Markovian Processes, Two-Sided Autoregressions and Finite-Sample Inference for Stationary and Nonstationary Autoregressive Processes.

In this paper, we develop finite-sample inference procedures for stationary and nonstationary autoregressive (AR) models. The method is based on special properties of Markov processes and a split-sample technique. The results on Markovian processes (intercalary independence and truncation) only require the existence of conditional densities. They are proved for possibly nonstationary and/or non-Gaussian multivariate Markov processes. In the context of a linear regression model with AR(1) errors, we show how these results can be used to simplify the distributional properties of the model by conditioning a subset of the data on the remaining observations. This transformation leads to a new model which has the form of a two-sided autoregression to which standard classical linear regression inference techniques can be applied. We show how to derive tests and confidence sets for the mean and/or autoregressive parameters of the model. We also develop a test on the order of an autoregression. We show that a combination of subsample-based inferences can improve the performance of the procedure. An application to U.S. domestic investment data illustrates the method.

Gramática para los Españoles que desean aprender la lengua Francesa, sin olvidar la propiedad y el giro de la suya

UANL

Cádiz

UANL

Codigo federal de procedimientos civiles y ley organica de los tribunales de la federación con notas, concordancias e inserción de las leyes a que hacen referncia o dejan vigentes

UANL

Caeremoniale episcoporum, Benedicti Papae XIV

UANL

Développement d'une nouvelle méthode de caractérisation tissulaire basée sur l'élastographie ultrasonore : application pour le dépistage précoce du cancer du sein

Le cancer du sein est le cancer le plus fréquent chez la femme. Il demeure la cause de mortalité la plus importante chez les femmes âgées entre 35 et 55 ans. Au Canada, plus de 20 000 nouveaux cas sont diagnostiqués chaque année. Les études scientifiques démontrent que l'espérance de vie est étroitement liée à la précocité du diagnostic. Les moyens de diagnostic actuels comme la mammographie, l'échographie et la biopsie comportent certaines limitations. Par exemple, la mammographie permet de diagnostiquer la présence d’une masse suspecte dans le sein, mais ne peut en déterminer la nature (bénigne ou maligne). Les techniques d’imagerie complémentaires comme l'échographie ou l'imagerie par résonance magnétique (IRM) sont alors utilisées en complément, mais elles sont limitées quant à la sensibilité et la spécificité de leur diagnostic, principalement chez les jeunes femmes (< 50 ans) ou celles ayant un parenchyme dense. Par conséquent, nombreuses sont celles qui doivent subir une biopsie alors que leur lésions sont bénignes. Quelques voies de recherche sont privilégiées depuis peu pour réduire l`incertitude du diagnostic par imagerie ultrasonore. Dans ce contexte, l’élastographie dynamique est prometteuse. Cette technique est inspirée du geste médical de palpation et est basée sur la détermination de la rigidité des tissus, sachant que les lésions en général sont plus rigides que le tissu sain environnant. Le principe de cette technique est de générer des ondes de cisaillement et d'en étudier la propagation de ces ondes afin de remonter aux propriétés mécaniques du milieu via un problème inverse préétabli. Cette thèse vise le développement d'une nouvelle méthode d'élastographie dynamique pour le dépistage précoce des lésions mammaires. L'un des principaux problèmes des techniques d'élastographie dynamiques en utilisant la force de radiation est la forte atténuation des ondes de cisaillement. Après quelques longueurs d'onde de propagation, les amplitudes de déplacement diminuent considérablement et leur suivi devient difficile voir impossible. Ce problème affecte grandement la caractérisation des tissus biologiques. En outre, ces techniques ne donnent que l'information sur l'élasticité tandis que des études récentes montrent que certaines lésions bénignes ont les mêmes élasticités que des lésions malignes ce qui affecte la spécificité de ces techniques et motive la quantification de d'autres paramètres mécaniques (e.g.la viscosité). Le premier objectif de cette thèse consiste à optimiser la pression de radiation acoustique afin de rehausser l'amplitude des déplacements générés. Pour ce faire, un modèle analytique de prédiction de la fréquence de génération de la force de radiation a été développé. Une fois validé in vitro, ce modèle a servi pour la prédiction des fréquences optimales pour la génération de la force de radiation dans d'autres expérimentations in vitro et ex vivo sur des échantillons de tissu mammaire obtenus après mastectomie totale. Dans la continuité de ces travaux, un prototype de sonde ultrasonore conçu pour la génération d'un type spécifique d'ondes de cisaillement appelé ''onde de torsion'' a été développé. Le but est d'utiliser la force de radiation optimisée afin de générer des ondes de cisaillement adaptatives, et de monter leur utilité dans l'amélioration de l'amplitude des déplacements. Contrairement aux techniques élastographiques classiques, ce prototype permet la génération des ondes de cisaillement selon des parcours adaptatifs (e.g. circulaire, elliptique,…etc.) dépendamment de la forme de la lésion. L’optimisation des dépôts énergétiques induit une meilleure réponse mécanique du tissu et améliore le rapport signal sur bruit pour une meilleure quantification des paramètres viscoélastiques. Il est aussi question de consolider davantage les travaux de recherches antérieurs par un appui expérimental, et de prouver que ce type particulier d'onde de torsion peut mettre en résonance des structures. Ce phénomène de résonance des structures permet de rehausser davantage le contraste de déplacement entre les masses suspectes et le milieu environnant pour une meilleure détection. Enfin, dans le cadre de la quantification des paramètres viscoélastiques des tissus, la dernière étape consiste à développer un modèle inverse basé sur la propagation des ondes de cisaillement adaptatives pour l'estimation des paramètres viscoélastiques. L'estimation des paramètres viscoélastiques se fait via la résolution d'un problème inverse intégré dans un modèle numérique éléments finis. La robustesse de ce modèle a été étudiée afin de déterminer ces limites d'utilisation. Les résultats obtenus par ce modèle sont comparés à d'autres résultats (mêmes échantillons) obtenus par des méthodes de référence (e.g. Rheospectris) afin d'estimer la précision de la méthode développée. La quantification des paramètres mécaniques des lésions permet d'améliorer la sensibilité et la spécificité du diagnostic. La caractérisation tissulaire permet aussi une meilleure identification du type de lésion (malin ou bénin) ainsi que son évolution. Cette technique aide grandement les cliniciens dans le choix et la planification d'une prise en charge adaptée.

