An analysis of the shortage of registered nurses (RNs) in acute care hospitals in El Paso, Texas

The purpose of this analysis of the shortage of Registered Nurses (RNs) in acute care hospitals in El Paso, Texas, was to evaluate twenty-two specific organizational and/or patient care unit (nursing unit) characteristics that effect the retention and turnover of professional nurses. Vacancy Rates were used to measure the level of the shortage in each hospital and nursing unit in the study. Vacancy Rates are a function of both RN retention and RN turnover. Seventy-three patient care units in five acute care hospitals were included in the study population.^ Fredrick Herzberg's motivational - hygiene theory was used to explain the types of characteristics or factors that can effect worker dissatisfaction. Dissatisfiers (hygiene factors) are those work place characteristics that influence workers to leave the job. The twenty-two potentially dissatisfying work place characteristics were either organizational or patient care unit specific in nature. The focus of the study was to evaluate high vacancy rates caused by both low retention of RNs and high turnover rates. Retention and turnover are a function of workers (RNs) not staying in their jobs, therefore hygiene factors were appropriate characteristics to study.^ Various multivariate analysis techniques were used to assess both the individual and combined effects of the hygiene factors on Vacancy Rates, Retention and Turnover. Results suggest that certain organizational and patient care unit characteristics are associated with and have a statistically significant effect on vacancy rates, and the retention and turnover of RNs. The type of Hospital was of particular interest in this regards. For-Profit facilities were less effected by most of the study variables than the Not-for-Profits. ^

Continuous Flow Analysis Method for Determination of Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus in Ice Cores

Phosphorus (P) is an essential macronutrient for all living organisms. Phosphorus is often present in nature as the soluble phosphate ion PO43– and has biological, terrestrial, and marine emission sources. Thus PO43– detected in ice cores has the potential to be an important tracer for biological activity in the past. In this study a continuous and highly sensitive absorption method for detection of dissolved reactive phosphorus (DRP) in ice cores has been developed using a molybdate reagent and a 2-m liquid waveguide capillary cell (LWCC). DRP is the soluble form of the nutrient phosphorus, which reacts with molybdate. The method was optimized to meet the low concentrations of DRP in Greenland ice, with a depth resolution of approximately 2 cm and an analytical uncertainty of 1.1 nM (0.1 ppb) PO43–. The method has been applied to segments of a shallow firn core from Northeast Greenland, indicating a mean concentration level of 2.74 nM (0.26 ppb) PO43– for the period 1930–2005 with a standard deviation of 1.37 nM (0.13 ppb) PO43– and values reaching as high as 10.52 nM (1 ppb) PO43–. Similar levels were detected for the period 1771–1823. Based on impurity abundances, dust and biogenic particles were found to be the most likely sources of DRP deposited in Northeast Greenland.

Analysis of galectin expression and identification of endogenous ligands in a human colon carcinoma cell line

The 14.5 kDa (galectin-1) and 31 kDa (galectin-3) lectins are the most well characterized members of a family of vertebrate carbohydrate-binding proteins known as the galectins. Evidence has been obtained implicating these galectins in events as diverse as cell-cell and cell-extracellular matrix interactions, growth regulation, transformation, differentiation, and programmed cell death. In the present study, sodium butyrate was found to be a potent inducer of galectin-1 in the KM12 human colon carcinoma cell line. Prior to treatment with butyrate this cell line expresses only galectin-3. These cells were utilized as an in vitro model system to study galectin expression as well as that of their endogenous ligands. The initial phase of this project involved the examination of the induction of galectin-1 by butyrate at the protein level. These studies indicated that galectin-1 induction by butyrate was relatively rapid reaching nearly maximal levels after only 24 hours. Additionally, the induction was found to be reversible upon the removal of butyrate and to precede the increase in expression of the well characterized differentiation marker, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). The second phase of this project involved the characterization of potential glycoprotein ligands for galectin-1 and galectin-3. This work demonstrated that the polylactosaminoglycan-containing glycoproteins laminin, CEA, and the lysosome-associated glycoproteins-1 and -2 (LAMPs-1 and -2) are capable of serving as ligands for both galectin-1 and -3. The third phase of this project involved the analysis of the induction of the galectin-1 promoter by butyrate. Through the analysis of deletion constructs transiently transfected into KM12 cells, the region of the galectin-1 promoter mediating a high level of induction by butyrate was localized primarily within a proximal portion of the promoter containing a CCAAT element and an Sp1 binding site. The CCAAT-binding activity in the KM12 nuclear extracts was subsequently dentified as NF-Y by gel shift analysis. These studies suggest that: (1) the galectins may be involved in modulating adhesive interactions in human colon carcinoma cells through the binding of several polylactosaminoglycans shown to play a role in adhesion and (2) high level induction of the galectin-1 promoter by butyrate can proceed through a discreet, proximal element containing an NF-Y-binding CCAAT box and an Sp1 site. ^

