Fiscal policy and private investment: latin america in a comparative perspective

The main objective of the paper is to assess the impact of fiscal variables on private investment comparing some Latin-American economies to other advanced ones. For such purposes, the authors carry out an econometric analysis for the period 1990-2008. They make use of two dynamic panel models in which they group countries with similar characteristics and development levels. In one of them, they include Mexico, Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Uruguay; whereas in the second one the countries accounted for are the U.S., Canada, Spain, Korea, Ireland and Japan. They specify in both models an investment function using as arguments a wide range of variables, including those related with fiscal policy. From their results the authors infer that governments can, with higher spending, boost up the economy even when they finance spending with higher taxes. In Latin America, where income concentration is enormous, a proposal to boost up the economy through higher government expenditure financed with a progressive income tax, is even more justified.

Effects of overvaluation and exchange rate volatility over industrial investment: empirical evidence and economic policy proposals for Brazil

The present article aims to analyze the recent behavior of real exchange rate in Brazil and its effects over investment per worker in Brazilian manufacturing and extractive industry. Preliminary estimates presented in the article shows an over-valuation of 48% of real exchange rate in Brazil. The reaction between the level (and volatility) of real exchange rate and investment (per worker) in Brazil is analyzed by means of a panel data econometric model for 30 sectors of Brazilian manufacturing and extractive industry. The empirical results show that the level and volatility of real exchange rate has a strong effect over investment per worker in Brazilian industry. Finally, we conclude the article presenting a proposal for a new macroeconomic regime that aims to produce an acceleration of economic growth of Brazilian economy and, by that, a catching-up process with developed countries.

Crawling up the value chain: domestic institutions and non-traditional foreign direct investment in Brazil, 1990-2010

Brazil attracted relatively little innovation-intensive and export-oriented foreign investment during the liberalization period of 1990 to 2010, especially compared with competitors such as China and India. Adopting an institutionalist perspective, I argue that multinational firm investment profiles can be partly explained by the characteristics of investment promotion policies and bureaucracies charged with their implementation. Brazil's FDI policies were passive and non-discriminating in the second half of the 1990s, but became more selective under Lula. Investment promotion efforts have often been undercut by weakly coordinated and inconsistent institutions. The paper highlights the need for active, discriminating investment promotion policies if benefits from non-traditional FDI are to be realized.

Aurinkovoimalaitoksen mitoittaminen suunnitteilla olevaan kerrostaloon

Aurinkopaneelien ja inverttereiden hinnat ovat laskeneet viime vuosina, joten au-rinkosähköstä on tullut kannattava sähköntuotantomuoto kiinteistöille. Tässä kandidaatintyössä kerrotaan, kuinka arvioida suunnitteilla olevan rakennuksen peruskuormaa aurinkopaneeleiden asennuksen näkökulmasta. Voimalaitoksen sijoituskohde sijaitsee Järvenpäässä. Kohteessa on 69 huoneistoa 8 kerroksessa ja yhteiset tilat 9. kerroksessa. Voimalaitoksen kannattavuutta tutkitaan simuloimalla tuotantoja ja arvioimalla kulutusta. Tuotantoja simuloidaan HOMER-ohjelmistolla. Rakennuksen kulutusta arvioidaan suunnittelijoilta saatujen tietojen perusteella, ja vanhempien samankaltaisten kohteiden kulutusten perusteella, jotka saadaan Nuuka-portaalista. Saaduista tuloksista huomataan, että nykyisillä sähkönhinnoilla aurinkopaneelit ovat kannattava investointi, vaikka sähköä tuotettaisiin hieman ylimääräistä, joten paneelit voidaan mitoittaa hieman kulutusta suuremmaksi. Takaisinmaksuaika on noin 20 vuotta. Tulokset ovat linjassa vanhempien tutkimusten kanssa. Tuloksista huomataan, myös että paneeleita jakamalla eri ilmansuuntiin saadaan tuotannon huipputeho pienemmäksi ja samalla tuotanto jakautumaan laajemmalle ajanjaksolle. Paneelien hintojen laskettua on kannattavaa asentaa paneeleja epäedullisempiin suuntiin, täten saadaan tuotantoa ajoitettua mahdollisesti paremmin kulutus-ta vastaavaksi. Mitoituksen voi tarkistaa rakennuksen valmistuttua, sillä raken-nuksesta tullaan mittaamaan paneeleiden tuottama sähkö ja kohteen kiinteistösähkönkulutus.

