A data driven approach for automating vehicle activated signs

Vehicle activated signs (VAS) display a warning message when drivers exceed a particular threshold. VAS are often installed on local roads to display a warning message depending on the speed of the approaching vehicles. VAS are usually powered by electricity; however, battery and solar powered VAS are also commonplace. This thesis investigated devel-opment of an automatic trigger speed of vehicle activated signs in order to influence driver behaviour, the effect of which has been measured in terms of reduced mean speed and low standard deviation. A comprehen-sive understanding of the effectiveness of the trigger speed of the VAS on driver behaviour was established by systematically collecting data. Specif-ically, data on time of day, speed, length and direction of the vehicle have been collected for the purpose, using Doppler radar installed at the road. A data driven calibration method for the radar used in the experiment has also been developed and evaluated. Results indicate that trigger speed of the VAS had variable effect on driv-ers’ speed at different sites and at different times of the day. It is evident that the optimal trigger speed should be set near the 85th percentile speed, to be able to lower the standard deviation. In the case of battery and solar powered VAS, trigger speeds between the 50th and 85th per-centile offered the best compromise between safety and power consump-tion. Results also indicate that different classes of vehicles report differ-ences in mean speed and standard deviation; on a highway, the mean speed of cars differs slightly from the mean speed of trucks, whereas a significant difference was observed between the classes of vehicles on lo-cal roads. A differential trigger speed was therefore investigated for the sake of completion. A data driven approach using Random forest was found to be appropriate in predicting trigger speeds respective to types of vehicles and traffic conditions. The fact that the predicted trigger speed was found to be consistently around the 85th percentile speed justifies the choice of the automatic model.

Humming as a mean of communicating during meal time situations : A Single Case study involving a women with severe dementia and her caregiver

Objective: ‘Music Therapeutic Caregiving’, when caregivers sing for or together with persons with dementia during morning care situations, has been shown to increase verbal and nonverbal communication between persons with dementia and their caregivers, as well as enhance positive and decrease negative emotions in persons with dementia. No studies about singing during mealtimes have been conducted, and this pilot project was designed to elucidate this. However, since previous studies have shown that there is a risk that persons with dementia will start to sing along with the caregiver, the caregiver in this study hummed such that the person with dementia did not sing instead of eat. The aim of this pilot project was threefold: to describe expressed emotions in a woman with severe dementia, and describe communication between her and her caregivers without and with the caregiver humming. The aim was also to measure food and liquid intake without and with humming. Method: The study was constructed as a Single Case ABA design in which the ordinary mealtime constituted a baseline which comprised a woman with severe dementia being fed by her caregivers in the usual way. The intervention included the same woman being fed by the same caregiver who hummed while feeding her. Data comprised video observations that were collected once per week over 5 consecutive weeks. The Verbal and Nonverbal Interaction Scale and Observed Emotion Rating Scale were used to analyze the recorded interactions. Results: A slightly positive influence of communication was shown for the woman with dementia, as well as for the caregiver. Further, the women with dementia showed a slight increase in expressions of positive emotions, and she ate more during the intervention. Conclusion: Based on this pilot study no general conclusions can be drawn. It can be concluded, however, that humming while feeding persons with dementia might slightly enhance communication, and positive expressed emotions in persons with dementia. To confirm this, more studies on group levels are needed. Because previous studies have found that caregiver singing during caring situations influences persons with dementia positively it might be desirable to test the same during mealtime.

Just which Reality do you Mean? Users' Experiences of Virtual Spaces

Virtual Reality is a relatively new technology in the relatively young field of computer science. The design of Virtual Reality has only recently come into discussion, as well as the implications for this sort of design. I hope to determine how a user can work most efficiently and accurately in a Virtual World. By studying this, I hope to help in the standardization of Virtual Reality design.

