Using data mining with time series data in short-term stocks prediction

Data Mining (DM) methods are being increasingly used in prediction with time series data, in addition to traditional statistical approaches. This paper presents a literature review of the use of DM with time series data, focusing on short- time stocks prediction. This is an area that has been attracting a great deal of attention from researchers in the field. The main contribution of this paper is to provide an outline of the use of DM with time series data, using mainly examples related with short-term stocks prediction. This is important to a better understanding of the field. Some of the main trends and open issues will also be introduced.

A multi-objective model for scheduling of short-term incentive-based demand response programs offered by electricity retailers

In this paper, we formulate the electricity retailers’ short-term decision-making problem in a liberalized retail market as a multi-objective optimization model. Retailers with light physical assets, such as generation and storage units in the distribution network, are considered. Following advances in smart grid technologies, electricity retailers are becoming able to employ incentive-based demand response (DR) programs in addition to their physical assets to effectively manage the risks of market price and load variations. In this model, the DR scheduling is performed simultaneously with the dispatch of generation and storage units. The ultimate goal is to find the optimal values of the hourly financial incentives offered to the end-users. The proposed model considers the capacity obligations imposed on retailers by the grid operator. The profit seeking retailer also has the objective to minimize the peak demand to avoid the high capacity charges in form of grid tariffs or penalties. The non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) is used to solve the multi-objective problem. It is a fast and elitist multi-objective evolutionary algorithm. A case study is solved to illustrate the efficient performance of the proposed methodology. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the model for designing the incentive-based DR programs and indicate the efficiency of NSGA-II in solving the retailers’ multi-objective problem.

Use of a fluorescence-based approach to assess short-term responses of the alga Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata to metal stress

This work explores the use of fluorescent probes to evaluate the responses of the green alga Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata to the action of three nominal concentrations of Cd(II), Cr(VI), Cu(II) and Zn(II) for a short time (6 h). The toxic effect of the metals on algal cells was monitored using the fluorochromes SYTOX Green (SG, membrane integrity), fluorescein diacetate (FDA, esterase activity) and rhodamine 123 (Rh123, mitochondrial membrane potential). The impact of metals on chlorophyll a (Chl a) autofluorescence was also evaluated. Esterase activity was the most sensitive parameter. At the concentrations studied, all metals induced the loss of esterase activity. SG could be used to effectively detect the loss of membrane integrity in algal cells exposed to 0.32 or 1.3 μmol L−1 Cu(II). Rh123 revealed a decrease in the mitochondrial membrane potential of algal cells exposed to 0.32 and 1.3 μmol L−1 Cu(II), indicating that mitochondrial activity was compromised. Chl a autofluorescence was also affected by the presence of Cr(VI) and Cu(II), suggesting perturbation of photosynthesis. In conclusion, the fluorescence-based approach was useful for detecting the disturbance of specific cellular characteristics. Fluorescent probes are a useful diagnostic tool for the assessment of the impact of toxicants on specific targets of P. subcapitata algal cells.

Prostatic Artery Embolization in the Treatment of Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia: Short and Medium Follow-Up

To evaluate the short and mid-term results of prostatic artery embolization in patients with benign prostatic embolization. Retrospective study between March 2009 and June 2011 with 103 patients (mean age 66.8 years, 50-85) that met our inclusion criteria with symptomatic benign prostatic hyperplasia. The clinical outcome was evaluated by the International Prostate Symptom Score (IPSS), quality of life (QoL), International Index of Erectile Function, prostate volume (PV), prostate-specific antigen (PSA), peak urinary flow (Q(max)), and post-void residual volume (PVR) measurements at 3 and 6 months, 1 year, 18 months, and 2 years after PAE and comparison with baseline values was made. Technical and clinical successes, as well as poor clinical outcome definitions, were previously defined. In this review, we evaluate the short and mid-term clinical outcomes and morbidity of patients treated only with non-spherical polyvinyl alcohol. Six months after the procedure, the PV decreased about 23%, IPSS changed to a mean value of 11.95 (almost 50% reduction), the QoL improved slightly more than 2 points, the Q(max) changed to a mean value of 12.63mL/s, the PVR underwent a change of almost half of the baseline value, and the PSA decreased about 2.3ng/mL. In the mid-term follow-up and comparing to the baseline values, we still assisted to a reduction in PV, IPSS, QoL, PVR, and PSA, and an increase in Q(max). Prostatic Artery Embolization is a safe procedure with low morbidity that shows good short- and mid-term clinical outcome in our institution.

