868 resultados para Short term planning


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This paper deals with the problem of coordinated trading of wind and photovoltaic systems in order to find the optimal bid to submit in a pool-based electricity market. The coordination of wind and photovoltaic systems presents uncertainties not only due to electricity market prices, but also with wind and photovoltaic power forecast. Electricity markets are characterized by financial penalties in case of deficit or excess of generation. So, the aim o this work is to reduce these financial penalties and maximize the expected profit of the power producer. The problem is formulated as a stochastic linear programming problem. The proposed approach is validated with real data of pool-based electricity market of Iberian Peninsula.

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This paper presents a methodology for short-term load forecasting based on genetic algorithm feature selection and artificial neural network modeling. A feed forward artificial neural network is used to model the 24-h ahead load based on past consumption, weather and stock index data. A genetic algorithm is used in order to find the best subset of variables for modeling. Three data sets of different geographical locations, encompassing areas of different dimensions with distinct load profiles are used in order to evaluate the methodology. The developed approach was found to generate models achieving a minimum mean average percentage error under 2 %. The feature selection algorithm was able to significantly reduce the number of used features and increase the accuracy of the models.

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The sugarcane in Brazil is passing through a management transition that is leading to the abolition of pre-harvest burning. Without burning, large amounts of sugarcane trash is generated, and there is a discussion regarding the utilization of this biomass in the industry versus keeping it in the field to improve soil quality. To study the effects of the trash removal on soil quality, we established an experimental sugarcane plantation with different levels of trash over the soil (0%, 50% and 100% of the original trash deposition) and analyzed the structure of the bacterial and fungal community as the bioindicators of impacts. The soil DNA was extracted, and the microbial community was screened by denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis in two different seasons. Our results suggest that there are no effects from the different levels of trash on the soil chemistry and soil bacterial community. However, the fungal community was significantly impacted, and after twelve months, the community presented different structures among the treatments.

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The likelihood of smallholder farmers not participating in agroforestry agri-environmental schemes and payments for ecosystem services (PES) may be due to limited farmland endowment and formal credit constraints. These deficits may lead to an ‘exclusive club’ of successful farmers, which are not necessarily poor, enjoying the benefits of agri-environmental schemes and PES although agrienvironmental schemes and PES have been devised as a means of fostering rural sustainable development and improving the livelihood of poor smallholder farmers. Smallholder farmers in parts of rural Kenya continue to enroll in ‘The International Small Group Tree Planting Programme’ (TIST), an agri-environmental scheme, promoting agroforestry, carbon sequestration and conservation agriculture (CA). The question remains if these farmers are really poor? This study examines factors that determine the participation of smallholder farmers in TIST in parts of rural Kenya. We use survey data compiled in 2013 on 210 randomly selected smallholder farmers from Embu, Meru and Nanyuki communities; the sample consists of TIST and non-TIST members. A random utility model and logit regression were used to test a set of non-monetary and monetary factors that influence participation in the TIST. The utility function is conceptualized to give non-monetary factors, particularly the common medium of communication in rural areas – formal and informal – a central role. Furthermore, we investigate other factors (incl. credit accessibility and interest rate) that reveal the nature of farmers participating in TIST. The findings suggest that spread of information via formal and informal networks is a major driver of participation in the TIST program. Furthermore, variables such credit constrains, age and labour supply positively correlate with TIST participation, while for education the opposite is true. It is important to mention that these correlations, although somewhat consistent, were all found to be weak. The results indicate that participation in the TIST program is not influenced by farm size; therefore we argue that the TIST scheme is NOT an ‘exclusive club’ comprising wealthy and successful farmers. Older farmers’ being more likely to join the TIST is an argument for their long- rather than widely assumed short-term planning horizon and a new contribution to the literature. Given the importance of poverty alleviation and climate smart agriculture in developing countries, sustainable policy should strengthening the social and human capital as well as informal networks in rural areas. Extension services should effectively communicate benefits to less educated and credit constrained farmers.

