Plan zemelʻnogo otvoda "Poltavt︠s︡y

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Temperatura vozdukha v Krymu v 1925-1926 s.kh.g. v gradisokh T︠S︡elʹt︠s︡ii︠a︡

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Godovoe razpredelenie osadkov (izogiety) v Krymu v 1925-1926 c.kh. g.

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Mnogoletneee srednee godovoe raspredelenie osadkov v Krymu (izogiety)

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Skorostʹ i napravlenie vetra v Krymu 3-go i︠u︡li︠a︡ 1926 goda

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Skorostʹ i napravlenie vetra v Krymu 4-go i︠u︡li︠a︡ 1926 goda

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Karta Evreĭskikh koloniĭ v Krymu obsluzhivaemykh Agro-Dzhoĭntom

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Proekt doma dli︠a︡ pereselent︠s︡ev

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Proekt tipovogo samannogo doma pod cherepichnoĭ krysheĭ dli︠a︡ evreĭskikh pereselent︠s︡ev obsluzhivaemykh Agro-Dzhoĭntom

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Ogorody kolkhoza imeni Molotova v poselke "Gortenshtadt"

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Karta Kryma s naneseniem evreǐskikh pereselencheskikh otvodov

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Letter of thanks to Joseph Rosen from the Ekaterinoslav community

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Zapys zemelʹnyĭ Na pravo korystovanni︠a︡ zemli︠u︡, shcho znakhoditʹsi︠a︡ v Odeskoï guberni Peryletravenʹsʹkyĭ okruzi Kantakuzenʹsʹy raʹoni pid nazvoi︠u︡ Trudovyshyĭ artilʹ Slava

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Zapys zemelʹnyĭ Na pravo korystovanni︠a︡ zemli︠u︡, shcho znakhoditʹsi︠a︡ v Odeskoï guberni Peryletravenʹsʹkyĭ okruzi Kantakuzenʹsʹy raʹoni pid nazvoi︠u︡ Trudovyshyĭ artilʹ Slava

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Quarantine and surveillance strategies for plant pathogen detection and control

Incursions of plant pests and diseases pose serious threats to food security, agricultural productivity and the natural environment. One of the challenges in confidently delimiting and eradicating incursions is how to choose from an arsenal of surveillance and quarantine approaches in order to best control multiple dispersal pathways. Anthropogenic spread (propagules carried on humans or transported on produce or equipment) can be controlled with quarantine measures, which in turn can vary in intensity. In contrast, environmental spread processes are more difficult to control, but often have a temporal signal (e.g. seasonality) which can introduce both challenges and opportunities for surveillance and control. This leads to complex decisions regarding when, where and how to search. Recent modelling investigations of surveillance performance have optimised the output of simulation models, and found that a risk-weighted randomised search can perform close to optimally. However, exactly how quarantine and surveillance strategies should change to reflect different dispersal modes remains largely unaddressed. Here we develop a spatial simulation model of a plant fungal-pathogen incursion into an agricultural region, and its subsequent surveillance and control. We include structural differences in dispersal via the interplay of biological, environmental and anthropogenic connectivity between host sites (farms). Our objective was to gain broad insights into the relative roles played by different spread modes in propagating an invasion, and how incorporating knowledge of these spread risks may improve approaches to quarantine restrictions and surveillance. We find that broad heuristic rules for quarantine restrictions fail to contain the pathogen due to residual connectivity between sites, but surveillance measures enable early detection and successfully lead to suppression of the pathogen in all farms. Alternative surveillance strategies attain similar levels of performance by incorporating environmental or anthropogenic dispersal risk in the prioritisation of sites. Our model provides the basis to develop essential insights into the effectiveness of different surveillance and quarantine decisions for fungal pathogen control. Parameterised for authentic settings it will aid our understanding of how the extent and resolution of interventions should suitably reflect the spatial structure of dispersal processes.