Improving QPF by blending techniques at the Meteorological Service of Catalonia

The current operational very short-term and short-term quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) at the Meteorological Service of Catalonia (SMC) is made by three different methodologies: Advection of the radar reflectivity field (ADV), Identification, tracking and forecasting of convective structures (CST) and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models using observational data assimilation (radar, satellite, etc.). These precipitation forecasts have different characteristics, lead time and spatial resolutions. The objective of this study is to combine these methods in order to obtain a single and optimized QPF at each lead time. This combination (blending) of the radar forecast (ADV and CST) and precipitation forecast from NWP model is carried out by means of different methodologies according to the prediction horizon. Firstly, in order to take advantage of the rainfall location and intensity from radar observations, a phase correction technique is applied to the NWP output to derive an additional corrected forecast (MCO). To select the best precipitation estimation in the first and second hour (t+1 h and t+2 h), the information from radar advection (ADV) and the corrected outputs from the model (MCO) are mixed by using different weights, which vary dynamically, according to indexes that quantify the quality of these predictions. This procedure has the ability to integrate the skill of rainfall location and patterns that are given by the advection of radar reflectivity field with the capacity of generating new precipitation areas from the NWP models. From the third hour (t+3 h), as radar-based forecasting has generally low skills, only the quantitative precipitation forecast from model is used. This blending of different sources of prediction is verified for different types of episodes (convective, moderately convective and stratiform) to obtain a robust methodology for implementing it in an operational and dynamic way.

Further characterisation of the 91500 zircon crystal

This paper reports the results from a second characterisation of the 91500 zircon, including data from electron probe microanalysis, laser ablation inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS), secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) and laser fluorination analyses. The focus of this initiative was to establish the suitability of this large single zircon crystal for calibrating in situ analyses of the rare earth elements and oxygen isotopes, as well as to provide working values for key geochemical systems. In addition to extensive testing of the chemical and structural homogeneity of this sample, the occurrence of banding in 91500 in both backscattered electron and cathodoluminescence images is described in detail. Blind intercomparison data reported by both LA-ICP-MS and SIMS laboratories indicate that only small systematic differences exist between the data sets provided by these two techniques. Furthermore, the use of NIST SRM 610 glass as the calibrant for SIMS analyses was found to introduce little or no systematic error into the results for zircon. Based on both laser fluorination and SIMS data, zircon 91500 seems to be very well suited for calibrating in situ oxygen isotopic analyses.

Analysis of viral- and tumor antigen-specific CD4 T cell responses in healthy donors and melanoma patients

