Methodology to determine the number of infection points of Gibberella zeae in wheat spikes.

2016

Irreversible investment in stochastically cyclical markets

This paper presents a new framework for studying irreversible (dis)investment whena market follows a random number of random-length cycles (such as a high-tech productmarket). It is assumed that a firm facing such market evolution is always unsure aboutwhether the current cycle is the last one, although it can update its beliefs about theprobability of facing a permanent decline by observing that no further growth phasearrives. We show that the existence of regime shifts in fluctuating markets suffices for anoption value of waiting to (dis)invest to arise, and we provide a marginal interpretationof the optimal (dis)investment policies, absent in the real options literature. Thepaper also shows that, despite the stochastic process of the underlying variable has acontinuous sample path, the discreteness in the regime changes implies that the samplepath of the firm s value experiences jumps whenever the regime switches all of a sudden,irrespective of whether the firm is active or not.

Variabilidade genética da raça Brahman no Brasil detectada por meio de análise de pedigree

O objetivo deste trabalho foi analisar a variabilidade genética da raça Brahman no Brasil, por meio da análise de 15.851 pedigrees. O arquivo de dados foi dividido em dois períodos: 1998-2001 e 2002-2005. A variabilidade genética foi avaliada por parâmetros baseados na probabilidade de origem do gene: número efetivo de ancestrais, número efetivo de fundadores, número efetivo de genomas remanescentes e coeficientes de parentesco e de endogamia. Os valores encontrados quanto ao número de fundadores mostraram que a população está em expansão, embora o número efetivo de fundadores tenha diminuído de um período para outro. Os resultados foram diferentes em relação ao número de ancestrais e genomas remanescentes, que apresentaram crescimento de 23% nos períodos avaliados. O coeficiente de endogamia diminuiu nos períodos estudados, porém o coeficiente de parentesco inter se cresceu. Poucos ancestrais apresentaram grande contribuição genética para a população, o que evidencia a utilização de poucos indivíduos na reprodução. A raça Brahman, no Brasil, encontra-se em expansão, caracterizada pela diminuição do coeficiente de endogamia e aumento nos números efetivos de fundadores e de genótipos remanescentes. Entretanto, a variabilidade genética da raça mostra aumento do parentesco inter se e grande concentração do patrimônio genético de poucos indivíduos na população.

Genetic variability in Mediterranean buffalos evaluated by pedigree analysis

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Análises quantitativas aplicadas à seleção e acasalamento de búfalos na Amazônia Oriental

O trabalho aplica estudos de genética quantitativa aos registros de búfalos do Estado do Pará, gerando respostas auxiliares aos criadores para a seleção e acasalamento dos animais. A análise de pedigree para estudo da variabilidade genética nos rebanhos participantes do Programa de Melhoramento Genético foi estimada por meio dos cálculos dos parâmetros baseados na probabilidade de origem de gene, coeficiente de endogamia, parentesco e intervalo médio entre gerações, pelo software PEDIG®; do número efetivo de fundadores (Nfun), número efetivo de ancestrais (Na) e intervalo de gerações pelo software PROB_ORIG.exe presente no pacote PEDIG®; do número efetivo de genomas remanescentes (Ng), calculado pelo software SEGREG.exe. Foram calculadas as estatísticas descritivas, a análise de variância e realizado o teste de Normalidade de Shapiro-Wilk por meio do pacote estatístico Statistical Analisys System. As estimativas de herdabilidade para a característica Peso ao Nascer (PN) foram obtidas por meio de inferência Bayesiana pelo programa GIBBS2F90.exe. Os valores genéticos foram obtidos por meio do programa BLUPF90.exe e a regressão das Diferenças Esperadas na Progênie sobre o ano de nascimento foi realizada pelo Excel for Windows para obtenção da tendência genética do PN. O Nfun foi igual a 28,6, o Na igual a 22,8, o Ng igual a 11,2, a razão Nfun/Na foi 1,25, indicando a diminuição do número de reprodutores ao longo dos períodos e a razão Ng/Nfun foi de 0,39. Apesar do intervalo de gerações de 12,5 anos, o número efetivo de gerações foi próximo a cinco. O número total de animais estudados considerados endogâmicos foi 33,4%, sendo a máxima encontrada de 40,8%, a média da endogamia entre os animais endogâmicos foi 10,4%, e o valor médio da endogamia no arquivo total foi 3,5%. O PN de bezerros bubalinos apresentou média e desvio padrão de 36,6 ± 4,7 kg. A característica PN não apresentou distribuição Normal, com valor de W=0,976271 e P