Avaliação morfométrica e densimétrica através de assinatura nuclear digital em biópsias de esôfago

Foram estudadas, pelo método da assinatura digital, 35 biópsias esofágicas provenientes de pacientes da província de Linxian, China, classificadas por dois observadores com ampla experiência em patologia gastrointestinal como normais, displasias ou carcinomas (8 casos normais, 6 displasias leves, 8 displasias moderadas, 4 displasias acentuadas, 4 carcinomas suspeitos de invasão e 5 carcinomas invasores). O objetivo do trabalho foi caracterizar os núcleos das populações celulares desses casos de forma que permitisse a derivação de informações diagnósticas e de possível implicação prognóstica a partir do estudo quantitativo das características nucleares de cada caso ou categoria diagnóstica. As biópsias foram coradas pelo método de Feulgen, sendo então selecionados e digitalizados 48 a 50 núcleos de cada uma delas. De cada núcleo foram extraídas 93 características cariométricas, arranjadas arbitrariamente em histograma designado como assinatura nuclear. Da média aritmética de cada característica dos núcleos de uma mesma biópsia resultou a assinatura digital do caso. A análise de funções discriminantes, baseada nas 15 características cariométricas que ofereceram melhor discriminação entre as categorias diagnósticas, mostrou que o grupo classificado como normal foi claramente distinto das demais categorias. A densidade óptica total aumentou progressivamente segundo a classificação das biópsias, do normal à displasia acentuada, sendo o valor do carcinoma semelhante ao da displasia moderada. A matriz de comprimento de seqüência apresentou o mesmo perfil, ou seja, ambas as características ofereceram discriminação clara entre as categorias diagnósticas, com exceção do carcinoma invasor, cujos valores foram superponíveis aos da displasia moderada. O estudo demonstrou a viabilidade da quantificação de características nucleares através das assinaturas nucleares digitais, que demonstraram diferenças estatisticamente significativas entre diferentes categorias diagnósticas e a elevação progressiva dos valores mensurados relacionados com o espectro das lesões, apresentando-as como um histograma (assinatura digital nuclear).

O teste do hidrogênio expirado no diagnóstico da má absorção de doses fisiológicas de lactose em alunos de escolas públicas de Porto Alegre

Objetivo: Determinar a prevalência de má absorção de lactose e sua associação com a cor da pele e a idade em crianças e adolescentes de escolas públicas do município de Porto Alegre. Material e Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo transversal que incluiu 225 indivíduos de 8 a 18 anos, freqüentadores de escolas públicas do município de Porto Alegre. Os participantes foram classificados segundo a cor e a faixa etária. A má absorção de lactose foi diagnosticada através do teste do hidrogênio expirado após ingestão de 250 ml de leite. O teste teve duração de 3 horas e foi considerado como critério de positividade o aumento ≥ 20 partes por milhão na concentração de hidrogênio em relação ao nível basal. Resultados: Foram estudados 225 alunos, com uma média e desvio padrão de idade de 12,2 ± 2,0 anos. Cento e cinqüenta e quatro alunos eram de cor branca (68,4%) e os restantes, de cor não-branca (preta ou parda). A má absorção de lactose foi evidenciada em 19/225 casos (8,4%). Foram diagnosticados 8/154 casos (5,2%) nos alunos de cor branca e 11/71 casos (15,5%) nos alunos de cor não-branca (p = 0,02). Em relação à faixa etária, ocorreram 15/143 casos (10,5%) nos alunos entre 8 e 12 anos e 4/82 casos (4,9%) entre 13 e 18 anos (p = 0,227). Conclusões: A prevalência de má absorção de lactose encontrada em alunos de escolas pú-blicas de Porto Alegre é alta, especialmente se considerarmos que foram utilizadas doses fi-siológicas (250 ml de leite) para o diagnóstico. As taxas de má absorção foram maiores entre as crianças de cor não-branca em relação às crianças de cor branca, confirmando a influência racial na hipolactasia primária do tipo adulto.

