Determinantes de las tasas de reemplazo de pensiones de capitalización individual: escenarios latinoamericanos comparados

La aparición de las cuentas individuales como mecanismo de financiamiento substitutivo o parcial de los sistemas de pensiones de la seguridad social y su significativa expansión en América Latina, y más tarde en algunos países de Europa del Este, abrió un interesante y no pocas veces acalorado debate sobre los objetivos, alcances y principios inherentes a su funcionamiento. Uno de los objetivos explícitos de estas reformas fue mejorar los niveles de suficiencia de las pensiones; es decir, la relación entre los montos de las pensiones y los salarios con base en los cuales se pagan las contribuciones. Pero ello continúa siendo un tema muy polémico entre los defensores y detractores de las cuentas individuales. El concepto tasa de reemplazo hace referencia a la relación entre el nivel de la pensión y el nivel de ingresos con que se realizaron las aportaciones a lo largo del ciclo laboral del individuo. La aproximación utilizada habitualmente para calcularlas compara los salarios cotizables previos a la jubilación con los montos de pensión disponibles tras el retiro y es el considerado en este trabajo para favorecer la comparación internacional de los resultados y el uso de las bases de datos disponibles. Pero el presente análisis no versa sobre las tasas efectivas de reemplazo a escala individual que obtendrían quienes están o estarán recibiendo beneficios, ya que ellas, al depender de las características y trayectorias individuales de las personas seleccionadas, no serían representativas de las pensiones que brinda el sistema en su conjunto para la población meta establecida en una ley de seguridad social. Para indagar en el perfil de las tasas que los sistemas de pensiones ofrecen al conjunto de la población, el presente estudio las simula para diferentes países, bajo diferentes escenarios. Utiliza como unidad de análisis al individuo, por medio de una medición teórica prospectiva de largo plazo que captura datos transversales promedios, combina las principales características individuales del grupo cubierto y evalúa la sustitución de los ingresos de los trabajadores asalariados, en Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, El Salvador, México, Perú, República Dominicana y Uruguay según los factores determinantes de las tasas. Estos factores determinantes son múltiples: económicos, socio-demográficos y programáticos, es decir, relativos al diseño, organización financiera y régimen administrativo de los sistemas de pensiones. Dichos factores en su interacción generan resultados muy distintos en cada país por sector económico, género, edad, nivel de ingreso etc. Se trata de identificarlos y de captar la relevancia y la magnitud de su incidencia.

Development of sustainable precision farming systems for swine: Estimating realtime individual amino acid requirements in growing-finishing pigs

The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate a mathematical model used to estimate the daily amino acid requirements of individual growing-finishing pigs. The model includes empirical and mechanistic model components. The empirical component estimates daily feed intake (DFI), BW, and daily gain (DG) based on individual pig information collected in real time. Based on DFI, BW, and DG estimates, the mechanistic component uses classic factorial equations to estimate the optimal concentration of amino acids that must be offered to each pig to meet its requirements. The model was evaluated with data from a study that investigated the effect of feeding pigs with a 3-phase or daily multiphase system. The DFI and BW values measured in this study were compared with those estimated by the empirical component of the model. The coherence of the values estimated by the mechanistic component was evaluated by analyzing if it followed a normal pattern of requirements. Lastly, the proposed model was evaluated by comparing its estimates with those generated by the existing growth model (InraPorc). The precision of the proposed model and InraPorc in estimating DFI and BW was evaluated through the mean absolute error. The empirical component results indicated that the DFI and BW trajectories of individual pigs fed ad libitum could be predicted 1 d (DFI) or 7 d (BW) ahead with the average mean absolute error of 12.45 and 1.85%, respectively. The average mean absolute error obtained with the InraPorc for the average individual of the population was 14.72% for DFI and 5.38% for BW. Major differences were observed when estimates from InraPorc were compared with individual observations. The proposed model, however, was effective in tracking the change in DFI and BW for each individual pig. The mechanistic model component estimated the optimal standardized ileal digestible Lys to NE ratio with reasonable between animal (average CV = 7%) and overtime (average CV = 14%) variation. Thus, the amino acid requirements estimated by model are animal- and time-dependent and follow, in real time, the individual DFI and BW growth patterns. The proposed model can follow the average feed intake and feed weight trajectory of each individual pig in real time with good accuracy. Based on these trajectories and using classical factorial equations, the model makes it possible to estimate dynamically the AA requirements of each animal, taking into account the intake and growth changes of the animal. © 2012 American Society of Animal Science. All rights reserved.

Origen y magnitud de la evasión en el sistema de pensiones chileno derivado de la capitalización individual

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Trait contributions to fish community assembly emerge from trophic interactions in an individual-based model

Community ecology seeks to understand and predict the characteristics of communities that can develop under different environmental conditions, but most theory has been built on analytical models that are limited in the diversity of species traits that can be considered simultaneously. We address that limitation with an individual-based model to simulate assembly of fish communities characterized by life history and trophic interactions with multiple physiological tradeoffs as constraints on species performance. Simulation experiments were carried out to evaluate the distribution of 6 life history and 4 feeding traits along gradients of resource productivity and prey accessibility. These experiments revealed that traits differ greatly in importance for species sorting along the gradients. Body growth rate emerged as a key factor distinguishing community types and defining patterns of community stability and coexistence, followed by egg size and maximum body size. Dominance by fast-growing, relatively large, and fecund species occurred more frequently in cases where functional responses were saturated (i.e. high productivity and/or prey accessibility). Such dominance was associated with large biomass fluctuations and priority effects, which prevented richness from increasing with productivity and may have limited selection on secondary traits, such as spawning strategies and relative size at maturation. Our results illustrate that the distribution of species traits and the consequences for community dynamics are intimately linked and strictly dependent on how the benefits and costs of these traits are balanced across different conditions. © 2012 Elsevier B.V.