Résumé Des tentatives pour développer des traitements anti-cancéreux basés sur l'utilisation d'antigènes tumoraux ont commencé il y a plus de 10 ans. Depuis quelques années, un certain intérêt s'est portée sur une sous-population particulière des cellules du système immunitaire, les lymphocytes T CD4. Ces cellules jouent un rôle central dans les réponses immunitaires tant contre les virus que contre les cellules tumorales. Comme d'autres lymphocytes T, ces cellules sont activées de manière spécifique en reconnaissant un morceau d'antigène, appelé peptide. Ces peptides proviennent soit de protéines des cellules de l'hôte, soit des protéines étrangères (virus ou bactéries) soit de cellules transformées (cellules tumorales) et sont présentés aux lymphocytes T par des molécules du soi appelées CMH (complexe majeur d'histocompatibilité). Dans le cas des lymphocytes T CD4, ces molécules sont plus précisément des molécules du CMH de classe II (CMH II). Mis à part l'intérêt porté aux réponses médiées par les lymphocytes T cytotoxiques, un intérêt croissant pour les lymphocytes T CD4 s'est développé à cause de la place centrale qu'occupent ces cellules dans les réponses immunitaires. L'identification d'épitopes présentés par des molécules du CMH de classe II dérivés d'un grand nombre d'antigènes tumoraux, ainsi que le développement de techniques permettant de suivre les réponses immunitaires, offre des opportunités pour étudier de manière quantitative et qualitative les lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques pour un antigène particulier chez des patients cancéreux. De plus, ces épitopes permettent d'induire des réponses médiées par les lymphocytes T CD4 et CD8 chez ces mêmes patients. Dans ce travail, notre premier but était de valider l'utilisation de multimères formés par des complexes peptide:molécules de CMH de class II (pCMH II) pour quantifier la réponse des cellules T CD4 dirigée contre l'épitope HA307-319 dérivé de la protéine hémaglutinine du virus de la grippe et présenté par HLA-DRB1*0401. En analysant des échantillons provenant de volontaires sains ayant reçus un vaccin contre la grippe, nous avons pu démontrer une expansion et une activation transitoires des lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques pour le peptide HA307-319 après vaccination. De plus, les multimères pCMH II nous ont permis d'analyser plus en détails hétérogénéité des cellules T CD4 spécifiques pour le peptide HA307-319 présents dans le sang périphérique d'individus sains. Par la suite, notre but a été d'analyser les réponses des lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques pour l'antigène Melan-A chez des patients atteints de mélanome métastatique. Nous avons tout d'abord démontré la présence de cellules T CD4 spécifiques pour l'épitope Melan-A51-73, présenté par HLA-DRBl*0401, qui avait déjà été préalablement décrit. Ensuite, nous avons décrit et caractérisé 2 nouveaux peptides issus de Melan-A qui sont présentés aux cellules T CD4 par différentes molécules du CMH de clans II. Des cellules spécifiques pour ces deux épitopes ont été trouvées chez 9/ 16 patients analysés. De plus, des multimères pCMH II chargés avec un des épitopes nous ont permis de détecter ex vivo des lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques pour Melan-A dans le sang périphérique d'un patient atteint de mélanome. Mis ensemble, tous ces résultats suggèrent une potentielle utilisation des multimères pCMH II pour analyser en détail les lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques d'antigènes définis. Cependant, le suivi ex vivo de telles cellules ne semble être possible que dans des cas bien particuliers. Néanmoins, les nouveaux épitopes issus de Melan-A et présentés par des molécules du CMH de classe II que nous avons décrits dans cette étude aideront à étudier plus en détails les lymphocytes T CD4 spécifiques pour Melan-A chez des patients atteints de mélanome, un sujet d'étude sur lequel peu de résultats sont à ce jour disponibles. Summary Attempts to develop cancer vaccines based on molecularly defined tumorassociated antigens were initiated more than 10 years ago. Apart from CTLmediated anti-tumor immunity, interests are. now focused on CD4 T cells that are central players of immune responses. The identification of MHC class-II-restricted epitopes from numerous tumor antigens together with the development of monitoring tools offers the opportunity to quantitatively and qualitatively study antigen-specific CD4 T lymphocytes in cancer patients and to induce both CTL and T helper responses in cancer patients. In this work, we first aimed at validating the use of peptide:MHC class II complex (pMHC II) multimers to quantitate the CD4 T cell response against the hemagglutinin-derived epitope HAso~-si9 from influenza virus presented by HLA-DRBl*0401. By analysing samples from healthy volunteers vaccinated with ananti-influenza vaccine, we could demonstrate a transient expansion and activation of HA-specific CD4 T cells after treatment. Moreover, pMHC II multimers helped us to study the heterogeneity of HAspecific CD4 T cells found in peripheral blood of healthy individuals. Then, we aimed to analyse Melan-A-specific CD4 T cell responses in metastatic melanoma patients. We first demonstrated the presence of CD4 T cells specific for the previously described Melan-A51_73 epitope presented by HLA-DRB 1 *0401 in peripheral blood of those patients. Second, we described and characterised 2 new Melan-A-derived peptides that are presented by different MHC II molecules to CD4 T cells. Specific cells for these epitopes were found in 9/ 16 rnelánoma patients analysed. In addition, pMHC II multimers loaded with one of the two epitopes allowed us to detect ex vivo Melan-A-specific CD4 T cells in peripheral blood of a melanoma patient. Together, these results suggest a potential use of pMHC II multimers in analysing in detail antigen-specific CD4 T cells. However, ex vivo monitoring of such cells will be possible only in particular conditions. Nevertheless, the new Melan-A-derived MHC II-restricted epitopes described here will help to study in more detail Melan-A-specific CD4 T cells in melanoma patients, a field where only scarce data are available.

