Congress composition and electoral advantage

In 2003, an electoral reform changed the mechanism to assign seats in the Colombian Congress. I simulate the 2006 Senate elections using the previous assignment mechanism to determine which senators benefited from the reform, i.e. would have not been elected had the reform not been made. With the results of the simulation, I use a regression discontinuity design to compare the senators that would have been barely elected anyways with those who would have lost, but were near to be elected. I check the differences in the amount of law drafts presented, the attendance to voting sessions, and a discipline index for each senator as proxy of their legislative behavior. I find that the senators benefiting from the reform present a different legislative behavior during the 4-year term with respect to the senators that would have been elected anyways. Since the differential legislative behavior cannot be interpreted as being better (worse) politician, I examine if the behavioral difference gives them an electoral advantage. I find no difference in the electoral result of 2010 Senate election in terms of the probability of being (re)elected in 2010, the share of votes, the share of votes within their party list, and the concentration of their votes. Additionally, I check the probability of being investigated for links with paramilitary groups and I find no differences. The results suggest that political reforms can change the composition of governing or legislative bodies in terms of performance, but it does not necessarily translate into an electoral advantage.

Plan de negocio - Beep

Beep ofrece seis servicios: Beep Móvil, Beep PBX Virtual, Beep SMS Masivo, Beep Callblasting, Beep Email y Beep SIPtrunk. Cada uno de ellos busca llegarle a un mercado objetivo diferente, pero siempre buscando ofrecerle la mejor calidad al consumidor. Para efectos de profundización en los productos que a través del tiempo pueden brindarle un mayor valor agregado al cliente y que son diferenciables de la competencia, este Plan de Negocio solamente se centrará en los dos primeros productos, es decir, en Beep Móvil y Beep PBX Virtual.

¿Cómo medir el capital social? : hacia un indicador sintético de confianza.

Resumen tomado de la publicación

Una experiencia sobre enseñanza auto-regulada de bioquímica en el primer curso de la Facultad de Medicina de Murcia.

Se intenta la sustitución de los métodos tradicionales y pasivos de enseñanza por otros más personalizados con una mayor motivación e interés por parte de los alumnos. El sistema es de instrucción personalizada (SIP). La capacidad de autorregulación del método hizo que el grupo, inicialmente homogéneo, se fraccionase progresivamente. De los 61 alumnos sólo llegaron al final 26. como conclusiones de esta experiencia, el método, calificado mayoritariamente como deseable por los alumnos en su encuesta, y refrendado como tal por los resultados obtenidos (promedios, calificaciones individuales, etcétera), puede mejorarse en posibles reediciones, cuidando fundamentalmente los siguientes puntos. Utilización de monitores de personas pedagógicamente cualificadas, uso de material adecuado (guías detalladas de cada unidad, medios audiovisuales con las unidades esquematizadas) y de locales permanentemente dedicados a este método; coordinación interdisciplinaria e incluso, si fuera posible, generalización del método, tanto en alumnos como en asignaturas. Se podría realizar el SIP en posteriores años académicos, pero seria conveniente hacerlo en cursos superiores de número total de alumnos menor, para intentar aprehender la asignatura de forma más personal y responsable.

Benchmarking de implementaciones WMS-C de software libre

La propuesta WMS Cached (WMS-C) surge ante la necesidad de disponer de una solución más escalable al actual servicio web de mapas (WMS). Mediante la limitación de los parámetros de las peticiones a un conjunto discreto de valores, el servidor de mapas puede servir imágenes pregeneradas (teselas) a gran velocidad. En este documento se recogen las medidas de rendimiento realizadas sobre las implementaciones WMS-C: Tilecache, GeoWebcache y WMSCWrapper, todas ellas basadas en software libre. Los resultados de los benchmarks reflejan que, con todas las peticiones cacheadas y bajo las mismas condiciones, la caché WMSCWrapper ofrece un mejor rendimiento que las otras implementaciones. La difusión de estos resultados será de utilidad para ayudar a diversas entidades en la elección de una de estas soluciones libres en función de su objetivo de optimización

2007-2026 Global market forecast : Airbus

The main drivers of tomorrow's traffic growth - Growing Middle East passenger and cargo hubs - Asia: a new economic paradigm in the making - LCCs in Asia growing in number and traffic share - Accelerating deregulation in Asia - Continuing high growth rate for domestic China and emerging China international outbound traffic.

