993 resultados para Instrument variable regression


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Percutaneous cricothyroidotomy may be a lifesaving procedure for airway obstruction, which cannot be relieved by endotracheal intubation and can be performed with specially designed instruments. A new device, the "Quicktrach", was evaluated by an anatomical preparation, flow and resistance measurements, and puncture of the cricothyroid membrane in 55 corpses. The size of the parts of the instrument (needle, plastic cannula, depth gauge) in relation to the size of the larynx is adequate, thus there is little likelihood of perforation of the posterior wall of the larynx. Resistance of the plastic cannula is sufficiently low to allow for adequate ventilation. The duration of time until the cannula is positioned properly in the trachea is significantly shorter, when an incision prior to the puncture is done (83 +/- 88 seconds without incision versus 35 +/- 41 seconds with incision; mean +/- SD). The "Quicktrach" is easy to apply even by inexperienced persons. The incidence of damage to the larynx (lesions including fractures of the thyroid, cricoid and 1. tracheal cartilage in 18%; soft tissue injury in 9%) is relatively high, however considering the live saving character of the procedure these numbers appear to be acceptable. Technical problems which occur with the use of the device are discussed and suggestions for improvement are made.

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Sähkön markkinahinta on saanut osakseen suurta huomiota viimeaikoina. Sähkömarkkinoiden vapautuminen ja päästökaupan avaaminen Euroopassa onentisestään nostanut sähkömarkkinoita näkyville lehdissä. Tämä tutkielma tutkii erilaisten tekijöiden vaikutusta sähkön markkinahintaan regressioanalyysin avulla. Edellä mainitun päästösopimusten markkinahinnan lisäksi tutkittiin kivihiilen sekä maakaasun markkinahintojen, lämpötilojen, jokien virtaamien, vesivarantojen täyttöasteiden sekä Saksan sähkömarkkinoiden hinnan vaikutusta sähkön markkinahintaan Nord Pool -sähköpörssissä. Työssä luotiin myös sähkön markkinahintaa ennustava malli. Kaikkien selittävien tekijöiden korrelaatiot olivat oletusten mukaiset ja regressioanalyysi onnistui selittämään yli 80 % sähkön markkinahinnan vaih-teluista. Merkittävimpiä selittäviä tekijöitä olivat vesivarannot sekä jokien virtaamat. Ennustavan mallin keskimääräinen suhteellinen virhe oli noin 10 %, joten ennustetarkkuus oli melko hyvä.

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Devant la multiplication de données, de classements, l'auteur interroge la configuration d'acteurs à l'origine de la problématisation d'indicateurs statistiques en grilles de lecture des inégalités d'accès à l'enseignement supérieur. La comparaison et la caractérisation des indicateurs d'inégalités d'accès des bases internationales (UNESCO, OCDE, EUROSTAT) et nationales (Allemagne, Angleterre, France et Suisse) questionnent la tension entre les discours et les indicateurs produits et leur inscription nationale. Qui dit quoi et avec quels résultats ? Quelles configurations d'acteurs caractérisent ces processus ? De quelles relations de pouvoir sont-ils le produit ? L'auteur retrace la mise à l'agenda des organismes européens du problème des inégalités d'accès au supérieur, identifie les politiques définies et les confronte aux indicateurs produits montrant la dissonance entre les discours et ce que les indicateurs permettent de problématiser, le décalage entre recommandations et outils. Pourquoi un tel contraste ? Quels sont les mécanismes à l'oeuvre ? Est-ce un problème technique, politique ? Que révèle cette dissonance des spécificités nationales dans la construction sociale des inégalités ?

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What determines the share of public employment, at a given size of the State, in countries of similar levels of economic development? While the theoretical and empirical literature on this issue has mostly considered technical dimensions (efficiency and political considerations), this paper emphasizes the role of culture and quantifies it. We build a representative database for contracting choices of municipalities in Switzerland and exploit the discontinuity at the Swiss language border at identical actual set of policies and institutions to analyze the causal e↵ect of culture on the choice of how public services are provided. We find that French-speaking border municipalities are 50% less likely to contract with the private sector than their German-speaking adjacent municipalities. Technical dimensions are much smaller by comparison. This result points out that culture is a source of a potential bias that distorts the optimal choice for public service delivery. Systematic differences in the level of confidence in public administration and private companies potentially explain this discrepancy in private sector participation in public services provision.

