The application of agricultural land rating and crop models to CO2 and climate change issues in Northern regions : the Mackenzie Basin case study

Selostus: Viljelyvyöhykkeiden ja kasvumallien soveltaminen ilmastonmuutoksen tutkimisessa: Mackenzien jokialue, Kanada

An overview of how rubisco and carbohydrate metabolism may be regulated at elevated atmospheric [CO2] and temperature

Selostus: Hiilihydraatti- ja proteiiniaineenvaihdunnan säätely kohonneen hiilidioksidipitoisuuden ja lämpötilan vallitessa

Arrangement of experiments for simulating the effects of elevated temperatures and elevated CO2 levels on field-sown crops in Finland

Selostus: Koejärjestelyt kohonneen lämpötilan ja CO2-tason vaikutusten simuloimiseksi peltokasveilla Suomessa

Looking for orders of magnitude : five essays in trade and the environment and economic geography

General Summary Although the chapters of this thesis address a variety of issues, the principal aim is common: test economic ideas in an international economic context. The intention has been to supply empirical findings using the largest suitable data sets and making use of the most appropriate empirical techniques. This thesis can roughly be divided into two parts: the first one, corresponding to the first two chapters, investigates the link between trade and the environment, the second one, the last three chapters, is related to economic geography issues. Environmental problems are omnipresent in the daily press nowadays and one of the arguments put forward is that globalisation causes severe environmental problems through the reallocation of investments and production to countries with less stringent environmental regulations. A measure of the amplitude of this undesirable effect is provided in the first part. The third and the fourth chapters explore the productivity effects of agglomeration. The computed spillover effects between different sectors indicate how cluster-formation might be productivity enhancing. The last chapter is not about how to better understand the world but how to measure it and it was just a great pleasure to work on it. "The Economist" writes every week about the impressive population and economic growth observed in China and India, and everybody agrees that the world's center of gravity has shifted. But by how much and how fast did it shift? An answer is given in the last part, which proposes a global measure for the location of world production and allows to visualize our results in Google Earth. A short summary of each of the five chapters is provided below. The first chapter, entitled "Unraveling the World-Wide Pollution-Haven Effect" investigates the relative strength of the pollution haven effect (PH, comparative advantage in dirty products due to differences in environmental regulation) and the factor endowment effect (FE, comparative advantage in dirty, capital intensive products due to differences in endowments). We compute the pollution content of imports using the IPPS coefficients (for three pollutants, namely biological oxygen demand, sulphur dioxide and toxic pollution intensity for all manufacturing sectors) provided by the World Bank and use a gravity-type framework to isolate the two above mentioned effects. Our study covers 48 countries that can be classified into 29 Southern and 19 Northern countries and uses the lead content of gasoline as proxy for environmental stringency. For North-South trade we find significant PH and FE effects going in the expected, opposite directions and being of similar magnitude. However, when looking at world trade, the effects become very small because of the high North-North trade share, where we have no a priori expectations about the signs of these effects. Therefore popular fears about the trade effects of differences in environmental regulations might by exaggerated. The second chapter is entitled "Is trade bad for the Environment? Decomposing worldwide SO2 emissions, 1990-2000". First we construct a novel and large database containing reasonable estimates of SO2 emission intensities per unit labor that vary across countries, periods and manufacturing sectors. Then we use these original data (covering 31 developed and 31 developing countries) to decompose the worldwide SO2 emissions into the three well known dynamic effects (scale, technique and composition effect). We find that the positive scale (+9,5%) and the negative technique (-12.5%) effect are the main driving forces of emission changes. Composition effects between countries and sectors are smaller, both negative and of similar magnitude (-3.5% each). Given that trade matters via the composition effects this means that trade reduces total emissions. We next construct, in a first experiment, a hypothetical world where no trade happens, i.e. each country produces its imports at home and does no longer produce its exports. The difference between the actual and this no-trade world allows us (under the omission of price effects) to compute a static first-order trade effect. The latter now increases total world emissions because it allows, on average, dirty countries to specialize in dirty products. However, this effect is smaller (3.5%) in 2000 than in 1990 (10%), in line with the negative dynamic composition effect identified in the previous exercise. We then propose a second experiment, comparing effective emissions with the maximum or minimum possible level of SO2 emissions. These hypothetical levels of emissions are obtained by reallocating labour accordingly across sectors within each country (under the country-employment and the world industry-production constraints). Using linear programming techniques, we show that emissions are reduced by 90% with respect to the worst case, but that they could still be reduced further by another 80% if emissions were to be minimized. The findings from this chapter go together with those from chapter one in the sense that trade-induced composition effect do not seem to be the main source of pollution, at least in the recent past. Going now to the economic geography part of this thesis, the third chapter, entitled "A Dynamic Model with Sectoral Agglomeration Effects" consists of a short note that derives the theoretical model estimated in the fourth chapter. The derivation is directly based on the multi-regional framework by Ciccone (2002) but extends it in order to include sectoral disaggregation and a temporal dimension. This allows us formally to write present productivity as a function of past productivity and other contemporaneous and past control variables. The fourth chapter entitled "Sectoral Agglomeration Effects in a Panel of European Regions" takes the final equation derived in chapter three to the data. We investigate the empirical link between density and labour productivity based on regional data (245 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1980-2003). Using dynamic panel techniques allows us to control for the possible endogeneity of density and for region specific effects. We find a positive long run elasticity of density with respect to labour productivity of about 13%. When using data at the sectoral level it seems that positive cross-sector and negative own-sector externalities are present in manufacturing while financial services display strong positive own-sector effects. The fifth and last chapter entitled "Is the World's Economic Center of Gravity Already in Asia?" computes the world economic, demographic and geographic center of gravity for 1975-2004 and compares them. Based on data for the largest cities in the world and using the physical concept of center of mass, we find that the world's economic center of gravity is still located in Europe, even though there is a clear shift towards Asia. To sum up, this thesis makes three main contributions. First, it provides new estimates of orders of magnitudes for the role of trade in the globalisation and environment debate. Second, it computes reliable and disaggregated elasticities for the effect of density on labour productivity in European regions. Third, it allows us, in a geometrically rigorous way, to track the path of the world's economic center of gravity.