Analysis of the mechanisms that maintain coordinate production of $\alpha$- and $\beta$-tubulin in mammalian cells

Alpha and beta tubulin are essential proteins in all eukaryotic cells. To study how cells maintain coordinate levels of these two interacting proteins, we have used PCR to add a 9 amino acid epitope from influenza hemagglutinin protein onto the carboxyl terminus of $\alpha$1 and $\beta$1-tubulin. The chimeric tubulin genes (HA$\alpha$1 and HA$\beta$1) were transfected into CHO cells and cell lines that stably express each gene were selected. Cells transfected with HA-tubulin do not exhibit any gross changes in growth or morphology. Immunofluorescence analysis demonstrated that HA-tubulins incorporate into both cytoplasmic and spindle microtubules. A quantitative biochemical assay was used to show that HA-tubulins incorporate into microtubules to a normal extent and do not alter the steady state distribution of endogenous tubulin between monomer and polymer pools. Two-dimensional gel analysis of pulse-labeled cells indicated that when HA$\beta$1-tubulin is expressed at high levels, it slightly represses the synthesis of the endogenous $\beta$-tubulin but produces a small increase in the synthesis of $\alpha$-tubulin. Analysis of cells labeled to steady state showed that HA$\beta$1-tubulin accumulates to a similar level as the wild-type gene product, but together these polypeptides produce only a small increase in total tubulin content consistent with the increased synthesis of $\alpha$-tubulin. It thus appears that HA$\beta$1-tubulin successfully competes with endogenous $\beta$-tubulin for heterodimer formation and that free $\beta$-tubulin subunits (endogenous and HA$\beta$1) are selectively degraded to maintain coordinate amounts of $\alpha$- and $\beta$-tubulin. In addition, the increased synthesis of $\alpha$-tubulin suggested the existence of a mechanism to ensure coordinate synthesis of $\alpha$- and $\beta$-tubulin subunits. To analyze whether reciprocal changes in endogenous tubulin synthesis occur when $\alpha$-tubulin is overexpressed, stably transfected CHO cell lines were isolated in which HA$\alpha$1-tubulin represents 50% of the total $\alpha$-tubulin, and its relative abundance can be further increased to 85-90% by treatment with sodium butyrate. In contrast with results obtained using HA$\beta$1-tubulin, transfection of HA$\alpha$1-tubulin decreased the synthesis of endogenous $\alpha$-tubulin to 60% of normal with little or no change in $\beta$-tubulin synthesis. When the transfected cells were treated with sodium butyrate to further increase HA$\beta$1-tubulin production, a larger decrease in the synthesis of endogenous $\alpha$-tubulin (to 30% of normal) was observed. The repression on the synthesis of endogenous $\alpha$-tubulin polypeptide was found to be directly proportional to the expression of HA$\alpha$1-tubulin indicating the existence of an autoregulatory loop, where $\alpha$-tubulin inhibits its own synthesis. To determine whether overproduction of HA$\alpha$1-tubulin affected the transcription, message stability or translation of endogenous $\alpha$-tubulin, the steady state levels of $\alpha$-tubulin mRNA were analyzed by ribonuclease protection assays. The results showed that the steady state level of $\alpha$-tubulin mRNA is not affected by the overexpression of HA$\alpha$1-tubulin, indicating that the repression is translational. The results are compatible with a model in which $\beta$-tubulin synthesis is largely unperturbed by overexpression of other tubulin subunits, and excess $\beta$-tubulin subunits are rapidly degraded to maintain coordinate $\alpha$- and $\beta$-tubulin levels at steady state. In contrast, free $\alpha$-tubulin represses its own synthesis at the translational level, suggesting that its level of production may be controlled by the amount of $\beta$-tubulin available for heterodimer formation. ^

