thymic epithelial cells as the source of this passive transfer. In peripheral lymphoid organs, the CD4(+) T-cell population of pIV(-/-) mice is quantitatively and qualitatively comparable to that of MHCII-deficient mice. It comprises a high proportion of CD1-restricted natural killer T cells, which results in a bias of the V beta repertoire of the residual CD4(+) T-cell population. We have also addressed the identity of the signal that sustains pIV expression in cortical epithelia. We found that the Jak/STAT pathways activated by the common gamma chain (CD132) or common beta chain (CDw131) cytokine receptors are not required for MHCII expression in thymic cortical epithelia.

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We have performed a detailed study of the zenith angle dependence of the regeneration factor and distributions of events at SNO and SK for different solutions of the solar neutrino problem. In particular, we discuss the oscillatory behavior and the synchronization effect in the distribution for the LMA solution, the parametric peak for the LOW solution, etc. A physical interpretation of the effects is given. We suggest a new binning of events which emphasizes the distinctive features of the zenith angle distributions for the different solutions. We also find the correlations between the integrated day-night asymmetry and the rates of events in different zenith angle bins. The study of these correlations strengthens the identification power of the analysis.

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In advance of the 2012 legislative session, I am pleased to provide for your review this legislative brief on Gov. Terry E. Branstad’s and Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds’ education reform package. The purpose is to provide a broad overview of the components of the package, give some examples of where similar approaches are in place, and provide cost estimates. In collaboration with the Governor’s Office, the staff at the Iowa Department of Education and I have worked intensively to prepare a set of legislative proposals worthy of careful consideration. I believe this package puts us on the path to our unshakable vision of having one of the best school systems in the world. Iowa’s children deserve nothing less.

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Der Aufsatz nähert sich dem Interpretationsproblem des ,Ring', eines seit Forschungsbeginn ausserordentlich konträr diskutierten Textes, aus wissenschaftsanalytischer Perspektive. Er führt die Zersplitterung und die Extremisierung der Deutungsansätze, die die breite Forschung zu Wittenwilers Werk kennzeichnet, auf einen vergleichsweise simplen Befund zurück: die ungeklärte Frage nach dem Verhältnis von Komik und Didaktik und der Ernsthaftigkeit des lehrhaften Angebots im ,Ring'. Die so auf grundlegendster Ebene offen gebliebene Erfassung des Textes führt in einen interpretatorischen Leerraum, in dem die widersprüchlichsten, oft wissenschaftsideologisch begründeten Positionen Platz finden. Ihre Analyse zeigt, dass sie sich in wiederkehrende Gruppierungen ordnen. Als Schlüsselglied sowohl der Befunddaten als auch der konträren Vernetzungen von Befund und Deutung wird die wechselnd rote und grüne Initialenlinie der Münchner Handschrift identifiziert. Als im Prolog eingeführte Markierung von Ernst auf der einen und Komik auf der anderen Seite ist sie nicht nur visueller Ausdruck des Deutungsproblems des ,Ring', sondern sie hat es wegen der scheinbaren Unstimmigkeit ihrer Zuweisungen auch wesentlich bedingt. Der Aufsatz zeigt ihren bisher übersehenen Aufschluss für das Verständnis des Werks. Nimmt man die Linie als graphisches Verfahren ernst, stellt sie sich als strukturelle Markierung zum Auffinden von Text im diskontinuierlichen Zugriff dar - nicht aber, wie man sie bisher ausnahmslos verstand, als semantische Kommentierung eines laufenden, kontinuierlich zu lesenden Textes. Die strukturierende Funktion des Farbwechsels ist auf zwei Ebenen nachzuweisen: Auf Makroebene trennen seine Zuweisungen vorwiegend narrative und vorwiegend wissensvermittelnde Grosspartien des ,Ring' durch eine jeweilige Grundfarbe. Auf Mikroebene wird diese Grundfarbe durch die jeweils andere Farbe durchbrochen, um formale Einschnitte wie etwa Sprecherwechsel, Ortswechsel, Handlungsneueinsätze, Beginn und Ende eines eingeschalteten Binnentextes oder einer Sentenz anzuzeigen. Dem Benutzer der autornahen Handschrift sollte so in einem ersten Schritt (makrostrukturell) ermöglicht werden, gezielt auf gewünschte Stellen des Textes zuzugreifen und ihn in einem zweiten Schritt (mikrostrukturell) schneller zu erfassen. Nicht in seiner Umsetzung, sehr wohl aber in seiner Funktion steht dieses ungewöhnliche Layout zeitgenössischen Techniken der Buchgliederung durchaus nahe. Auch im Profil der Zusammenstellung seiner Binnentexte rückt der ,Ring' damit in die Nähe der im Spätmittelalter beliebten Sammelhandschriften mit Ziel einer Wissenssumme, die hier narrativ verbundenen wird. Es scheint, als möchte der ,Ring' in einem ungewöhnlichen Experiment beides sein: Kompilation und Werkganzes, Wissenssammlung und Erzählwerk - Texte und Text. Als Ergebnis einer Neuuntersuchung des Münchner codex unicus des ,Ring' weist der Beitrag schliesslich darauf hin, dass auch zahlreiche Markierungszeichen am Spaltenrand formale und strukturelle Texteinschnitte anzeigen und somit die gleiche Funktion haben wie der Farbwechsel auf Mikroebene. Ein kausaler, produktionstechnischer Zusammenhang zwischen diesen Zeichen und der Verteilung des Farbwechsels ist nicht auszuschliessen, zumal beide Verfahren etwa im letzten Fünftel des Textes zunehmend zusammenfallen. Möglicherweise war nur die makrostrukturelle Funktion des Farbwechsel ursprünglich indendiert und mit der Erläuterung im Prolog bezeichnet, während seine mikrostrukturelle Funktion erst Resultat des Abschreibprozesses ist.