Effect of anionic salts in concentrate mixture and calcium intake on some blood and urine minerals, acid-base balance and feed intake of dry pregnant cows on grass silage based feeding

Selostus: Kationi-anionitasapaino ja kalsiumin saanti ummessaolevien lypsylehmien säilörehuruokinnassa

Interventions aiming at balance confidence improvement in older adults: an updated review.

BACKGROUND: Loss of balance confidence is a frequent condition that affects 20-75% of community-dwelling older persons. Although a recent fall is a common trigger, loss of balance confidence also appears independent of previous experience with falls. Maintaining or improving balance confidence is important to avoid unnecessary, self-imposed restrictions of activity and subsequent disability. Holding another person's hand or using an assistive device while walking are simple interventions that are used naturally to address poor balance confidence in daily life. However, more complex interventions have also been developed and tested to achieve more sustained improvement in balance confidence. OBJECTIVES: This review describes interventions that have been tested to improve balance confidence in older community-dwelling persons. METHODS: Based on 2 recent systematic reviews, an additional search for literature was performed to update current information on interventions aiming at balance confidence improvement. Interventions were classified as those directly aimed at increasing balance confidence or not, and further stratified into those using monofactorial or multifactorial approaches. RESULTS: A total of 46 randomized controlled trials were identified. Five of the 8 interventions that directly targeted balance confidence showed benefits. Among those, multicomponent behavioral group interventions provided the most robust evidence of benefits in improving balance confidence and in decreasing activity avoidance. Among interventions not directly aiming at balance confidence improvement (11/21 studies with benefits), exercise (including tai chi) appears as the most promising monofactorial intervention. Nine of the 17 multifactorial fall prevention programs showed an effect on balance confidence, exercise being a main component in 7 of these 9 studies. Interventions that targeted elderly persons reporting poor balance confidence and/or those at risk for falls seemed more likely to be beneficial. CONCLUSIONS: Positive and sometimes sustained improvement in balance confidence can be achieved by various interventions among community-dwelling elderly persons. The effect of these interventions on activity restriction associated with poor balance confidence have been less well studied, but some studies also suggest potential benefits.

