Vom Finanz- zum Wissenschaftsbetrug : Methode, den Irrungen in der medizinischen Literatur beizukommen [From financial to scientific fraud : Methods to detect discrepancies in the medical literature].

Fraud is as old as Mankind. There are an enormous number of historical documents which show the interaction between truth and untruth; therefore it is not really surprising that the prevalence of publication discrepancies is increasing. More surprising is that new cases especially in the medical field generate such a huge astonishment. In financial mathematics a statistical tool for detection of fraud is known which uses the knowledge of Newcomb and Benford regarding the distribution of natural numbers. This distribution is not equal and lower numbers are more likely to be detected compared to higher ones. In this investigation all numbers contained in the blinded abstracts of the 2009 annual meeting of the Swiss Society of Anesthesia and Resuscitation (SGAR) were recorded and analyzed regarding the distribution. A manipulated abstract was also included in the investigation. The χ(2)-test was used to determine statistical differences between expected and observed counts of numbers. There was also a faked abstract integrated in the investigation. A p<0.05 was considered significant. The distribution of the 1,800 numbers in the 77 submitted abstracts followed Benford's law. The manipulated abstract was detected by statistical means (difference in expected versus observed p<0.05). Statistics cannot prove whether the content is true or not but can give some serious hints to look into the details in such conspicuous material. These are the first results of a test for the distribution of numbers presented in medical research.

The gap between scientific evidence and clinical practice : 5-aminosalicylates are frequently used for the treatment of Crohn's disease

BACKGROUND: There is uncertain evidence of effectiveness of 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASA) to induce and maintain response and remission of active Crohn's disease (CD), and weak evidence to support their use in post-operative CD. AIM: To assess the frequency and determinants of 5-ASA use in CD patients and to evaluate the physicians' perception of clinical response and side effects to 5-ASA. METHODS: Data from the Swiss Inflammatory Bowel Disease Cohort, which collects data since 2006 on a large sample of IBD patients, were analysed. Information from questionnaires regarding utilisation of treatments and perception of response to 5-ASA were evaluated. Logistic regression modelling was performed to identify factors associated with 5-ASA use. RESULTS: Of 1420 CD patients, 835 (59%) were ever treated with 5-ASA from diagnosis to latest follow-up. Disease duration >10 years and colonic location were both significantly associated with 5-ASA use. 5-ASA treatment was judged to be successful in 46% (378/825) of treatment episodes (physician global assessment). Side effects prompting stop of therapy were found in 12% (98/825) episodes in which 5-ASA had been stopped. CONCLUSIONS: 5-Aminosalicylates were frequently prescribed in patients with Crohn's disease in the Swiss IBD cohort. This observation stands in contrast to the scientific evidence demonstrating a very limited role of 5-ASA compounds in the treatment of Crohn's disease.

Missed Opportunities: Evolution of Patients Leaving without Being Seen or against Medical Advice during a Six-Year Period in a Swiss Tertiary Hospital Emergency Department.

Aim. The study aimed at describing the evolution over a 6-year period of patients leaving the emergency department (ED) before being seen ("left without being seen" or LWBS) or against medical advice ("left against medical advice" or LAMA) and at describing their characteristics. Methods. A retrospective database analysis of all adult patients who are admitted to the ED, between 2005 and 2010, and who left before being evaluated or against medical advice, in a tertiary university hospital. Results. During the study period, among the 307,716 patients who were registered in the ED, 1,157 LWBS (0.4%) and 1,853 LAMA (0.9%) patients were identified. These proportions remained stable over the period. The patients had an average age of 38.5 ± 15.9 years for LWBS and 41.9 ± 17.4 years for LAMA. The median time spent in the ED before leaving was 102.4 minutes for the LWBS patients and 226 minutes for LAMA patients. The most frequent reason for LAMA was related to the excessive length of stay. Conclusion. The rates of LWBS and LAMA patients were low and remained stable. The patients shared similar characteristics and reasons for leaving were largely related to the length of stay or waiting time.

Multivariate QST-FST comparisons: a neutrality test for the evolution of the g matrix in structured populations.