Level of accumulation of epoxy fatty acid in Arabidopsis thaliana expressing a linoleic acid delta12-epoxygenase is influenced by the availability of the substrate linoleic acid.

Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh. expressing the Crepis palaestina (L.) linoleic acid delta12-epoxygenase in its developing seeds typically accumulates low levels of vernolic acid (12,13-epoxy-octadec-cis-9-enoic acid) in comparison to levels found in seeds of the native C. palaestina. In order to determine some of the factors limiting the accumulation of this unusual fatty acid, we have examined the effects of increasing the availability of linoleic acid (9cis, 12cis-octadecadienoic acid), the substrate of the delta12-epoxygenase, on the quantity of epoxy fatty acids accumulating in transgenic A. thaliana. The addition of linoleic acid to liquid cultures of transgenic plants expressing the delta12-epoxygenase under the control of the cauliflower mosaic virus 35S promoter increased the amount of vernolic acid in vegetative tissues by 2.8-fold. In contrast, the addition to these cultures of linoelaidic acid (9trans, 12trans-octadecadienoic acid), which is not a substrate of the delta12-epoxygenase, resulted in a slight decrease in vernolic acid accumulation. Expression of the delta12-epoxygenase under the control of the napin promoter in the A. thaliana triple mutant fad3/fad7-1/fad9, which is deficient in the synthesis of tri-unsaturated fatty acids and has a 60% higher level of linoleic acid than the wild type, was found to increase the average vernolic acid content of the seeds by 55% compared to the expression of the delta12-epoxygenase in a wild-type background. Together, these results reveal that the availability of linoleic acid is an important factor affecting the synthesis of epoxy fatty acid in transgenic plants.

No use for waist-for-height ratio in addition to body mass index to identify children with elevated blood pressure.

Abstract Background. In children, waist-for-height ratio (WHtR) has been proposed to identify subjects at higher risk of cardiovascular diseases. The utility of WHtR to identify children with elevated blood pressure (BP) is unclear. Design. Cross-sectional population-based study of schoolchildren. Methods. Weight, height, waist circumference and BP were measured in all sixth-grade schoolchildren of the canton de Vaud (Switzerland) in 2005/06. WHtR was computed as waist [cm]/height [cm]. Elevated BP was defined according to sex-, age- and height-specific US reference data. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) statistic was computed to compare the ability of body mass index (BMI) z-score and WHtR, alone or in combination, to identify children with elevated BP. Results. 5207 children participated (76% response) [2621 boys, 2586 girls; mean (± SD) age, 12.3 ± 0.5 years; range: 10.1-14.9]. The prevalence of elevated BP was 11%. Mean WHtR was 0.44 ± 0.05 (range: 0.29- 0.77) and 11% had high WHtR (> 0.5). BMI z-score and WHtR were strongly correlated (Spearman correlation coefficient r = 0.76). Both indices were positively associated with elevated BP. AUCs for elevated BP was relatively low for BMI z-score (0.62) or for WHtR (0.62), and was not substantially improved when both indices were considered together (0.63). Conclusions. The ability of BMI z-score or WHtR to identify children aged 10-14 with elevated BP was weak. Adding WHtR did not confer additional discriminative power to BMI alone. These findings do not support the measurement of WHtR in addition to BMI to identify children with elevated BP.