Prostatic Arterial Embolization to Treat Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia

PURPOSE: To evaluate whether prostatic arterial embolization (PAE) might be a feasible procedure to treat lower urinary tract symptoms associated with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifteen patients (age range, 62-82 years; mean age, 74.1 y) with symptomatic BPH after failure of medical treatment were selected for PAE with nonspherical 200-μm polyvinyl alcohol particles. The procedure was performed by a single femoral approach. Technical success was considered when selective prostatic arterial catheterization and embolization was achieved on at least one pelvic side. RESULTS: PAE was technically successful in 14 of the 15 patients (93.3%). There was a mean follow-up of 7.9 months (range, 3-12 months). International Prostate Symptom Score decreased a mean of 6.5 points (P = .005), quality of life improved 1.14 points (P = .065), International Index of Erectile Function increased 1.7 points (P = .063), and peak urinary flow increased 3.85 mL/sec (P = .015). There was a mean prostate-specific antigen reduction of 2.27 ng/mL (P = .072) and a mean prostate volume decrease of 26.5 mL (P = .0001) by ultrasound and 28.9 mL (P = .008) by magnetic resonance imaging. There was one major complication (a 1.5-cm(2) ischemic area of the bladder wall) and four clinical failures (28.6%). CONCLUSIONS: In this small group of patients, PAE was a feasible procedure, with preliminary results and short-term follow-up suggesting good symptom control without sexual dysfunction in suitable candidates, associated with a reduction in prostate volume.

ESTABLISHING THE REFERENCE RANGE FOR T LYMPHOCYTES SUBPOPULATIONS IN ADULTS AND CHILDREN FROM BRAZIL

SUMMARY In Brazil, the existing reference values for T-lymphocytes subsets are based on data originated in other countries. There is no local information on normal variation for these parameters in Brazilian adults and children. We evaluated the normal variation found in blood donors from five large Brazilian cities, in different regions, and in children living in Salvador, and Rio de Janeiro. All samples were processed by flow cytometry. The results were analyzed according to region, gender, and lifestyle of blood donors. A total of 641 adults (63% males), and 280 children (58% males) were involved in the study. The absolute CD3+, and CD4+ cells count were significantly higher for females (adults and children). Higher CD4+ cell count in adults was associated with smoking, while higher CD8+ count was found among female children. Higher counts, for all T-cells subsets, were detected in blood donors from southeast / south regions while those living in the northern region had the lowest values. Individuals from midwestern and northeastern regions had an intermediate count for all these cells subsets. However, these differences did not reach statistical significance. In Brazil, gender and smoking, were the main determinants of differences in T-lymphocytes reference values.

Short QT Syndrome Presenting As Syncope: How Short Is Too Short?

We report the case of a 52-year-old man who presented to our emergency department (ED) after three episodes of syncope in the seven hours before admission. During his stay in the ED he had recurrent ventricular tachycardia (VT) requiring external electrical cardioversion. A 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) showed a short QT (SQT) interval (270 ms, QTc 327 ms), with frequent R-on-T extrasystoles triggering sustained polymorphic VT. After exclusion of other precipitating causes, the patient was diagnosed as having SQT syndrome (SQTS) according to the Gollob criteria. To our knowledge, this is the first known documentation of an SQT-caused arrhythmic episode on a 12-lead ECG, as well as the first reported case of SQTS in Portugal. The patient received an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and was discharged. At a follow-up assessment 14 months later he was symptom-free, interrogation of the device showed no arrhythmic events, and the ECG showed a QT interval of 320 ms (QTc 347 ms).