Neutrality tests in quantitative genetics provide a statistical framework for the detection of selection on polygenic traits in wild populations. However, the existing method based on comparisons of divergence at neutral markers and quantitative traits (Q(st)-F(st)) suffers from several limitations that hinder a clear interpretation of the results with typical empirical designs. In this article, we propose a multivariate extension of this neutrality test based on empirical estimates of the among-populations (D) and within-populations (G) covariance matrices by MANOVA. A simple pattern is expected under neutrality: D = 2F(st)/(1 - F(st))G, so that neutrality implies both proportionality of the two matrices and a specific value of the proportionality coefficient. This pattern is tested using Flury's framework for matrix comparison [common principal-component (CPC) analysis], a well-known tool in G matrix evolution studies. We show the importance of using a Bartlett adjustment of the test for the small sample sizes typically found in empirical studies. We propose a dual test: (i) that the proportionality coefficient is not different from its neutral expectation [2F(st)/(1 - F(st))] and (ii) that the MANOVA estimates of mean square matrices between and among populations are proportional. These two tests combined provide a more stringent test for neutrality than the classic Q(st)-F(st) comparison and avoid several statistical problems. Extensive simulations of realistic empirical designs suggest that these tests correctly detect the expected pattern under neutrality and have enough power to efficiently detect mild to strong selection (homogeneous, heterogeneous, or mixed) when it is occurring on a set of traits. This method also provides a rigorous and quantitative framework for disentangling the effects of different selection regimes and of drift on the evolution of the G matrix. We discuss practical requirements for the proper application of our test in empirical studies and potential extensions.

Evolution of ascariasis in humans and pigs: a multi-disciplinary approach

The nematode parasite Ascaris lumbricoides infects the digestive tracts of over 1.4 billion people worldwide, and its sister species, Ascaris suum, has infected a countless number of domesticated and feral pigs. It is generally thought that the putative ancestor to these worms infected either humans or pigs, but with the advent of domestication, they had ample opportunity to jump to a new host and subsequently specialize and evolve into a new species. While nuclear DNA markers decisively separate the two populations, mitochondrial sequences reveal that three major haplotypes are found in A. suum and in A. lumbricoides, indicating either occasional hybridization, causing introgression of gene trees, or retention of polymorphism dating back to the original ancestral species. This article provides an illustration of the combined contribution of parasitology, archaeoparasitology, genetics and paleogenetics to the history of ascariasis. We specifically investigate the molecular history of ascariasis in humans by sequencing DNA from the eggs of Ascaris found among ancient archeological remains. The findings of this paleogenetic survey will explain whether the three mitochondrial haplotypes result from recent hybridization and introgression, due to intensive human-pig interaction, or whether their co-occurrence predates pig husbandry, perhaps dating back to the common ancestor. We hope to show how human-pig interaction has shaped the recent evolutionary history of this disease, perhaps revealing the identity of the ancestral host.

Evolution des transferts interhospitaliers au départ d'un centre hospitalier universitaire suisse [Trends in interhospital transfers from a Swiss university hospital center].

OBJECTIVE: Research on interhospital transfers provides a basis for describing and quantifying patient flow and its evolution over time, offering an insight into hospital organization and management and hospital overcrowding. The purpose of this study was to conduct a qualitative and quantitative analysis of patient flow and to examine trends over an eight-year period. METHODS: A retrospective descriptive study of interhospital transfers was conducted between 2003 and 2011 based on an analysis of demographic, medical and operational characteristics. Ambulance transfers and transfers requiring physician assistance were analyzed separately. RESULTS: The number of interhospital transfers increased significantly over the study period,from 4,026 in 2003 to 6,481 in 2011 (+60.9%). The number of ambulance transfers increased by almost 300% (616 in 2003 compared to 2,460 in 2011). Most of the transfers (98%) were to hospitals located less than 75 km from the university hospital (median: 24 km, 5-44). In 2011, 24% of all transfers were to psychiatric institutions. 26% of all transfer cases were direct transfers from the emergency department. An increasing number of transfers required physician assistance. 18% of these patients required ventilatory support, whole 9.8% required vasoactive drugs. 11.6% of these transfers were due to hospital overcrowding. Conclusion: The study shows that there has been a significant increase in interhospital transfers. This increase is related to hospital overcrowding and to the network-based systems governing patient care strategies.

Biased gene conversion and GC-content evolution in the coding sequences of reptiles and vertebrates.