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Design aspects of the Transversally Laminated Anisotropic (TLA) Synchronous Reluctance Motor (SynRM) are studied and the machine performance analysis compared to the Induction Motor (IM) is done. The SynRM rotor structure is designed and manufactured for a30 kW, four-pole, three-phase squirrel cage induction motor stator. Both the IMand SynRM were supplied by a sensorless Direct Torque Controlled (DTC) variablespeed drive. Attention is also paid to the estimation of the power range where the SynRM may compete successfully with a same size induction motor. A technicalloss reduction comparison between the IM and SynRM in variable speed drives is done. The Finite Element Method (FEM) is used to analyse the number, location and width of flux barriers used in a multiple segment rotor. It is sought for a high saliency ratio and a high torque of the motor. It is given a comparison between different FEM calculations to analyse SynRM performance. The possibility to take into account the effect of iron losses with FEM is studied. Comparison between the calculated and measured values shows that the design methods are reliable. A new application of the IEEE 112 measurement method is developed and used especially for determination of stray load losses in laboratory measurements. The study shows that, with some special measures, the efficiency of the TLA SynRM is equivalent to that of a high efficiency IM. The power factor of the SynRM at rated load is smaller than that of the IM. However, at lower partial load this difference decreases and this, probably, brings that the SynRM gets a better power factor in comparison with the IM. The big rotor inductance ratio of the SynRM allows a good estimating of the rotor position. This appears to be very advantageous for the designing of the rotor position sensor-less motor drive. In using the FEM designed multi-layer transversally laminated rotor with damper windings it is possible to design a directly network driven motor without degrading the motorefficiency or power factor compared to the performance of the IM.

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In this study, equations for the calculation of erosion wear caused by ash particles on convective heat exchanger tubes of steam boilers are presented. Anew, three-dimensional test arrangement was used in the testing of the erosion wear of convective heat exchanger tubes of steam boilers. When using the sleeve-method, three different tube materials and three tube constructions could be tested. New results were obtained from the analyses. The main mechanisms of erosionwear phenomena and erosion wear as a function of collision conditions and material properties have been studied. Properties of fossil fuels have also been presented. When burning solid fuels, such as pulverized coal and peat in steam boilers, most of the ash is entrained by the flue gas in the furnace. In bubbling andcirculating fluidized bed boilers, particle concentration in the flue gas is high because of bed material entrained in the flue gas. Hard particles, such as sharp edged quartz crystals, cause erosion wear when colliding on convective heat exchanger tubes and on the rear wall of the steam boiler. The most important ways to reduce erosion wear in steam boilers is to keep the velocity of the flue gas moderate and prevent channelling of the ash flow in a certain part of the cross section of the flue gas channel, especially near the back wall. One can do this by constructing the boiler with the following components. Screen plates can beused to make the velocity and ash flow distributions more even at the cross-section of the channel. Shield plates and plate type constructions in superheaters can also be used. Erosion testing was conducted with three types of tube constructions: a one tube row, an inline tube bank with six tube rows, and a staggered tube bank with six tube rows. Three flow velocities and two particle concentrations were used in the tests, which were carried out at room temperature. Three particle materials were used: quartz, coal ash and peat ash particles. Mass loss, diameter loss and wall thickness loss measurements of the test sleeves were taken. Erosion wear as a function of flow conditions, tube material and tube construction was analyzed by single-variable linear regression analysis. In developing the erosion wear calculation equations, multi-variable linear regression analysis was used. In the staggered tube bank, erosion wear had a maximum value in a tube row 2 and a local maximum in row 5. In rows 3, 4 and 6, the erosion rate was low. On the other hand, in the in-line tube bank the minimum erosion rate occurred in tube row 2 and in further rows the erosion had an increasing value, so that in a six row tube bank, the maximum value occurred in row 6.

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Among the traits of breeding interest for the common walnut tree Juglans regia L., characteristics such as timing of budbreak and leaf fall, water-use efficiency and growth performance are regarded as being of utmost relevance in Mediterranean conditions. The authors evaluated intraspecific variation in $\delta$13C (carbon isotope composition, surrogate of intrinsic water-use efficiency, WUE$_{\rm i}$) for 22 J. regia families grown in a progeny test under supplementary irrigation, and investigated whether such variation correlated with climatic indicators of native habitats. The genetic relationships between $\delta$13C, growth and phenology were also assessed during two consecutive years. Overall, the most water-use-efficient families (i.e. with higher $\delta$13C), which originated mainly from drought-prone provenance regions which have a high vapour pressure deficit and low rainfall, exhibited less height growth and smaller DBH. Using a stepwise regression procedure, $\delta$13C was included as the main explanatory variable of genotypic variation in growth traits, together with growing season duration (for DBH in both years) and flushing (for height in 2007). It was concluded that WUE$_{\rm i}$ is largely unconnected to phenology effects in the explanation of growth performance for J. regia, therefore suggesting the opportunity of simultaneously selecting for low WUE$_{\rm i}$ and extended growing period to maximise productivity in non-water-limited environments.