Improving the prediction of plant species distribution and community composition by adding edaphic to topo-climatic variables

Questions Soil properties have been widely shown to influence plant growth and distribution. However, the degree to which edaphic variables can improve models based on topo-climatic variables is still unclear. In this study, we tested the roles of seven edaphic variables, namely (1) pH; (2) the content of nitrogen and of (3) phosphorus; (4) silt; (5) sand; (6) clay and (7) carbon-to-nitrogen ratio, as predictors of species distribution models in an edaphically heterogeneous landscape. We also tested how the respective influence of these variables in the models is linked to different ecological and functional species characteristics. Location The Western Alps, Switzerland. Methods With four different modelling techniques, we built models for 115 plant species using topo-climatic variables alone and then topo-climatic variables plus each of the seven edaphic variables, one at a time. We evaluated the contribution of each edaphic variable by assessing the change in predictive power of the model. In a second step, we evaluated the importance of the two edaphic variables that yielded the largest increase in predictive power in one final set of models for each species. Third, we explored the change in predictive power and the importance of variables across plant functional groups. Finally, we assessed the influence of the edaphic predictors on the prediction of community composition by stacking the models for all species and comparing the predicted communities with the observed community. Results Among the set of edaphic variables studied, pH and nitrogen content showed the highest contributions to improvement of the predictive power of the models, as well as the predictions of community composition. When considering all topo-climatic and edaphic variables together, pH was the second most important variable after degree-days. The changes in model results caused by edaphic predictors were dependent on species characteristics. The predictions for the species that have a low specific leaf area, and acidophilic preferences, tolerating low soil pH and high humus content, showed the largest improvement by the addition of pH and nitrogen in the model. Conclusions pH was an important predictor variable for explaining species distribution and community composition of the mountain plants considered in our study. pH allowed more precise predictions for acidophilic species. This variable should not be neglected in the construction of species distribution models in areas with contrasting edaphic conditions.

Prediction of difficult intubation with advanced face recognition techniques: a preliminary study

Introduction: Difficult tracheal intubation remains a constant and significant source of morbidity and mortality in anaesthetic practice. Insufficient airway assessment in the preoperative period continues to be a major cause of unanticipated difficult intubation. Although many risk factors have already been identified, preoperative airway evaluation is not always regarded as a standard procedure and the respective weight of each risk factor remains unclear. Moreover the predictive scores available are not sensitive, moderately specific and often operator-dependant. In order to improve the preoperative detection of patients at risk for difficult intubation, we developed a system for automated and objective evaluation of morphologic criteria of the face and neck using video recordings and advanced techniques borrowed from face recognition. Method and results: Frontal video sequences were recorded in 5 healthy volunteers. During the video recording, subjects were requested to perform maximal flexion-extension of the neck and to open wide the mouth with tongue pulled out. A robust and real-time face tracking system was then applied, allowing to automatically identify and map a grid of 55 control points on the face, which were tracked during head motion. These points located important features of the face, such as the eyebrows, the nose, the contours of the eyes and mouth, and the external contours, including the chin. Moreover, based on this face tracking, the orientation of the head could also be estimated at each frame of the video sequence. Thus, we could infer for each frame the pitch angle of the head pose (related to the vertical rotation of the head) and obtain the degree of head extension. Morphological criteria used in the most frequent cited predictive scores were also extracted, such as mouth opening, degree of visibility of the uvula or thyreo-mental distance. Discussion and conclusion: Preliminary results suggest the high feasibility of the technique. The next step will be the application of the same automated and objective evaluation to patients who will undergo tracheal intubation. The difficulties related to intubation will be then correlated to the biometric characteristics of the patients. The objective in mind is to analyze the biometrics data with artificial intelligence algorithms to build a highly sensitive and specific predictive test.