Análise de pedigree aplicada a búfalos (Bubalu bubalis kerebao) em conservação na Amazônia Oriental

O trabalho analisa a genética de bubalinos da raça Carabao em conservação, provenientes dos rebanhos das fazendas Campo Experimental do Baixo Amazonas (CEBA) e do Banco de Germoplasma Animal do Marajó (BAGAM). O arquivo contou com 445 informações de parentesco (215 machos e 230 fêmeas) com nascimentos entre maio de 1976 e setembro de 2008. Para estudo de pedigree e determinação dos parâmetros genéticos, a média de filhos/mãe foi de 2,7, sendo 131 mães e cinco pais diferentes. O número de fundadores foi igual a 32 animais, o número efetivo de fundadores (Nfun) igual a 5,3 indivíduos; número efetivo de ancestrais (Na) igual a 4,73 animais; o número efetivo de genomas remanescentes (Ng) igual a 3,79 indivíduos; a razão Nfun/Na foi de 1,12 e o indicativo do processo de deriva genética (Ng/Nfun) foi 0,66. Constatou- se que 11 animais, nascidos entre 1987 e 2000, responderam por 84% da contribuição genética do rebanho, sendo que apenas um reprodutor responsável por 42% da contribuição genética. O intervalo de geração médio ficou próximo a oito anos. O número de animais endogâmicos, os coeficientes médios de endogamia (F) da população e entre os endogâmicos, por geração foram 69, 1,85% e 11,95%, respectivamente, sendo os animais endogâmicos agrupados, em sua maioria, na classe de 10 a 15% de coeficiente individual de endogamia. Estes resultados apontam provável efeito gargalo e deriva genética dessa população por perda de alelos pelo pequeno número de indivíduos usados nos acasalamentos, e aumento da endogamia. A adoção de nova estratégia de acasalamento e a busca de possíveis reprodutores 2n = 48, para serem utilizados no rebanho, possibilitaria a redução da perda de variabilidade genética do rebanho Carabao.

Population Parameters Based on Known Pedigree Records from Brazilian Jaffarabadi Buffaloes

The objective of this study was to evaluate the effective number of founders and ancestors, generation intervals and completeness of pedigree in Jaffarabadi breed buffaloes raised in Brazil. Pedigree records of 1,272 animals born from 1966 were used. The parameters were estimated using ENDOG, computational population genetic software. The obtained value for completeness of pedigree was 99.5, 50.9, and 20.5 for, the first, second and third generations, respectively. Generation interval estimates expressed in years and considering different pathways were 12.28 +/- 6.90 (sire-son), 11.55 +/- 6.07 (sire-daughter), 8.20 +/- 2.63 (dam-son) and 8.794 +/-.33 (dam-daughter). The overall average generation interval was 10.17 +/- 5.43 years. The number of founders, equivalent founders and ancestor animals that contributed for the genetic diversity in the reference population (1059) were 136, 130 and 134, respectively. Effective number of founder (f(e)=8) and ancestors (f(a)=7) were small, and the calculated expected inbreeding increase per generation was 4.99%. Four ancestors explained 50% of the genetic variability in the population and the major ancestor contributed with approximately 33% of the total population genetic variation. The genetic diversity within the current population is low as a consequence of a reduced number of ancestors.