Trombose da veia porta em crianças e adolescentes : deficiência das proteínas C, S e Antitrombina e pesquisa das mutações fator V Leiden, G20210A da Protrombina e C677T da Metileno-tetraidrofolato redutase

Objetivo: A trombose da veia porta é uma causa importante de hiper-tensão porta em crianças e adolescentes, porém, em uma proporção importante dos casos, não apresenta fator etiológico definido. O objetivo desse estudo é determinar a freqüência de deficiência das proteínas inibidoras da coagulação – proteínas C, S e antitrombina − e das mutações fator V Leiden, G20210A no gene da protrombina e C677T da metileno-tetraidrofolato redutase em crianças e adolescentes com trom-bose da veia porta, definir o padrão hereditário de uma eventual deficiência das pro-teínas inibidoras da coagulação nesses pacientes e avaliar a freqüência da deficiên-cia dessas proteínas em crianças e adolescentes com cirrose. Casuística e Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo prospectivo com 14 crianças e adolescentes com trombose da veia porta, seus pais (n = 25) e dois gru-pos controles pareados por idade, constituídos por um grupo controle sem hepato-patia (n = 28) e um com cirrose (n = 24). A trombose da veia porta foi diagnosticada por ultra-sonografia abdominal com Doppler e/ou fase venosa do angiograma celíaco seletivo. A dosagem da atividade das proteínas C, S e antitrombina foi determinada em todos os indivíduos e a pesquisa das mutações fator V Leiden, G20210A da pro-trombina e C677T da metileno-tetraidrofolato redutase, nas crianças e adolescentes com trombose da veia porta, nos pais, quando identificada a mutação na criança, e nos controles sem hepatopatia. Resultados: Foram avaliados 14 pacientes caucasóides, com uma média e desvio padrão de idade de 8 anos e 8 meses ± 4 anos e 5 meses e do diagnóstico de 3 anos e 8 meses ± 3 anos e seis meses. Metade dos pacientes pertenciam ao gênero masculino. O motivo da investigação da trombose da veia porta foi hemorra-gia digestiva alta em 9/14 (64,3%) e achado de esplenomegalia ao exame físico em 5/14 (35,7%). Anomalias congênitas extra-hepáticas foram identificadas em 3/14 (21,4%) e fatores de risco adquiridos em 5/14 (35,7%) dos pacientes. Nenhum pa-ciente tinha história familiar de consangüinidade ou trombose venosa. A deficiência das proteínas C, S e antitrombina foi constatada em 6/14 (42,9%) (p < 0,05 vs con-troles sem hepatopatia), 3/14 (21,4%) (p > 0,05) e 1/14 (7,1%) (p > 0,05) pacientes com trombose da veia porta, respectivamente. A deficiência dessas proteínas não foi identificada em nenhum dos pais ou controles sem hepatopatia. A mutação G20210A no gene da protrombina foi identificada em um paciente com trombose da veia porta e em um controle sem hepatopatia (p = 0,999), mas em nenhum desses foi identificado a mutação fator V Leiden. A mutação C677T da metileno-tetraidrofo-lato redutase foi observada na forma homozigota, em 3/14 (21,4%) dos pacientes com trombose da veia porta e em 5/28 (17,9%) controles sem hepatopatia (p = 0,356). A freqüência da deficiência das proteínas C, S e antitrombina nos pacientes com cir-rose foi de 14/24 (58,3%), 7/24 (29,2%) e 11/24 (45,8%), respectivamente (p < 0,05 vs controles sem hepatopatia), sendo mais freqüente nos pacientes do subgrupo Child-Pugh B ou C, que foi de 11/12 (91,7%), 5/12 (41,7%) e 9/12 (75%), respectivamente (p < 0,05 vs controles sem hepatopatia). Conclusões: A deficiência de proteína C foi freqüente nas crianças e adolescentes com trombose da veia porta e não parece ser de origem genética. A deficiência de proteína S, antitrombina e as presenças das mutações G20210A da protrombina e C677T da metileno-tetraidrofolato redutase foram observadas mas não apresentaram diferença estatística significativa em relação ao grupo controle sem hepatopatia. O fator V Leiden não foi identificado. Os resultados deste estudo sugerem que a deficiência da proteína C pode ocorre como conseqüência da hiper-tensão porta. Os distúrbios pró-trombóticos hereditários não parecem apresentar um papel importante em relação à trombose nas crianças e adolescentes estudadas.