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Tese de doutoramento, Educação (Avaliação em Educação), Universidade de Lisboa, Instituto de Educação, 2015

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Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica

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Dissertação para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Eletrotécnica

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A escola inclusiva continua a caminhar para a realidade que se pretende. Não obstante, há que contribuir para continuar a abrir o caminho que as escolas necessitam de percorrer, no sentido de se adaptarem e criarem as condições essenciais para a realização e felicidade de todas as crianças/jovens que a essas mesmas condições têm direito. No Trabalho de Projeto apresentado, aborda-se a trajetória de um grupo/turma, tendo como perspetiva o abrir caminho para práticas inclusivas, nas nossas escolas. Esta investigação surge, assim, como uma forma ou tentativa de intervir na construção de uma escola e educação para todos, tendo como ponto de partida uma turma do 8º ano de escolaridade, numa escola básica, situada no concelho de Almada. É feita a apresentação teórica da temática em questão, após ter sido realizada uma investigação documental, procedendo-se posteriormente à recolha e análise de dados, utilizando a pesquisa documental, a entrevista, a observação naturalista e a sociometria. Segue-se a caracterização da turma, do aluno e dos contextos em que as mesmas se inserem, partimos para uma intervenção estruturada, a longo e a curto prazo, numa dinâmica de planificação/ação/reflexão, onde se aplicam práticas educativas diferenciadas e inclusivas. Foi nosso objetivo, com este trabalho de projeto, conseguir que o grupo alvo seja inclusivo, tendo como base uma abordagem sistémica e ecológica, numa aprendizagem e ensino cooperativos, onde imperem pedagogias e ambientes fomentadores de um contexto escolar aberto à diversidade e à entrada das tecnologias de apoio na sala de aula. A família assume, neste projeto, um papel ativo no contexto escolar, sendo dada a relevância que a mesma deve ter no processo educativo dos seus educandos, partindo do princípio que qualquer intervenção que se planeie só tem sucesso efetivo com a participação ativa das famílias, colaborando e articulando com a comunidade escolar e desenvolvendo, em contexto familiar, medidas e estratégias interventivas que se vão repercutir fortemente no sucesso educativo das crianças e dos jovens. Neste projeto, implementaram-se estratégias que vão da caraterização inicial da situação à reflexão final que dão continuidade ao desenvolvimento de competências na área da autonomia, sociabilização e aprendizagens académicas do grupo, onde emerge o Teresa Figueiredo – Uma escola para todos: práticas, estratégias e metodologias ULHT-Instituto de Educação 4 João1, aluno com necessidades educativas especiais decorrentes de paralisia cerebral, que se encontra ao abrigo do Decreto-Lei 3/2008, de 7 de Janeiro, acompanhado pela educação especial. Foram alvo desta intervenção vários contextos, considerados prioritários: escolar; sala de aula; conselho de turma; apoio especializado e familiar. O desenvolvimento da intervenção, nos contextos mencionados foi norteado pelos princípios defendidos pela educação inclusiva, princípios explanados no enquadramento teórico da pesquisa realizada, no desenvolvimento deste Projeto. Como resultados da intervenção conseguimos um grupo/turma mais autónomo, com melhor funcionalidade no contexto escolar, onde os alunos aprendem todos juntos, com a entrada de tecnologias de apoio na sala de aula e pedagogias que vão ao encontro das necessidades do grupo e de cada um. As aprendizagens tornaram-se mais acessíveis a todos, com os professores a planificarem atividades direcionadas para o desenvolvimento do trabalho cooperativo e da parceria pedagógica, práticas que contribuem para uma comunidade escolar motivada para a construção de uma escola, cada vez mais, para todos.