Functional analysis of histones H3 and H4 in Tup1 repression and in GCN5 activation

Tup1 forms a complex with Ssn6 in yeast. Ssn6-Tup1 complex is recruited via direct interactions with specific DNA binding proteins to a specific promoter region and mediates repression of several sets of genes including a-cell specific genes (asg) in $\alpha$ cells. It has been shown that repression of asgs also requires histone H4 and that Tup1 can directly interact with H3 and H4 in vitro. To address whether histone H3 is required for the repression of asgs, I have examined the effect of H3 and H4 mutations on the expression of a $\alpha$2-controlled LacZ reporter. Assay of $\beta$-glactosidase shows that mutations in either H3 or H4 cause a weak derepression of the reporter gene. Some double mutations result in a stronger derepression, while others do not. The H3 N-terminal deletion also leads to a slightly decreased expression of the reporter gene in $\alpha$ cells. Our data suggest that the N-termini of both H3 and H4 are cooperatively involved in the repression of a-cell specific genes in $\alpha$ cells, possibly through their interaction with Tup1.^ GCN5 was originally identified as a transcriptional regulator required to activate a subset of genes in yeast. Recently, it has been shown that GCN5 encodes the catalytic subunit of a nuclear histone acetyltransferase, providing the first direct link between histone acetylation and gene transcription. Recombinant Gcn5p (rGcn5p) exhibits a limited substrate specificity in vitro. However, neither the specificity of this enzyme in vivo nor the importance of particular acetylated residues to transcription or cell growth are well defined. In order to define the sites of histone acetylation mediated by Gcn5p in vivo and assess the significance of histone acetylation, more than 30 yeast strains have been constructed to bear specific H3 and/or H4 mutations in the presence or absence of GCN5 function. Our genetic data suggest that Gcn5p may have additional targets in vivo that are not identified as the targets of rGcn5p by previous studies. Western analysis using antibodies specifically recognizing particular acetylated isoforms of H3 and H4 led us to conclude that Gcn5p is necessary for full acetylation of multiple sites in both H3 and H4 in vivo. Consistent with these observations, rGcn5p still acetylates histones H3 and H4 bearing mutations either in H3 K14 or H4 K8,16, sites previously identified as the targets of acetylation by rGcn5p in H3 and H4. Our data also demonstrated that Gcn5p-mediated acetylation events are important for normal progression of the cell cycle and for transcriptional activation. Furthermore, a critical overall level of acetylation is essential for cell viability. ^

Design and analysis for three level hierarchical structures with count response

In numerous intervention studies and education field trials, random assignment to treatment occurs in clusters rather than at the level of observation. This departure of random assignment of units may be due to logistics, political feasibility, or ecological validity. Data within the same cluster or grouping are often correlated. Application of traditional regression techniques, which assume independence between observations, to clustered data produce consistent parameter estimates. However such estimators are often inefficient as compared to methods which incorporate the clustered nature of the data into the estimation procedure (Neuhaus 1993).1 Multilevel models, also known as random effects or random components models, can be used to account for the clustering of data by estimating higher level, or group, as well as lower level, or individual variation. Designing a study, in which the unit of observation is nested within higher level groupings, requires the determination of sample sizes at each level. This study investigates the design and analysis of various sampling strategies for a 3-level repeated measures design on the parameter estimates when the outcome variable of interest follows a Poisson distribution. ^ Results study suggest that second order PQL estimation produces the least biased estimates in the 3-level multilevel Poisson model followed by first order PQL and then second and first order MQL. The MQL estimates of both fixed and random parameters are generally satisfactory when the level 2 and level 3 variation is less than 0.10. However, as the higher level error variance increases, the MQL estimates become increasingly biased. If convergence of the estimation algorithm is not obtained by PQL procedure and higher level error variance is large, the estimates may be significantly biased. In this case bias correction techniques such as bootstrapping should be considered as an alternative procedure. For larger sample sizes, those structures with 20 or more units sampled at levels with normally distributed random errors produced more stable estimates with less sampling variance than structures with an increased number of level 1 units. For small sample sizes, sampling fewer units at the level with Poisson variation produces less sampling variation, however this criterion is no longer important when sample sizes are large. ^ 1Neuhaus J (1993). “Estimation efficiency and Tests of Covariate Effects with Clustered Binary Data”. Biometrics , 49, 989–996^