A utilização de modelos de duração para gerenciar risco de crédito

Os modelos hazard, também conhecidos por modelos de tempo até a falência ou duração, são empregados para determinar quais variáveis independentes têm maior poder explicativo na previsão de falência de empresas. Consistem em uma abordagem alternativa aos modelos binários logit e probit, e à análise discriminante. Os modelos de duração deveriam ser mais eficientes que modelos de alternativas discretas, pois levam em consideração o tempo de sobrevivência para estimar a probabilidade instantânea de falência de um conjunto de observações sobre uma variável independente. Os modelos de alternativa discreta tipicamente ignoram a informação de tempo até a falência, e fornecem apenas a estimativa de falhar em um dado intervalo de tempo. A questão discutida neste trabalho é como utilizar modelos hazard para projetar taxas de inadimplência e construir matrizes de migração condicionadas ao estado da economia. Conceitualmente, o modelo é bastante análogo às taxas históricas de inadimplência e mortalidade utilizadas na literatura de crédito. O Modelo Semiparamétrico Proporcional de Cox é testado em empresas brasileiras não pertencentes ao setor financeiro, e observa-se que a probabilidade de inadimplência diminui sensivelmente após o terceiro ano da emissão do empréstimo. Observa-se também que a média e o desvio-padrão das probabilidades de inadimplência são afetados pelos ciclos econômicos. É discutido como o Modelo Proporcional de Cox pode ser incorporado aos quatro modelos mais famosos de gestão de risco .de crédito da atualidade: CreditRisk +, KMV, CreditPortfolio View e CreditMetrics, e as melhorias resultantes dessa incorporação

Convex combinations of long memory estimates from different sampling rates

Convex combinations of long memory estimates using the same data observed at different sampling rates can decrease the standard deviation of the estimates, at the cost of inducing a slight bias. The convex combination of such estimates requires a preliminary correction for the bias observed at lower sampling rates, reported by Souza and Smith (2002). Through Monte Carlo simulations, we investigate the bias and the standard deviation of the combined estimates, as well as the root mean squared error (RMSE), which takes both into account. While comparing the results of standard methods and their combined versions, the latter achieve lower RMSE, for the two semi-parametric estimators under study (by about 30% on average for ARFIMA(0,d,0) series).

Changes in test scores distribution for students of the fourth grade in Brazil: a relative distribution analysis for the years 1997 to 2005

To assess the quality of school education, much of educational research is concerned with comparisons of test scores means or medians. In this paper, we shift this focus and explore test scores data by addressing some often neglected questions. In the case of Brazil, the mean of test scores in Math for students of the fourth grade has declined approximately 0,2 standard deviation in the late 1990s. But what about changes in the distribution of scores? It is unclear whether the decline was caused by deterioration in student performance in upper and/or lower tails of the distribution. To answer this question, we propose the use of the relative distribution method developed by Handcock and Morris (1999). The advantage of this methodology is that it compares two distributions of test scores data through a single distribution and synthesizes all the differences between them. Moreover, it is possible to decompose the total difference between two distributions in a level effect (changes in median) and shape effect (changes in shape of the distribution). We find that the decline of average-test scores is mainly caused by a worsening in the position of all students throughout the distribution of scores and is not only specific to any quantile of distribution.