Efeito do preparo do solo e resíduo da colheita de cana-de-açúcar sobre a emissão de CO2

O solo é um dos principais compartimentos de carbono no ecossistema terrestre, capaz de armazenar quantidades expressivas desse elemento e, portanto, a compreensão dos fatores que contribuem para as perdas de CO2 em solos agrícolas é fundamental para determinar estratégias de redução das emissões desse gás e ajudar a mitigar o efeito estufa. O objetivo deste estudo foi investigar o efeito do preparo do solo e da deposição de resíduos da cultura da cana-de-açúcar na emissão de CO2, temperatura e umidade do solo, durante a reforma do canavial, ao longo de um período de 15 dias. Os manejos avaliados foram: sem preparo do solo e mantendo os resíduos da colheita sobre a superfície do solo (SPCR); sem preparo do solo e sem resíduo (SPSR) e com preparo do solo e sem resíduo (CPSR). A menor média de emissão de CO2 do solo (FCO2) foi observada no manejo SPCR (2,16 µmol m-2 s-1), quando comparado aos manejos SPSR (2,90 µmol m-2 s-1) e CPSR (3,22 µmol m-2 s-1), indicando que as maiores umidades e menores variações da temperatura do solo, observadas em SPCR, foram os fatores responsáveis por tal diminuição. Durante o período de estudo, a menor média diária da FCO2 foi registrada em SPCR (1,28 µmol m-2 s-1) e a maior em CPSR (6,08 µmol m-2 s-1), após a ocorrência de chuvas. A menor perda de C-CO2 do solo foi observada no manejo SPCR (367 kg ha-1 de C-CO2), diferindo significativamente (p<0,05) dos manejos: SPSR (502 kg ha-1 de C-CO2) e CPSR (535 kg ha-1 de C-CO2). A umidade do solo foi a variável que apresentou valores mais diferenciados entre os manejos, sendo positivamente correlacionada (r = 0,55; p<0,05) com as variações temporais da emissão de CO2 nos manejos SPCR e CPSR. Em adição, a temperatura do solo diferiu (p<0,05) somente no manejo SPCR (24 ºC), quando comparada aos manejos SPSR (26 ºC) e CPSR (26,5 ºC), sugerindo que, para as condições deste estudo, o resíduo da cana-de-açúcar retido sobre a superfície propiciou uma temperatura do solo, em média, 2 ºC mais amena.

Negative impact of hypocaloric feeding and energy balance on clinical outcome in ICU patients

