Interação do complexo luminescente [Eu(tta)3] com sílica mesoporosa

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Tolerância de variedades de cana-de-açúcar a herbicidas aplicados em pós-emergência e efeitos residuais sobre variedades de girassol

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

As influências do realismo político e do complexo industrial-militar no expansionismo norte americano (1990-2004)

Pós-graduação em História - FCLAS

Proposta de um sistema automatizado para controle de nível freático em sub-irrigação

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Irrigação e Drenagem) - FCA

O sonho de um idiota: ensaio sobre algumas adaptações cinematográficas de obras literárias, feitas por Akira Kurosawa

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

A educação musical em cursos de pedagogia do Estado de São Paulo

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Crescimento inicial e nutrição de Guanandi (Calophyllum brasiliense Cambèss) em função de N, P, K e saturação por bases do solo

Pós-graduação em Ciência Florestal - FCA

O papel da ginástica terapêutica chinesa Lian Gong em 18 terapias no comportamento psicomotor e cotidiano de praticantes adultos

Pós-graduação em Ciências da Motricidade - IBRC

Monteiro Lobato e suas seis personagens em busca da nação

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Aplicação de maturadores químicos no final de safra associada à eliminação de soqueira em área de reforma do canavial

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Perda da eficácia dos materiais hidrorrepelentes na proteção contra agrotóxicos por processos de lavagens

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Produção Vegetal) - FCAV

Formulating bankable aid for trade projects: Guidance document

Includes bibliography.

O jovem no movimento hip hop: espaço potencial de criatividade e identificação?

Pós-graduação em Psicologia - FCLAS

E psiquiatra é médico? A psiquiatria na atenção psicossocial e seu dilema entre luto, liberdade e renegação

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the tourism sector in Montserrat

This report provides an analysis and evaluation of the likely effects of climate change on the tourism sector in Montserrat. Clayton (2009) identifies three reasons why the Caribbean should be concerned about the potential effects of climate change on tourism: (a) the relatively high dependence on tourism as a source of foreign exchange and employment; (b) the intrinsic vulnerability of small islands and their infrastructure (e.g. hotels and resorts) to sea level rise and extreme climatic events (e.g. hurricanes and floods); and, (c) the high dependence of the regional tourist industry on carbon-based fuels (both to bring tourist to the region as well as to provide support services in the region). The effects of climate change are already being felt on the island. Between 1970 and 2009, there was a rise in the number of relatively hot days experienced on the island. Added to this, there was also a decline in mean precipitation over the period. Besides temperature, there is also the threat of wind speeds. Since the early 20th century, the number of hurricanes passing through the Caribbean has risen from about 5-6 per year to more than 25 in some years of the twenty-first century. In Montserrat, the estimated damage from four windstorms (including hurricanes) affecting the island was US$260 million or almost five times 2009 gross domestic product (GDP). Climate change is also likely to significantly affect coral reefs. Hoegh-Guldberg (2007) estimates that should current concentrations of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere rise from 380ppm to 560ppm, decreases in coral calcification and growth by 40% are likely. The report attempted to quantify the likely effects of the changes in the climatic factors mentioned above. As it relates to temperature and other climatic variables, a tourism climatic index that captures the elements of climate that impact on a destination’s experience was constructed. The index was calculated using historical observations as well as those under two likely climate scenarios: A2 and B2. The results suggest that under both scenarios, the island’s key tourism climatic features will likely decline and therefore negatively impact on the destination experience of visitors. Including this tourism climatic index in a tourism demand model suggests that this would translate into losses of around 145% of GDP. As it relates to coral reefs, the value of the damage due to the loss of coral reefs was estimated at 7.6 times GDP, while the damage due to land loss for the tourism industry was 45% of GDP. The total cost of climate change for the tourism industry was therefore projected to be 9.6 times 2009 GDP over a 40-year horizon. Given the potential for significant damage to the industry, a large number of potential adaptation measures were considered. Out of these, a short-list of 9 potential options was selected using 10 evaluation criteria. These included: (a) Increasing recommended design wind speeds for new tourism-related structures; (b) Construction of water storage tanks; (c) Irrigation network that allows for the recycling of waste water; (d) Enhanced reef monitoring systems to provide early warning alerts of bleaching events; (e) Deployment of artificial reefs and fish-aggregating devices; (f) Developing national evacuation and rescue plans; (g) Introduction of alternative attractions; (h) Providing re-training for displaced tourism workers, and; (i) Revised policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climatic realities Using cost-benefit analysis, three options were put forward as being financially viable and ready for immediate implementation: (a) Increase recommended design speeds for new tourism-related structures; (b) Enhance reef monitoring systems to provide early warning alerts of bleaching events, and; (c) Deploy artificial reefs or fish-aggregating devices. While these options had positive benefit cost ratios, other options were also recommended based on their non-tangible benefits: an irrigation network that allows for the recycling of waste water, development of national evacuation and rescue plans, providing retraining for displaced tourism workers and the revision of policies related to financing national tourism offices to accommodate the new climatic realities.