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Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

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Mining operations around the world make extensive use of blasthole sampling for short-term planning, which has two undisputed advantages: (1) blastholes are closely spaced providing relatively high sampling density per ton, and (2) there is no additional cost since the blastholes must be drilled anyway. However, blasthole sampling usually presents poor sampling precision, and the inconstant sampling bias caused by particle size and density segregation is an even more serious problem, generally precluding representativeness. One of the main causes of this bias is a highly varying loss of fines, which can lead to both under- and over-estimation of grade depending on the ore type and the gangue. This study validates a new, modified sectorial sampler, designed to reduce the loss of fines and thereby increase sampling accuracy for narrow-diameter blasthole sampling. First results show a significantly improved estimation of gold grade as well as the minimization of the loss of fines.

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Das operative Torbelegungsproblem (TBP) z. B. an einem Distributions- oder Cross-dockingzentrum ist ein logistisches Problem, bei dem es gilt, an- und abfahrende Fahrzeuge zeitlich und räumlich so auf die Warenein- und -ausgangstore zu verteilen, dass eine mög-lichst kostengünstige Abfertigung ermöglicht wird. Bisherige Arbeiten, die sich mit dem TBP beschäftigen, lassen Aspekte der Kooperation außer Acht. Dieser Beitrag stellt ein Verfahren vor, durch das der Nachteil einseitig optimaler Torbelegungen überwunden werden kann. Dabei wird auf das Mittel der kombinatorischen Auktionen zurückgegriffen und das TBP als Allokationsproblem modelliert, bei dem Frachtführer um Bündel konsekutiver Einheitszeit-intervalle an den Toren konkurrieren. Mittels eines Vickrey-Clarke-Groves-Mechanismus wird einerseits die Anreizkompatibilität, andererseits die individuelle Rationalität des Auk-tionsverfahrens sichergestellt. Das Verfahren wurde in ILOG OPL Studio 3.6.1 implemen-tiert und die durch Testdaten gewonnenen Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die Laufzeiten gering genug sind, um das Verfahren für die operative (kurzfristige) Planung einzusetzen und so transportlogistische Prozesse für alle Beteiligten wirtschaftlicher zu gestalten.

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El proyecto fin de carrera de herramienta de apoyo a la docencia en Sistemas Operativos quiere ayudar al alumno a entender el funcionamiento de un planificador a corto plazo. Lo hace mediante una representación gráfica de procesos que ocupan o el procesador o distintas unidades de entrada/salida mientras transcurre el tiempo. El tiempo está dividido en ciclos de reloj de un procesador, a lo que a continuación se referirá como unidades de tiempo. Los procesos están definidos por su nombre, la instante de entrada que entran al sistema, su prioridad y la secuencia de unidades de tiempo en el procesador y unidades de entrada/salida que necesitan para terminar su trabajo. El alumno puede configurar el sistema a su gusto en cuanto al número y comportamiento de las unidades de entrada/salida. Puede definir que una unidad solo permita acceso exclusivo a los procesos, es decir que solo un proceso puede ocuparla simultáneamente, o que permita el acceso múltiple a sus recursos. El alumno puede construir un planificador a corto plazo propio, integrarlo en el sistema y ver cómo se comporta. Se debe usar la interfaz Java proporcionada para su construcción. La aplicación muestra datos estadísticos como por ejemplo la eficiencia del sistema (el tiempo activo de la CPU dividido por el tiempo total de la simulación), tiempos de espera de los procesos, etc. Se calcula después de cada unidad de tiempo para que el alumno pueda ver el momento exacto donde la simulación tomó un giro inesperado. La aplicación está compuesta por un motor de simulación que contiene toda la lógica y un conjunto de clases que forman la interfaz gráfica que se presenta al usuario. Estos dos componentes pueden ser reemplazados siempre y cuando se mantenga la definición de sus conectores igual. La aplicación la he hecho de manejo muy simple e interfaz fácil de comprender para que el alumno pueda dedicar todo su tiempo a probar distintas configuraciones y situaciones y así entender mejor la asignatura. ABSTRACT. The project is called “Tool to Support Teaching of the Subject Operating Systems” and is an application that aims to help students understand on a deeper level the inner workings of how an operating system handles multiple processes in need of CPU time by the means of a short-term planning algorithm. It does so with a graphical representation of the processes that occupy the CPU and different input/output devices as time passes by. Time is divided in CPU cycles, from now on referred to as time units. The processes are defined by their name, the moment they enter the system, their priority and the sequence of time units they need to finish their job. The student can configure the system by changing the number and behavior of the input/output devices. He or she can define whether a device should only allow exclusive access, i.e. only one process can occupy it at any given time, or if it should allow multiple processes to access its resources. The student can build a planning algorithm of his or her own and easily integrate it into the system to see how it behaves. The provided Java interface and the programming language Java should be used to build it. The application shows statistical data, e.g. the efficiency of the system (active CPU time divided by total simulation time) and time spent by the processes waiting in queues. The data are calculated after passing each time unit in order for the student to see the exact moment where the simulation took an unexpected turn. The application is comprised of a simulation motor, which handles all the logic, and a set of classes, which is the graphical user interface. These two parts can be replaced individually if the definition of the connecting interfaces stays the same. I have made the application to be very easy to use and with an easy to understand user interface so the student can spend all of his or her time trying out different configurations and scenarios in order to understand the subject better.

