Measures of health and disease in Africa: are current methods giving us useful information about trends in cardiovascular diseases?

An enormous burst of interest in the public health burden from chronic disease in Africa has emerged as a consequence of efforts to estimate global population health. Detailed estimates are now published for Africa as a whole and each country on the continent. These data have formed the basis for warnings about sharp increases in cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the coming decades. In this essay we briefly examine the trajectory of social development on the continent and its consequences for the epidemiology of CVD and potential control strategies. Since full vital registration has only been implemented in segments of South Africa and the island nations of Seychelles and Mauritius - formally part of WHO-AFRO - mortality data are extremely limited. Numerous sample surveys have been conducted but they often lack standardization or objective measures of health status. Trend data are even less informative. However, using the best quality data available, age-standardized trends in CVD are downward, and in the case of stroke, sharply so. While acknowledging that the extremely limited available data cannot be used as the basis for inference to the continent, we raise the concern that general estimates based on imputation to fill in the missing mortality tables may be even more misleading. No immediate remedies to this problem can be identified, however bilateral collaborative efforts to strength local educational institutions and governmental agencies rank as the highest priority for near term development.

Efforts to standardise Ki-67 counting in breast cancer. A pilot study of the Swiss Working Group of Gyneco- and Breast Pathologists

Goals: Adjuvant chemotherapy decisions in breast cancer are increasing based on the pathologist's assessment of the proliferation fraction in the tumor. Yet, how good and how reproducible are we pathologists at providing reliable Ki-67 readings on breast carcinomas. Exactly how to count and in which areas to count within a tumor remains inadequately standardized. The Swiss Working Group of Gyneco- and Breast Pathologists has tried to appreciate this dilemma and to propose ways to obtain more reproducible results.Methods: In a first phase, 5 pathologists evaluated Ki67 counts in 10 breast cancers by exact counting (500 cells) and by eyeballing. Pathologists were free to select the region in which Ki67 was evaluated. In a second phase 16 pathologists evaluated Ki-67 counts in 3 breast cancers also by exact counting and eyeballing, but in predefined fields of interest. In both phases, Ki67 was assessed in centrally immunostained slides (ZH) and on slides immunostained in the 11 participating laboratories. In a third phase, these same 16 pathologists were once again asked to read the 3 cases from phase 2, plus three new cases, and this time exact guidelines were provided as to what exactly is considered a Ki-67 positive nucleus.Results: Discordance of Ki67 assessment was due to each of the following 4 factors: (i) pathologists' divergent definitions of what counts as a positive nucleus (ii) the mode of assessment (counting vs. eyeballing), (iii) immunostaining technique/protocol/antibody, and (iv) the selection of the area in which to count.Conclusion: Providing guidelines as to where to count (representative field in the tumor periphery and omitting hot spots) and what nuclei to count (even faintly immunostained nuclei count as positive) reduces the discordance rates of Ki67 readings between pathologists. Laboratory technique is only of minor importance (even over a large antibody dilution range), and counting nuclei does not improve accuracy, but rather aggravates deviations from the group mean values.Disclosure of Interest: None Declared

Changes in the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics after withdrawal of cefepime from the market: an interrupted time series analysis

Background and objective: Cefepime was one of the most used broad-spectrum antibiotics in Swiss public acute care hospitals. The drug was withdrawn from market in January 2007, and then replaced by a generic since October 2007. The goal of the study was to evaluate changes in the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics after the withdrawal of the cefepime original product. Design: A generalized regression-based interrupted time series model incorporating autocorrelated errors assessed how much the withdrawal changed the monthly use of other broad-spectrum antibiotics (ceftazidime, imipenem/cilastin, meropenem, piperacillin/ tazobactam) in defined daily doses (DDD)/100 bed-days from January 2004 to December 2008 [1, 2]. Setting: 10 Swiss public acute care hospitals (7 with\200 beds, 3 with 200-500 beds). Nine hospitals (group A) had a shortage of cefepime and 1 hospital had no shortage thanks to importation of cefepime from abroad. Main outcome measures: Underlying trend of use before the withdrawal, and changes in the level and in the trend of use after the withdrawal. Results: Before the withdrawal, the average estimated underlying trend (coefficient b1) for cefepime was decreasing by -0.047 (95% CI -0.086, -0.009) DDD/100 bed-days per month and was significant in three hospitals (group A, P\0.01). Cefepime withdrawal was associated with a significant increase in level of use (b2) of piperacillin/tazobactam and imipenem/cilastin in, respectively, one and five hospitals from group A. After the withdrawal, the average estimated trend (b3) was greatest for piperacillin/tazobactam (+0.043 DDD/100 bed-days per month; 95% CI -0.001, 0.089) and was significant in four hospitals from group A (P\0.05). The hospital without drug shortage showed no significant change in the trend and the level of use. The hypothesis of seasonality was rejected in all hospitals. Conclusions: The decreased use of cefepime already observed before its withdrawal from the market could be explained by pre-existing difficulty in drug supply. The withdrawal of cefepime resulted in change in level for piperacillin/tazobactam and imipenem/cilastin. Moreover, an increase in trend was found for piperacillin/tazobactam thereafter. As these changes generally occur at the price of lower bacterial susceptibility, a manufacturers' commitment to avoid shortages in the supply of their products would be important. As perspectives, we will measure the impact of the changes in cost and sensitivity rates of these antibiotics.