Can deviation from standard beauty become appealing?: an age perspective

When exploring new perspectives on the impact of non-idealized vs. idealized body image in advertising, studies have focused mainly on body size, i.e., thin vs. heavy (Antioco et al., 2012; Smeesters & Mandel, 2006). Age remains largely unexplored, and the vast majority of ads in the market depict young models. The purpose of this research is therefore to investigate which images in advertisements – young or mature models – are more persuasive for older women (40+ years old). In this investigation, two studies were conducted. The first part was an exploratory analysis with a qualitative approach, which in turn helped to formulate the hypothesis tested in the subsequent experiment. The results of the in-depth interviews suggested a conflict over notions of imprisonment (need to follow beauty standards) and freedom (wish to deviate). The results of the experiment showed essentially that among older consumers, ads portraying older models were as persuasive as ads portraying younger models. Limitations and future research are discussed.

Percepções de maturidade em gerenciamento de projetos à luz da nova gestão pública: uma investigação com gestores das secretarias estaduais do Rio Grande do Norte

This study aimed to measure the perception of maturity project management of state boards of Rio Grande do Norte by the perception of its managers. Argues that project management has been highlighted as a critical factor for the success of any organization, because the projects are directly related to the set of activities that result in organizational innovation as products, services and processes and the improvement of project management is directly aligned with the main pillars of the New Public Management. Methodologically, this is a quantitative research of a descriptive nature in which 161 forms were applied with coordinators and subcoordinators of state departments of Rio Grande do Norte, culminating in a sampling error of less than 6% to 95% confidence according to the procedures finite sampling. The process of tabulation and analysis was done using the package Statistical Package for Social Sciences - SPSS 18.0 and worked with techniques such as mean, standard deviation, frequency distributions, cluster analysis and factor analysis. The results indicate that the levels of maturity in project management in state departments of Rio Grande do Norte is below the national average and that behavioral skills are the main problem for improving management in these departments. It was possible to detect the existence of two groups of different perceptions about the management of projects, indicating, according to the managers, there are islands of excellence in project management in some sectors of the state departments. It was also observed that there are eight factors that affect maturity in project management: Planning and Control , Development of Management Skills , Project Management Environment , Acceptance of the Subject Project Management , Stimulus to Performance , Project Evaluation and Learning , Project Management Office and Visibility of Project Managers . It concludes that the project management in state departments of Rio Grande do Norte has no satisfactory levels of maturity in project management, affecting the levels of efficiency and effectiveness of the state apparatus, which shows that some of the assumptions that guide the New Public Management are not getting the levels of excellence nailed by this management model

Avaliação da suplementação materna com megadose de vitamina a sobre os níveis de retinol e alfa-tocoferol no colostro

The vitamins A and E are recognizably important in the initial stages of life and the newborn depends on nutritional adequacy of breast milk to meet their needs. These vitamins share routes of transport to the tissues and antagonistic effects have been observed in animals after supplementation with vitamin A. This study aimed to verify the effect of maternal supplementation with vitamin A megadose (200,000 UI) in the immediate post-partum on the concentration of alpha-tocopherol in colostrum. Healthy parturient women attended at a public maternity natalensis were recruited for the study and divided into two groups: control (n = 37) and supplemented (n = 36). Blood samples of colostrum and milk were collected until 12 hours after delivery. The women of the supplemented group was administered a retynil palmitate capsule and 24 hours after the first collection was obtained the 2nd sample of colostrum in two groups for analysis of retinol and alpha-tocopherol in milk. The mean retinol concentration of 50,7 ± 14,4 μg/dL (Mean ± standard deviation) and alpha-tocopherol of 1217.4 ± 959 mg/dL in the serum indicate the nutritional status biochemical appropriate. Supplementation with retynil palmitate resulted in increase not only retinol levels in the colostrum of the supplemented group (p = 0.002), but also the concentration of alpha-tocopherol (p = 0.04), changing from 1456.6 ± 1095.8 mg/dL to 1804.3 ± 1432.0 mg/dL (milk 0 and 24 respectively) compared to values in the control group, 984.6 ± 750.0 mg/dL and 1175.0 ± 730.8 mg/dL. The women had different responses to supplementation, influenced by baseline levels of retinol in colostrum. Those with previous by low levels of retinol in colostrum (<60 mg/dL) had increased the concentration of alpha-tocopherol in milk, whereas those with adequate levels (> 60 mg/dL), showed a reduction after supplementation. Supplementation with retinol palmitate is an important intervention in situations of high risk for vitamin A deficiency, when considering the need to maternal supplementation, since the excess vitamin can offer unfavorable interactions between nutrients essential for the mother-child group

Efeito Da Suplementação Materna Com Palmitato De Retinila Sobre A Concentração De Retinol No Colostro Em Condições De Jejum E Pós-Prandial.

