Exportaciónes de China en Estados Unidos implicaciones comerciales para América Latina

Este trabajo estima el efecto en el nivel de las exportaciones realizadas por América Latina haciaEstados Unidos cuando se asumen los siguientes tres escenarios. Reducción del nivel de precios delos productos de origen chino, Apreciación del veinte por ciento del Renminbi.

Alteración del centro de gravedad y riesgo de caída en pacientes con trastornos neurológicos. Bogotá. 2014

Introducción: el objetivo de la rehabilitación en los pacientes neurológicos es reducir su discapacidad, potencializar su funcionalidad y promover su independencia para así permitirle desempeñar un rol activo en la comunidad. Por esta razón, es de gran importancia prevenir la aparición de eventos adversos en esta población mediante la detección temprana de factores de riesgo que conllevan a pacientes con enfermedad cerebro vascular a presentar caídas y a su vez le permita a los profesionales de la salud generar estrategias para minimizar su incidencia, complicaciones y/o secuelas. Objetivo: determinar los factores relacionados con la alteración del centro de gravedad y riesgos de caída en paciente con trastornos neurológicos Metodología: se realizó un estudio cuantitativo descriptivo exploratorio retrospectivo donde se tuvieron en cuenta pacientes diagnóstico de enfermedades neurológicas que presentaron o no antecedentes de caídas junto con otros criterios de inclusión y exclusión, tomados de las bases de datos de la institución Mobility Group. Resultados: Se evaluaron en total 19 sujetos (52,6 % hombres) con edad media de 48,37 años. Se clasificaron en dos grupos (alto y bajo riesgo de caída ) de pacientes según la aplicación de la escala de riesgo de caída de J.H. Downton a los cuales se aplicó estadística descriptiva para describir su comportamiento en referencia a factores como diagnóstico clínico, presencia de dolor, fuerza y tono de miembros inferiores en los principales grupos musculares , clasificación de espasticidad y finalmente con la alteración de la trayectoria del centro de gravedad según la valoración realizada con el dispositivo THERA-TRAINER BALANCE.

Lógica en la toma de decisiones de inversión en el sector de extracción de petróleo y gas natural

Este documento se centra en la presentación de información y análisis de la misma a la hora de establecer la manera en que empresas del sector de extracción de gas natural y generación de energía a base de dicho recurso, toman decisiones en cuanto a inversión, centrándose en la lógica que usan a la hora de emprender este proceso. Esto debido a la constante necesidad de establecer procesos que permitan tomar decisiones más acertadas, incluyendo todas las herramientas posibles para tal fin. La lógica es una de estas herramientas, pues permite encadenar factores con el fin de obtener resultados positivos. Por tal razón, se hace importante conocer el uso de esta herramienta, teniendo en cuentas de qué manera y en que contextos es usada. Con el fin de tener una mayor orientación, este estudio estará centrado en un sector específico, el cual es el de la extracción de petróleo y gas natural. Lo anterior entendiendo la necesidad existente de fundamentación teórica que permita establecer de manera clara la forma apropiada de tomar decisiones en un sector tan diverso y complejo como lo es el mencionado. El contexto empresarial actual exige una visión global, no basada en la lógica lineal causal que hoy se tiene como referencia. El sector de extracción de petróleo y gas natural es un ejemplo particular en cuanto a la manera en cuanto se toman decisiones en inversión, puesto que en su mayoría son empresas de capital intensivo, las cuales mantienen un flujo elevado de recursos monetarios.

Comparación de la anestesia espinal con anestesia general endovenosa para legrado uterino obstétrico