Effect of swine residue rates on corn, common bean, soybean and wheat yield

Swine residue (SR) applied as nutrient source of crops such as corn, bean, soybean and wheat, besides representing an environmental-friendly way of disposing of organic waste resulting from swine production, may significantly increase grain yields, replacing mineral fertilizer. The objective was to evaluate the effect of SR rates on corn, common bean, soybean and wheat yields from 2002 to 2007, in comparison with mineral fertilizer. The experiment was carried out at the Instituto Agronômico do Paraná - IAPAR, Pato Branco, PR and consisted of increasing SR rates (0, 15, 30, 45, and 60 m³ ha-1) and one treatment with mineral fertilizer (NPK 4-30-10), using 250 kg ha-1 for bean and 300 kg ha-1 for corn, soybean and wheat. Also, in the treatment with mineral fertilizer, 60, 120 and 90 kg ha-1 N was applied as topdressing to bean, corn and wheat, respectively. There were significant increases of grain yield in all evaluated years and crops with increasing SR rates, especially in the grass species under study. Also, with increasing SR rates applied every six months, K, P, Ca and Mg were accumulated in the soil and the pH increased. The application of 60 m³ ha-1 SR increased yields and exceeded the yield obtained with the recommended mineral fertilizer, indicating this amount as adequate for these crops.

Coarsening of solid-liquid mixtures in a random acceleration field

The effects of flow induced by a random acceleration field (g-jitter) are considered in two related situations that are of interest for microgravity fluid experiments: the random motion of isolated buoyant particles, and diffusion driven coarsening of a solid-liquid mixture. We start by analyzing in detail actual accelerometer data gathered during a recent microgravity mission, and obtain the values of the parameters defining a previously introduced stochastic model of this acceleration field. The diffusive motion of a single solid particle suspended in an incompressible fluid that is subjected to such random accelerations is considered, and mean squared velocities and effective diffusion coefficients are explicitly given. We next study the flow induced by an ensemble of such particles, and show the existence of a hydrodynamically induced attraction between pairs of particles at distances large compared with their radii, and repulsion at short distances. Finally, a mean field analysis is used to estimate the effect of g-jitter on diffusion controlled coarsening of a solid-liquid mixture. Corrections to classical coarsening rates due to the induced fluid motion are calculated, and estimates are given for coarsening of Sn-rich particles in a Sn-Pb eutectic fluid, an experiment to be conducted in microgravity in the near future.

Soluble carbon in oxisol under the effect of organic residue rates

The application of organic residues to the soil can increase soluble organic carbon (SOC) and affect the pH and electrolytic conductivity (EC) of the soil. However, the magnitude of these changes depends on the type of residue and the applied dose. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of increasing C rates contained in organic residue on the pH, EC, water-extractable total carbon (WETC), water-extractable organic carbon (WEOC), and water-extractable inorganic carbon (WEIC) in soil treated with manure (chicken, swine, and quail), sawdust, coffee husk, and sewage sludge. The levels of total C (TC- KH2PO4), organic carbon (OC- KH2PO4), and inorganic C (IC- KH2PO4) extractable by a 0.1 mol L-1 KH2PO4 solution were also quantified in soil under the effect of increasing rates of chicken and quail manures. The following rates of organic residue C were applied to a dystrophic Red Latosol (Oxisol) sample: 0, 2,000, 5,000, 10,000, and 20,000 mg kg-1. The addition of organic residues to the soil increased pH, except in the case of sewage sludge, which acidified the soil. The acidity correction potential of chicken and quail manure was highest, dependent on the manure rate applied; regardless of the dose used, sawdust barely alters the soil pH. At all tested rates, the EC of the soil treated with swine manure, coffee husk, and sawdust remained below 2.0 dS m-1, which is a critical level for salinity-sensitive crops. However, the application of chicken or quail manure and sewage sludge at certain rates increased the EC to values above this threshold level. Highest levels of WETC, WEOC, and WEIC were obtained when chicken and quail manure and coffee husk were applied to the Oxisol. The quantities of SOC extracted by KH2PO4 were higher than the quantities extracted by water, demonstrating the ability of soil to adsorb C into its colloids.