Vitamin A is important in many essential body processes and its deficiency results in serious consequences for human health. Breast milk is the only source of this vitamin for children that are exclusively breastfed. Analysis of vitamin A in mother s milk is important because its concentration is related to maternal vitamin A status and to its ingestion by the mother during pregnancy. The aim of the present study was to assess the effect of maternal supplementation with retynil palmitate on the concentration of colostrum retinol under fasting and postprandial conditions. A total of 149 nursing mothers were recruited at the Januário Cicco Maternity School (Natal, Brazil) and allocated to two groups: Comparison (n = 69) and Test (n = 80). Blood and colostrum (in fasting and postprandial conditions) samples were collected up to 24hs after delivery. Serum retinol and colostrum levels were analyzed by high-performance liquid chromatography. The serum retinol level of 41.6 ± 12.7μg/dL (mean ± standard deviation) indicates adequate biochemical nutritional status. Colostrum retinol level was not influenced by serum retinol levels under any of the conditions established. In the colostrum, the retinol concentration in the unsupplemented test group was 67.3 ± 37.7 μg/dL under fasting and 80.3 ± 35.1 μg/dL under postprandial conditions (p<0.05), showing an increase of 19.3%. In the supplemented test group the values were 102.6 ± 57.3 μg/dL and 133.4 ± 78.3 μg/dL under fasting and postprandial, respectively (p<0.05), representing an increase of 30%. Considering that under fasting conditions most of the vitamin A transported to the milk originates in the retinol binding protein (RBP), the postprandial increase in colostrum retinol suggests a different transport mechanism of retinol to maternal milk from that performed by RBP. This situation becomes more evident under supplementation conditions.

Resistência da artéria carótida e autônima funcional em mulheres idosas

High carotid artery resistance indices in the elderly arise mainly as a result of harmful daily lifestyle behavior and poor eating habits. The aim of this multidisciplinary study was to assess and correlate carotid artery resistance and functional autonomy in elderly women. A descriptive, exploratory cross-sectional study was conducted with a sample comprising 27 women, enrolled in pastoral programs in the city of Teresina, Brazil. Carotid artery resistance was assessed by a high-resolution Doppler ultrasound device and functional autonomy was evaluated through five protocol tests of the Latin American Development Group for the Elderly (GDLAM), simulating activities of daily life. The data were analyzed by the Shapiro-Wilk test and the correlation by Spearman s test, considering a p-value of <0.05. The sample consisted of women with mean age and standard deviation of (68.67 ± 4.52) years, respectively and carotid resistance index of (0.71 ± 0.07). The general index value of functional autonomy classified the elderly of the study group as weak in the performance of activities of daily living (30.46 ± 6.31). The general index of functional autonomy showed a high level of sedentary behavior in the group studied (p < 0.01). The sample was classified as weak in the performance of activities of daily life. The correlation coefficient between the carotid resistance index and the general GDLAM index was r = 0.998 and p = 0.000, showing a significant correlation. The elderly women assessed had a high carotid artery resistance index and low functional autonomy; a positive correlation was found between the dependent variables studied. To perform this study we formed a team composed of a nurse, who helped in organizing the sample and performing the examinations; a radiologist, who conducted the Doppler examinations; an angiologist, who collaborated in interpreting examination data; in addition to two physical education professors and two physical therapists, who applied the functional autonomy tests and conducted the 34 research along elderly health lines, contributing thus to the multidisciplinary character, fundamental for carrying out the study