Quelles actions sur le web?

Le web est un espace d'action. Cette affirmation pose tout de suite une série de questions : en premier lieu, quelles sont les actions sur le web? On pourrait, en effet, être tenté de considérer le web comme un simple outil de communication : le web serait un média comme la radio, les journaux ou la télvision, mais un peu plus complexe techniquement et, en plus, caractérisé par le fait que la communication est bidirectionnelle - à savoir, chaque récepteur est aussi un émetteur. [...]

Characterization of Short Nylon-6 Fiber/Acrylonitrile Butadiene Rubber Composite by Thermogravimetry

The thermal degradation of short nylon-6 fiber reinforced acrylonitrile butadiene rubber (NBR) composites with and without epoxy-based bonding agent has been studied by thermogravimetric analysis (TGA). It was found that the onset of degradation shifted from 330.5 to 336.1°C in the presence of short nylon fiber, the optimum fiber loading being 20 phr. The maximum rate of degradation of the composites was lower than that of the unfilled rubber compound, and it decreased with increase in fiber concentration. The presence of epoxy resin-based bonding agent in the virgin elastomer and the composites improved the thermal stability. Results of kinetic studies showed that the degradation of NBR and the short nylon fiber reinforced composites followed first-order kinetics.

Selective N-monomethylation of aniline over Zn1-xNixFe2O4 (x=0, 0.2, 0.5, 0.8 and 1) type systems

The reaction of aniline with methanol was carried out over Zn1-xNixFe2O4 (x= 0, 0.2, 0.5, 0.8 and 1) type systems in a fixed-bed down-flow reactor. It was observed that systems possessing low ``x'' values are highly selective and active for mono N-alkylation of aniline leading to N-methyl aniline. Selectivity for N-methyl aniline over ZnFe2O4 was more than 99% under the optimized reaction conditions. Even at methanol to aniline molar ratio of 2, the yield of N-methyl aniline was nearly 55.5%, whereas its yield exceeded 67% at the molar ratio of 7. The Lewis acid sites of the catalysts are mainly responsible for the good catalytic performance. Cation distribution in the spinel lattice influences their acido-basic properties, and hence, these factors have been considered as helpful to evaluate the activity and stability of the systems.

The quantum effects in quadratically damped systems

A dynamical system with a damping that is quadratic in velocity is converted into the Hamiltonian format using a nonlinear transformation. Its quantum mechanical behaviour is then analysed by invoking the Gaussian effective potential technique. The method is worked out explicitly for the Duffing oscillator potential.

Service quality and reliability assessment of mobile communication infrastructure

The service quality of any sector has two major aspects namely technical and functional. Technical quality can be attained by maintaining technical specification as decided by the organization. Functional quality refers to the manner which service is delivered to customer which can be assessed by the customer feed backs. A field survey was conducted based on the management tool SERVQUAL, by designing 28 constructs under 7 dimensions of service quality. Stratified sampling techniques were used to get 336 valid responses and the gap scores of expectations and perceptions are analyzed using statistical techniques to identify the weakest dimension. To assess the technical aspects of availability six months live outage data of base transceiver were collected. The statistical and exploratory techniques were used to model the network performance. The failure patterns have been modeled in competing risk models and probability distribution of service outage and restorations were parameterized. Since the availability of network is a function of the reliability and maintainability of the network elements, any service provider who wishes to keep up their service level agreements on availability should be aware of the variability of these elements and its effects on interactions. The availability variations were studied by designing a discrete time event simulation model with probabilistic input parameters. The probabilistic distribution parameters arrived from live data analysis was used to design experiments to define the availability domain of the network under consideration. The availability domain can be used as a reference for planning and implementing maintenance activities. A new metric is proposed which incorporates a consistency index along with key service parameters that can be used to compare the performance of different service providers. The developed tool can be used for reliability analysis of mobile communication systems and assumes greater significance in the wake of mobile portability facility. It is also possible to have a relative measure of the effectiveness of different service providers.