AN ANALYSIS OF THE DNA DAMAGE INDUCED BY NICKEL COMPOUNDS IN CHINESE HAMSTER OVARY CELLS (CARCINOGENESIS, HETEROCHROMATIN, CYTOTOXICITY, REPLICATION, PROTEIN CROSSLINKING)

The carcinogenic activity of water-insoluble crystalline nickel sulfide requires phagocytosis and lysosome-mediated intracellular dissolution of the particles to yield Ni('2+). This study investigated the extent and nature of the DNA damage in Chinese hamster ovary cells treated with various nickel compounds using the technique of alkaline elution. Crystalline NiS and water-soluble NiCl(,2) induced single strand breaks that were repaired quickly and DNA-protein crosslinks that persisted up to 24 hr after exposure to nickel. The induction of single strand breaks was concentration dependent at both noncytotoxic and lethal amounts of nickel. The induction of DNA-protein crosslinks was concentration dependent but was absent at lethal amounts of nickel. The cytoplasmic and nuclear uptake of nickel was concentration dependent even at the toxic level of nickel. However, the induction of DNA-protein crosslinks by nickel required active cell cycling and occurred predominantly in mid-late S phase of the cell cycle, suggesting that the lethal amounts of nickel inhibited DNA-protein crosslinking by inhibiting active cell cycling. Since the DNA-protein crosslinking induced by nickel was resistant to DNA repair, the nature of this lesion was investigated using various methods of DNA isolation and chromatin fractionation in combination with SDS-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis. High molecular weight, non-histone chromosomal proteins and possibly histone 1 were preferentially crosslinked to DNA by nickel. The crosslinked proteins were concentrated in a magnesium-insoluble fraction of sonicated chromatin (5% of the total) that was similar to heterochromatin in solubility and protein composition. Alterations in DNA structure and function, brought about by the effect of nickel on protein-DNA interactions, may be related to the carcinogenicity of nickel compounds. ^

A Comparative Analysis of Beaconless Opportunistic Routing Protocols for Video Dissemination over Flying Ad-Hoc Networks

A reliable and robust routing service for Flying Ad-Hoc Networks (FANETs) must be able to adapt to topology changes, and also to recover the quality level of the delivered multiple video flows under dynamic network topologies. The user experience on watching live videos must also be satisfactory even in scenarios with network congestion, buffer overflow, and packet loss ratio, as experienced in many FANET multimedia applications. In this paper, we perform a comparative simulation study to assess the robustness, reliability, and quality level of videos transmitted via well-known beaconless opportunistic routing protocols. Simulation results shows that our developed protocol XLinGO achieves multimedia dissemination with Quality of Experience (QoE) support and robustness in a multi-hop, multi-flow, and mobile networks, as required in many multimedia FANET scenarios.

Time-Series Panel Analysis (TSPA): Multivariate Modeling of Temporal Associations in Psychotherapy Process.