Efetividade da intervenção conservadora e de um programa de exercício físico no solo na osteoartrose do joelho

RESUMO: Objectivo: O estudo do efeito da fisioterapia e do exercício em diversos indicadores relacionados com a osteoartrose do joelho tem evidenciado efeitos benéficos em utentes com esta condição. Nesta sequência, pretendeu-se avaliar a efetividade da intervenção conservadora em conjunto com um programa de exercícios ao nível da dor, rigidez, amplitude articular, função física e qualidade de vida em utentes com osteoatrose do joelho a curto prazo, quando comparado com a intervenção recomendada. A prática clínica atual em Portugal, sob prescrição, desenvolve-se de acordo com o padrão que se pretende investigar. Metodologia: Trata-se de um estudo quasi-experimental controlado e sem aleatorização. Os utentes da Clínica FPM (n=20; 35,0% homens, 65,0% mulheres) sujeitos à intervenção conservadora (calor húmido, ultra-som e massagem) em conjunto com um programa de exercício no solo, durante um período de 4 semanas com frequência diária, integram o grupo experimental e os utentes inscritos no programa de exercício a solo do “Viver Activo” no Leirisport (n=21; 23,8% homens, 76,2% mulheres), num período de 8 semanas com frequência bi-semanal são considerados como grupo de controlo. Os instrumentos de medida aplicados foram o Knee Outcome Osteoarthritis Score (KOOS) para os outcomes dor, rigidez, função física e qualidade de vida e a goniometria para a amplitude articular. Resultados: Em ambos os grupos foram observados aumentos significativos em todos os outcomes avaliados pelo KOOS (dor, rigidez, função física e qualidade de vida) e pela goniometria (amplitude articular) num período de 4 e 8 semanas. Quando comparada a evolução do grupo experimental com a do grupo controlo, verifica-se que as diferenças significativas ocorrem na flexão (p <0,05) (maior evolução para o grupo experimental), e na dor (p <0,05) (maior evolução para o grupo controlo). Nos outcomes rigidez, função física e qualidade de vida foi ainda possível identificar resultados positivos que sugerem possíveis benefícios da intervenção em grupo para os sujeitos a ela submetidos. Discussão e Conclusão: Estes resultados sugerem que a intervenção clínica individualizada é mais efectiva do que a intervenção em grupo no aumento da amplitude articular do joelho em utentes com osteoartrose a curto prazo. No entanto, para os outcomes dor, rigidez, função física e qualidade de vida, a intervenção em grupo parece ser clinicamente e estatisticamente melhor. A relevância deste estudo afirma-se ao demonstrar que utentes com osteoartrose do joelho que integrem um programa de exercício em grupo beneficiam de melhorias importantes. Ao adicionar sessões de fisioterapia para realização de intervenção conservadora individualizada e exercícios supervisionados agrega um maior alívio sintomático.-------- ABSTRACT: Study of physical therapy and exercise into several indicators associated to knee osteoarthritis has shown positive effects in subjects within this condition. According to the study it has been evaluated the effectiveness of a conservative intervention along with a exercise program directed to pain, stiffness, range of motion, physical function and quality of life of patients with knee osteoarthritis in a short term when compared with the recommended intervention. Under prescription the current clinical practice in Portugal is developed according to the pattern to investigate. Methodology: This is a quasi-experimental controlled study without randomization. The subjects of FPM Clinic (n= 20, 35.0% men, 65.0% women) were submitted to the conservative intervention (hot pack, ultrasound and massage) with a land exercise program during a 4 week-period (all-weekly) were assigned in the experimental group. Patients signed in the land exercise program of "Active Living" in Leirisport (n = 21, 23.8% men, 76.2% women) a 8 week-period (bi-weekly) were assigned as control group. Outcomes were measured by the Knee Outcome Osteoarthritis Score (KOOS) for pain, stiffness, physical function and quality of life. Goniometry was used for range of motion. Results: Both treatment groups obtained successful outcomes measured by significant reductions in KOOS scores and improvement in goniometry in a 4 and 8-week period. When compared the evolution of the experimental group with the control group it appears that significant differences occur in the range of motion (p <0.05) (further progress in the experimental group), and pain (p <0.05) (further evolution for the control group). In outcomes stiffness, physical function and quality of life was possible to identify positive results that suggest potential benefits of intervention for the submitted subjects. Discussion and Conclusion: These results suggest that individualized clinical intervention is more effective than group intervention in range of motion improving in patients with knee osteoarthritis in a 4-week period. However outcomes for pain, stiffness, physical function and quality of life appear to be clinically and statistically better for the group intervention. The significance of this study is essencial because it demonstrates that patients with knee osteoarthritis who incorporate an exercise program in group reveal improvements. When adding physical therapy sessions with individual conservative intervention and supervised exercises the result is an improvement of symptomatic relief.