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Bien que présenté comme un modèle de stabilité, le fédéralisme est constamment remis en question. Le but de l'article est de présenter quelques-unes de ses caractéristiques lues à travers les effectifs de la fonction publique en Suisse. Pour ce faire, nous distinguerons quatre types d'employeurs : Confédération, cantons, communes et corporations de droit public, lesquels représentent 10,5 % du total des actifs en Suisse. Nous analyserons la densité administrative, la variation des emplois et le degré de décentralisation selon la culture, le territoire et la religion. Il ressort que la fonction publique intermédiaire, c'est-à-dire les cantons, joue le premier rôle avec ses 140'000 emplois en équivalents plein temps (EPT) sur un total de 328'000, en hausse de 10,3 % par rapport à 2001. Les communes comptent 38 % des agents publics (+3,6 % par rapport à 2001), loin devant la Confédération, 11 % du total (en perte de vitesse : -1,2 %) et les corporations de droit public, 9 % du total (+14,5 %). Le taux d'administration est plus élevé dans la partie francophone que dans la partie germanophone, ainsi que dans les centres économiques et les zones frontières. Les écarts entre les cantons peuvent varier du simple au triple. En fait, deux modèles politico-administratifs transparaissent : le premier « cantonaliste » et davantage étatiste dans la partie latine, l'autre « communaliste » et décentralisé, dominant dans la partie germanophone. Le quotient de décentralisation administrative montre de grandes différences entre l'est et l'ouest, qui s'estompent toutefois avec la modernisation des institutions et le repositionnement de la Suisse face à l'Europe.

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This short-term longitudinal study investigated cognitive predictors and risk factors of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in mothers following stillbirth. After a stillbirth at ≥ 24 weeks gestational age, 65 women completed structured clinical interviews and questionnaires assessing PTSD symptoms, cognitive predictors (appraisals, dysfunctional strategies), and risk factors (perceived social support, trauma history, obstetric history) at 3 and 6 months. PTSD symptoms decreased between 3 and 6 months (Cohen's d ranged .34-.52). Regression analyses also revealed a specific positive relationship between Rumination and concurrent frequency of PTSD symptoms (β = .45). Negative Self-View and Negative World-View related positively and Self-Blame related negatively to concurrent number of PTSD symptoms (β = .48, .44, -.45, respectively). Suppression and Distraction predicted a decrease and Numbing predicted an increase in time-lagged number of PTSD symptoms (β = -.33, -.28, .30, respectively). Risk factors for PTSD symptoms were younger age (β = -.25), lower income (β = -.29), fewer previous pregnancies (β = -.31), and poorer perceived social support (β = -.26). Interventions addressing negative appraisals, dysfunctional strategies, and social support are recommended for mothers with PTSD following stillbirth. Knowledge of cognitive predictors and risk factors of PTSD may inform the development of a screening instrument.

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En aquest treball es pretén indicar l'existència d'alguns instruments, com són els Pactes Successoris, en aquest cas a Catalunya, que poden ser utilitzats per proporcionar un plus d'estabilitat a un dels reptes fonamentals de les EF, la successió. També es posa l'accent en la introducció de la poda de l'arbre familiar com una opció poc a tenir en compte en la dinàmica pròpia de l'Empresa Familiar.

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OBJECTIVES: There is no "gold standard" for assessing disease activity in patients with eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE). We aimed to compare physicians' judgment of EoE activity with patients' judgment of symptom severity. We also aimed to examine the relative contribution of symptoms as well as endoscopic and histologic findings in shaping physicians' judgment of EoE activity. METHODS: Six gastroenterologists (all EoE experts) assessed EoE-associated symptoms in adult patients. Patients completed a symptom instrument and provided global assessment of EoE symptom severity (PatGA) (Likert scale: 0 (inactive) to 10 (most active)). Following esophagogastroduodenoscopy with biopsy sampling, gastroenterologists provided a global assessment of EoE activity (PhysGA) (Likert scale from 0 to 10) based on patient history and endoscopic and histologic findings. Linear regression and analysis of variance was used to quantify the extent to which variations in severity of EoE symptoms and endoscopic and histologic findings explain variations in PhysGA. RESULTS: A total of 149 EoE patients were prospectively included (71.8% male, median age at inclusion 38 years, 71.8% with concomitant allergies). A moderate positive correlation between PhysGA and PatGA (rho=0.442, P<0.001) was observed and the mean difference in the Bland-Altman plot was 1.77. Variations in severity of endoscopic findings, symptoms, and histologic findings alone explained 53%, 49%, and 30%, of the variability in PhysGA, respectively. Together, these findings explained 75% of variability in PhysGA. CONCLUSIONS: Gastroenterologists rate EoE activity mainly on the basis of endoscopic findings and symptoms and, to a lesser extent, on histologic findings.