Objective: Processes occurring in the course of psychotherapy are characterized by the simple fact that they unfold in time and that the multiple factors engaged in change processes vary highly between individuals (idiographic phenomena). Previous research, however, has neglected the temporal perspective by its traditional focus on static phenomena, which were mainly assessed at the group level (nomothetic phenomena). To support a temporal approach, the authors introduce time-series panel analysis (TSPA), a statistical methodology explicitly focusing on the quantification of temporal, session-to-session aspects of change in psychotherapy. TSPA-models are initially built at the level of individuals and are subsequently aggregated at the group level, thus allowing the exploration of prototypical models. Method: TSPA is based on vector auto-regression (VAR), an extension of univariate auto-regression models to multivariate time-series data. The application of TSPA is demonstrated in a sample of 87 outpatient psychotherapy patients who were monitored by postsession questionnaires. Prototypical mechanisms of change were derived from the aggregation of individual multivariate models of psychotherapy process. In a 2nd step, the associations between mechanisms of change (TSPA) and pre- to postsymptom change were explored. Results: TSPA allowed a prototypical process pattern to be identified, where patient's alliance and self-efficacy were linked by a temporal feedback-loop. Furthermore, therapist's stability over time in both mastery and clarification interventions was positively associated with better outcomes. Conclusions: TSPA is a statistical tool that sheds new light on temporal mechanisms of change. Through this approach, clinicians may gain insight into prototypical patterns of change in psychotherapy.

Exploring the publications in three major orthodontic journals: a comparative analysis of two 5-year periods.

OBJECTIVE To analyze the types of articles and authorship characteristics of three orthodontic journals--American Journal of Orthodontics and Dentofacial Orthopedics (AJODO), The Angle Orthodontist (AO), and European Journal of Orthodontics (EJO)--published between 2008 and 2012 and to assess the differences in content within this period and an earlier period of 1998 to 2002. MATERIALS AND METHODS Each journal's content was accessed through the web edition. From each article, the following parameters were recorded: article type, number of authors, number of affiliations, source of article (referring to the first author's affiliation), and geographic origin. Descriptive statistics were performed and selected parameters were analyzed with the Pearson chi-square or Fisher exact test for independence at the .05 level of significance. RESULTS Review of differences between the two periods showed that the number of publications was almost double. The percentages of multi-authored articles increased. Fewer studies derived from the United States/Canada and European Union countries. Increases for articles from non-European Union countries, Asia, and other countries were found. Characteristics of the second period showed that the EJO and AO published more research articles, whereas the AJODO regularly published case reports and other articles. Approximately 75% of all studies derived from orthodontic departments. CONCLUSIONS The publications from 1998-2002 and 2008-2012 were significantly different both in terms of numbers and characteristics. Within 2008-2012 there were notable differences between the three journals concerning the type and origin of the publications.

Cessation and resuming of alglucosidase alfa in Pompe disease: a retrospective analysis.

Enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) with recombinant human alglucosidase alfa (rhGAA) in late-onset Pompe disease is moderately effective. Little is known about the clinical course after treatment termination and the resumption of ERT. In Switzerland, rhGAA therapy for Pompe disease was temporarily withdrawn after the federal court judged that the treatment costs were greatly out of proportion compared to the benefits. Re-treatment was initiated after the therapy was finally licensed. We retrospectively analysed seven Pompe patients, who underwent cessation and resumption of ERT (median age 43 years). The delay from first symptoms to final diagnosis ranged from 4 to 20 years. The demographics, clinical characteristics, assessments with the 6-min walking test (6-MWT), the predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) and muscle strength were analysed. Before initiation of ERT, all patients suffered from proximal muscle weakness of the lower limbs; one was wheelchair-bound and two patients received night-time non-invasive ventilation. Initial treatment stabilised respiratory function in most patients and improved their walking performance. After treatment cessation, upright FVC declined in most and the 6-MWT declined in all patients. Two patients needed additional non-invasive ventilatory support. Twelve months after resuming ERT, the respiratory and walking capacity improved again in most patients. However, aside for one patient, none of the patients reached the same level of respiratory function or distance walked in 6 min, as at the time of ERT withdrawal. We conclude that cessation of ERT in Pompe disease causes a decline in clinical function and should be avoided. Resuming treatment only partially recovers respiratory function and walking capacity.