Multiscale descriptions of density-driven flow instabilities in porous media

Les instabilités engendrées par des gradients de densité interviennent dans une variété d'écoulements. Un exemple est celui de la séquestration géologique du dioxyde de carbone en milieux poreux. Ce gaz est injecté à haute pression dans des aquifères salines et profondes. La différence de densité entre la saumure saturée en CO2 dissous et la saumure environnante induit des courants favorables qui le transportent vers les couches géologiques profondes. Les gradients de densité peuvent aussi être la cause du transport indésirable de matières toxiques, ce qui peut éventuellement conduire à la pollution des sols et des eaux. La gamme d'échelles intervenant dans ce type de phénomènes est très large. Elle s'étend de l'échelle poreuse où les phénomènes de croissance des instabilités s'opèrent, jusqu'à l'échelle des aquifères à laquelle interviennent les phénomènes à temps long. Une reproduction fiable de la physique par la simulation numérique demeure donc un défi en raison du caractère multi-échelles aussi bien au niveau spatial et temporel de ces phénomènes. Il requiert donc le développement d'algorithmes performants et l'utilisation d'outils de calculs modernes. En conjugaison avec les méthodes de résolution itératives, les méthodes multi-échelles permettent de résoudre les grands systèmes d'équations algébriques de manière efficace. Ces méthodes ont été introduites comme méthodes d'upscaling et de downscaling pour la simulation d'écoulements en milieux poreux afin de traiter de fortes hétérogénéités du champ de perméabilité. Le principe repose sur l'utilisation parallèle de deux maillages, le premier est choisi en fonction de la résolution du champ de perméabilité (grille fine), alors que le second (grille grossière) est utilisé pour approximer le problème fin à moindre coût. La qualité de la solution multi-échelles peut être améliorée de manière itérative pour empêcher des erreurs trop importantes si le champ de perméabilité est complexe. Les méthodes adaptatives qui restreignent les procédures de mise à jour aux régions à forts gradients permettent de limiter les coûts de calculs additionnels. Dans le cas d'instabilités induites par des gradients de densité, l'échelle des phénomènes varie au cours du temps. En conséquence, des méthodes multi-échelles adaptatives sont requises pour tenir compte de cette dynamique. L'objectif de cette thèse est de développer des algorithmes multi-échelles adaptatifs et efficaces pour la simulation des instabilités induites par des gradients de densité. Pour cela, nous nous basons sur la méthode des volumes finis multi-échelles (MsFV) qui offre l'avantage de résoudre les phénomènes de transport tout en conservant la masse de manière exacte. Dans la première partie, nous pouvons démontrer que les approximations de la méthode MsFV engendrent des phénomènes de digitation non-physiques dont la suppression requiert des opérations de correction itératives. Les coûts de calculs additionnels de ces opérations peuvent toutefois être compensés par des méthodes adaptatives. Nous proposons aussi l'utilisation de la méthode MsFV comme méthode de downscaling: la grille grossière étant utilisée dans les zones où l'écoulement est relativement homogène alors que la grille plus fine est utilisée pour résoudre les forts gradients. Dans la seconde partie, la méthode multi-échelle est étendue à un nombre arbitraire de niveaux. Nous prouvons que la méthode généralisée est performante pour la résolution de grands systèmes d'équations algébriques. Dans la dernière partie, nous focalisons notre étude sur les échelles qui déterminent l'évolution des instabilités engendrées par des gradients de densité. L'identification de la structure locale ainsi que globale de l'écoulement permet de procéder à un upscaling des instabilités à temps long alors que les structures à petite échelle sont conservées lors du déclenchement de l'instabilité. Les résultats présentés dans ce travail permettent d'étendre les connaissances des méthodes MsFV et offrent des formulations multi-échelles efficaces pour la simulation des instabilités engendrées par des gradients de densité. - Density-driven instabilities in porous media are of interest for a wide range of applications, for instance, for geological sequestration of CO2, during which CO2 is injected at high pressure into deep saline aquifers. Due to the density difference between the C02-saturated brine and the surrounding brine, a downward migration of CO2 into deeper regions, where the risk of leakage is reduced, takes place. Similarly, undesired spontaneous mobilization of potentially hazardous substances that might endanger groundwater quality can be triggered by density differences. Over the last years, these effects have been investigated with the help of numerical groundwater models. Major challenges in simulating density-driven instabilities arise from the different scales of interest involved, i.e., the scale at which instabilities are triggered and the aquifer scale over which long-term processes take place. An accurate numerical reproduction is possible, only if the finest scale is captured. For large aquifers, this leads to problems with a large number of unknowns. Advanced numerical methods are required to efficiently solve these problems with today's available computational resources. Beside efficient iterative solvers, multiscale methods are available to solve large numerical systems. Originally, multiscale methods have been developed as upscaling-downscaling techniques to resolve strong permeability contrasts. In this case, two static grids are used: one is chosen with respect to the resolution of the permeability field (fine grid); the other (coarse grid) is used to approximate the fine-scale problem at low computational costs. The quality of the multiscale solution can be iteratively improved to avoid large errors in case of complex permeability structures. Adaptive formulations, which restrict the iterative update to domains with large gradients, enable limiting the additional computational costs of the iterations. In case of density-driven instabilities, additional spatial scales appear which change with time. Flexible adaptive methods are required to account for these emerging dynamic scales. The objective of this work is to develop an adaptive multiscale formulation for the efficient and accurate simulation of density-driven instabilities. We consider the Multiscale Finite-Volume (MsFV) method, which is well suited for simulations including the solution of transport problems as it guarantees a conservative velocity field. In the first part of this thesis, we investigate the applicability of the standard MsFV method to density- driven flow problems. We demonstrate that approximations in MsFV may trigger unphysical fingers and iterative corrections are necessary. Adaptive formulations (e.g., limiting a refined solution to domains with large concentration gradients where fingers form) can be used to balance the extra costs. We also propose to use the MsFV method as downscaling technique: the coarse discretization is used in areas without significant change in the flow field whereas the problem is refined in the zones of interest. This enables accounting for the dynamic change in scales of density-driven instabilities. In the second part of the thesis the MsFV algorithm, which originally employs one coarse level, is extended to an arbitrary number of coarse levels. We prove that this keeps the MsFV method efficient for problems with a large number of unknowns. In the last part of this thesis, we focus on the scales that control the evolution of density fingers. The identification of local and global flow patterns allows a coarse description at late times while conserving fine-scale details during onset stage. Results presented in this work advance the understanding of the Multiscale Finite-Volume method and offer efficient dynamic multiscale formulations to simulate density-driven instabilities. - Les nappes phréatiques caractérisées par des structures poreuses et des fractures très perméables représentent un intérêt particulier pour les hydrogéologues et ingénieurs environnementaux. Dans ces milieux, une large variété d'écoulements peut être observée. Les plus communs sont le transport de contaminants par les eaux souterraines, le transport réactif ou l'écoulement simultané de plusieurs phases non miscibles, comme le pétrole et l'eau. L'échelle qui caractérise ces écoulements est définie par l'interaction de l'hétérogénéité géologique et des processus physiques. Un fluide au repos dans l'espace interstitiel d'un milieu poreux peut être déstabilisé par des gradients de densité. Ils peuvent être induits par des changements locaux de température ou par dissolution d'un composé chimique. Les instabilités engendrées par des gradients de densité revêtent un intérêt particulier puisque qu'elles peuvent éventuellement compromettre la qualité des eaux. Un exemple frappant est la salinisation de l'eau douce dans les nappes phréatiques par pénétration d'eau salée plus dense dans les régions profondes. Dans le cas des écoulements gouvernés par les gradients de densité, les échelles caractéristiques de l'écoulement s'étendent de l'échelle poreuse où les phénomènes de croissance des instabilités s'opèrent, jusqu'à l'échelle des aquifères sur laquelle interviennent les phénomènes à temps long. Etant donné que les investigations in-situ sont pratiquement impossibles, les modèles numériques sont utilisés pour prédire et évaluer les risques liés aux instabilités engendrées par les gradients de densité. Une description correcte de ces phénomènes repose sur la description de toutes les échelles de l'écoulement dont la gamme peut s'étendre sur huit à dix ordres de grandeur dans le cas de grands aquifères. Il en résulte des problèmes numériques de grande taille qui sont très couteux à résoudre. Des schémas numériques sophistiqués sont donc nécessaires pour effectuer des simulations précises d'instabilités hydro-dynamiques à grande échelle. Dans ce travail, nous présentons différentes méthodes numériques qui permettent de simuler efficacement et avec précision les instabilités dues aux gradients de densité. Ces nouvelles méthodes sont basées sur les volumes finis multi-échelles. L'idée est de projeter le problème original à une échelle plus grande où il est moins coûteux à résoudre puis de relever la solution grossière vers l'échelle de départ. Cette technique est particulièrement adaptée pour résoudre des problèmes où une large gamme d'échelle intervient et évolue de manière spatio-temporelle. Ceci permet de réduire les coûts de calculs en limitant la description détaillée du problème aux régions qui contiennent un front de concentration mobile. Les aboutissements sont illustrés par la simulation de phénomènes tels que l'intrusion d'eau salée ou la séquestration de dioxyde de carbone.