Efectividade de um programa de exercício aquático na osteoartrose do joelho

RESUMO: A osteoartrose do joelho é uma condição clínica cuja prevalência tem aumentado nos últimos anos na população idosa. Trata-se de uma condição que pode ser bastante incapacitante para o idoso, gerando um forte impacto social e económico. O exercício aquático tem sido identificado como um factor de promoção da melhoria do quadro clínico nesta população, mas a sua efectividade não está, ainda, determinada. Objectivo: investigar a efectividade, a curto e médio prazo, de um programa de exercício aquático, realizado em grupo, com a duração de 8 semanas, na amplitude articular, dor e rigidez do joelho, e na função física e qualidade de vida, em idosos com osteoartrose do joelho. Metodologia: Recorreu-se a um estudo quase-experimental, double-blind, controlado, sem aleatorização, cuja amostra, constituída por 43 sujeitos, foi selecionada por conveniência. Os sujeitos do grupo experimental (n=22) foram submetidos ao programa de exercício aquático e os do grupo de controlo (n=21) foram submetidos ao programa de exercício no solo. Ambos os programas foram definidos de acordo com as recomendações internacionais para a prática de exercício físico em idosos com osteoartrose (Arthritis Foundation, 2009a, 2009b). Todo o grupo foi avaliado no início do programa, no final do mesmo (8 semanas) e após 6 semanas de follow-up, nos seguintes indicadores: amplitude articular do joelho (através do goniómetro), dor, rigidez, função e qualidade de vida (através do KOOS). Resultados: A amostra deste estudo foi constituída por sujeitos maioritariamente do género feminino (76,7%), com uma média de 72,7 anos (DP=5,49). O programa de exercício aquático implementado demonstrou um aumento da amplitude articular passiva de flexão (p<0,0001) e extensão (p=0,016) do joelho, uma diminuição da dor e da rigidez articular (p<0,0001), um aumento da função nas AVD’s (p<0,0001) e no desporto/lazer (p=0,031), e ainda, um aumento da qualidade de vida (p<0,0001). Contudo, apenas os níveis de amplitude articular passiva de extensão do joelho (p=0,083) e de função no desporto/lazer (p=0,244) se mantiveram ao longo das seis semanas de follow-up. Conclusões: Apesar de algumas limitações, considera-se que este estudo é de grande importância para a comunidade científica e para os fisioterapeutas preocupados com a crescente prevalência da osteoartrose e dos custos associados. O exercício aquático parece ser uma estratégia importante na melhoria do estado de saúde dos idosos com osteoartrose do joelho.----------------- ABSTRACT: The osteoarthritis of the knee is a clinical condition that has been increasing among the elderly population over the past few years. It’s a condition that can be fairly disabling to the elderly individual, and which generates a strong social and economic impact. Aquatic exercise has been named as a promotional factor in the improvement of the clinical picture in this population, but its effectiveness is yet to be determined. Objective: To investigate the effectiveness, in a short and medium term, of an aquatic exercise program undertaken by a group over eight weeks, in the joint amplitude, pain and stiffness of the knee, and in the physical function and quality of life in elderly people who suffer from knee osteoarthritis. Methodology: was used a double-blind, quasi-experimental study with no randomization and its 43 subjects were selected as a matter of convenience. The subjects of the experimental group (n=22) were subjected to an aquatic exercise program and those of the control group (n=21) were subjected to a land-based exercise program. Both programs have followed international recommendations on the practice of physical exercise in elderly people who suffer from osteoarthritis (Arthritis Foundation, 2009a, 2009b). The entire group was evaluated in the beginning and at the end of the program (8 weeks later), and after a 6 week follow-up, in these parameters: knee range of motion (through a goniometer), pain, stiffness, function and quality of life (through KOOS). Results: This sample was predominantly female (76,7%) with a mean age of 72,7 years (SD=5,49). Aquatic exercise resulted in increase of passive joint flexion (p<0,0001) and knee extension (p=0,016), in the decline of pain and stiffness (p<0,0001), in the increase of function in the ADLs (p<0,0001). However, only the knee extension amplitude (p=0,083) and the function in sports/leisure (p=0,244) were kept through the six-week follow-up. Conclusions: Despite some limitations, this study is of great importance to the community and to the physiotherapists concerned with the growing prevalence of osteoarthritis and the associated costs. Aquatic exercise appears to be an important strategy in the improvement of the health condition of patients who suffer from knee osteoarthritis.

