Solving a Direct Marketing Problem by Three Types of ARTMAP Neural Networks

An important task for a direct mailing company is to detect potential customers in order to avoid unnecessary and unwanted mailing. This paper describes a non-linear method to predict profiles of potential customers using dARTMAP, ARTMAP-IC, and Fuzzy ARTMAP neural networks. The paper discusses advantages of the proposed approaches over similar techniques based on MLP neural networks.

Networks of Evolutionary Processors: Java Implementation of a Threaded Processor

This paper is focused on a parallel JAVA implementation of a processor defined in a Network of Evolutionary Processors. Processor description is based on JDom, which provides a complete, Java-based solution for accessing, manipulating, and outputting XML data from Java code. Communication among different processor to obtain a fully functional simulation of a Network of Evolutionary Processors will be treated in future. A safe-thread model of processors performs all parallel operations such as rules and filters. A non-deterministic behavior of processors is achieved with a thread for each rule and for each filter (input and output). Different results of a processor evolution are shown.

Intelligent Model of User Behavior in Distributed Systems

We present a complex neural network model of user behavior in distributed systems. The model reflects both dynamical and statistical features of user behavior and consists of three components: on-line and off-line models and change detection module. On-line model reflects dynamical features by predicting user actions on the basis of previous ones. Off-line model is based on the analysis of statistical parameters of user behavior. In both cases neural networks are used to reveal uncharacteristic activity of users. Change detection module is intended for trends analysis in user behavior. The efficiency of complex model is verified on real data of users of Space Research Institute of NASU-NSAU.

Forming of Learning Set for Neural Networks in Problems of Losless Data Compression

questions of forming of learning sets for artificial neural networks in problems of lossless data compression are considered. Methods of construction and use of learning sets are studied. The way of forming of learning set during training an artificial neural network on the data stream is offered.

Mixed Theories

In the present paper we investigate the life cycles of formalized theories that appear in decision making instruments and science. In few words mixed theories are build in the following steps: Initially a small collection of facts is the kernel of the theory. To express these facts we make a special formalized language. When the collection grows we add some inference rules and thus some axioms to compress the knowledge. The next step is to generalize these rules to all expressions in the formalized language. For these rules we introduce some conclusion procedure. In such a way we make small theories for restricted fields of the knowledge. The most important procedure is the mixing of these partial knowledge systems. In that step we glue the theories together and eliminate the contradictions. The last operation is the most complicated one and some simplifying procedures are proposed.

Basic Structure of the General Information Theory

The basic structure of the General Information Theory (GIT) is presented in the paper. The main divisions of the GIT are outlined. Some new results are pointed.

Mathematical Models of Domain Ontologies

* This paper was made according to the program No 14 of fundamental scientific research of the Presidium of the Russian Academy of Sciences, the project "Intellectual Systems Based on Multilevel Domain Models".

A Method of Estimating Usability of a User Interface Based on its Model

The article presents a new method to estimating usability of a user interface based on its model. The principal features of the method are: creation of an expandable knowledge base of usability defects, detection defects based on the interface model, within the design phase, and information to the developer not only about existence of defects but also advice on their elimination.

Semantic Search of Internet Information Resources on Base of Ontologies and Multilinguistic Thesauruses

The approaches to the analysis of various information resources pertinent to user requirements at a semantic level are determined by the thesauruses of the appropriate subject domains. The algorithms of formation and normalization of the multilinguistic thesaurus, and also methods of their comparison are given.

The Inflation Index Prognosis Based on the Method of Decision-Marking “Tree”

The description of the support system for marking decision in terms of prognosing the inflation level based on the multifactor dependence represented by the decision – marking “tree” is given in the paper. The interrelation of factors affecting the inflation level – economic, financial, political, socio-demographic ones, is considered. The perspectives for developing the method of decision – marking “tree”, and pointing out the so- called “narrow” spaces and further analysis of possible scenarios for inflation level prognosing in particular, are defined.

Synergetic Methods of Complexation in Decision Making Problems

Synergetic methods of data complexation are proposed that make it possible to obtain a maximal amount of available information using a limited number of channels. Along with freedom degrees reducers, a mechanism of freedom degrees discriminators is proposed that enables all the channels to take part in the development of a cooperative decision in accordance with their informativeness in a current situation.

Operating Model of Knowledge Quantum Engineering for Decision-Making in Conditions of Indeterminacy

The operating model of knowledge quantum engineering for identification and prognostic decision- making in conditions of α-indeterminacy is suggested in the article. The synthesized operating model solves three basic tasks: Аt-task to formalize tk-knowledge; Вt-task to recognize (identify) objects according to observed results; Сt-task to extrapolate (prognosticate) the observed results. Operating derivation of identification and prognostic decisions using authentic different-level algorithmic knowledge quantum (using tRAKZ-method) assumes synthesis of authentic knowledge quantum database (BtkZ) using induction operator as a system of implicative laws, and then using deduction operator according to the observed tk-knowledge and BtkZ a derivation of identification or prognostic decisions in a form of new tk-knowledge.

Constructing of a Consensus of Several Experts Statements

∗ The work was supported by the RFBR under Grant N04-01-00858.

Application of the Heterogeneous System Prediction Method to Pattern Recognition Problem

* This work was financially supported by RFBR-04-01-00858.

On the Quality of Decision Functions in Pattern Recognition

The problem of decision functions quality in pattern recognition is considered. An overview of the approaches to the solution of this problem is given. Within the Bayesian framework, we suggest an approach based on the Bayesian interval estimates of quality on a finite set of events.