Résumé Introduction : Les patients nécessitant une prise en charge prolongée en milieu de soins intensifs et présentant une évolution compliquée, développent une réponse métabolique intense caractérisée généralement par un hypermétabolisme et un catabolisme protéique. La sévérité de leur atteinte pathologique expose ces patients à la malnutrition, due principalement à un apport nutritionnel insuffisant, et entraînant une balance énergétique déficitaire. Dans un nombre important d'unités de soins intensifs la nutrition des patients n'apparaît pas comme un objectif prioritaire de la prise en charge. En menant une étude prospective d'observation afin d'analyser la relation entre la balance énergétique et le pronostic clinique des patients avec séjours prolongés en soins intensifs, nous souhaitions changer cette attitude et démonter l'effet délétère de la malnutrition chez ce type de patient. Méthodes : Sur une période de 2 ans, tous les patients, dont le séjour en soins intensifs fut de 5 jours ou plus, ont été enrôlés. Les besoins en énergie pour chaque patient ont été déterminés soit par calorimétrie indirecte, soit au moyen d'une formule prenant en compte le poids du patient (30 kcal/kg/jour). Les patients ayant bénéficié d'une calorimétrie indirecte ont par ailleurs vérifié la justesse de la formule appliquée. L'âge, le sexe le poids préopératoire, la taille, et le « Body mass index » index de masse corporelle reconnu en milieu clinique ont été relevés. L'énergie délivrée l'était soit sous forme nutritionnelle (administration de nutrition entérale, parentérale ou mixte) soit sous forme non-nutritionnelle (perfusions : soluté glucosé, apport lipidique non nutritionnel). Les données de nutrition (cible théorique, cible prescrite, énergie nutritionnelle, énergie non-nutritionnelle, énergie totale, balance énergétique nutritionnelle, balance énergétique totale), et d'évolution clinique (nombre des jours de ventilation mécanique, nombre d'infections, utilisation des antibiotiques, durée du séjour, complications neurologiques, respiratoires gastro-intestinales, cardiovasculaires, rénales et hépatiques, scores de gravité pour patients en soins intensifs, valeurs hématologiques, sériques, microbiologiques) ont été analysées pour chacun des 669 jours de soins intensifs vécus par un total de 48 patients. Résultats : 48 patients de 57±16 ans dont le séjour a varié entre 5 et 49 jours (motif d'admission : polytraumatisés 10; chirurgie cardiaque 13; insuffisance respiratoire 7; pathologie gastro-intestinale 3; sepsis 3; transplantation 4; autre 8) ont été retenus. Si nous n'avons pu démontrer une relation entre la balance énergétique et plus particulièrement, le déficit énergétique, et la mortalité, il existe une relation hautement significative entre le déficit énergétique et la morbidité, à savoir les complications et les infections, qui prolongent naturellement la durée du séjour. De plus, bien que l'étude ne comporte aucune intervention et que nous ne puissions avancer qu'il existe une relation de cause à effet, l'analyse par régression multiple montre que le facteur pronostic le plus fiable est justement la balance énergétique, au détriment des scores habituellement utilisés en soins intensifs. L'évolution est indépendante tant de l'âge et du sexe, que du status nutritionnel préopératoire. L'étude ne prévoyait pas de récolter des données économiques : nous ne pouvons pas, dès lors, affirmer que l'augmentation des coûts engendrée par un séjour prolongé en unité de soins intensifs est induite par un déficit énergétique, même si le bon sens nous laisse penser qu'un séjour plus court engendre un coût moindre. Cette étude attire aussi l'attention sur l'origine du déficit énergétique : il se creuse au cours de la première semaine en soins intensifs, et pourrait donc être prévenu par une intervention nutritionnelle précoce, alors que les recommandations actuelles préconisent un apport énergétique, sous forme de nutrition artificielle, qu'à partir de 48 heures de séjour aux soins intensifs. Conclusions : L'étude montre que pour les patients de soins intensifs les plus graves, la balance énergétique devrait être considérée comme un objectif important de la prise en charge, nécessitant l'application d'un protocole de nutrition précoce. Enfin comme l'évolution à l'admission des patients est souvent imprévisible, et que le déficit s'installe dès la première semaine, il est légitime de s'interroger sur la nécessité d'appliquer ce protocole à tous les patients de soins intensifs et ceci dès leur admission. Summary Background and aims: Critically ill patients with complicated evolution are frequently hypermetabolic, catabolic, and at risk of underfeeding. The study aimed at assessing the relationship between energy balance and outcome in critically ill patients. Methods: Prospective observational study conducted in consecutive patients staying 5 days in the surgical ICU of a University hospital. Demographic data, time to feeding, route, energy delivery, and outcome were recorded. Energy balance was calculated as energy delivery minus target. Data in means+ SD, linear regressions between energy balance and outcome variables. Results: Forty eight patients aged 57±16 years were investigated; complete data are available in 669 days. Mechanical ventilation lasted 11±8 days, ICU stay 15+9 was days, and 30-days mortality was 38%. Time to feeding was 3.1 ±2.2 days. Enteral nutrition was the most frequent route with 433 days. Mean daily energy delivery was 1090±930 kcal. Combining enteral and parenteral nutrition achieved highest energy delivery. Cumulated energy balance was between -12,600+ 10,520 kcal, and correlated with complications (P<0.001), already after 1 week. Conclusion: Negative energy balances were correlated with increasing number of complications, particularly infections. Energy debt appears as a promising tool for nutritional follow-up, which should be further tested. Delaying initiation of nutritional support exposes the patients to energy deficits that cannot be compensated later on.

Sensitivity of temperate grassland species to elevated atmospheric CO2 and the interaction with temperature and water stress

Selostus: Kohonneen hiilidioksidipitoisuuden, lämpötilan ja kuivuuden vaikutus nurmikasveihin

Effect of anionic salts in concentrate mixture and magnesium intake on some blood and urine minerals and acid-base balance of dry pregnant cows on grass silage based feeding

Selostus: Kationi-anionitasapaino ja magnesiumin saanti ummessaolevien lypsylehmien säilörehuruokinnassa

Risk-benefit balance assessment of SSRI antidepressant use during pregnancy and lactation based on best available evidence.