Do Rates and Splitting of Phosphogypsum Applications Influence the Soil and Annual Crops in a No-Tillage System?

ABSTRACT Applications of phosphogypsum (PG) provide nutrients to the soil and reduce Al3+ activity, favoring soil fertility and root growth, but allow Mg2+ mobilization through the soil profile, resulting in variations in the PG rate required to achieve the optimum crop yield. This study evaluated the effect of application rates and splitting of PG on soil fertility of a Typic Hapludox, as well as the influence on annual crops under no-tillage. Using a (4 × 3) + 1 factorial structure, the treatments consisted of four PG rates (3, 6, 9, and 12 Mg ha-1) and three split applications (P1 = 100 % in 2009; P2 = 50+50 % in 2009 and 2010; P3 = 33+33+33 % in 2009, 2010 and 2011), plus a control without PG. The soil was sampled six months after the last PG application, in stratified layers to a depth of 0.8 m. Corn, wheat and soybean were sown between November 2011 and December 2012, and leaf samples were collected for analysis when at least 50 % of the plants showed reproductive structures. The application of PG increased Ca2+ concentrations in all sampled soil layers and the soil pH between 0.2 and 0.8 m, and reduced the concentrations of Al3+ in all layers and of Mg2+ to a depth of 0.6 m, without any effect of splitting the applications. The soil Ca/Mg ratio increased linearly to a depth of 0.6 m with the rates and were found to be higher in the 0.0-0.1 m layer of the P2 and P3 treatments than without splitting (P1). Sulfur concentrations increased linearly by application rates to a depth of 0.8 m, decreasing in the order P3>P2>P1 to a depth of 0.4 m and were higher in the treatments P3 and P2 than P1 between 0.4-0.6 m, whereas no differences were observed in the 0.6-0.8 m layer. No effect was recorded for K, P and potential acidity (H+Al). The leaf Ca and S concentration increased, while Mg decreased for all crops treated with PG, and there was no effect of splitting the application. The yield response of corn to PG rates was quadratic, with the maximum technical efficiency achieved at 6.38 Mg ha-1 of PG, while wheat yield increased linearly in a growing season with a drought period. Soybean yield was not affected by the PG rate, and splitting had no effect on the yield of any of the crops. Phosphogypsum improved soil fertility in the profile, however, Mg2+ migrated downwards, regardless of application splitting. Splitting the PG application induced a higher Ca/Mg ratio in the 0.0-0.1 m layer and less S leaching, but did not affect the crop yield. The application rates had no effect on soybean yield, but were beneficial for corn and, especially, for wheat, which was affected by a drought period during growth.

Analysis of gene expression patterns in animals

During my PhD, my aim was to provide new tools to increase our capacity to analyse gene expression patterns, and to study on a large-scale basis the evolution of gene expression in animals. Gene expression patterns (when and where a gene is expressed) are a key feature in understanding gene function, notably in development. It appears clear now that the evolution of developmental processes and of phenotypes is shaped both by evolution at the coding sequence level, and at the gene expression level.Studying gene expression evolution in animals, with complex expression patterns over tissues and developmental time, is still challenging. No tools are available to routinely compare expression patterns between different species, with precision, and on a large-scale basis. Studies on gene expression evolution are therefore performed only on small genes datasets, or using imprecise descriptions of expression patterns.The aim of my PhD was thus to develop and use novel bioinformatics resources, to study the evolution of gene expression. To this end, I developed the database Bgee (Base for Gene Expression Evolution). The approach of Bgee is to transform heterogeneous expression data (ESTs, microarrays, and in-situ hybridizations) into present/absent calls, and to annotate them to standard representations of anatomy and development of different species (anatomical ontologies). An extensive mapping between anatomies of species is then developed based on hypothesis of homology. These precise annotations to anatomies, and this extensive mapping between species, are the major assets of Bgee, and have required the involvement of many co-workers over the years. My main personal contribution is the development and the management of both the Bgee database and the web-application.Bgee is now on its ninth release, and includes an important gene expression dataset for 5 species (human, mouse, drosophila, zebrafish, Xenopus), with the most data from mouse, human and zebrafish. Using these three species, I have conducted an analysis of gene expression evolution after duplication in vertebrates.Gene duplication is thought to be a major source of novelty in evolution, and to participate to speciation. It has been suggested that the evolution of gene expression patterns might participate in the retention of duplicate genes. I performed a large-scale comparison of expression patterns of hundreds of duplicated genes to their singleton ortholog in an outgroup, including both small and large-scale duplicates, in three vertebrate species (human, mouse and zebrafish), and using highly accurate descriptions of expression patterns. My results showed unexpectedly high rates of de novo acquisition of expression domains after duplication (neofunctionalization), at least as high or higher than rates of partitioning of expression domains (subfunctionalization). I found differences in the evolution of expression of small- and large-scale duplicates, with small-scale duplicates more prone to neofunctionalization. Duplicates with neofunctionalization seemed to evolve under more relaxed selective pressure on the coding sequence. Finally, even with abundant and precise expression data, the majority fate I recovered was neither neo- nor subfunctionalization of expression domains, suggesting a major role for other mechanisms in duplicate gene retention.

Role of ATP-dependent potassium channels in pulmonary vascular tone of fetal lambs with congenital diaphragmatic hernia.

High mortality in newborn babies with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) is principally due to persistent pulmonary hypertension. ATP-dependent potassium (K(ATP)) channels might modulate pulmonary vascular tone. We have assessed the effects of Pinacidil, a K(ATP) channel opener, and glibenclamide (GLI), a K(ATP) channel blocker, in near full-term lambs with and without CDH. In vivo, pulmonary hemodynamics were assessed by means of pressure and blood flow catheters. In vitro, we used isolated pulmonary vessels and immunohistochemistry to detect the presence of K(ATP) channels in pulmonary tissue. In vivo, pinacidil (2 mg) significantly reduced pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) in both controls and CDH animals. GLI (30 mg) significantly increased pulmonary arterial pressure (PAP) and PVR in control animals only. In vitro, pinacidil (10 microM) relaxed, precontracted arteries from lambs with and without CDH. GLI (10(-5) microM) did not raise the basal tone of vessels. We conclude that activation of K(ATP) channels could be of interest to reduce pulmonary vascular tone in fetal lambs with CDH, a condition often associated with persistent pulmonary hypertension of the newborn.

