Probabilidades imprecisas: intervalar, fuzzy e fuzzy intuicionista

The idea of considering imprecision in probabilities is old, beginning with the Booles George work, who in 1854 wanted to reconcile the classical logic, which allows the modeling of complete ignorance, with probabilities. In 1921, John Maynard Keynes in his book made explicit use of intervals to represent the imprecision in probabilities. But only from the work ofWalley in 1991 that were established principles that should be respected by a probability theory that deals with inaccuracies. With the emergence of the theory of fuzzy sets by Lotfi Zadeh in 1965, there is another way of dealing with uncertainty and imprecision of concepts. Quickly, they began to propose several ways to consider the ideas of Zadeh in probabilities, to deal with inaccuracies, either in the events associated with the probabilities or in the values of probabilities. In particular, James Buckley, from 2003 begins to develop a probability theory in which the fuzzy values of the probabilities are fuzzy numbers. This fuzzy probability, follows analogous principles to Walley imprecise probabilities. On the other hand, the uses of real numbers between 0 and 1 as truth degrees, as originally proposed by Zadeh, has the drawback to use very precise values for dealing with uncertainties (as one can distinguish a fairly element satisfies a property with a 0.423 level of something that meets with grade 0.424?). This motivated the development of several extensions of fuzzy set theory which includes some kind of inaccuracy. This work consider the Krassimir Atanassov extension proposed in 1983, which add an extra degree of uncertainty to model the moment of hesitation to assign the membership degree, and therefore a value indicate the degree to which the object belongs to the set while the other, the degree to which it not belongs to the set. In the Zadeh fuzzy set theory, this non membership degree is, by default, the complement of the membership degree. Thus, in this approach the non-membership degree is somehow independent of the membership degree, and this difference between the non-membership degree and the complement of the membership degree reveals the hesitation at the moment to assign a membership degree. This new extension today is called of Atanassov s intuitionistic fuzzy sets theory. It is worth noting that the term intuitionistic here has no relation to the term intuitionistic as known in the context of intuitionistic logic. In this work, will be developed two proposals for interval probability: the restricted interval probability and the unrestricted interval probability, are also introduced two notions of fuzzy probability: the constrained fuzzy probability and the unconstrained fuzzy probability and will eventually be introduced two notions of intuitionistic fuzzy probability: the restricted intuitionistic fuzzy probability and the unrestricted intuitionistic fuzzy probability

Fatores abióticos que afetam a distribuição do gênero Astyanax baird & Girard, 1854 em riachos de cabeceiras de Chapada dos Guimarães, bacia do Rio Cuiabá, Mato Grosso

The main factors that influence the species distribution are related mainly with the dispersion capacity, behavior, presence of other species and to the factors physicist-chemistries. Had been evaluated ecological factors that affect the distribution of the genus Astyanax in Chapada dos Guimaraes headstreams, Cuiaba River basin, Mato Grosso, Brazil. Samples in 27 streams had been made in Chapada dos Guimaraes, and the fish had been collected through the method of electric fish, and the ambient data had been analyzed with one technique of called ordinance of Principal Components Analysis (PCA). 250 individuals had been collect, being 95 A. asuncionensis, 62 A. abramis, 36 A. lineatus and 57 individuals had been captured identified like A. scabripinnis (Jenyns, 1842) sensu Eigenmann, 1927. In relation the ambient characteristics, the variables gotten allowed two axes of the PCA, who explain 53,114 % of the variance of the seven variables analyzed. Axle 1, Main Component 1, explained 31,147 % and Axle 2, Main Component 2, explained 21,967 % of the variation of the ambient data. The formation of axle 1 was influenced positively by the depth and negative by the conductivity and pH. The formation of axle 2 was influenced positively by the Turbidity and negative to the Dissolved Oxygen. The ordinance of the species throughout for the axes corroborated for the understanding of the distribution of specimens.

Ultrastructural study of the salivary glands of the sugarcane spittlebug Mahanarva fimbriolata (Stal, 1854) (Euhemiptera : Cercopidae)

Spittlebugs are insects that suck sap from plants and regurgitate saliva containing toxic enzymes into the leaves. As a consequence, the conductive channels are blocked resulting in dry leaves, thus giving a burned aspect to the plantation. This work performed ultrastructural analyses of the salivary glands of the sugarcane spittlebug Mahanarva fimbriolata, since these organs produce the enzymes that are injected into the plants, thus being responsible for the economic losses in the production of sugarcane. Three kinds of secretory cells are found in principal gland, forming the lobules I-IV. The main differences among these cells relate to size, morphology and electron density of the secretory vesicles. The accessory glands contain different secretory vesicles to those in the principal gland. Muscular cells are found around the entire gland. The different secretory vesicles found in both principal and accessory glands indicate that the gland produces different substances or that the secretion in the interior of cells passes through a maturation process. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Population structure of two Astyanax Baird & Girard, 1854 (Teleostei, Characidae) species from upper Paraguaçu river

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

O modelo keynesiano de James Meade

Este artigo reavalia o modelo simplificado da Teoria Geral de Keynes elaborado por James Meade e procura complementar alguns dos argumentos teóricos que Meade deixou apenas indicados. O artigo também responde às solicitações de Frisch a Meade, quanto à explicação do significado de estabilidade e à explicitação dos pressupostos que garantem suas conclusões. Além disso, apresenta alguns dos cálculos não desenvolvidos por Meade, e, quando necessário, suas devidas correções.

Migracion interna en Chile, 1854-1920; caracteristicas de los migrantes

El proyecto de investigacion, base para un estudio a nivel nacional, pretende conocer algunas variables tales como la edad, sexo, profesion, alfabetismo, caracteristicas de la familia, legitimidad y edad de la migracion para varios grupos de migrantes en momentos y lugares diferentes. La principal fuente de informacion son los 7 censos publicados entre 1854 y 1920. Su analisis solo entrega respuestas generales que deben ser completadas con estimaciones de migracion neta calculadas mediante tasas de supervivencia. Utilizando un escaso numero de manuscritos de censos disponibles, se ha podido configurar las caracteristicas basicas del migrante en algunas provincias, pero no su evolucion. Otra fuente de informacion cuantitativa importante son los registros matrimoniales de las parroquias, aunque presentan datos muy parciales. Cada una de las fuentes anteriores entrega informacion sobre distintos grupos de migrantes. Un analisis de sus diferentes resultados para una misma region permitira calificar los meritos de cada una.

Astyanax baird & girard 1854 (Ostariophysi: Characiformes: Characidae) do sistema do Alto rio Paraná: taxonomia

Pós-graduação em Biologia Animal - IBILCE

Tourism and environment case study of Fort James Dickenson Bay, Antigua

Includes bibliography

Diálogos entre literatura e cinema: um estudo sobre The Dead de James Joyce

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Identificação em cana-de-açúcar de genes de resistência a Mahanarva fimbriolata (Stål, 1854) (Hemiptera: Cercopidae)

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

A República Federativa ampliada versus democracia popular: o contributo de James Madison para a formação do sistema republicano norte-americano

Pós-graduação em História - FCHS

Espaço e focalização em The ambassadors, de Henry James

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

A literatura no jornal: José de Alencar e os folhetins de Ao correr da pena (1854-1855)

Pós-graduação em Letras - IBILCE

Danos causados por Mahanarva fimbriolata (STAL, 1854) na qualidade da cana e processo fermentativo

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)