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Analysing investments in ISs in order to maximise benefits has become a prime concern, especially for private corporations. No formula of equilibrium exists that could link the injected amounts and accrued returns. The relationship is simply not straightforward. This thesis is based upon empirical work which involved sketching organisational ethnographies (four organographies and a sectography) into the role and value of information systems in Jordanian financial organisations. Besides deciphering the map of impacts, it explains the attributions of the variations in the impacts of ISs which were found to be related to the internal organisational processes: culturally and politically specific considerations, economically or technically rooted factors and environmental factors. The research serves as an empirical attempt to test out the applicability of adopting the interpretive paradigm to researching organisations in a developing country. The fieldwork comprised an exploratory stage, a detailed investigation of four case studies and a survey stage encompassing 16 organisations. Primary and secondary data were collected from multiple sources using a range of instruments. The evidence highlights the fact that little long term strategic planning was pursued; the emphasis was more focused on short term planning. There was no noticeable adoption of any strategic fit principle linking IS strategy to the corporate strategy. In addition, the benefits obtained were mostly intangible. Although ISs were central to the work of the organisations surveyed as the core technology, they were considered as tools or work enablers rather than weapons for competitive rivalry. The cultural specificity of IS impacts was evident and the cultural and political considerations were key factors in explaining the attributions of the variations in the impacts of ISs in JFOs. The thesis confirms that measuring the benefits of ISs is the problematic. However, in order to gain more insight, the phenomenon of "the use of ISs" has to be studied within its context.

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This chapter looks at how the current global economic crisis has impacted upon the global automotive industry from an operations and supply chain perspective. It presents an empirical and theoretical background to help long and short term planning for organisations experiencing adverse trading conditions. The empirical research study (conducted between 2004-07 primarily in Germany) revealed that organisations are able to make short term improvements to performance by reducing costs and making process and structural improvements, but in the long term the deeper rooted causes of the industry can in part only be dealt with by improving interfirm R&D collaborations based upon competencies rather than cost related issues. A new approach known as Collaborative Enterprise Governance is presented which supports the design and management of competitive sustainable enterprises; it consists of a data capture tool, a body of knowledge and a dynamic reference grid to show how many part-to-part company relationships can exist simultaneously to make up productprocess focused enterprises. Examples from the German automotive industry are given, impact upon the overall product development lifecycle and the implications for organisational strategists are discussed. © 2010 Nova Science Publishers, Inc. All rights reserved.

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Ocean gliders constitute an important advance in the highly demanding ocean monitoring scenario. Their effciency, endurance and increasing robustness make these vehicles an ideal observing platform for many long term oceanographic applications. However, they have proved to be also useful in the opportunis-tic short term characterization of dynamic structures. Among these, mesoscale eddies are of particular interest due to the relevance they have in many oceano-graphic processes.