Análise de pedigree e estimativas de parâmetros genéticos para características reprodutivas em bovinos da raça Brahman

Pós-graduação em Ciência e Tecnologia Animal - FEIS

Estrutura populacional e análise de variabilidade genética em rebanhos ovinos brasileiros

Pós-graduação em Ciência e Tecnologia Animal - FEIS

Estrutura populacional e análise de variabilidade genética em rebanhos ovinos brasileiros

Pós-graduação em Ciência e Tecnologia Animal - FEIS

Pedigree analysis and inbreeding depression on growth traits in Brazilian Marchigiana and Bonsmara breeds

The study of population structure by pedigree analysis is useful to identify important circumstances that affect the genetic history of populations. The intensive use of a small number of superior individuals may reduce the genetic diversity of populations. This situation is very common for the beef cattle breeds. Therefore, the objectives of the present study were to analyze the pedigree and possible inbreeding depression on traits of economic interest in the Marchigiana and Bonsmara breeds and to test the inclusion of the individual inbreeding coefficient (F-i) or individual increases in inbreeding coefficient (Delta F-i) in the genetic evaluation model for the quantification of inbreeding depression. The complete pedigree file of the Marchigiana breed included 29,411 animals born between 1950 and 2003. For the Bonsmara breed, the pedigree file included 18,695 animals born between 1988 and 2006. Only animals with at least 2 equivalent generations of known pedigree were kept in the analyses of inbreeding effect on birth weight, weaning weight measured at about 205 d, and BW at 14 mo in the Marchigiana breed, and on birth weight, weaning weight, and scro-tal circumference measured at 12 mo in the Bonsmara breed. The degree of pedigree knowledge was greater for Marchigiana than for Bonsmara animals. The average generation interval was 7.02 and 3.19 for the Marchigiana and Bonsmara breed, respectively. The average inbreeding coefficient was 1.33% for Marchigiana and 0.26% for Bonsmara. The number of ancestors explaining 50% of the gene pool and effective population size computed via individual increase in coancestry were 13 and 97.79 for Marchigiana and 41 and 54.57 for Bonsmara, respectively. These estimates indicate reduction in genetic variability in both breeds. Inbreeding depression was observed for most of the growth traits. The model including Delta F-i can be considered more adequate to quantify inbreeding depression. The inclusion of F-i or Delta F-i in the genetic evaluation model may not result in better fit to the data. A genetic evaluation with simultaneous estimation of inbreeding depression can be performed in Marchigiana and Bonsmara breeds, providing additional information to producers and breeders.

Estimation with Interval Censored Data in Longitudinal Studies

In biostatistical applications interest often focuses on the estimation of the distribution of a time-until-event variable T. If one observes whether or not T exceeds an observed monitoring time at a random number of monitoring times, then the data structure is called interval censored data. We extend this data structure by allowing the presence of a possibly time-dependent covariate process that is observed until end of follow up. If one only assumes that the censoring mechanism satisfies coarsening at random, then, by the curve of dimensionality, typically no regular estimators will exist. To fight the curse of dimensionality we follow the approach of Robins and Rotnitzky (1992) by modeling parameters of the censoring mechanism. We model the right-censoring mechanism by modeling the hazard of the follow up time, conditional on T and the covariate process. For the monitoring mechanism we avoid modeling the joint distribution of the monitoring times by only modeling a univariate hazard of the pooled monitoring times, conditional on the follow up time, T, and the covariates process, which can be estimated by treating the pooled sample of monitoring times as i.i.d. In particular, it is assumed that the monitoring times and the right-censoring times only depend on T through the observed covariate process. We introduce inverse probability of censoring weighted (IPCW) estimator of the distribution of T and of smooth functionals thereof which are guaranteed to be consistent and asymptotically normal if we have available correctly specified semiparametric models for the two hazards of the censoring process. Furthermore, given such correctly specified models for these hazards of the censoring process, we propose a one-step estimator which will improve on the IPCW estimator if we correctly specify a lower-dimensional working model for the conditional distribution of T, given the covariate process, that remains consistent and asymptotically normal if this latter working model is misspecified. It is shown that the one-step estimator is efficient if each subject is at most monitored once and the working model contains the truth. In general, it is shown that the one-step estimator optimally uses the surrogate information if the working model contains the truth. It is not optimal in using the interval information provided by the current status indicators at the monitoring times, but simulations in Peterson, van der Laan (1997) show that the efficiency loss is small.