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Fly ash was used in this evaluation study to replace 15% of the cement in Class C-3 concrete paving mixes. One Class "c" ash from Iowa approved sources was examined in each mix. Substitution rate was based on 1 to 1 basis, for each pound of cement removed 1.0 pound of ash was added. The freeze/thaw durability of the concrete studied was not adversely affected by the presence of fly ash. This study reveals that the durability of the concrete test specimens made with Class II durability aggregates was slightly increased in all cases by the substitution of cement with 15% Class "c" fly ash. In all cases durability factors either remained the same or slightly improved except for one case where the durability factor decreased from 36 to 34. The expansion decreased in all cases.

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Chile is one of the countries with the highest level of income inequality worldwide. Given the association between economic inequality and patterns of social stratification, in such context it would be expected to find a large dispersion of subjective social status' indicators in the population. Nevertheless, analyses from international surveys reveal a strong tendency to the mean of the subjective status i.e. there would be downward and upward biases of the subjective status regarding the objective status. The present research attempts to tackle this phenomenon for the Chilean case, with a focus on the influence of status and class variables on the subjective status. For the analysis we use Chilean data from the social inequality module of the International Social Survey Programme 2009. The results indicate a strong tendency to the mean of the subjective status in the population, particularly from the side of those with higher objective status.

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PURPOSE: The current study tested the applicability of Jessor's problem behavior theory (PBT) in national probability samples from Georgia and Switzerland. Comparisons focused on (1) the applicability of the problem behavior syndrome (PBS) in both developmental contexts, and (2) on the applicability of employing a set of theory-driven risk and protective factors in the prediction of problem behaviors. METHODS: School-based questionnaire data were collected from n = 18,239 adolescents in Georgia (n = 9499) and Switzerland (n = 8740) following the same protocol. Participants rated five measures of problem behaviors (alcohol and drug use, problems because of alcohol and drug use, and deviance), three risk factors (future uncertainty, depression, and stress), and three protective factors (family, peer, and school attachment). Final study samples included n = 9043 Georgian youth (mean age = 15.57; 58.8% females) and n = 8348 Swiss youth (mean age = 17.95; 48.5% females). Data analyses were completed using structural equation modeling, path analyses, and post hoc z-tests for comparisons of regression coefficients. RESULTS: Findings indicated that the PBS replicated in both samples, and that theory-driven risk and protective factors accounted for 13% and 10% in Georgian and Swiss samples, respectively in the PBS, net the effects by demographic variables. Follow-up z-tests provided evidence of some differences in the magnitude, but not direction, in five of six individual paths by country. CONCLUSION: PBT and the PBS find empirical support in these Eurasian and Western European samples; thus, Jessor's theory holds value and promise in understanding the etiology of adolescent problem behaviors outside of the United States.