Development and Demonstration of a Freezing Drizzle Algorithm for Roadway Environmental Sensing Systems, Final Report, October 2012

The primary goal of this project is to demonstrate the accuracy and utility of a freezing drizzle algorithm that can be implemented on roadway environmental sensing systems (ESSs). The types of problems related to the occurrence of freezing precipitation range from simple traffic delays to major accidents that involve fatalities. Freezing drizzle can also lead to economic impacts in communities with lost work hours, vehicular damage, and downed power lines. There are means for transportation agencies to perform preventive and reactive treatments to roadways, but freezing drizzle can be difficult to forecast accurately or even detect as weather radar and surface observation networks poorly observe these conditions. The detection of freezing precipitation is problematic and requires special instrumentation and analysis. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) development of aircraft anti-icing and deicing technologies has led to the development of a freezing drizzle algorithm that utilizes air temperature data and a specialized sensor capable of detecting ice accretion. However, at present, roadway ESSs are not capable of reporting freezing drizzle. This study investigates the use of the methods developed for the FAA and the National Weather Service (NWS) within a roadway environment to detect the occurrence of freezing drizzle using a combination of icing detection equipment and available ESS sensors. The work performed in this study incorporated the algorithm developed initially and further modified for work with the FAA for aircraft icing. The freezing drizzle algorithm developed for the FAA was applied using data from standard roadway ESSs. The work performed in this study lays the foundation for addressing the central question of interest to winter maintenance professionals as to whether it is possible to use roadside freezing precipitation detection (e.g., icing detection) sensors to determine the occurrence of pavement icing during freezing precipitation events and the rates at which this occurs.