Connecta TV : modelos de comunicação organizacional : Desenvolvimento, implementação e análise de uma solução integrada aplicada ao mercado do telemarketing nacional

Esta dissertação é um trabalho de projeto que pretende contribuir para o desenvolvimento dos estudos da comunicação organizacional. Devem ou não ser utilizadas soluções digitais em modelos de comunicação organizacional e quaisosbenefíciosdo uso de soluções digitais no âmbito da comunicação organizacional de uma empresa? No corpo de texto deste trabalho surge a resposta a estas questões com base na análise prática da investigação desenvolvida. A investigação desenvolvida tem como objetivo encontrar um modelo de comunicação eficaz baseado no uso de soluções digitais. A solução digital criada, que é o objeto de estudo deste trabalho de projeto, foi desenhada e concebida com a finalidade de ser implementada e testada numa empresa de telemarketing parceira, que atua, essencialmente, em Outbound (venda direta ao consumidor).A solução tem como intenção global envolver e motivar os teleoperadores da empresa, no intuito de aumentara sua produtividade.É descortinada a estratégia e o desenvolvimento da solução criada,assim como a sua avaliação pelos utilizadores, concluindo com uma análise detalhada dos resultados obtidos através daavaliação dos utilizadores.

Evaluation of noise levels experienced by medically fragile neonates during emergency helicopter transport

There was a concern medically fragile infants may be exposed to high noise levels during emergency helicopter transport. This study had been initiated in 2007. Data was collected using a Larson Davis noise dosimeter. The purpose of this study was to collect additional data to evaluate the noise exposure experienced by medically fragile neonates during emergency transport via helicopter inbound/outbound of St. Louis Children’s Hospital, St. Louis, MO. The results suggested neonates may be exposed to noise levels ranging 85 to 95 dBA during transport. These high noise exposures may pose a risk to hearing.

The influence of a weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ENSO

The influences of a substantial weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) on the tropical Pacific climate mean state, the annual cycle, and ENSO variability are studied using five different coupled general circulation models (CGCMs). In the CGCMs, a substantial weakening of the AMOC is induced by adding freshwater flux forcing in the northern North Atlantic. In response, the well-known surface temperature dipole in the low-latitude Atlantic is established, which reorganizes the large-scale tropical atmospheric circulation by increasing the northeasterly trade winds. This leads to a southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in the tropical Atlantic and also the eastern tropical Pacific. Because of evaporative fluxes, mixing, and changes in Ekman divergence, a meridional temperature anomaly is generated in the northeastern tropical Pacific, which leads to the development of a meridionally symmetric thermal background state. In four out of five CGCMs this leads to a substantial weakening of the annual cycle in the eastern equatorial Pacific and a subsequent intensification of ENSO variability due to nonlinear interactions. In one of the CGCM simulations, an ENSO intensification occurs as a result of a zonal mean thermocline shoaling. Analysis suggests that the atmospheric circulation changes forced by tropical Atlantic SSTs can easily influence the large-scale atmospheric circulation and hence tropical eastern Pacific climate. Furthermore, it is concluded that the existence of the present-day tropical Pacific cold tongue complex and the annual cycle in the eastern equatorial Pacific are partly controlled by the strength of the AMOC. The results may have important implications for the interpretation of global multidecadal variability and paleo-proxy data.

A regime-dependent balanced control variable based on potential vorticity

In this paper it is argued that rotational wind is not the best choice of leading control variable for variational data assimilation, and an alternative is suggested and tested. A rotational wind parameter is used in most global variational assimilation systems as a pragmatic way of approximately representing the balanced component of the assimilation increments. In effect, rotational wind is treated as a proxy for potential vorticity, but one that it is potentially not a good choice in flow regimes characterised by small Burger number. This paper reports on an alternative set of control variables which are based around potential vorticity. This gives rise to a new formulation of the background error covariances for the Met Office's variational assimilation system, which leads to flow dependency. It uses similar balance relationships to traditional schemes, but recognises the existence of unbalanced rotational wind which is used with a new anti-balance relationship. The new scheme is described and its performance is evaluated and compared to a traditional scheme using a sample of diagnostics.

The influence of mineral solubility and soil solution concentration on the toxicity of copper to Eisenia fetida Savigny

The OECD 14 d earthworm acute toxicity test was used to determine the toxicity of copper added as copper nitrate (Cu(NO3)(2)), copper sulphate (CuSO4) and malachite (Cu-2(OH)(2)(CO3)) to Eisenia fetida Savigny. Cu(NO3)(2), and CuSO4 were applied in both an aqueous (aq) and solid (s) form, Cu-2(OH)(2)(CO3) was added as a solid. Soil solution was extracted by centrifugation, and analysed for copper. Two extractants [0.01 M CaCl2 and 0.005 M diethylenetriminpentaacetic acid (DTPA)] were used as a proxy of the bioavailable copper fraction in the soil. For bulk soil copper content the calculated copper toxicity decreased in the order nitrate > sulphide > carbonate, the same order as decreasing solubility of the metal compounds. For Cu(NO3)(2) and CuSO4, the LC50s obtained were not significantly different when the compound was added in solution or solid form. There was a significant correlation between the soil solution copper concentration and the percentage earthworm mortality for all 3 copper compounds (P less than or equal to 0.05) indicating that the soil pore water copper concentration is important for determining copper availability and toxicity to E. fetida. In soil avoidance tests the earthworms avoided the soils treated with Cu(NO3)(2) (aq and s) and CuSO4 (aq and s), at all concentrations used (110-8750 mug Cu g(-1), and 600-8750 mug Cu g(-1) respectively). In soils treated with Cu-2(OH2)CO3, avoidance behaviour was exhibited at all concentrations greater than or equal to3500 mug Cu g(-1). There was no significant correlation between the copper extracted by either CaCl2 or DTPA and percentage mortality. These two extractants are therefore not useful indicators of copper availability and toxicity to E. fetida.