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We clarify the meaning of the results of Phys. Rev. E 60, R5013 (1999). We discuss the use and implications of periodic boundary conditions, as opposed to rigid-wall ones. We briefly argue that the solutions of the paper above are physically relevant as part of a more general issue, namely the possible generalization to dynamics, of the microscopic solvability scenario of selection.

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Crash Rates and Crash Densities on Secondary Roads in Iowa by Functional Class produced by the Iowa Department of Transportation.

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Executive Summary The unifying theme of this thesis is the pursuit of a satisfactory ways to quantify the riskureward trade-off in financial economics. First in the context of a general asset pricing model, then across models and finally across country borders. The guiding principle in that pursuit was to seek innovative solutions by combining ideas from different fields in economics and broad scientific research. For example, in the first part of this thesis we sought a fruitful application of strong existence results in utility theory to topics in asset pricing. In the second part we implement an idea from the field of fuzzy set theory to the optimal portfolio selection problem, while the third part of this thesis is to the best of our knowledge, the first empirical application of some general results in asset pricing in incomplete markets to the important topic of measurement of financial integration. While the first two parts of this thesis effectively combine well-known ways to quantify the risk-reward trade-offs the third one can be viewed as an empirical verification of the usefulness of the so-called "good deal bounds" theory in designing risk-sensitive pricing bounds. Chapter 1 develops a discrete-time asset pricing model, based on a novel ordinally equivalent representation of recursive utility. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to use a member of a novel class of recursive utility generators to construct a representative agent model to address some long-lasting issues in asset pricing. Applying strong representation results allows us to show that the model features countercyclical risk premia, for both consumption and financial risk, together with low and procyclical risk free rate. As the recursive utility used nests as a special case the well-known time-state separable utility, all results nest the corresponding ones from the standard model and thus shed light on its well-known shortcomings. The empirical investigation to support these theoretical results, however, showed that as long as one resorts to econometric methods based on approximating conditional moments with unconditional ones, it is not possible to distinguish the model we propose from the standard one. Chapter 2 is a join work with Sergei Sontchik. There we provide theoretical and empirical motivation for aggregation of performance measures. The main idea is that as it makes sense to apply several performance measures ex-post, it also makes sense to base optimal portfolio selection on ex-ante maximization of as many possible performance measures as desired. We thus offer a concrete algorithm for optimal portfolio selection via ex-ante optimization over different horizons of several risk-return trade-offs simultaneously. An empirical application of that algorithm, using seven popular performance measures, suggests that realized returns feature better distributional characteristics relative to those of realized returns from portfolio strategies optimal with respect to single performance measures. When comparing the distributions of realized returns we used two partial risk-reward orderings first and second order stochastic dominance. We first used the Kolmogorov Smirnov test to determine if the two distributions are indeed different, which combined with a visual inspection allowed us to demonstrate that the way we propose to aggregate performance measures leads to portfolio realized returns that first order stochastically dominate the ones that result from optimization only with respect to, for example, Treynor ratio and Jensen's alpha. We checked for second order stochastic dominance via point wise comparison of the so-called absolute Lorenz curve, or the sequence of expected shortfalls for a range of quantiles. As soon as the plot of the absolute Lorenz curve for the aggregated performance measures was above the one corresponding to each individual measure, we were tempted to conclude that the algorithm we propose leads to portfolio returns distribution that second order stochastically dominates virtually all performance measures considered. Chapter 3 proposes a measure of financial integration, based on recent advances in asset pricing in incomplete markets. Given a base market (a set of traded assets) and an index of another market, we propose to measure financial integration through time by the size of the spread between the pricing bounds of the market index, relative to the base market. The bigger the spread around country index A, viewed from market B, the less integrated markets A and B are. We investigate the presence of structural breaks in the size of the spread for EMU member country indices before and after the introduction of the Euro. We find evidence that both the level and the volatility of our financial integration measure increased after the introduction of the Euro. That counterintuitive result suggests the presence of an inherent weakness in the attempt to measure financial integration independently of economic fundamentals. Nevertheless, the results about the bounds on the risk free rate appear plausible from the view point of existing economic theory about the impact of integration on interest rates.