Photovoltaic LiNbO3particles: Applications to Biomedicine/Biophotonics

Recently, a novel method to trap and pattern ensembles of nanoparticles has been proposed and tested. It relies on the photovoltaic (PV) properties of certain ferroelectric crystals such as LiNbO3 [1,2]. These crystals, when suitably doped, develop very high electric fields in response to illumination with light of suitable wavelength. The PV effect lies in the asymmetrical excitation of electrons giving rise to PV currents and associated space-charge fields (photorefractive effect). The field generated in the bulk of the sample propagates to the surrounding medium as evanescent fields. When dielectric or metal nanoparticles are deposited on the surface of the sample the evanescent fields give rise to either electrophoretic or dielectrophoretic forces, depending on the charge state of the particles, that induce the trapping and patterning effects [3,4]. The purpose of this work has been to explore the effects of such PV fields in the biology and biomedical areas. A first work was able to show the necrotic effects induced by such fields on He-La tumour cells grown on the surface of an illuminated iron-doped LiNbO3 crystal [5]. In principle, it is conceived that LiNbO3 nanoparticles may be advantageously used for such biomedical purposes considering the possibility of such nanoparticles being incorporated into the cells. Previous experiments using microparticles have been performed [5] with similar results to those achieved with the substrate. Therefore, the purpose of this work has been to fabricate and characterize the LiNbO3 nanoparticles and assess their necrotic effects when they are incorporated on a culture of tumour cells. Two different preparation methods have been used: 1) mechanical grinding from crystals, and 2) bottom-up sol-gel chemical synthesis from metal-ethoxide precursors. This later method leads to a more uniform size distribution of smaller particles (down to around 50 nm). Fig. 1(a) and 1(b) shows SEM images of the nanoparticles obtained with both method. An ad hoc software taking into account the physical properties of the crystal, particullarly donor and aceptor concentrations has been developped in order to estimate the electric field generated in noparticles. In a first stage simulations of the electric current of nanoparticles, in a conductive media, due to the PV effect have been carried out by MonteCarlo simulations using the Kutharev 1-centre transport model equations [6] . Special attention has been paid to the dependence on particle size and [Fe2+]/[Fe3+]. First results on cubic particles shows large dispersion for small sizes due to the random number of donors and its effective concentration (Fig 2). The necrotic (toxicity) effect of nanoparticles incorporated into a tumour cell culture subjected to 30 min. illumination with a blue LED is shown in Fig.3. For each type of nanoparticle the percent of cell survival in dark and illumination conditions has been plot as a function of the particle dilution factor. Fig. 1a corresponds to mechanical grinding particles whereas 1b and 1c refer to chemically synthesized particles with two oxidation states. The light effect is larger with mechanical grinding nanoparticles, but dark toxicity is also higher. For chemically synthesized nanoparticles dark toxicity is low but only in oxidized samples, where the PV effect is known to be larger, the light effect is appreciable. These preliminary results demonstrate that Fe:LiNbO· nanoparticles have a biological damaging effect on cells, although there are many points that should be clarified and much space for PV nanoparticles optimization. In particular, it appears necessary to determine the fraction of nanoparticles that become incorporated into the cells and the possible existence of threshold size effects. This work has been supported by MINECO under grant MAT2011-28379-C03.

Robust Estimation in Multitype Branching Processes Based on their Asymptotic Properties

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

Constant-random practice and the adaptive process in motor learning with varying amounts of constant practice

The adaptive process in motor learning was examined in terms of effects of varying amounts of constant practice performed before random practice. Participants pressed five response keys sequentially, the last one coincident with the lighting of a final visual stimulus provided by a complex coincident timing apparatus. Different visual stimulus speeds were used during the random practice. 33 children (M age=11.6 yr.) were randomly assigned to one of three experimental groups: constant-random, constant-random 33%, and constant-random 66%. The constant-random group practiced constantly until they reached a criterion of performance stabilization three consecutive trials within 50 msec. of error. The other two groups had additional constant practice of 33 and 66%, respectively, of the number of trials needed to achieve the stabilization criterion. All three groups performed 36 trials under random practice; in the adaptation phase, they practiced at a different visual stimulus speed adopted in the stabilization phase. Global performance measures were absolute, constant, and variable errors, and movement pattern was analyzed by relative timing and overall movement time. There was no group difference in relation to global performance measures and overall movement time. However, differences between the groups were observed on movement pattern, since constant-random 66% group changed its relative timing performance in the adaptation phase.