Parameter sensitivity and predictive uncertainty in a new water quality model, Q(2)

A new dynamic model of water quality, Q(2), has recently been developed, capable of simulating large branched river systems. This paper describes the application of a generalized sensitivity analysis (GSA) to Q(2) for single reaches of the River Thames in southern England. Focusing on the simulation of dissolved oxygen (DO) (since this may be regarded as a proxy for the overall health of a river); the GSA is used to identify key parameters controlling model behavior and provide a probabilistic procedure for model calibration. It is shown that, in the River Thames at least, it is more important to obtain high quality forcing functions than to obtain improved parameter estimates once approximate values have been estimated. Furthermore, there is a need to ensure reasonable simulation of a range of water quality determinands, since a focus only on DO increases predictive uncertainty in the DO simulations. The Q(2) model has been applied here to the River Thames, but it has a broad utility for evaluating other systems in Europe and around the world.

The geography of tyranny and despair: development indicators and the hypothesis of genetic inevitability of national inequality

Development geography has long sought to understand why inequalities exist and the best ways to address them. Dependency theory sets out an historical rationale for under development based on colonialism and a legacy of developed core and under-developed periphery. Race is relevant in this theory only insofar that Europeans are white and the places they colonised were occupied by people with darker skin colour. There are no innate biological reasons why it happened in that order. However, a new theory for national inequalities proposed by Lynn and Vanhanen in a series of publications makes the case that poorer countries have that status because of a poorer genetic stock rather than an accident of history. They argue that IQ has a genetic basis and IQ is linked to ability. Thus races with a poorer IQ have less ability, and thus national IQ can be positively correlated with performance as measured by an indicator like GDP/capita. Their thesis is one of despair, as little can be done to improve genetic stock significantly other than a programme of eugenics. This paper summarises and critiques the Lynn and Vanhanen hypothesis and the assumptions upon which it is based, and uses this analysis to show how a human desire to simplify in order to manage can be dangerous in development geography. While the attention may naturally be focused on the 'national IQ' variables as a proxy measure of 'innate ability', the assumption of GDP per capita as an indicator of 'success' and 'achievement' is far more readily accepted without criticism. The paper makes the case that the current vogue for indicators, indices and cause-effect can be tyrannical.

A review of palaeoclimates and palaeoenvironments in the Levant and Eastern Mediterranean from 25,000 to 5000 years BP: setting the environmental background for the evolution of human civilisation

The southern Levant has a long history of human habitation and it has been previously suggested that climatic changes during the Late Pleistocene-Holocene stimulated changes in human behaviour and society. In order to evaluate such linkages, it is necessary to have a detailed understanding of the climate record. We have conducted an extensive and up-to-date review of terrestrial and marine climatic conditions in the Levant and Eastern Mediterranean during the last 25,000 years. We firstly present data from general circulation models (GCMs) simulating the climate for the last glacial maximum (LGM), and evaluate the output of the model by reference to geological climate proxy data. We consider the types of climate data available from different environments and proxies and then present the spatial climatic "picture" for key climatic events. This exercise suggests that the major Northern Hemisphere climatic fluctuations of the last 25,000 years are recorded in the Eastern Mediterranean and Levantine region. However, this review also highlights problems and inadequacies with the existing data. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Tropical and extratropical responses of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation to a sustained weakening of the MOC

The tropospheric response to a forced shutdown of the North Atlantic Ocean’s meridional overturning circulation (MOC) is investigated in a coupled ocean–atmosphere GCM [the third climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (HadCM3)]. The strength of the boreal winter North Atlantic storm track is significantly increased and penetrates much farther into western Europe. The changes in the storm track are shown to be consistent with the changes in near-surface baroclinicity, which can be linked to changes in surface temperature gradients near regions of sea ice formation and in the open ocean. Changes in the SST of the tropical Atlantic are linked to a strengthening of the subtropical jet to the north, which, combined with the enhanced storm track, leads to a pronounced split in the jet structure over Europe. EOF analysis and stationary box indices methods are used to analyze changes to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). There is no consistent signal of a change in the variability of the NAO, and while the changes in the mean flow project onto the positive NAO phase, they are significantly different from it. However, there is a clear eastward shift of the NAO pattern in the shutdown run, and this potentially has implications for ocean circulation and for the interpretation of proxy paleoclimate records.