Incidence and risk factors for early adjacent vertebral fractures after balloon kyphoplasty for osteoporotic fractures: analysis of the SWISSspine registry

PURPOSE The SWISSspine registry (SSR) was launched in 2005 to assess the safety and effectiveness of balloon kyphoplasty (BKP). In the meantime, repeated reports on high rates of adjacent vertebral fractures (ASF) after BKP of vertebral insufficiency fractures were published. The causes for ASF and their risk factors are still under debate. The purpose of this study was to report the incidence and potential risk factors of ASF within the SSR dataset. METHODS The SSR data points are collected perioperatively and during follow-ups, with surgeon- and patient-based information. All patients documented with a monosegmental osteoporotic vertebral insufficiency fracture between March 2005 and May 2012 were included in the study. The incidence of ASF, significant associations with co-variates (patient age, gender, fracture location, cement volume, preoperative segmental kyphosis, extent of kyphosis correction, and individual co-morbidities) and influence on quality of life (EQ-5D) and back pain (VAS) were analyzed. RESULTS A total of 375 patients with a mean follow-up of 3.6 months was included. ASF were found in 9.9 % (n = 37) and occurred on average 2.8 months postoperatively. Preoperative segmental kyphosis >30° (p = 0.026), and rheumatoid arthritis (p = 0.038) and cardiovascular disease (p = 0.047) were significantly associated with ASF. Furthermore, patients with ASF had significantly higher back pain at the final follow-up (p = 0.001). No further significant associations between the studied co-variates and ASF were seen in the adjusted analysis. CONCLUSIONS The findings suggest that patients with a preoperative segmental kyphosis >30° or patients with co-morbidities like rheumatoid arthritis and a cardiovascular disease are at high risk of ASF within 6 months after the index surgery. In case of an ASF event, back pain levels are significantly increased. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE IV.

Endoscopic and Open Release Similarly Safe for the Treatment of Carpal Tunnel Syndrome. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND The Endoscopic Release of Carpal Tunnel Syndrome (ECTR) is a minimal invasive approach for the treatment of Carpal Tunnel Syndrome. There is scepticism regarding the safety of this technique, based on the assumption that this is a rather "blind" procedure and on the high number of severe complications that have been reported in the literature. PURPOSE To evaluate whether there is evidence supporting a higher risk after ECTR in comparison to the conventional open release. METHODS We searched MEDLINE (January 1966 to November 2013), EMBASE (January 1980 to November 2013), the Cochrane Neuromuscular Disease Group Specialized Register (November 2013) and CENTRAL (2013, issue 11 in The Cochrane Library). We hand-searched reference lists of included studies. We included all randomized or quasi-randomized controlled trials (e.g. study using alternation, date of birth, or case record number) that compare any ECTR with any OCTR technique. Safety was assessed by the incidence of major, minor and total number of complications, recurrences, and re-operations.The total time needed before return to work or to return to daily activities was also assessed. We synthesized data using a random-effects meta-analysis in STATA. We conducted a sensitivity analysis for rare events using binomial likelihood. We judged the conclusiveness of meta-analysis calculating the conditional power of meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS ECTR is associated with less time off work or with daily activities. The assessment of major complications, reoperations and recurrence of symptoms does not favor either of the interventions. There is an uncertain advantage of ECTR with respect to total minor complications (more transient paresthesia but fewer skin-related complications). Future studies are unlikely to alter these findings because of the rarity of the outcome. The effect of a learning curve might be responsible for reduced recurrences and reoperations with ECTR in studies that are more recent, although formal statistical analysis failed to provide evidence for such an association. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE I.