Introducción: La elección de la técnica anestésica para cualquier procedimiento quirúrgico debe estar basada en su seguridad, la rapidez para su aplicación, la recuperación óptima para el paciente y minimización de los efectos secundarios, la anestesia raquídea es una técnica anestésica que puede ser utilizada con buenos resultados clínicos y minimas complicaciones . Materiales y métodos: Se realizó un estudio observacional con recolección prospectiva en mujeres clasificadas como ASA I - II y que posteriormente fueron llevadas a la realización de legrado uterino obstétrico por embarazo no viable durante las primeras 12 semanas de gestación, las técnicas anestésicas fueron anestesia espinal o anestesia general endovenosa dependiendo de la elección hecha por el anestesiólogo previo al procedimiento. Se midieron variables hemodinámicas, control del dolor postoperatorio, tiempo de recuperación y complicaciones perioperatorias con el fin de determinar si se presentaban diferencias significativas entre estas dos técnicas anestésicas. Resultados: Se incluyeron un total de 110 pacientes, 63.6% (n=70) con anestesia general y 36.4% (n40) con anestesia espinal. Ambas poblaciones fueron comparables. Se presentaron menos efectos secundarios con la técnica espinal, hay una diferencia estadísticamente significativa en cuanto al dolor a favor de la anestesia espinal (p0,000) Discusión: La anestesia raquídea es una opción viable, sencilla , fácil y eficaz para la realización de legrados obstétricos, se puede realizar con monitorización básica y las complicaciones son mínimas. Se requieren estudios más amplios para determinar el papel de cual es la mejor técnica. Palabras claves: legrado uterino instrumentado, anestesia espinal, anestesia general endovenosa

Globalización del derecho administrativo colombiano

Esta obra contiene los resultados de la investigación adelantada por la línea de tendencias y perspectivas del derecho administrativo, del Grupo de Investigación en Derecho Público de la Universidad del Rosario, auspiciada por la GTZ, con el objeto de identificar la recepción del fenómeno de la globalización del derecho administrativo en el derecho colombiano. Para ello, la investigación identificó las tendencias que caracterizan la globalización del derecho administrativo: desestatización de funciones administrativas a favor del mercado, cambio en las técnicas de intervención administrativa y adaptación de la administración pública al modelo de la gobernanza, y mediante un análisis matricial aplicado a los componentes más relevantes del Programa de Reforma de la Administración Pública, estableció el grado de su presencia o ausencia en el derecho colombiano.

Essays on International trade and economic growth

At present, we are witnessing globalization as a truly worldwide phenomenon. Trade agreements among differing countries, a reduction in trade costs, the mobility of production factors, the free flow of information and so on are all proof of the present day era of globalization. Countries are trading with one another more and more every day and the effects of international trade on economies represent a central discussion in all economic spheres. In spite of increasing trade around the world and the promotion of globalization by multilateral organisms such as WTO and IMF, the effects of international trade are not yet clear. Economics literature concerning the effects of international trade on economic growth and welfare remains ambiguous in terms of both theoretical models and empirical research. The present thesis tries to contribute to the theoretical debate surrounding the effects of dynamic international trade, focusing in particular on the implications for economic growth, welfare and changes in the preferences of individuals.

Productivity, demand and the home market effect

The causality between international trade and industrialization is still ambiguous. We consider a model of international trade with the Home Market Effect - with differences in income and productivity between sectors and between countries - in order to identify additional channels for determining the effects of international trade on industrialization. Introducing non-homothetic preferences and differences in productivity aids in the interpretation of any apparent paradoxes within international trade, such as the commercial relations between more populated countries like China and India and large economies such as the U.S. Population size, demand composition and productivity levels constitute the three main channels for determining the effects of international trade. Interactions among these channels define the results obtained in terms of industrialization, while welfare levels are always higher in relation to autarky.

Basin-scale hydrodynamics in a Mediterranean reservoir. Implications for the phytoplankton dynamics

Procesos hidrodinámicos determinan, en un alto grado la calidad del agua en embalse, sin embargo dichos procesos han sido tradicionalmente olvidados en la gestión de embalse. En esta tesis se presentan evidencias de los principales procesos hidrodinámicos que ocurren en un embalse Mediterráneo a escala de cuenca a través de campañas experimentales y modelización numérica; y su influencia en la dinámica de poblaciones de fitoplancton. Dichos procesos son principalmente la generación de ondas internas o secas y la intrusión del río. La presencia de viento periódico genera secas forzadas, amplificando los modos cercanos al periodo del viento, de manera que modos verticales altos, considerados como raros en la naturaleza, tienden a dominar en el sistema.