METABOLIC EFFECTS OF DIETARY PROTEINS

SUMMARY :Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is characterized by an elevated intra- hepatocellular lipid (IHCL) concentration (> 5%). The incidence of NAFLD is frequently increased in obese patients, and is considered to be the hepatic component of the metabolic syndrome. The metabolic syndrome, also characterized by visceral obesity, altered glucose homeostasis, insulin resistance, dyslipidemia, and high blood pressure, represents actually a major public health burden. Both dietary factors and low physical activity are involved in the development of the metabolic syndrome. ln animals and healthy humans, high-fat or high-fructose diets lead to the development of several features of the metabolic syndrome including increased intrahepatic lipids and insulin resistance. ln contrast the effects of dietary protein are less well known, but an increase in protein intake has been suggested to exert beneficial effects by promoting weight loss and improving glucose homeostasis in insulin-resistant patients. Increased postprandial thermogenesis and enhanced satiety after protein ingestion may be both involved. The effects of dietary protein on hepatic lipids have been poorly investigated in humans, but preliminary studies in rodents have shown a reduction of hepatic lipids in carbohydrate fed rats and in obese rats. ln this context this work aimed at investigating the metabolic effects of dietary protein intake on hepatic lipid metabolism and glucose homeostasis in humans. The modulation by dietary proteins of exogenous lipid oxidation, net lipid oxidation, hepatic beta-oxidation, triglycerides concentrations, whole-body energy expenditure and glucose tolerance was assessed in the fasting state and in postprandial states. Measurements of IHCL were performed to quantify the amount of triglycerides in the liver. ln an attempt to cover all these metabolic aspects under different point of views, these questions were addressed by three protocols involving various feeding conditions. Study I addressed the effects of a 4-day hypercaloric high-fat high-protein diet on the accumulation of fat in the liver (IHCL) and on insulin sensitivity. Our findings indicated that a high protein intake significantly prevents intrahepatic fat deposition induced by a short- term hypercaloric high-fat diet, adverse effects of which are presumably modulated at the liver level.These encouraging results led us to conduct the second study (Study ll), as we were also interested in a more clinical approach to protein administration and especially if increased protein intakes might be of benefit for obese patients. Therefore the effects of one-month whey protein supplementation on IHCL, insulin sensitivity, lipid metabolism, glucose tolerance and renal function were assessed in obese women. Results showed that whey protein supplementation reduces hepatic steatosis and improves the plasma lipid profile in obese patients, without adverse effects on glucose tolerance or creatinine clearance. However since patients were fed ud-libitum, it remains possible that spontaneous carbohydrate and fat intakes were reduced due to the satiating effects of protein. The third study (Study lll) was designed in an attempt to deepen our comprehension about the mechanisms involved in the modulation of IHCL. We hypothesized that protein improved lipid metabolism and, therefore, we evaluated the effects of a high protein meal on postprandial lipid metabolism and glucose homeostasis after 4-day on a control or a protein diet. Our results did not sustain the hypothesis of an increased postprandial net lipid oxidation, hepatic beta oxidation and exogenous lipid oxidation. Four days on a high-protein diet rather decreased exogenous fat oxidation and enhanced postprandial triglyceride concentrations, by impairing probably chylomicron-TG clearance. Altogether the results of these three studies suggest a beneficial effect of protein intake on the reduction in lHCL, and clearly show that supplementation of proteins do not reduce IHCL by stimulating lipid metabolism, e.g. whole body fat oxidation, hepatic beta oxidation, or exogenous fat oxidation. The question of the effects of high-protein intakes on hepatic lipid metabolism is still open and will need further investigation to be elucidated. The effects of protein on increased postprandial lipemia and lipoproteins kinetics have been little investigated so far and might therefore be an interesting research question, considering the tight relationship between an elevation of plasmatic TG concentrations and the increased incidence of cardiovascular diseases.Résumé :La stéatose hépatique non alcoolique se caractérise par un taux de lipides intra-hépatiques élevé, supérieur à 5%. L'incidence de la stéatose hépatique est fortement augmentée chez les personnes obèses, ce qui mène à la définir comme étant la composante hépatique du syndrome métabolique. Ce syndrome se définit aussi par d'autres critères tels qu'obésité viscérale, altération de l'homéostasie du glucose, résistance à l'insuline, dyslipidémie et pression artérielle élevée. Le syndrome métabolique est actuellement un problème