Aurinkosähköjärjestelmä pientaloon

Tässä kandidaatintyössä selvitetään aurinkosähköjärjestelmän rakentamisen kannattavuutta, teknisiä ratkaisuja sekä vaatimuksia pientaloon. Tutkimus suoritetaan tarkasteltavaan kiinteistöön aurinkosähköjärjestelmän teknisten ratkaisumahdollisuuksien sekä taloudellisesti kannattavimman mallin löytämiseksi. Työssä käydään läpi järjestelmän teknisten komponenttien rakennetta ja ominaisuuksia, niille määriteltyjä vaatimuksia sekä hintaa. Työssä myös simuloidaan eri voimalakokonaisuuksien tuotantoa voimalan koon optimoimiseksi kohteelle. Saatujen tulosten perusteella voimalan hankkiminen on vielä kallista ja takaisinmaksuajat pitkiä johtuen järjestelmän kalliista hinnasta. Tulevaisuudessa aurinkosähkö tulee olemaan kannattava investointi samalla, kun yhä enenevissä määrin energistyvässä maailmassa luovutaan fossiilisista polttoaineista niiden ympäristövaikutusten ja resurssien puutteen vuoksi. Aurinkosähkö on yksi potentiaalisista korvaajista tulevaisuudessa ja voimme odottaa järjestelmien hintojen laskevan kilpailun lisääntyessä. Myös valtion tuki tulevaisuudessa on mahdollinen pientuottajillekin.

POLITICAL RISK IN FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN THE RUSSIAN ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR

Russia approved ambitious reform plan for the electricity sector in 2001 including privatisation of the country’s huge thermal generation assets. So far the sector had suffered from power shortages, aging infrastructure, substantial electricity losses, and weak productivity and profitability numbers. There was obvious need for foreign investments and technologies. The reform was rather successful; the generation assets were privatised in auctions in 2007-2008 and three European energy companies, E.On, Enel and Fortum, invested in and obtained together over 10% of the Russian production assets. The novelty of these foreign investments serves unique object for the study. The political risk is involved in the FDI due to the industry’s social and economic importance. The research’s objective was to identify and analyse the political risk that foreign investors face in the Russian electricity sector. The research had qualitative study method and the empirical data was collected by interviewing. The research’s theoretical framework was based on the existing political risk theories and it focused to understand the Russian government in relation to the country’s stability and define both macro-level and micro-level sources of political risk for the foreign direct investments in the sector. The research concludes that the centralised and obscure political decision-making, economic constriction, high level of governmental control in economy and corruption form the country’s internal macro-level risk sources for the foreign investors in the sector. Additionally the retribution due to the companies’ home country actions, possible violent confrontations at the Russian borders and the currency instability are externally originated risk sources. In the electricity industry there is risk of tightened governmental control and increased regulation and taxation. Similarly the company-level risk sources link to the unreformed heating sector, bargaining with the authorities, diplomatic stress between host and home countries and to companies and government’s divergent perspective for the profit-making. The research stresses the foreign companies’ ability to cope with the characteristics of Russian political environment. In addition to frequent political and market risk assessment, the companies need to focus on currency protection against rouble’s rate fluctuation and actively build good company-citizenship in the country. Good relationship is needed with the Russian political authorities. The political risk identification and the research’s conclusive framework also enable political risk study assessments for other industries in Russia