Contextualizing local-scale point sample data using global-scale spatial datasets: Lessons learnt from the analysis of large-scale land acquisitions

This paper examines how the geospatial accuracy of samples and sample size influence conclusions from geospatial analyses. It does so using the example of a study investigating the global phenomenon of large-scale land acquisitions and the socio-ecological characteristics of the areas they target. First, we analysed land deal datasets of varying geospatial accuracy and varying sizes and compared the results in terms of land cover, population density, and two indicators for agricultural potential: yield gap and availability of uncultivated land that is suitable for rainfed agriculture. We found that an increase in geospatial accuracy led to a substantial and greater change in conclusions about the land cover types targeted than an increase in sample size, suggesting that using a sample of higher geospatial accuracy does more to improve results than using a larger sample. The same finding emerged for population density, yield gap, and the availability of uncultivated land suitable for rainfed agriculture. Furthermore, the statistical median proved to be more consistent than the mean when comparing the descriptive statistics for datasets of different geospatial accuracy. Second, we analysed effects of geospatial accuracy on estimations regarding the potential for advancing agricultural development in target contexts. Our results show that the target contexts of the majority of land deals in our sample whose geolocation is known with a high level of accuracy contain smaller amounts of suitable, but uncultivated land than regional- and national-scale averages suggest. Consequently, the more target contexts vary within a country, the more detailed the spatial scale of analysis has to be in order to draw meaningful conclusions about the phenomena under investigation. We therefore advise against using national-scale statistics to approximate or characterize phenomena that have a local-scale impact, particularly if key indicators vary widely within a country.

Effectiveness of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs for the treatment of pain in knee and hip osteoarthritis: a network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are the backbone of osteoarthritis pain management. We aimed to assess the effectiveness of different preparations and doses of NSAIDs on osteoarthritis pain in a network meta-analysis. METHODS For this network meta-analysis, we considered randomised trials comparing any of the following interventions: NSAIDs, paracetamol, or placebo, for the treatment of osteoarthritis pain. We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) and the reference lists of relevant articles for trials published between Jan 1, 1980, and Feb 24, 2015, with at least 100 patients per group. The prespecified primary and secondary outcomes were pain and physical function, and were extracted in duplicate for up to seven timepoints after the start of treatment. We used an extension of multivariable Bayesian random effects models for mixed multiple treatment comparisons with a random effect at the level of trials. For the primary analysis, a random walk of first order was used to account for multiple follow-up outcome data within a trial. Preparations that used different total daily dose were considered separately in the analysis. To assess a potential dose-response relation, we used preparation-specific covariates assuming linearity on log relative dose. FINDINGS We identified 8973 manuscripts from our search, of which 74 randomised trials with a total of 58 556 patients were included in this analysis. 23 nodes concerning seven different NSAIDs or paracetamol with specific daily dose of administration or placebo were considered. All preparations, irrespective of dose, improved point estimates of pain symptoms when compared with placebo. For six interventions (diclofenac 150 mg/day, etoricoxib 30 mg/day, 60 mg/day, and 90 mg/day, and rofecoxib 25 mg/day and 50 mg/day), the probability that the difference to placebo is at or below a prespecified minimum clinically important effect for pain reduction (effect size [ES] -0·37) was at least 95%. Among maximally approved daily doses, diclofenac 150 mg/day (ES -0·57, 95% credibility interval [CrI] -0·69 to -0·46) and etoricoxib 60 mg/day (ES -0·58, -0·73 to -0·43) had the highest probability to be the best intervention, both with 100% probability to reach the minimum clinically important difference. Treatment effects increased as drug dose increased, but corresponding tests for a linear dose effect were significant only for celecoxib (p=0·030), diclofenac (p=0·031), and naproxen (p=0·026). We found no evidence that treatment effects varied over the duration of treatment. Model fit was good, and between-trial heterogeneity and inconsistency were low in all analyses. All trials were deemed to have a low risk of bias for blinding of patients. Effect estimates did not change in sensitivity analyses with two additional statistical models and accounting for methodological quality criteria in meta-regression analysis. INTERPRETATION On the basis of the available data, we see no role for single-agent paracetamol for the treatment of patients with osteoarthritis irrespective of dose. We provide sound evidence that diclofenac 150 mg/day is the most effective NSAID available at present, in terms of improving both pain and function. Nevertheless, in view of the safety profile of these drugs, physicians need to consider our results together with all known safety information when selecting the preparation and dose for individual patients. FUNDING Swiss National Science Foundation (grant number 405340-104762) and Arco Foundation, Switzerland.