INTRODUCTION: Psychiatric disorders are among the leading causes of disability in Western societies. Selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) are the most frequently prescribed antidepressant drugs during pregnancy and the postpartum period. Over the last decade, conflicting findings regarding the safety of SSRI drugs during pregnancy and lactation have questioned whether such treatments should be used during this period. AREAS COVERED: We discuss the main criteria that should be considered in the risk/benefit assessment of SSRI treatment in pregnant and/or breastfeeding patients (i.e., risks associated with SSRI use and with untreated depression as well as therapeutic benefits of SSRI and some alternative treatment strategies). For each criterion, available evidence has been synthesized and stratified by methodological quality as well as discussed for clinical impact. EXPERT OPINION: Currently, it is impossible for most of the evaluated outcomes to distinguish between the effects related to the mother's underlying disease and those inherent to SSRI treatment. In women suffering from major depression and responding to a pharmacological treatment, introduction or continuation of an SSRI should be encouraged in order to prevent maternal complications and to preserve maternal-infant bonding. The choice of the right drug depends above all on individual patient characteristics such as prior treatment response, diagnoses and comorbid conditions.

Impacts of deforestation on water balance components of a watershed on the Brazilian East Coast

The Brazilian East coast was intensely affected by deforestation, which drastically cut back the original biome. The possible impacts of this process on water resources are still unknown. The purpose of this study was an evaluation of the impacts of deforestation on the main water balance components of the Galo creek watershed, in the State of Espírito Santo, on the East coast of Brazil. Considering the real conditions of the watershed, the SWAT model was calibrated with data from 1997 to 2000 and validated for the period between 2001 and 2003. The calibration and validation processes were evaluated by the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient and by the statistical parameters (determination coefficient, slope coefficient and F test) of the regression model adjusted for estimated and measured flow data. After calibration and validation of the model, new simulations were carried out for three different land use scenarios: a scenario in compliance with the law (C1), assuming the preservation of PPAs (permanent preservation areas); an optimistic scenario (C2), which considers the watershed to be almost entirely covered by native vegetation; and a pessimistic scenario (C3), in which the watershed would be almost entirely covered by pasture. The scenarios C1, C2 and C3 represent a soil cover of native forest of 76, 97 and 0 %, respectively. The results were compared with the simulation, considering the real scenario (C0) with 54 % forest cover. The Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients were 0.65 and 0.70 for calibration and validation, respectively, indicating satisfactory results in the flow simulation. A mean reduction of 10 % of the native forest cover would cause a mean annual increase of approximately 11.5 mm in total runoff at the watershed outlet. Reforestation would ensure minimum flows in the dry period and regulate the maximum flow of the main watercourse of the watershed.

Putting Public Service Motivation into Context. A Balance Between Universalism and Particularism

Research on Public Service Motivation (PSM) has increased enormously in the last 20 years. Besides the analysis of the antecedents of PSM and its impact on organizations and individuals, many open questions about the nature of PSM itself still remain. This article argues that the theoretical construct of PSM should be contextualized by integrating the political and administrative contexts of public servants when investigating their specific attitudes towards working in a public environment. It also challenges the efficacy of the classic four-dimensional structure of PSM when it is applied to a specific context. The findings of a confirmatory factor analysis from a dataset of 3754 employees of 279 Swiss municipalities support the appropriateness of contextualizing parts of the PSM construct. They also support the addition of an extra dimension called, according to previous research, Swiss democratic governance. With regard to our results, there is a need for further PSM research to set a definite measure of PSM, particularly in regard to the international diffusion of empirical research on PSM.Points for practitionersThis study shows that public service motivation is a relevant construct for practitioners and may be used to better assess whether public agents are motivated by values or not. Nevertheless, it stresses also that the measurement of PSM must be adapted to the institutional context as well. Public managers interested in understanding better the degree to which their employees are motivated by public values must be aware that the measurement of this PSM construct has to be contextualized. In other words, PSM is also a function of the institutional environment in which organizations operate.