de santé publique majeur.Tant une alimentation trop riche et déséquilibrée, qu'une faible activité physique, semblent être des causes pouvant expliquer le développement de ce syndrome. Chez l'animal et le volontaire sain, des alimentations enrichies en graisses ou en sucres (fructose) favorisent le développement de facteurs associés au syndrome métabolique, notamment en augmentant le taux de lipides intra-hépatiques et en induisant le développement d'une résistance à l'insuline. Par ailleurs, les effets des protéines alimentaires sont nettement moins bien connus, mais il semblerait qu'une augmentation de l'apport en protéines soit bénéfique, favorisant la perte de poids et l'homéostasie du glucose chez des patients insulino-résistants. Une augmentation de la thermogenese postprandiale ainsi que du sentiment de satiété pourraient en être à l'origine.Les effets des protéines sur les lipides intra-hépatiques chez l'homme demeurent inconnus à ce jour, cependant des études préliminaires chez les rongeurs tendent à démontrer une diminution des lipides intra hépatiques chez des rats nourris avec une alimentation riche en sucres ou chez des rats obèses.Dans un tel contexte de recherche, ce travail s'est intéressé à l'étude des effets métaboliques des protéines alimentaires sur le métabolisme lipidique du foie et sur l'homéostasie du glucose. Ce travail propose d'évaluer l'effet des protéines alimentaires sur différentes voies métaboliques impliquant graisses et sucres, en ciblant d'une part les voies de l'oxydation des graisses exogènes, de la beta-oxydation hépatique et de l'oxydation nette des lipides, et d'autre part la dépense énergétique globale et l'évolution des concentrations sanguines des triglycérides, à jeun et en régime postprandial. Des mesures des lipides intra-hépatiques ont aussi été effectuées pour permettre la quantification des graisses déposées dans le foie.Dans le but de couvrir l'ensemble de ces aspects métaboliques sous différents angles de recherche, trois protocoles, impliquant des conditions alimentaires différentes, ont été entrepris pour tenter de répondre à ces questions. La première étude (Etude I) s'est intéressée aux effets d'u.ne suralimentation de 4 jours enrichie en graisses et protéines sur la sensibilité à l'insuline et sur l'accumulation de graisses intra-hépatiques. Les résultats ont démontré que l'apport en protéines prévient l'accumulation de graisses intra-hépatiques induite par une suralimentation riche en graisses de courte durée ainsi que ses effets délétères probablement par le biais de mécanismes agissant au niveau du foie. Ces résultats encourageants nous ont conduits à entreprendre une seconde étude (Etude ll) qui s'intéressait à l'implication clinique et aux bénéfices que pouvait avoir une supplémentation en protéines sur les graisses hépatiques de patients obèses. Ainsi nous avons évalué pendant un mois de supplémentation l'effet de protéines de lactosérum sur le taux de graisses intrahépatiques, la sensibilité à l'insuline, la tolérance au glucose, le métabolisme des graisses et la fonction rénale chez des femmes obèses. Les résultats ont été encourageants; la supplémentation en lactosérum améliore la stéatose hépatique, le profil lipidique des patientes obèses sans pour autant altérer la tolérance au glucose ou la clairance de la créatinine. L'effet satiétogene des protéines pourrait aussi avoir contribué à renforcer ces effets. La troisième étude s'est intéressée aux mécanismes qui sous-tendent les effets bénéfiques des protéines observés dans les 2 études précédentes. Nous avons supposé que les protéines devaient favoriser le métabolisme des graisses. Par conséquent, nous avons cherché a évaluer les effets d'un repas riche en protéines sur la lipémie postprandiale et l'homéostasie glucidique après 4 jours d'alimentation contrôlée soit isocalorique et équilibrée, soit hypercalorique enrichie en protéines. Les résultats obtenus n'ont pas vérifié l'hypothèse initiale ; ni une augmentation de l'oxydation nette des lipides, ni celle d'une augmentation de la béta-oxydation hépatique ou de l'oxydation d'un apport exogène de graisses n'a pu étre observée. A contrario, il semblerait même plutôt que 4 jours d'a]irnentation hyperprotéinée inhibent le métabolisme des graisses et augmente les concentrations sanguines de triglycérides, probablement par le biais d'une clairance de chylornicrons altérée. Globalement, les résultats de ces trois études nous permettent d'attester que les protéines exercent un effet bénéfique en prévenant le dépot de graisses intra-hépatiques et montrent que cet effet ne peut être attribué à une stimulation du métabolisme des lipides via l'augmentation des oxydations des graisses soit totales, hépatiques, ou exogènes. La question demeure en suspens à ce jour et nécessite de diriger la recherche vers d'autres voies d'exploration. Les effets des protéines sur la lipémie postprandiale et sur le cinétique des lipoprotéines n'a que peu été traitée à ce jour. Cette question me paraît néanmoins importante, sachant que des concentrations sanguines élevées de triglycérides sont étroitement corrélées à une incidence augmentée de facteurs de risque cardiovasculaire.