Análisis individual y contextual en la identificación de los pueblos indígenas (México, 1990-2000)

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Occurrence of mycobacteria in bovine milk samples from both individual and collective bulk tanks at farms and informal markets in the southeast region of Sao Paulo, Brazil

Background: Mycobacterium spp. is one of the most important species of zoonotic pathogens that can be transmitted from cattle to humans. The presence of these opportunistic, pathogenic bacteria in bovine milk has emerged as a public-health concern, especially among individuals who consume raw milk and related dairy products. To address this concern, the Brazilian control and eradication program focusing on bovine tuberculosis, was established in 2001. However, bovine tuberculosis continues to afflict approximately 1,3 percent of the cattle in Brazil. In the present study, 300 samples of milk from bovine herds, obtained from both individual and collective bulk tanks and informal points of sale, were cultured on Löwenstein-Jensen and Stonebrink media. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based tests and restriction-enzyme pattern analysis were then performed on the colonies exhibiting phenotypes suggestive of Mycobacterium spp., which were characterized as acid-fast bacilli.Results: Of the 300 bovine milk samples that were processed, 24 were positively identified as Mycobacterium spp.Molecular identification detected 15 unique mycobacterial species: Mycobacterium bovis, M. gordonae, M. fortuitum, M. intracellulare, M. flavescens, M. duvalii, M. haemophilum, M. immunogenum, M. lentiflavum, M. mucogenicum, M. novocastrense, M. parafortuitum, M. smegmatis, M. terrae and M. vaccae. The isolation of bacteria from the various locations occurred in the following proportions: 9 percent of the individual bulk-tank samples, 7 percent of the collective bulk-tank samples and 8 percent of the informal-trade samples. No statistically significant difference was observed between the presence of Mycobacterium spp. in the three types of samples collected, the milk production profiles, the presence of veterinary assistance and the reported concerns about bovine tuberculosis prevention in the herds.Conclusion: The microbiological cultures associated with PCR-based identification tests are possible tools for the investigation of the presence of Mycobacterium spp. in milk samples. Using these methods, we found that the Brazilian population may be regularly exposed to mycobacteria by consuming raw bovine milk and related dairy products. These evidences reinforces the need to optimize quality programs of dairy products, to intensify the sanitary inspection of these products and the necessity of further studies on the presence of Mycobacterium spp. in milk and milk-based products. © 2013 Franco et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

How individual movement response to habitat edges affects population persistence and spatial spread

How individual-level movement decisions in response to habitat edges influence population-level patterns of persistence and spread of a species is a major challenge in spatial ecology and conservation biology. Here, we integrate novel insights into edge behavior, based on habitat preference and movement rates, into spatially explicit growth-dispersal models. We demonstrate how crucial ecological quantities (e.g., minimal patch size, spread rate) depend critically on these individual-level decisions. In particular, we find that including edge behavior properly in these models gives qualitatively different and intuitively more reasonable results than those of some previous studies that did not consider this level of detail. Our results highlight the importance of new empirical work on individual movement response to habitat edges. © 2013 by The University of Chicago.

Properties of individual YBCO layers in a two-layered design for energy-efficient digital data cables

We are developing two-layered Yttrium Barium Copper Oxide (YBCO) thin film structures for energy efficient data links for superconducting electronics and present the results of their property measurements. High temperature superconductors (HTS) are advantageous for the implementation of energy-efficient cables interconnecting low temperature superconductor-based circuits and other cryogenic electronics circuits at higher temperature stages. The advantages of the HTS cables come from their low loss and low dispersion properties, allowing ballistic transfer of low power signals with very high bandwidth, low heat conduction and negligible inter-line crosstalk. The microstrip line cable geometry for typical materials is a two-layered film, in which the two superconducting layers are separated by an insulation layer with a minimized permittivity. We have made a proof of concept design of two YBCO films grown by pulsed laser deposition and then assembled into a sandwich with uniform insulating interlayer of tens of micrometers thick. We report on results obtained from such systems assembled in different ways. Structural and electromagnetic properties have been examined on individual films and on the corresponding sandwich composite. © 2013 IEEE.

Efeitos do citrato de sufentanil, administrado em infusão contínua, na concentração alveolar mínima (CAM) de isofluorano em felinos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Avaliações dos tecidos hidrorrepelentes de equipamentos de proteção individual após usos e lavagens em condições de campo

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Rasgos generales de los sistemas previsionales de capitalización individual y de sus contextos laborales y demográficos

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¿Equidad por movilidad individual o por reducción de distancias?: desafíos de las tendencias recientes en la educación, el empleo y el ingreso en Chile

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