Two-dimensional drift-diffusion simulation of organic solar cells

The aim of this master's thesis is to develop a two-dimensional drift-di usion model, which describes charge transport in organic solar cells. The main bene t of a two-dimensional model compared to a one-dimensional one is the inclusion of the nanoscale morphology of the active layer of a bulk heterojunction solar cell. The developed model was used to study recombination dynamics at the donor-acceptor interface. In some cases, it was possible to determine e ective parameters, which reproduce the results of the two-dimensional model in the one-dimensional case. A summary of the theory of charge transport in semiconductors was presented and discussed in the context of organic materials. Additionally, the normalization and discretization procedures required to nd a numerical solution to the charge transport problem were outlined. The charge transport problem was solved by implementing an iterative scheme called successive over-relaxation. The obtained solution is given as position-dependent electric potential, free charge carrier concentrations and current densities in the active layer. An interfacial layer, separating the pure phases, was introduced in order to describe charge dynamics occurring at the interface between the donor and acceptor. For simplicity, an e ective generation of free charge carriers in the interfacial layer was implemented. The pure phases simply act as transport layers for the photogenerated charges. Langevin recombination was assumed in the two-dimensional model and an analysis of the apparent recombination rate in the one-dimensional case is presented. The recombination rate in a two-dimensional model is seen to e ectively look like reduced Langevin recombination at open circuit. Replicating the J-U curves obtained in the two-dimensional model is, however, not possible by introducing a constant reduction factor in the Langevin recombination rate. The impact of an acceptor domain in the pure donor phase was investigated. Two cases were considered, one where the acceptor domain is isolated and another where it is connected to the bulk of the acceptor. A comparison to the case where no isolated domains exist was done in order to quantify the observed reduction in the photocurrent. The results show that all charges generated at the isolated domain are lost to recombination, but the domain does not have a major impact on charge transport. Trap-assisted recombination at interfacial trap states was investigated, as well as the surface dipole caused by the trapped charges. A theoretical expression for the ideality factor n_id as a function of generation was derived and shown to agree with simulation data. When the theoretical expression was fitted to simulation data, no interface dipole was observed.

TAKING ADVANTAGE OF THE LOCAL ADVANTAGE? - Investment value of the analyst local advantage in the Finnish stock market in 2006–2014

An investor can either conduct independent analysis or rely on the analyses of others. Stock analysts provide markets with expectations regarding particular securities. However, analysts have different capabilities and resources, of which investors are seldom cognizant. The local advantage refers to the advantage stemming from cultural or geographical proximity to securities analyzed. The research has confirmed that local agents are generally more accurate or produce excess returns. This thesis tests the investment value of the local advantage regarding Finnish stocks via target price data. The empirical section investigates the local advantage from several aspects. It is discovered that local analysts were more focused on certain sectors generally located close to consumer markets. Market reactions to target price revisions were generally insignificant with the exception to local positive target prices. Both local and foreign target prices were overly optimistic and exhibited signs of herding. Neither group could be identified as a leader or follower of new information. Additionally, foreign price change expectations were more in line with the quantitative models and ideas such as beta or return mean reversion. The locals were more accurate than foreign analysts in 5 out of 9 sectors and vice versa in one. These sectors were somewhat in line with coverage decisions and buttressed the idea of local advantage stemming from proximity to markets, not to headquarters. The accuracy advantage was dependent on sample years and on the measure used. Local analysts ranked magnitudes of price changes more accurately in optimistic and foreign analysts in pessimistic target prices. Directional accuracy of both groups was under 50% and target prices held no linear predictive power. Investment value of target prices were tested by forming mean-variance efficient portfolios. Parallel to differing accuracies in the levels of expectations foreign portfolio performed better when short sales were allowed and local better when disallowed. Both local and non-local portfolios performed worse than a passive index fund, albeit not statistically significantly. This was in line with previously reported low overall accuracy and different accuracy profiles. Refraining from estimating individual stock returns altogether produced statistically significantly higher Sharpe ratios compared to local or foreign portfolios. The proposed method of testing the investment value of target prices of different groups suffered from some inconsistencies. Nevertheless, these results are of interest to investors seeking the advice of security analysts.

Traités publics de la royale maison de Savoie avec les puissances étrangères, depuis la paix de Cateau-Cambrésis jusqu'à nos jours. Tome 6 / publiés par ordre du roi et présentés à S. M. par le comte Solar de La Marguerite, premier secrétaire d'Etat pour les affaires étrangères, etc.

[Traité (recueil). Royaume de Sardaigne (français)]

Traités publics de la royale maison de Savoie avec les puissances étrangères, depuis la paix de Cateau-Cambrésis jusqu'à nos jours. Tome 3 / publiés par ordre du roi et présentés à S. M. par le comte Solar de La Marguerite, premier secrétaire d'Etat pour les affaires étrangères, etc.