Numerical Evaluation of Ventilation Performance in Children Day Care Centres

Modelling of ventilation is strongly dependent on the physical characteristics of the building of which precise evaluation is a complex and time consuming task. In the frame of a research project, two children day care centres (CDCC) have been selected in order to measure the envelope air permeability, the flow rate of mechanical ventilation systems and indoor and outdoor temperature. The data obtained was used as input to the computer code CONTAM for ventilation simulations. The results obtained were compared with direct measurements of ventilation flow from short term measurements with CO2 tracer gas and medium term measurements with perfluorocarbon tracer (PFT) gas decay method. After validation, in order to analyse the main parameters that affect ventilation, the model was used to predict the ventilation rates for a wide range of conditions. The purpose of this assessment was to find the best practices to improve natural ventilation. A simple analytical method to predict the ventilation flow rate of rooms is also presented. The method is based on the estimation of wind effect on the room through the evaluation of an average factor and on the assessment of relevant cross section of gaps and openings combined in series or in parallel. It is shown that it may be applied with acceptable accuracy for this type of buildings when ventilation is due essentially to wind action.

Preparation of gas-filled porous microparticles (GPPs) and microbubbles (MBs) by PGSS method

Dissertation to obtain the Master Degree in Biotechnology

Neuropsychiatric Questionnaires in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) can be affected by a multitude of neurologic and psychiatric symptoms with a wide range of prevalence and severity. Irrespectively from attribution to SLE or other causes, neuropsychiatric (NP) symptoms strongly impact short-term and long-term outcomes,thus NP evaluation during routine clinical practice in SLE should be undertaken regularly. The assessment of NP involvement in SLE patients is challenging and the available diagnostic tools fail to guarantee optimal diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity to changes as well as feasibility in routine clinical care. Standardised questionnaires (both physician-administered and self-reported) can offer valuable help to the treating physician to capture all possible NP syndromes; few SLE-specific NP questionnaire have been developed but validation in large cohort or cross-cultural adaptations are still pending. On the other hand, general instruments have been largely applied to SLE patients. Both kinds of questionnaires can address all possible NP manifestations either globally or, more frequently, focus on specific NP symptoms. These latter have been mainly used in SLE to detect and classify mild and subtle symptoms, more likely to be overlooked during routine clinical assessment such as headache, cognitive impairment and psychiatric manifestations. In conclusion, this literature review highlights a clear case for validation studies in this area and the wider implementation of questionnaires to assess NP involvement is still warranted. The broader use of such instruments could have important consequences; first of all, by standardising symptom assessment, a better definition of the prevalence of NP manifestation across different centres could be achieved. Secondly, prospective studies could allow for the evaluation of clinical significance of mild symptoms and their impact on the patient’s function and quality of life.

Short-Lasting Headaches in Children

Short-lasting headaches have been studied infrequently in children and it is not known if the main categories of primary headaches of this type in adults are applicable to children. We report our experience with a group of 20 children with a brief headache. Two patients had a secondary headache. One patient had a headache with some clinical characteristics of paroxysmal hemicrania. The remaining 17 had a very brief headache. They were in many aspects comparable to others from previous studies on idiopathic stabbing headache in children: no associated symptoms, no other associated headache, frequent family history of migraine. They differed, however, in the younger age of the patients and themore frequent extratrigeminal location of the pain. Extratrigeminal ice-pick pain may be a variant of idiopathic stabbing headache, more prevalent in young children.

Medium-short-term and repetition effects of advergames on children consumer behaviour

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics