Prediction of clinical toxicity in locally advanced head and neck cancer patients by radio-induced apoptosis in peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBLs)

[EN] Head and neck cancer is treated mainly by surgery and radiotherapy. Normal tissue toxicity due to x-ray exposure is a limiting factor for treatment success. Many efforts have been employed to develop predictive tests applied to clinical practice. Determination of lymphocyte radio-sensitivity by radio-induced apoptosis arises as a possible method to predict tissue toxicity due to radiotherapy. The aim of the present study was to analyze radio-induced apoptosis of peripheral blood lymphocytes in head and neck cancer patients and to explore their role in predicting radiation induced toxicity. Seventy nine consecutive patients suffering from head and neck cancer, diagnosed and treated in our institution, were included in the study. Toxicity was evaluated using the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group scale. Peripheral blood lymphocytes were isolated and irradiated at 0, 1, 2 and 8 Gy during 24 hours. Apoptosis was measured by flow cytometry using annexin V/propidium iodide. Lymphocytes were marked with CD45 APC-conjugated monoclonal antibody. Radiation-induced apoptosis increased in order to radiation dose and fitted to a semi logarithmic model defined by two constants: α and β. α, as the origin of the curve in the Y axis determining the percentage of spontaneous cell death, and β, as the slope of the curve determining the percentage of cell death induced at a determined radiation dose, were obtained. β value was statistically associated to normal tissue toxicity in terms of severe xerostomia, as higher levels of apoptosis were observed in patients with low toxicity (p = 0.035; Exp(B) 0.224, I.C.95% (0.060-0.904)). These data agree with our previous results and suggest that it is possible to estimate the radiosensitivity of peripheral blood lymphocytes from patients determining the radiation induced apoptosis with annexin V/propidium iodide staining. β values observed define an individual radiosensitivity profile that could predict late toxicity due to radiotherapy in locally advanced head and neck cancer patients. Anyhow, prospective studies with different cancer types and higher number of patients are needed to validate these results.

Prediction of clinical toxicity in localized cervical carcinoma by radio-induced apoptosis study in peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBLs)

[EN] Background: Cervical cancer is treated mainly by surgery and radiotherapy. Toxicity due to radiation is a limiting factor for treatment success. Determination of lymphocyte radiosensitivity by radio-induced apoptosis arises as a possible method for predictive test development. The aim of this study was to analyze radio-induced apoptosis of peripheral blood lymphocytes. Methods: Ninety four consecutive patients suffering from cervical carcinoma, diagnosed and treated in our institution, and four healthy controls were included in the study. Toxicity was evaluated using the Lent-Soma scale. Peripheral blood lymphocytes were isolated and irradiated at 0, 1, 2 and 8 Gy during 24, 48 and 72 hours. Apoptosis was measured by flow cytometry using annexin V/propidium iodide to determine early and late apoptosis. Lymphocytes were marked with CD45 APC-conjugated monoclonal antibody. Results: Radiation-induced apoptosis (RIA) increased with radiation dose and time of incubation. Data strongly fitted to a semi logarithmic model as follows: RIA = βln(Gy) + α. This mathematical model was defined by two constants: α, is the origin of the curve in the Y axis and determines the percentage of spontaneous cell death and β, is the slope of the curve and determines the percentage of cell death induced at a determined radiation dose (β = ΔRIA/Δln(Gy)). Higher β values (increased rate of RIA at given radiation doses) were observed in patients with low sexual toxicity (Exp(B) = 0.83, C.I. 95% (0.73-0.95), p = 0.007; Exp(B) = 0.88, C.I. 95% (0.82-0.94), p = 0.001; Exp(B) = 0.93, C.I. 95% (0.88-0.99), p = 0.026 for 24, 48 and 72 hours respectively). This relation was also found with rectal (Exp(B) = 0.89, C.I. 95% (0.81-0.98), p = 0.026; Exp(B) = 0.95, C.I. 95% (0.91-0.98), p = 0.013 for 48 and 72 hours respectively) and urinary (Exp(B) = 0.83, C.I. 95% (0.71-0.97), p = 0.021 for 24 hours) toxicity. Conclusion: Radiation induced apoptosis at different time points and radiation doses fitted to a semi logarithmic model defined by a mathematical equation that gives an individual value of radiosensitivity and could predict late toxicity due to radiotherapy. Other prospective studies with higher number of patients are needed to validate these results.

Bestimmung mechanischer Eigenschaften dünner Polymerfilme mittels AFM-Kraft-Abstands-Kurven

In der vorliegenden Arbeit wurden AFM-Kraft-Abstands-Kurven benutzt, um die mechanischen Eigenschaften dünner Polymerfilme verschiedener Schichtdicken (2 - 400 nm) auf einem sehr viel steiferen Substrat (mechanische Doppelschichten) zu untersuchen. Die mechanischen Eigenschaften einer solchen Probe setzen sich aus den mechanischen Eigenschaften der Bestandteile, d.h. Polymer und Substrat, zusammen. Der Beitrag der Bestandteile hängt von der Schichtdicke und von der Auflagekraft ab. Es wurden existierende Modelle für die Auswertung von an Doppelschichten gemessenen Deformationskurven überprüft und festgestellt, dass kein Modell befriedigende Ergebnisse erzielt. Dies zeigte die Notwendigkeit einer neuen semiempirischen Theorie zur Beschreibung der Deformationskurven von mechanischen Doppelschichten. In dieser Arbeit wird der hyperbolische Fit zu diesem Zweck eingeführt. Die Validität des hyperbolischen Fit wurde anhand von drei Experimenten gezeigt. Alle experimentellen Kurven konnten sehr gut durch den hyperbolischen Fit beschrieben werden. Die Elastizitätsmoduln der Bestandteile konnten in Übereinstimmung mit den Literaturwerten berechnet werden. Die Schichtdicken der Proben konnten in allen Fällen mit großer Exaktheit bestimmt werden. Es wurde zudem die Möglichkeit der Auswertung einzelner Kraft-Abstands-Kurven untersucht. Damit konnte die Schichtdicke der untersuchten Doppelschichten ortsaufgelöst im Submikrometerbereich bestimmt werden und ein verstecktes Substrat detektiert werden. Die Adhäsion an der Grenzfläche Polymer/Substrat hat einen fundamentalen Einfluss auf die mechanischen Eigenschaften der Doppelschicht, der qualitativ im letzten Teil der Doktorarbeit gezeigt werden konnte.

Development of an X-ray spectrometric system and feasibility tests of Silicon Drift Detector for medical and space applications

The thesis work concerns X-ray spectrometry for both medical and space applications and is divided into two sections. The first section addresses an X-ray spectrometric system designed to study radiological beams and is devoted to the optimization of diagnostic procedures in medicine. A parametric semi-empirical model capable of efficiently reconstructing diagnostic X-ray spectra in 'middle power' computers was developed and tested. In addition, different silicon diode detectors were tested as real-time detectors in order to provide a real-time evaluation of the spectrum during diagnostic procedures. This project contributes to the field by presenting an improved simulation of a realistic X-ray beam emerging from a common X-ray tube with a complete and detailed spectrum that lends itself to further studies of added filtration, thus providing an optimized beam for different diagnostic applications in medicine. The second section describes the preliminary tests that have been carried out on the first version of an Application Specific Integrated Circuit (ASIC), integrated with large area position-sensitive Silicon Drift Detector (SDD) to be used on board future space missions. This technology has been developed for the ESA project: LOFT (Large Observatory for X-ray Timing), a new medium-class space mission that the European Space Agency has been assessing since February of 2011. The LOFT project was proposed as part of the Cosmic Vision Program (2015-2025).

Estimating Multiple Tumor Transition Rates Based on Data from Survival/Sacrifice Experiments

In this paper, we focus on the model for two types of tumors. Tumor development can be described by four types of death rates and four tumor transition rates. We present a general semi-parametric model to estimate the tumor transition rates based on data from survival/sacrifice experiments. In the model, we make a proportional assumption of tumor transition rates on a common parametric function but no assumption of the death rates from any states. We derived the likelihood function of the data observed in such an experiment, and an EM algorithm that simplified estimating procedures. This article extends work on semi-parametric models for one type of tumor (see Portier and Dinse and Dinse) to two types of tumors.

On the charged particle drag acting on LAGEOS

A recent study by the authors points to Charged Particle Drag (CPD) as a contributor to revisit in the LAGEOS non-gravitational perturbations problem. Such perturbations must account for dynamical contributions in the order of pms−2 . The simulated effect takes into account: (i) spatial and temporal variations of the plasmatic parameters (temperature and concentration of the species), (ii) spacecraft potential variations caused by both the eclipse passages and variations in the parameters mentioned above, and (iii) solar and geomagnetic conditions. Furthermore, recent theoretical improvements concerning scattering drag overcome previous limitations allowing for a complete formulation of this effect. For each satellite the lifetime CPD instantaneous acceleration is computed. The plasmatic parameters have been obtained fromthe Sheffield Coupled Thermosphere-Ionosphere-Plasmasphere (SCTIP) semi-empirical model (up to the polar region), as well as alytical/empirical approximations based on spacecraft measurements for the auroral and polar regions. Results show that maximum amplitudes for LAGEOSI are larger than those for LAGEOS-II: −85 pms−2 and −70 pms−2 respectively. This is due to the almost (magnetically) polar orbit configuration of the first, producing larger combinations of plasmatic parameter values. High solar activity has a huge impact in the resulting LAGEOS accelerations: it yields a perfect modulation of the resulting acceleration with maximum amplitudes up to a factor of 10 when comparing low and high activity periods. On the other hand, the impact of the geomagnetic activity results into a reduction of the effect itself, probably due to a decrease in the hydrogen concentration for high energy input periods. The acceleration results will be used in a refined orbit computation in a subsequent investigation.

Simulación en tiempo real de vehículos industriales con modelos multicuerpo de gran complejidad

El objetivo de esta Tesis ha sido la consecución de simulaciones en tiempo real de vehículos industriales modelizados como sistemas multicuerpo complejos formados por sólidos rígidos. Para el desarrollo de un programa de simulación deben considerarse cuatro aspectos fundamentales: la modelización del sistema multicuerpo (tipos de coordenadas, pares ideales o impuestos mediante fuerzas), la formulación a utilizar para plantear las ecuaciones diferenciales del movimiento (coordenadas dependientes o independientes, métodos globales o topológicos, forma de imponer las ecuaciones de restricción), el método de integración numérica para resolver estas ecuaciones en el tiempo (integradores explícitos o implícitos) y finalmente los detalles de la implementación realizada (lenguaje de programación, librerías matemáticas, técnicas de paralelización). Estas cuatro etapas están interrelacionadas entre sí y todas han formado parte de este trabajo. Desde la generación de modelos de una furgoneta y de camión con semirremolque, el uso de tres formulaciones dinámicas diferentes, la integración de las ecuaciones diferenciales del movimiento mediante métodos explícitos e implícitos, hasta el uso de funciones BLAS, de técnicas de matrices sparse y la introducción de paralelización para utilizar los distintos núcleos del procesador. El trabajo presentado en esta Tesis ha sido organizado en 8 capítulos, dedicándose el primero de ellos a la Introducción. En el Capítulo 2 se presentan dos formulaciones semirrecursivas diferentes, de las cuales la primera está basada en una doble transformación de velocidades, obteniéndose las ecuaciones diferenciales del movimiento en función de las aceleraciones relativas independientes. La integración numérica de estas ecuaciones se ha realizado con el método de Runge-Kutta explícito de cuarto orden. La segunda formulación está basada en coordenadas relativas dependientes, imponiendo las restricciones por medio de penalizadores en posición y corrigiendo las velocidades y aceleraciones mediante métodos de proyección. En este segundo caso la integración de las ecuaciones del movimiento se ha llevado a cabo mediante el integrador implícito HHT (Hilber, Hughes and Taylor), perteneciente a la familia de integradores estructurales de Newmark. En el Capítulo 3 se introduce la tercera formulación utilizada en esta Tesis. En este caso las uniones entre los sólidos del sistema se ha realizado mediante uniones flexibles, lo que obliga a imponer los pares por medio de fuerzas. Este tipo de uniones impide trabajar con coordenadas relativas, por lo que la posición del sistema y el planteamiento de las ecuaciones del movimiento se ha realizado utilizando coordenadas Cartesianas y parámetros de Euler. En esta formulación global se introducen las restricciones mediante fuerzas (con un planteamiento similar al de los penalizadores) y la estabilización del proceso de integración numérica se realiza también mediante proyecciones de velocidades y aceleraciones. En el Capítulo 4 se presenta una revisión de las principales herramientas y estrategias utilizadas para aumentar la eficiencia de las implementaciones de los distintos algoritmos. En primer lugar se incluye una serie de consideraciones básicas para aumentar la eficiencia numérica de las implementaciones. A continuación se mencionan las principales características de los analizadores de códigos utilizados y también las librerías matemáticas utilizadas para resolver los problemas de álgebra lineal tanto con matrices densas como sparse. Por último se desarrolla con un cierto detalle el tema de la paralelización en los actuales procesadores de varios núcleos, describiendo para ello el patrón empleado y las características más importantes de las dos herramientas propuestas, OpenMP y las TBB de Intel. Hay que señalar que las características de los sistemas multicuerpo problemas de pequeño tamaño, frecuente uso de la recursividad, y repetición intensiva en el tiempo de los cálculos con fuerte dependencia de los resultados anteriores dificultan extraordinariamente el uso de técnicas de paralelización frente a otras áreas de la mecánica computacional, tales como por ejemplo el cálculo por elementos finitos. Basándose en los conceptos mencionados en el Capítulo 4, el Capítulo 5 está dividido en tres secciones, una para cada formulación propuesta en esta Tesis. En cada una de estas secciones se describen los detalles de cómo se han realizado las distintas implementaciones propuestas para cada algoritmo y qué herramientas se han utilizado para ello. En la primera sección se muestra el uso de librerías numéricas para matrices densas y sparse en la formulación topológica semirrecursiva basada en la doble transformación de velocidades. En la segunda se describe la utilización de paralelización mediante OpenMP y TBB en la formulación semirrecursiva con penalizadores y proyecciones. Por último, se describe el uso de técnicas de matrices sparse y paralelización en la formulación global con uniones flexibles y parámetros de Euler. El Capítulo 6 describe los resultados alcanzados mediante las formulaciones e implementaciones descritas previamente. Este capítulo comienza con una descripción de la modelización y topología de los dos vehículos estudiados. El primer modelo es un vehículo de dos ejes del tipo chasis-cabina o furgoneta, perteneciente a la gama de vehículos de carga medianos. El segundo es un vehículo de cinco ejes que responde al modelo de un camión o cabina con semirremolque, perteneciente a la categoría de vehículos industriales pesados. En este capítulo además se realiza un estudio comparativo entre las simulaciones de estos vehículos con cada una de las formulaciones utilizadas y se presentan de modo cuantitativo los efectos de las mejoras alcanzadas con las distintas estrategias propuestas en esta Tesis. Con objeto de extraer conclusiones más fácilmente y para evaluar de un modo más objetivo las mejoras introducidas en la Tesis, todos los resultados de este capítulo se han obtenido con el mismo computador, que era el top de la gama Intel Xeon en 2007, pero que hoy día está ya algo obsoleto. Por último los Capítulos 7 y 8 están dedicados a las conclusiones finales y las futuras líneas de investigación que pueden derivar del trabajo realizado en esta Tesis. Los objetivos de realizar simulaciones en tiempo real de vehículos industriales de gran complejidad han sido alcanzados con varias de las formulaciones e implementaciones desarrolladas. ABSTRACT The objective of this Dissertation has been the achievement of real time simulations of industrial vehicles modeled as complex multibody systems made up by rigid bodies. For the development of a simulation program, four main aspects must be considered: the modeling of the multibody system (types of coordinates, ideal joints or imposed by means of forces), the formulation to be used to set the differential equations of motion (dependent or independent coordinates, global or topological methods, ways to impose constraints equations), the method of numerical integration to solve these equations in time (explicit or implicit integrators) and the details of the implementation carried out (programming language, mathematical libraries, parallelization techniques). These four stages are interrelated and all of them are part of this work. They involve the generation of models for a van and a semitrailer truck, the use of three different dynamic formulations, the integration of differential equations of motion through explicit and implicit methods, the use of BLAS functions and sparse matrix techniques, and the introduction of parallelization to use the different processor cores. The work presented in this Dissertation has been structured in eight chapters, the first of them being the Introduction. In Chapter 2, two different semi-recursive formulations are shown, of which the first one is based on a double velocity transformation, thus getting the differential equations of motion as a function of the independent relative accelerations. The numerical integration of these equations has been made with the Runge-Kutta explicit method of fourth order. The second formulation is based on dependent relative coordinates, imposing the constraints by means of position penalty coefficients and correcting the velocities and accelerations by projection methods. In this second case, the integration of the motion equations has been carried out by means of the HHT implicit integrator (Hilber, Hughes and Taylor), which belongs to the Newmark structural integrators family. In Chapter 3, the third formulation used in this Dissertation is presented. In this case, the joints between the bodies of the system have been considered as flexible joints, with forces used to impose the joint conditions. This kind of union hinders to work with relative coordinates, so the position of the system bodies and the setting of the equations of motion have been carried out using Cartesian coordinates and Euler parameters. In this global formulation, constraints are introduced through forces (with a similar approach to the penalty coefficients) are presented. The stabilization of the numerical integration is carried out also by velocity and accelerations projections. In Chapter 4, a revision of the main computer tools and strategies used to increase the efficiency of the implementations of the algorithms is presented. First of all, some basic considerations to increase the numerical efficiency of the implementations are included. Then the main characteristics of the code’ analyzers used and also the mathematical libraries used to solve linear algebra problems (both with dense and sparse matrices) are mentioned. Finally, the topic of parallelization in current multicore processors is developed thoroughly. For that, the pattern used and the most important characteristics of the tools proposed, OpenMP and Intel TBB, are described. It needs to be highlighted that the characteristics of multibody systems small size problems, frequent recursion use and intensive repetition along the time of the calculation with high dependencies of the previous results complicate extraordinarily the use of parallelization techniques against other computational mechanics areas, as the finite elements computation. Based on the concepts mentioned in Chapter 4, Chapter 5 is divided into three sections, one for each formulation proposed in this Dissertation. In each one of these sections, the details of how these different proposed implementations have been made for each algorithm and which tools have been used are described. In the first section, it is shown the use of numerical libraries for dense and sparse matrices in the semirecursive topological formulation based in the double velocity transformation. In the second one, the use of parallelization by means OpenMP and TBB is depicted in the semi-recursive formulation with penalization and projections. Lastly, the use of sparse matrices and parallelization techniques is described in the global formulation with flexible joints and Euler parameters. Chapter 6 depicts the achieved results through the formulations and implementations previously described. This chapter starts with a description of the modeling and topology of the two vehicles studied. The first model is a two-axle chassis-cabin or van like vehicle, which belongs to the range of medium charge vehicles. The second one is a five-axle vehicle belonging to the truck or cabin semi-trailer model, belonging to the heavy industrial vehicles category. In this chapter, a comparative study is done between the simulations of these vehicles with each one of the formulations used and the improvements achieved are presented in a quantitative way with the different strategies proposed in this Dissertation. With the aim of deducing the conclusions more easily and to evaluate in a more objective way the improvements introduced in the Dissertation, all the results of this chapter have been obtained with the same computer, which was the top one among the Intel Xeon range in 2007, but which is rather obsolete today. Finally, Chapters 7 and 8 are dedicated to the final conclusions and the future research projects that can be derived from the work presented in this Dissertation. The objectives of doing real time simulations in high complex industrial vehicles have been achieved with the formulations and implementations developed.

El origen de Internet. El camino hacia la red de redes.

Motivación Internet es sin duda sinónimo de telecomunicaciones en este momento, es la tecnología no de futuro, sino de presente llamada a cambiar la sociedad hasta puntos insospechables, sin opción de retorno. Hoy en día ha cambiado la forma en la que nos relacionamos, la forma en la que trabajamos y la manera en que tomamos decisiones se ve fuertemente apoyada en esta herramienta. Por supuesto el devenir de la Red está por ver, los gobiernos y las grandes compañías quieren "meter mano" en el control de los contenidos, sin embargo parece que la Red sabe autogestionarse y es capaz de funcionar dentro de un modelo semi-anárquico. Objetivos El objetivo del presente proyecto es dar a conocer los orígenes de la red de redes, desarrollando un entorno social, político, económico y tecnológico para una mejor comprensión. El lector no obtendrá un extenso conocimiento técnico sobre redes y ordenadores, sin embargo será capaz de entender los verdaderos motivos que llevaron a una comunidad científica a crear la mayor herramienta para el desarrollo del ser humano. También es mi intención hacer que el lector reflexione sobre cómo influyen diferentes factores en el devenir de los hechos, momentos de grandes cambios sociales o políticos, o cómo la ciencia resuelve problemas mediante la observación o el análisis, buscando siempre la mejor opción, sin conformarse con soluciones a medias. Estructura El proyecto está estructurado en 3 grandes bloques. El primer bloque corresponde a los tres primeros capítulos que nos adentran en el tema vía una introducción a modo de punto de partida u origen del concepto, un marco histórico del período de formación de la Red y un pequeño análisis del estado del arte de los ordenadores desde sus orígenes como tal, prácticamente coetáneos con el origen de Internet. El segundo bloque narra cómo comienza el desarrollo de la Red, los pasos que se van dando y las soluciones adoptadas hasta llegar a lo que conocemos hoy día como la red de redes: Internet. Por último se detallan las conclusiones obtenidas tras la escritura de este documento, realizando una serie de reflexiones globales que me surgen tras conocer la historia de la Red. ABSTRACT. Motivation Nowadays Internet without any doubt means telecommunications. It is not the future technology but the present one and it is supposed to change the society to an unexpected point, without possibility of return. It has already changed the way we communicate each other, the way we work and also the way we take decisions are strongly hold by this tool. Meanwhile we will see the becoming of the Network, the governments and the big companies want to have the control over the contents, however it seems that the Network has the ability to self-manage and it is also capable to keep working in a semi-anarchic model. Objectives The main aim of the present project is to show what is the real origin of the network of networks, developing a social, politic, economic and technologic context of it to ensure a better comprehension. The reader won´t get an extended knowledge about computing or networking, however he or she will be able to understand the truly motivation that lead a scientific community to create the most important tool for the human development. It is also my intention to make the reader think about how different facts, depending on the moment they take place like social or political changes, can transform the way everything happens and how science solves problems by the observation and the analysis, searching always the best option, without comply with half solutions. Structure This project is divided into three sections. The first part which includes the three first chapters place us in the topic by an introduction of the concept origin, an historic context of the period of Network development and a small analysis of the state of the art in computing since its origins, which appear at the same time as the Internet. The second block explains how the development of the Net starts, the steps followed and the solutions taken until the arrival of the network of networks we all know: the Internet. Finally, we can find the conclusions, which are exposed in a reflection way, with some considerations that came to me after writing this document about the history of the Internet.

Nonlinear models for lateral dynamics of railway vehicles on bridges subject to wind action

The study of lateral dynamics of running trains on bridges is of importance mainly for the safety of the traffic, and may be relevant for laterally compliant bridges. These studies require threedimensional coupled vehicle-bridge models, wheree consideration of wheel to rail contact is a key aspect. Furthermore, an adequate evaluation of safety of rail traffic requires nonlinear models. A nonlinear coupled model is proposed here for vehicle-structure vertical and lateral dynamics. Vehicles are considered as fully three-dimensional multibody systems including gyroscopic terms and large rotation effects. The bridge structure is modeled by means of finite elements which may be of beam, shell or continuum type and may include geometric or material nonlinearities. The track geometry includes distributed track alignment irregularities. Both subsystems (bridge and vehicles) are described with coordinates in absolute reference frames, as opposed to alternative approaches which describe the multibody system with coordinates relative to the base bridge motion. The wheelrail contact employed is a semi-Hertzian model based on realistic wheel-rail profiles. It allows a detailed geometrical description of the contact patch under each wheel including multiple-point contact, flange contact and uplift. Normal and tangential stresses in each contact are integrated at each time-step to obtain the resultant contact forces. The models have been implemented within an existing finite element analysis software with multibody capabilities, Abaqus (Simulia Ltd., 2010). Further details of the model are presented in Antolín et al. (2012). Representative applications are presented for railway vehicles under lateral wind action on laterally compliant viaducts, showing the relevance of the nonlinear wheel-rail contact model as well as the interaction between bridge and vehicle.

Investigating evidence for different black hole accretion modes since redshift z ∼ 1

Chandra data in the COSMOS, AEGIS-XD and 4 Ms Chandra Deep Field South are combined with multiwavelength photometry available in those fields to determine the rest-frame U − V versus V − J colours of X-ray AGN hosts in the redshift intervals 0.1 < z < 0.6 (mean z¯=0.40) and 0.6 < z < 1.2 (mean z¯=0.85). This combination of colours provides an effective and least model-dependent means of separating quiescent from star-forming, including dust reddened, galaxies. Morphological information emphasizes differences between AGN populations split by their U − V versus V − J colours. AGN in quiescent galaxies consist almost exclusively of bulges, while star-forming hosts are equally split between early- and late-type hosts. The position of AGN hosts on the U − V versusV − J diagram is then used to set limits on the accretion density of the Universe associated with evolved and star-forming systems independent of dust induced biases. It is found that most of the black hole growth at z≈ 0.40 and 0.85 is associated with star-forming hosts. Nevertheless, a non-negligible fraction of the X-ray luminosity density, about 15–20 per cent, at both z¯=0.40 and 0.85, is taking place in galaxies in the quiescent region of the U − V versus V − J diagram. For the low-redshift sub-sample, 0.1 < z < 0.6, we also find tentative evidence, significant at the 2σ level, that AGN split by their U − V and V − J colours have different Eddington ratio distributions. AGN in blue star-forming hosts dominate at relatively high Eddington ratios. In contrast, AGN in red quiescent hosts become increasingly important as a fraction of the total population towards low Eddington ratios. At higher redshift, z > 0.6, such differences are significant at the 2σ level only for sources with Eddington ratios ≳ 10^− 3. These findings are consistent with scenarios in which diverse accretion modes are responsible for the build-up of supermassive black holes at the centres of galaxies. We compare these results with the predictions of theGALFORM semi-analytic model for the cosmological evolution of AGN and galaxies. This model postulates two black hole fuelling modes, the first is linked to star formation events and the second takes place in passive galaxies. GALFORM predicts that a substantial fraction of the black hole growth at z < 1 is associated with quiescent galaxies, in apparent conflict with the observations. Relaxing the strong assumption of the model that passive AGN hosts have zero star formation rate could bring those predictions in better agreement with the data.

Modeling Depression Progression Dynamics from Electronic Health Record

Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2016-06

Developments in the Theory of X-ray Absorption and Compton Scattering.

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-06

Quantification of lean bodyweight

Background: Lean bodyweight (LBW) has been recommended for scaling drug doses. However, the current methods for predicting LBW are inconsistent at extremes of size and could be misleading with respect to interpreting weight-based regimens. Objective: The objective of the present study was to develop a semi-mechanistic model to predict fat-free mass (FFM) from subject characteristics in a population that includes extremes of size. FFM is considered to closely approximate LBW. There are several reference methods for assessing FFM, whereas there are no reference standards for LBW. Patients and methods: A total of 373 patients (168 male, 205 female) were included in the study. These data arose from two populations. Population A (index dataset) contained anthropometric characteristics, FFM estimated by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA - a reference method) and bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) data. Population B (test dataset) contained the same anthropometric measures and FFM data as population A, but excluded BIA data. The patients in population A had a wide range of age (18-82 years), bodyweight (40.7-216.5kg) and BMI values (17.1-69.9 kg/m(2)). Patients in population B had BMI values of 18.7-38.4 kg/m(2). A two-stage semi-mechanistic model to predict FFM was developed from the demographics from population A. For stage 1 a model was developed to predict impedance and for stage 2 a model that incorporated predicted impedance was used to predict FFM. These two models were combined to provide an overall model to predict FFM from patient characteristics. The developed model for FFM was externally evaluated by predicting into population B. Results: The semi-mechanistic model to predict impedance incorporated sex, height and bodyweight. The developed model provides a good predictor of impedance for both males and females (r(2) = 0.78, mean error [ME] = 2.30 x 10(-3), root mean square error [RMSE] = 51.56 [approximately 10% of mean]). The final model for FFM incorporated sex, height and bodyweight. The developed model for FFM provided good predictive performance for both males and females (r(2) = 0.93, ME = -0.77, RMSE = 3.33 [approximately 6% of mean]). In addition, the model accurately predicted the FFM of subjects in population B (r(2) = 0.85, ME -0.04, RMSE = 4.39 [approximately 7% of mean]). Conclusions: A semi-mechanistic model has been developed to predict FFM (and therefore LBW) from easily accessible patient characteristics. This model has been prospectively evaluated and shown to have good predictive performance.

Computational modelling of the impact of particle size to the heat transfer coefficient between biomass particles and a fluidised bed

The fluid–particle interaction and the impact of different heat transfer conditions on pyrolysis of biomass inside a 150 g/h fluidised bed reactor are modelled. Two different size biomass particles (350 µm and 550 µm in diameter) are injected into the fluidised bed. The different biomass particle sizes result in different heat transfer conditions. This is due to the fact that the 350 µm diameter particle is smaller than the sand particles of the reactor (440 µm), while the 550 µm one is larger. The bed-to-particle heat transfer for both cases is calculated according to the literature. Conductive heat transfer is assumed for the larger biomass particle (550 µm) inside the bed, while biomass–sand contacts for the smaller biomass particle (350 µm) were considered unimportant. The Eulerian approach is used to model the bubbling behaviour of the sand, which is treated as a continuum. Biomass reaction kinetics is modelled according to the literature using a two-stage, semi-global model which takes into account secondary reactions. The particle motion inside the reactor is computed using drag laws, dependent on the local volume fraction of each phase. FLUENT 6.2 has been used as the modelling framework of the simulations with the whole pyrolysis model incorporated in the form of User Defined Function (UDF).

Effect of spatial inhomogeneity of charge carrier mobility on current-voltage characteristics in organic field-effect transistors

A semi-quantitative model is put forward elucidating the role of spatial inhomogeneity of charge carrier mobility in organic field-effect transistors. The model, based on electrostatic arguments, allows estimating the effective thickness of the conducting channel and its changes in function of source-drain and gate voltages. Local mobility gradients in the direction perpendicular to the insulator/semiconductor interface translate into voltage dependences of the average carrier mobility in the channel, resulting in positive or negative deviations of current-voltage characteristics from their expected shapes. The proposed effect supplements those described in the literature, i.e., density-dependent mobility of charge carriers, short-channel effects, and contribution of contact resistance.