[Traité (recueil). Royaume de Sardaigne (français)]

Traités publics de la royale maison de Savoie avec les puissances étrangères, depuis la paix de Cateau-Cambrésis jusqu'à nos jours. Tome 4 / publiés par ordre du roi et présentés à S. M. par le comte Solar de La Marguerite, premier secrétaire d'Etat pour les affaires étrangères, etc.

[Traité (recueil). Royaume de Sardaigne (français)]

Traités publics de la royale maison de Savoie avec les puissances étrangères, depuis la paix de Cateau-Cambrésis jusqu'à nos jours. Tome 2 / publiés par ordre du roi et présentés à S. M. par le comte Solar de La Marguerite, premier secrétaire d'Etat pour les affaires étrangères, etc.

[Traité (recueil). Royaume de Sardaigne (français)]

Traités publics de la royale maison de Savoie avec les puissances étrangères, depuis la paix de Cateau-Cambrésis jusqu'à nos jours. Tome 5 / publiés par ordre du roi et présentés à S. M. par le comte Solar de La Marguerite, premier secrétaire d'Etat pour les affaires étrangères, etc.

[Traité (recueil). Royaume de Sardaigne (français)]

Feeding rates, parental investment, and brood reduction in Caspian terns (Sterna caspia)

Fresh egg-weights and feeding rates to chicks were related to chick survival as one means of quantifying apportionment of parental investment wi thin broods of Caspian Terns (SterDI casRla) at a colony in Georgian Bay. Lake Huron, during 1978 and 1979. Ftrst-laid eggs from 2-egg clutches were Significantly heavier and usually hatched one to three days earlier than second-laid eggs in both years of the study. In both years, first-hatched chicks were larger and generally better fed than second-hatched siblings. The disparity between feedIng rates of first- and second-hatched ehicks was greater in 1979. Brood feeding I rates correlated positively with the percentage of food fed to the least-fed sibUng through the period of B-chick ages zero to 10 days in 1978. I suggest that after this age period, parental control over whlcb cbick was fed diminished. In 1978, 10 of 16 secondhatched chicks were fed more than their older siblings during their first 5 days. 'lb.is is interpreted as a parental response to reduce the competitive advantage of the larger first-hatched chicks. Most chick losses were apparently caused by starvation or preda. tion. In 1979, seeorvl-hatched chick disappearance (due to predation) was -related to low feeding rates, whereas first-hatched chick disappearance was related to low fresh egg-weights.. First-hatched chicks survived better than second-hatched chicks both years, and more pairs fledged two chicks in 1978. Maximum estimated feeding rates at the nest and fledging ages suggested that food was more avatlable in 1978 than in 1979. In 1979, second eggs apparently functioned as "insurance" eggs. When the first-laid egg falled to hatch, or the first-hatched chick died, the second-hatched chick was often successfully fledged. When first-hatched chicks survived, the second-hatched chick usually starved or was preyed upon, reducing the brood to one chick. Parental investment patterns favored first-hatched chicks. Brood reduction, when employed, discouraged total nest failure, however, under appropriate conditions, brood reduction was avoided and full broods (or two chicks) were fledged.

Passive Solar Building Design Using Genetic Programming

Passive solar building design is the process of designing a building while considering sunlight exposure for receiving heat in winter and rejecting heat in summer. The main goal of a passive solar building design is to remove or reduce the need of mechanical and electrical systems for cooling and heating, and therefore saving energy costs and reducing environmental impact. This research will use evolutionary computation to design passive solar buildings. Evolutionary design is used in many research projects to build 3D models for structures automatically. In this research, we use a mixture of split grammar and string-rewriting for generating new 3D structures. To evaluate energy costs, the EnergyPlus system is used. This is a comprehensive building energy simulation system, which will be used alongside the genetic programming system. In addition, genetic programming will also consider other design and geometry characteristics of the building as search objectives, for example, window placement, building shape, size, and complexity. In passive solar designs, reducing energy that is needed for cooling and heating are two objectives of interest. Experiments show that smaller buildings with no windows and skylights are the most energy efficient models. Window heat gain is another objective used to encourage models to have windows. In addition, window and volume based objectives are tried. To examine the impact of environment on designs, experiments are run on five different geographic locations. Also, both single floor models and multi-floor models are examined in this research. According to the experiments, solutions from the experiments were consistent with respect to materials, sizes, and appearance, and satisfied problem constraints in all instances.