Community Participation in Ecotourism: An Inclusive Development Option for Kerala

The inferences obtained from the study are presented in coherent area-specific levels so as to understand the ecotourism and its sub-sector areas for the researchers and policy makers about the issues, importances and potentialities of the sector. An analysis of the tourism sector in Kerala has shown tremendous growth both in terms of tourist arrivals and in terms of revenue generation from direct and indirect sources. The foreign tourist visitors in Kerala in 2014 was 9,23,336 which shows 7.60 percent increase from the last year and the domestic tourist visitors were 1,16,95,411 which again shows 7.71 percent increase, is a clear evidence of its potential. In 2014 the industry contributed revenue of 24885.44 crores from direct and indirect sources giving rise to an increase of 12.11 percent from the last year. A dichotomy of tourists and ecotourists shows that tourists in the ecotourism destinations come to 42.6 percent of the total, shows the scope, significance and its potential. Correlation of zone-wise tourist arrivals based on the ecotourism destinations highlights the fact that with only 19 of the 64 destinations that come in the central zone are the most preferred centres (around 54 percent) for the domestic as well as foreign tourists. The north zone encompassing 6 districts with rich biodiversity shows that the tourists‟ arrival patterns exhibit less promising results. Though the north zone has 31 ecotourism destinations of the state receives only 6.19 percent of the foreign visitors. The ecotourism activities in the state are primarily managed by the Eco-Development Committees (EDCs) and the Vana Samrakshana Samithies (VSS) under the Forest Development Agency of Kerala. Social class-wise categorization of membership shows that 13142 families have membership in 190 EDCs with SC (28 percent), ST (33 percent) and other marginalised communities (39 percent). But this in the VSS shows that 400 VSS have 59085 members actively engaged in ecotourism activities and social category of the VSS makes clear that majority are from the other marginalized fringe households with 62 percent where as the participation of SC is 12 percent and ST is 26 percent. An evaluation of the socio-economic and demographic matrix of the community members involved in ecotourism activities brings out region specific differences. About 75.70 percent of the respondents are males and the rest are females. Majority of the respondents (about 60 percent) are in the age group of 20 to 40 years, followed by the age group of 40-50 (20 percent). The average age of respondents in the three zones is between 35 and 37 years. The majority of the respondents are married, a few are unmarried. Average family size is 4-5 members and differences are identified among zones. Average number of adults per household is 3 and child per household is 2. Majority have an education of 10th class and below i.e. about 60 percent of the sample have only basic school education like primary, secondary and high school (i.e. up to SSLC but not passed) level. About 18 percent are SSLC passed, 10 percent are undergraduates whereas 6 percent constitute respondents having qualification of graduation and above. Majority of the „graduates and above‟ are from south and central zone. Inter-zone differences in educational profile are also identified with lesser number of „graduates and above‟ are identified in the north zone compared to the other two zones. Investigating into the income and livelihood options of the respondents gives insight about the prominence of ecotourism as an employment and livelihood option for the community members, as more than 90 percent of the respondents have cited tourism sector as their main employment option. Most (49.30 percent) of respondents get 100 percent income from tourism related activities, followed by 37.30 percent of community members have income between 75-99 percent from tourism whereas the rest (13 percent) have less than 74 percent of their income from tourism and there exists difference between zones and percentage of income. Financial habit shows that about 49.7 percent hold active bank accounts, 61 percent have savings behaviour and 73.8 percent have indebtedness. Analysis about the ownership of house brings to light that 37 percent of respondents live in their own house followed by 25.7 percent in government funded/provided house and 21 percent in their parent‟s house and 3.5 percent in rented house. About 12 percent of the respondents have other kinds of accommodation facilities such as staff quarters, etc. But in the case of north zone majority i.e. 52 percent primarily depend on the government funded house indicating the effectiveness of government housing programme. Standard of living measured in SLI frameworks shows that majority of the respondents have medium SLI values (42.3 percent); the remaining 47.7 percent have low SLI and 10 percent have high SLI. The community members have been benefitted immensely from forest and its resources. Since the ecotourism destinations are located amidst the wildlife settings, majority of them depend on forest for their livelihood. The information on the tourist‟s demographic characteristics like age, sex, educational qualification and annual income show that the age category of domestic and foreign tourists falls below the age group of less than 35 years (about 65 percent), whereas only 16 percent of tourists are aged above 46 years. The age group below 25 years consists of more international tourists (31.3 percent) compared to the proportion of domestic tourists (12.5 percent). Male-female ratio shows that the males constitute 56 percent of the sample and females with 44 percent. The factors determining the impact of ecotourism programmes in the community was evaluated with the aid of a factor analysis with 12 selected statements. The worries and concerns of the community members about the impact of ecotourism on the environment are well understood from this analysis. It can be drawn that environment protection and the role of ecotourism in improving the income and livelihood options of the local communities is the most important factor concerning the community members.