856 resultados para inference algorithms
Resumo:
Heuristic optimization algorithms are of great importance for reaching solutions to various real world problems. These algorithms have a wide range of applications such as cost reduction, artificial intelligence, and medicine. By the term cost, one could imply that that cost is associated with, for instance, the value of a function of several independent variables. Often, when dealing with engineering problems, we want to minimize the value of a function in order to achieve an optimum, or to maximize another parameter which increases with a decrease in the cost (the value of this function). The heuristic cost reduction algorithms work by finding the optimum values of the independent variables for which the value of the function (the “cost”) is the minimum. There is an abundance of heuristic cost reduction algorithms to choose from. We will start with a discussion of various optimization algorithms such as Memetic algorithms, force-directed placement, and evolution-based algorithms. Following this initial discussion, we will take up the working of three algorithms and implement the same in MATLAB. The focus of this report is to provide detailed information on the working of three different heuristic optimization algorithms, and conclude with a comparative study on the performance of these algorithms when implemented in MATLAB. In this report, the three algorithms we will take in to consideration will be the non-adaptive simulated annealing algorithm, the adaptive simulated annealing algorithm, and random restart hill climbing algorithm. The algorithms are heuristic in nature, that is, the solution these achieve may not be the best of all the solutions but provide a means to reach a quick solution that may be a reasonably good solution without taking an indefinite time to implement.
Resumo:
Monte Carlo simulation was used to evaluate properties of a simple Bayesian MCMC analysis of the random effects model for single group Cormack-Jolly-Seber capture-recapture data. The MCMC method is applied to the model via a logit link, so parameters p, S are on a logit scale, where logit(S) is assumed to have, and is generated from, a normal distribution with mean μ and variance σ2 . Marginal prior distributions on logit(p) and μ were independent normal with mean zero and standard deviation 1.75 for logit(p) and 100 for μ ; hence minimally informative. Marginal prior distribution on σ2 was placed on τ2=1/σ2 as a gamma distribution with α=β=0.001 . The study design has 432 points spread over 5 factors: occasions (t) , new releases per occasion (u), p, μ , and σ . At each design point 100 independent trials were completed (hence 43,200 trials in total), each with sample size n=10,000 from the parameter posterior distribution. At 128 of these design points comparisons are made to previously reported results from a method of moments procedure. We looked at properties of point and interval inference on μ , and σ based on the posterior mean, median, and mode and equal-tailed 95% credibility interval. Bayesian inference did very well for the parameter μ , but under the conditions used here, MCMC inference performance for σ was mixed: poor for sparse data (i.e., only 7 occasions) or σ=0 , but good when there were sufficient data and not small σ .