Amostragem do banco de semente e flora emergente de plantas daninhas

O objetivo desta pesquisa foi determinar o número de amostras necessárias para estimar com precisão aceitável a quantidade de sementes no solo e a flora de plantas daninhas emergentes, em áreas experimentais e de lavoura, para auxiliar na tomada de decisão das estratégias de manejo das plantas daninhas. A amostragem do solo para quantificação do banco de sementes foi feita com trado tubular de 5,0 cm de diâmetro, na profundidade de 0 a 10 cm. A flora emergente foi contada por meio de um gabarito de ferro nas dimensões de 0,5x0,5 m, de forma aleatória na área. O número de amostras necessário foi estimado em razão da média de sementes da amostra, para uma determinada precisão (CV = 20% ou 40%). Foi estimado que, nas áreas experimentais, para médias de 10 a 20 sementes/amostra de solo (500 a 1.000 sementes/m²) e coeficiente de variação de 20%, são necessárias entre 40 e 90 amostras, respectivamente; com 40% (menor precisão), entre 10 e 20 amostras. Considerando o mesmo intervalo em áreas de lavoura, representativas de glebas homogêneas, o tamanho de amostragem necessária é cerca de três vezes maior. Levantamentos da flora daninha emergente apresentam menor associação dos dados (média e variância) entre si, portanto, são menos apropriados para decisões de manejo.

Hengen vapaus ja intomieli : entusiastipalkinto Slaavilaiselle kirjastolle

Kirjoitus on osa juhlapuheesta, jonka Krista Berglund piti Suomi-Venäjä -Seuran Helsingin yliopiston osaston johtokunnan puolesta Helsingin yliopiston kirjaston auditoriossa 10.9.2004

Arthrogryposis multiplexa congenita: an epidemiologic study of nearly 9 million births in 24 EUROCAT registers.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the occurrence of arthrogryposis multiplex congenita (AMC) in Europe and to identify possible risk factors. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective population-based epidemiological study using EUROCAT congenital anomaly registries. The study population included all cases of AMC (based on WHO ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes) that were livebirths (LB), fetal deaths (FD) from 20 weeks gestation and underwent termination of pregnancy for fetal anomaly (TOPFA), 1980-2006. RESULTS: Among 8.9 million births covered by 24 EUROCAT congenital anomaly registries, 757 AMC cases were reported. This gives a prevalence of 8.5 per 100,000. Five hundred and four (67%) AMC cases were LB, 199 (26%) cases were TOPFA, and FD occurred in 54 (7%) cases. First week survival status was known for 381 of the 504 LB (76%), of whom 87 (23%) died within the first week of life. Perinatal mortality associated with AMC was 32%. Two hundred and eighty-two (37%) cases had isolated AMC, 90 (12%) had additional syndrome or chromosomal anomalies and 385 (51%) had other major malformations. The same or similar anomaly was reported in 13% of siblings and in 12% of the mother's own family background. Information on prenatal testing was available for 521 cases of which 360 tested positive for a congenital anomaly, representing a sensitivity of 69%. Information on maternal illness before and during pregnancy and medication use in the first trimester was available for approximately a third of the mothers, of whom the vast majority reported no maternal illness or medication use. CONCLUSION: AMC is a rare occurrence, with a reported prevalence of 1:12,000. In this study, while information on potential risk factors such as maternal disease or maternal use of drugs was limited, they did not appear to be associated with the occurrence of AMC. AMC was lethal in a third of cases, either in utero or during the first week of life, although this may not be solely attributed to AMC as most cases had additional malformations.

High constant incidence of second primary colorectal cancer.

Patients who had a colorectal cancer have a 1.5- to 2-fold excess risk of a second colorectal cancer as compared to the general population, the excess being higher at younger age at diagnosis. To further investigate the risk and the age-relation of the incidence of second primary colorectal cancer, we considered 9,389 first colon and rectal cancers registered in the Vaud Cancer Registry, Switzerland, between 1974 and 2008, and followed-up to the end of 2008 for a total of 44,113 person-years. There were 136 second colorectal cancers versus 90.5 expected, corresponding to a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1.5 (95% confidence interval, CI, 1.3-1.8). The SIRs were not heterogeneous between men and women, and in strata of calendar year at diagnosis, duration of follow-up, and subsite. However, the SIR was 7.5 (95% CI 4.2-12.4) for subjects diagnosed below age 50 and declined thereafter to reach 1.0 (95% CI 0.6-1.6) at age 80 or over. Consequently, the incidence of second primary colorectal cancer was stable, and exceedingly high, around 300-400/100,000 between age 30-39 and 70 or over. This age pattern is consistent with the existence of a single mutational event in a population of highly susceptible individuals.

EU-Suomi ja Putinin Venäjän odotukset

Kirjoitus perustuu esitelmään Tieteen päivillä 2005

Suomi Saksan kansallissosialistien anastaman taiteen vastaanottajamaana?

Artikkeli liittyy tutkimusprojektiin "Eurooppalaisen taideperinnön jakajat - Suomi Saksan kansallissosialistien anastaman taiteen vastaanottajana"

Building the niche through time: using 13,000 years of data to predict the effects of climate change on three tree species in Europe

Aim Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current species ranges underestimate the potential distribution when projected in time and/or space. A multi-temporal model calibration approach has been suggested as an alternative, and we evaluate this using 13,000 years of data. Location Europe. Methods We used fossil-based records of presence for Picea abies, Abies alba and Fagus sylvatica and six climatic variables for the period 13,000 to 1000yr bp. To measure the contribution of each 1000-year time step to the total niche of each species (the niche measured by pooling all the data), we employed a principal components analysis (PCA) calibrated with data over the entire range of possible climates. Then we projected both the total niche and the partial niches from single time frames into the PCA space, and tested if the partial niches were more similar to the total niche than random. Using an ensemble forecasting approach, we calibrated SDMs for each time frame and for the pooled database. We projected each model to current climate and evaluated the results against current pollen data. We also projected all models into the future. Results Niche similarity between the partial and the total-SDMs was almost always statistically significant and increased through time. SDMs calibrated from single time frames gave different results when projected to current climate, providing evidence of a change in the species realized niches through time. Moreover, they predicted limited climate suitability when compared with the total-SDMs. The same results were obtained when projected to future climates. Main conclusions The realized climatic niche of species differed for current and future climates when SDMs were calibrated considering different past climates. Building the niche as an ensemble through time represents a way forward to a better understanding of a species' range and its ecology in a changing climate.