''Maria da Penha vai à escola?'' Representações sociais de jovens do ensino médio sobre a violência doméstica contra a mulher

RESUMO:Este trabalho teve como objetivo identificar as Representações Sociais dos jovens do Ensino Médio sobre a Violência Doméstica Contra a Mulher. A metodologia deste estudo investigativo foi pautada sobre os pilares da pesquisa qualitativa de caráter exploratório e descritivo. A primeira série do ensino médio, de duas escolas localizadas no centro da cidade de João Pessoa, uma da instância pública estadual e outra de capital privado, constituiu o universo da pesquisa. Os sujeitos 12 meninos e 12 meninas abrangeram a faixa etária entre 14 e 20 anos de idade. O marco teórico foi sistematizado de forma a atender os questionamentos pertinentes à pesquisa e composto de estudiosos e pesquisadores nas áreas das Representações Sociais, da Violência Doméstica Contra a Mulher e sobre a Lei Maria da Penha. O grupo focal, a entrevista semi-estruturada e a análise de conteúdo foram os instrumentos utilizados para a coleta e análise dos dados recolhidos. As informações e dados coletados foram organizados de acordo com as técnicas de grupo realizadas nas oficinas de ideias dos dois encontros do grupo focal e as entrevistas individuais. A partir da análise dos resultados verificou-se nas representações sociais dos jovens da 1ª série do ensino médio sobre a violência doméstica contra a mulher que eles têm consciência da gravidade social que esta conduta delitiva representa. Mostram estar cientes das causas e consequências deste tipo de violência, sabendo também apontar medidas preventivas em âmbito escolar e social de um modo geral além de saber atribuir competências a órgãos públicos nesta tarefa. ABSTRACT: This work was developed to identify the Social Representations of young high school students about domestic violence against women. The methodology of this investigative study was based on qualitative research pillars of exploratory and descriptive kind. The first year of high school, from two schools located in the centre of João Pessoa city, one public and another private composed the search universe. The subjects were 12 boys and 12 girls from the age of 14 to 20. The theoretical mark was systematized to meet relevance to research inquiries and was composed by scholars and researchers in the areas of Social Representations Theory, Domestic Violence Against Women and Maria da Penha Law. Focus group, semi-structured interview and analysis content were instruments used for compilation and analysis of data collected. The information and data collected have been organized according to techniques of group performed in the workshops of ideas during the two focal group meetings and individual interviews. Based on the analysis of results found through Social Representations Theory in young people of 1st grade high school about domestic violence against women, they are aware of the social gravity that this delictive conduct represents, demonstrate to be conscious of causes and consequences of this kind of violence and make out preventive measures in scholastic and social reach in a general view, besides the attribution of skills to public agencies concerning this task.

Sudden stratospheric warmings as noise-induced transitions

Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are usually considered to be initiated by planetary wave activity. Here it is asked whether small-scale variability (e.g., related to gravity waves) can lead to SSWs given a certain amount of planetary wave activity that is by itself not sufficient to cause a SSW. A highly vertically truncated version of the Holton–Mass model of stratospheric wave–mean flow interaction, recently proposed by Ruzmaikin et al., is extended to include stochastic forcing. In the deterministic setting, this low-order model exhibits multiple stable equilibria corresponding to the undisturbed vortex and SSW state, respectively. Momentum forcing due to quasi-random gravity wave activity is introduced as an additive noise term in the zonal momentum equation. Two distinct approaches are pursued to study the stochastic system. First, the system, initialized at the undisturbed state, is numerically integrated many times to derive statistics of first passage times of the system undergoing a transition to the SSW state. Second, the Fokker–Planck equation corresponding to the stochastic system is solved numerically to derive the stationary probability density function of the system. Both approaches show that even small to moderate strengths of the stochastic gravity wave forcing can be sufficient to cause a SSW for cases for which the deterministic system would not have predicted a SSW.

Multi-mode approximations to wave scattering by an uneven bed

Approximations to the scattering of linear surface gravity waves on water of varying quiescent depth are Investigated by means of a variational approach. Previous authors have used wave modes associated with the constant depth case to approximate the velocity potential, leading to a system of coupled differential equations. Here it is shown that a transformation of the dependent variables results in a much simplified differential equation system which in turn leads to a new multi-mode 'mild-slope' approximation. Further, the effect of adding a bed mode is examined and clarified. A systematic analytic method is presented for evaluating inner products that arise and numerical experiments for two-dimensional scattering are used to examine the performance of the new approximations.

Approximations to the scattering of water waves by steep topography

A new method is developed for approximating the scattering of linear surface gravity waves on water of varying quiescent depth in two dimensions. A conformal mapping of the fluid domain onto a uniform rectangular strip transforms steep and discontinuous bed profiles into relatively slowly varying, smooth functions in the transformed free-surface condition. By analogy with the mild-slope approach used extensively in unmapped domains, an approximate solution of the transformed problem is sought in the form of a modulated propagating wave which is determined by solving a second-order ordinary differential equation. This can be achieved numerically, but an analytic solution in the form of a rapidly convergent infinite series is also derived and provides simple explicit formulae for the scattered wave amplitudes. Small-amplitude and slow variations in the bedform that are excluded from the mapping procedure are incorporated in the approximation by a straightforward extension of the theory. The error incurred in using the method is established by means of a rigorous numerical investigation and it is found that remarkably accurate estimates of the scattered wave amplitudes are given for a wide range of bedforms and frequencies.

Consistent approximate models of the global atmosphere: shallow, deep, hydrostatic, quasi-hydrostatic and non-hydrostatic

We study global atmosphere models that are at least as accurate as the hydrostatic primitive equations (HPEs), reviewing known results and reporting some new ones. The HPEs make spherical geopotential and shallow atmosphere approximations in addition to the hydrostatic approximation. As is well known, a consistent application of the shallow atmosphere approximation requires omission of those Coriolis terms that vary as the cosine of latitude and of certain other terms in the components of the momentum equation. An approximate model is here regarded as consistent if it formally preserves conservation principles for axial angular momentum, energy and potential vorticity, and (following R. Müller) if its momentum component equations have Lagrange's form. Within these criteria, four consistent approximate global models, including the HPEs themselves, are identified in a height-coordinate framework. The four models, each of which includes the spherical geopotential approximation, correspond to whether the shallow atmosphere and hydrostatic (or quasi-hydrostatic) approximations are individually made or not made. Restrictions on representing the spatial variation of apparent gravity occur. Solution methods and the situation in a pressure-coordinate framework are discussed. © Crown copyright 2005.

The cumulus-capped boundary layer. II: Interface fluxes

This paper considers the relationship between the mean temperature and humidity profiles and the fluxes of heat and moisture at cloud base and the base of the inversion in the cumulus-capped boundary layer. The relationships derived are based on an approximate form of the scalar-flux budget and the scaling properties of the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) budget. The scalar-flux budget gives a relationship between the change in the virtual potential temperature across either the cloud base transition zone or the inversion and the flux at the base of the layer. The scaling properties of the TKE budget lead to a relationship between the heat and moisture fluxes and the mean subsaturation through the liquid-water flux. The 'jump relation' for the virtual potential temperature at cloud base shows the close connection between the cumulus mass flux in the cumulus-capped boundary layer and the entrainment velocity in the dry-convective boundary layer. Gravity waves are shown to be an important feature of the inversion.

Equatorial waves in the lower stratosphere. II: Annual and interannual variability

The annual and interannual variability of idealized, linear, equatorial waves in the lower stratosphere is investigated using the temperature and velocity fields from the ECMWF 15-year re-analysis dataset. Peak Kelvin wave activity occurs during solstice seasons at 100 hPa, during December-February at 70 hPa and in the easterly to westerly quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) phase transition at 50 hPa. Peak Rossby-gravity wave activity occurs during equinox seasons at 100 hPa, during June-August/September-November at 70 hPa and in the westerly to easterly QBO phase transition at 50 hPa. Although neglect of wind shear means that the results for inertio-gravity waves are likely to be less accurate, they are still qualitatively reasonable and an annual cycle is observed in these waves at 100 hPa and 70 hPa. Inertio-gravity waves with n = 1 are correlated with the QBO at 50 hPa, but the eastward inertio-gravity n = 0 wave is not, due to its very fast vertical group velocity in all background winds. The relative importance of different wave types in driving the QBO at 50 hPa is also discussed. The strongest acceleration appears to be provided by the Kelvin wave while the acceleration provided by the Rossby-gravity wave is negligible. Of the higher-frequency waves, the westward inertio-gravity n = 1 wave appears able to contribute more to the acceleration of the 50 hPa mean zonal wind than the eastward inertio-gravity n = 1 wave.