Tension-band wiring of olecranon fractures - Biomechanical analysis of different fixation techniques

Tension-band wiring is a recognised standard treatment for fixation of olecranon fractures. The classical operation technique is well known and widespread among the orthopaedic surgeons. Nevertheless complications like K-wire migration or skin perforation and difficult technical as well as anatomical prerequisites require better-adapted operation fixation methods. In older female patients a cut through of the Kirschner wires with concomitant secondary displacement was observed. We intent to develop a new, better adapted operation technique for olecranon fractures in the old patients, in order to decrease complications and follow-up procedures. In this study we compare two different K-wire positions: 10 models of the classical AO tension-banding to 10 models with adapted K-wire insertion. In this group the K-wire passes from the tip of the olecranon to the posterior cortical of the distal fragment of the ulna. We tested maximal failure load, maximal opening angle as well as maximal work to achieve maximal force. In either technique we were able to determine different variables: a maximal failure load of more than 600N (p = 0.94) for both fixation methods and a maximal opening angle for both techniques of about 10° (p = 0.86). To achieve the maximal force our modified technique required a slightly increased work (p = 0.16). In this study no statistical significant differences between the two fixation techniques was shown. This leads to the conclusion that the modified version is comparable to the classical operation technique considering the stability, but due to the adaption of the angle in the modified procedure, less lesions of neurovascular structures on the volar side can be expected. To support our findings cadaver studies are needed for further investigations.

Topics, techniques and applications in urban and regional science in the nineties: a bibliometric analysis

The current state of regional and urban science has been much discussed and a number of studies have speculated on possible future trends in the development of the discipline. However, there has been little empirical analysis of current publication patterns in regional and urban journals. This paper studies the kinds of topics, techniques and data used in articles published in nine top international journals during the 1990s with the aim of identifying current trends in this research field

Carboxyl terminus structural requirements for glycosyl-phosphatidylinositol anchor addition to cell surface proteins.

Glycosyl phosphatidylinositol (GPI)-anchored proteins contain in their COOH-terminal region a peptide segment that is thought to direct glycolipid addition. This signal has been shown to require a pair of small amino acids positioned 10-12 residues upstream of an hydrophobic C-terminal domain. We analysed the contribution of the region separating the anchor acceptor site and the C-terminal hydrophobic segment by introducing amino acid deletions and substitutions in the spacer element of the GPI-anchored Thy-1 glycoprotein. Deletions of 7 amino acids in this region, as well as the introduction of 2 charged residues, prevented the glycolipid addition to Thy-1, suggesting that the length and the primary sequence of the spacer domain are important determinants in the signal directing GPI anchor transfer onto a newly synthesized polypeptide. Furthermore, we tested these rules by creating a truncated form of the normally transmembranous Herpes simplex virus I glycoprotein D (gDI) and demonstrating that when its C-terminal region displays all the features of a GPI-anchored protein, it is able to direct glycolipid addition onto another cell surface molecule.

Laparoscopic aortic surgery: Techniques and results.

OBJECTIVE: This review describes and evaluates the results of laparoscopic aortic surgery. METHODS: We describe the different laparoscopic techniques used to treat aortic disease, including (1) total laparoscopic aortic surgery (TLS), (2) laparoscopy-assisted procedures including hand-assisted laparoscopic surgery (HALS), and (3) robot-assisted laparoscopic surgery, with their current indications. Results of these techniques are analyzed in a systematic review of the clinical series published between 1998 and 2008, each containing >10 patients with complete information concerning operative time, clamping time, conversion rate, length of hospital stay, morbidity, and mortality. RESULTS: We selected and reviewed 29 studies that included 1073 patients. Heterogeneity of the studies and selection of the patients made comparison with current open or endovascular surgery difficult. Median operative time varied widely in TLS, from 240 to 391 minutes. HALS had the shortest operating time. Median clamping time varied from 60 to 146 minutes in TLS and was shorter in HALS. Median hospital stay varied from 4 to 10 days regardless of the laparoscopic technique. The postoperative mortality rate was 2.1% (95% confidence interval, 1.4-3.0), with no significant difference between patients treated for occlusive disease or for aneurysmal disease. Conversion to open surgery was necessary in 8.1% of patients and was slightly higher with TLS than with laparoscopy-assisted techniques (P = .07). CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of these series shows that laparoscopic aortic surgery can be performed safely provided that patient selection is adjusted to the surgeon's experience and conversion is liberally performed. The future of this technique in comparison with endovascular surgery is still unknown, and it is now time for multicenter randomized trials to demonstrate the potential benefit of this type of surgery.