Mammalian and avian genomes are characterized by a substantial spatial heterogeneity of GC-content, which is often interpreted as reflecting the effect of local GC-biased gene conversion (gBGC), a meiotic repair bias that favors G and C over A and T alleles in high-recombining genomic regions. Surprisingly, the first fully sequenced nonavian sauropsid (i.e., reptile), the green anole Anolis carolinensis, revealed a highly homogeneous genomic GC-content landscape, suggesting the possibility that gBGC might not be at work in this lineage. Here, we analyze GC-content evolution at third-codon positions (GC3) in 44 vertebrates species, including eight newly sequenced transcriptomes, with a specific focus on nonavian sauropsids. We report that reptiles, including the green anole, have a genome-wide distribution of GC3 similar to that of mammals and birds, and we infer a strong GC3-heterogeneity to be already present in the tetrapod ancestor. We further show that the dynamic of coding sequence GC-content is largely governed by karyotypic features in vertebrates, notably in the green anole, in agreement with the gBGC hypothesis. The discrepancy between third-codon positions and noncoding DNA regarding GC-content dynamics in the green anole could not be explained by the activity of transposable elements or selection on codon usage. This analysis highlights the unique value of third-codon positions as an insertion/deletion-free marker of nucleotide substitution biases that ultimately affect the evolution of proteins.

Evolution de l'intensité moyenne et de la fréquence des précipitations en Suisse de 1900 à 2009

Les précipitations moyennes et les nombres de jours de pluie par saison et par an ont été analysés pour 151 séries de mesures pluviométriques en Suisse de 1900 à 2009. Ces analyses révèlent que les précipitations moyennes ont augmenté durant le 20ème siècle pour toutes les saisons, sauf en été. Cette hausse est la plus marquée en hiver, surtout dans le Nord des Alpes et en Valais. Les nombres de jours de pluie ont également augmenté en hiver, mais moins fortement que les précipitations moyennes, alors qu'ils tendent à diminuer très légèrement durant les autres saisons. On en déduit que l'intensité moyenne des précipitations s'est accrue en Suisse durant le 20ème siècle en toutes saisons.

Developmental and Anatomical Constraints on Vertebrate Genome Evolution

Pendant ma thèse de doctorat, j'ai utilisé des espèces modèles, comme la souris et le poisson-zèbre, pour étudier les facteurs qui affectent l'évolution des gènes et leur expression. Plus précisément, j'ai montré que l'anatomie et le développement sont des facteurs clés à prendre en compte, car ils influencent la vitesse d'évolution de la séquence des gènes, l'impact sur eux de mutations (i.e. la délétion du gène est-elle létale ?), et leur tendance à se dupliquer. Où et quand il est exprimé impose à un gène certaines contraintes ou au contraire lui donne des opportunités d'évoluer. J'ai pu comparer ces tendances aux modèles classiques d'évolution de la morphologie, que l'on pensait auparavant refléter directement les contraintes s'appliquant sur le génome. Nous avons montré que les contraintes entre ces deux niveaux d'organisation ne peuvent pas être transférées simplement : il n'y a pas de lien direct entre la conservation du génotype et celle de phénotypes comme la morphologie. Ce travail a été possible grâce au développement d'outils bioinformatiques. Notamment, j'ai travaillé sur le développement de la base de données Bgee, qui a pour but de comparer l'expression des gènes entre différentes espèces de manière automatique et à large échelle. Cela implique une formalisation de l'anatomie, du développement et de concepts liés à l'homologie grâce à l'utilisation d'ontologies. Une intégration cohérente de données d'expression hétérogènes (puces à ADN, marqueurs de séquence exprimée, hybridations in situ) a aussi été nécessaire. Cette base de données est mise à jour régulièrement et disponible librement. Elle devrait contribuer à étendre les possibilités de comparaison de l'expression des gènes entre espèces pour des études d'évo-devo (évolution du développement) et de génomique. During my PhD, I used model species of vertebrates, such as mouse and zebrafish, to study factors affecting the evolution of genes and their expression. More precisely I have shown that anatomy and development are key factors to take into account, influencing the rate of gene sequence evolution, the impact of mutations (i.e. is the deletion of a gene lethal?), and the propensity of a gene to duplicate. Where and when genes are expressed imposes constraints, or on the contrary leaves them some opportunity to evolve. We analyzed these patterns in relation to classical models of morphological evolution in vertebrates, which were previously thought to directly reflect constraints on the genomes. We showed that the patterns of evolution at these two levels of organization do not translate smoothly: there is no direct link between the conservation of genotype and phenotypes such as morphology. This work was made possible by the development of bioinformatics tools. Notably, I worked on the development of the database Bgee, which aims at comparing gene expression between different species in an automated and large-scale way. This involves the formalization of anatomy, development, and concepts related to homology, through the use of ontologies. A coherent integration of heterogeneous expression data (microarray, expressed sequence tags, in situ hybridizations) is also required. This database is regularly updated and freely available. It should contribute to extend the possibilities for comparison of gene expression between species in evo-devo and genomics studies.