P value and the theory of hypothesis testing: an explanation for new researchers.

In the 1920s, Ronald Fisher developed the theory behind the p value and Jerzy Neyman and Egon Pearson developed the theory of hypothesis testing. These distinct theories have provided researchers important quantitative tools to confirm or refute their hypotheses. The p value is the probability to obtain an effect equal to or more extreme than the one observed presuming the null hypothesis of no effect is true; it gives researchers a measure of the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. As commonly used, investigators will select a threshold p value below which they will reject the null hypothesis. The theory of hypothesis testing allows researchers to reject a null hypothesis in favor of an alternative hypothesis of some effect. As commonly used, investigators choose Type I error (rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true) and Type II error (accepting the null hypothesis when it is false) levels and determine some critical region. If the test statistic falls into that critical region, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis. Despite similarities between the two, the p value and the theory of hypothesis testing are different theories that often are misunderstood and confused, leading researchers to improper conclusions. Perhaps the most common misconception is to consider the p value as the probability that the null hypothesis is true rather than the probability of obtaining the difference observed, or one that is more extreme, considering the null is true. Another concern is the risk that an important proportion of statistically significant results are falsely significant. Researchers should have a minimum understanding of these two theories so that they are better able to plan, conduct, interpret, and report scientific experiments.

An EORTC Phase II study of caspofungin as first-line therapy of invasive aspergillosis in haematological patients.

OBJECTIVES: Caspofungin was evaluated as first-line monotherapy of invasive aspergillosis (IA) in patients with haematological malignancies and undergoing autologous transplants. METHODS: Adults with proven or probable IA, defined strictly according to EORTC-MSG criteria, were eligible. Those with possible IA were enrolled, but were not evaluable for efficacy unless upgraded to proven/probable disease within 7 days of registration based on investigations performed within 48 h after enrolment. Caspofungin dosage was 70 mg (day 1) followed by 50 mg/day. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients with complete or partial response at the end of caspofungin therapy in the modified intention to treat (MITT) group; secondary endpoints were response and survival at day 84 and safety. RESULTS: In the MITT group (n = 61), 75% of patients had cancer not in remission (relapsing or refractory), 85% were neutropenic at enrolment and 49% had a Karnofsky score of < or =50. At end of treatment, 1 and 19 patients had complete and partial response, respectively [success rate 33% (20/61)], 9 (15%) achieved stabilization and 31 (51%) had disease progression. One patient was not evaluable. The 6 and 12 week survival rates were 66% (40/61) and 53% (32/60), respectively. Baseline characteristics associated with survival at day 84 were an underlying disease in remission (not relapsing or refractory) and Karnofsky score. Recovery from neutropenia at the end of treatment was also significantly associated with survival. No serious drug-related adverse events or discontinuations due to drug-related adverse events were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Caspofungin provided an observed response rate compatible with the null hypothesis of a true response rate of < or =35%. Underlying disease-related factors had a major impact on results.

Self-potentials in partially saturated media: the importance of explicit modeling of electrode effects

Self-potential (SP) data are of interest to vadose zone hydrology because of their direct sensitivity to water flow and ionic transport. There is unfortunately little consensus in the literature about how to best model SP data under partially saturated conditions, and different approaches (often supported by one laboratory data set alone) have been proposed. We argue that this lack of agreement can largely be traced to electrode effects that have not been properly taken into account. A series of drainage and imbibition experiments were considered in which we found that previously proposed approaches to remove electrode effects were unlikely to provide adequate corrections. Instead, we explicitly modeled the electrode effects together with classical SP contributions using a flow and transport model. The simulated data agreed overall with the observed SP signals and allowed decomposing the different signal contributions to analyze them separately. After reviewing other published experimental data, we suggest that most of them include electrode effects that have not been properly taken into account. Our results suggest that previously presented SP theory works well when considering the modeling uncertainties presently associated with electrode effects. Additional work is warranted to not only develop suitable electrodes for laboratory experiments but also to assure that associated electrode effects that appear inevitable in longer term experiments are predictable, so that they can be incorporated into the modeling framework.