Exposure to Trihalomethanes through Different Water Uses and Birth Weight, Small for Gestational Age, and Preterm Delivery in Spain

BACKGROUND Evidence associating exposure to water disinfection by-products with reduced birth weight and altered duration of gestation remains inconclusive. OBJECTIVE We assessed exposure to trihalomethanes (THMs) during pregnancy through different water uses and evaluated the association with birth weight, small for gestational age (SGA), low birth weight (LBW), and preterm delivery. METHODS Mother-child cohorts set up in five Spanish areas during the years 2000-2008 contributed data on water ingestion, showering, bathing, and swimming in pools. We ascertained residential THM levels during pregnancy periods through ad hoc sampling campaigns (828 measurements) and regulatory data (264 measurements), which were modeled and combined with personal water use and uptake factors to estimate personal uptake. We defined outcomes following standard definitions and included 2,158 newborns in the analysis. RESULTS Median residential THM ranged from 5.9 μg/L (Valencia) to 114.7 μg/L (Sabadell), and speciation differed across areas. We estimated that 89% of residential chloroform and 96% of brominated THM uptakes were from showering/bathing. The estimated change of birth weight for a 10% increase in residential uptake was -0.45 g (95% confidence interval: -1.36, 0.45 g) for chloroform and 0.16 g (-1.38, 1.70 g) for brominated THMs. Overall, THMs were not associated with SGA, LBW, or preterm delivery. CONCLUSIONS Despite the high THM levels in some areas and the extensive exposure assessment, results suggest that residential THM exposure during pregnancy driven by inhalation and dermal contact routes is not associated with birth weight, SGA, LBW, or preterm delivery in Spain.

GNSS signal detection based on first-order absolute statistics

Aquest projecte es centra principalment en el detector no coherent d’un GPS. Per tal de caracteritzar el procés de detecció d’un receptor, es necessita conèixer l’estadística implicada. Pel cas dels detectors no coherents convencionals, l’estadística de segon ordre intervé plenament. Les prestacions que ens dóna l’estadística de segon ordre, plasmada en la ROC, són prou bons tot i que en diferents situacions poden no ser els millors. Aquest projecte intenta reproduir el procés de detecció mitjançant l’estadística de primer ordre com a alternativa a la ja coneguda i implementada estadística de segon ordre. Per tal d’aconseguir-ho, s’usen expressions basades en el Teorema Central del Límit i de les sèries Edgeworth com a bones aproximacions. Finalment, tant l’estadística convencional com l’estadística proposada són comparades, en termes de la ROC, per tal de determinar quin detector no coherent ofereix millor prestacions en cada situació.

Incongruence between test statistics and P values in medical papers

Given an observed test statistic and its degrees of freedom, one may compute the observed P value with most statistical packages. It is unknown to what extent test statistics and P values are congruent in published medical papers. Methods:We checked the congruence of statistical results reported in all the papers of volumes 409–412 of Nature (2001) and a random sample of 63 results from volumes 322–323 of BMJ (2001). We also tested whether the frequencies of the last digit of a sample of 610 test statistics deviated from a uniform distribution (i.e., equally probable digits).Results: 11.6% (21 of 181) and 11.1% (7 of 63) of the statistical results published in Nature and BMJ respectively during 2001 were incongruent, probably mostly due to rounding, transcription, or type-setting errors. At least one such error appeared in 38% and 25% of the papers of Nature and BMJ, respectively. In 12% of the cases, the significance level might change one or more orders of magnitude. The frequencies of the last digit of statistics deviated from the uniform distribution and suggested digit preference in rounding and reporting.Conclusions: this incongruence of test statistics and P values is another example that statistical practice is generally poor, even in the most renowned scientific journals, and that quality of papers should be more controlled and valued

Dendritic cell-specific antigen delivery by coronavirus vaccine vectors induces long-lasting protective antiviral and antitumor immunity.

Efficient vaccination against infectious agents and tumors depends on specific antigen targeting to dendritic cells (DCs). We report here that biosafe coronavirus-based vaccine vectors facilitate delivery of multiple antigens and immunostimulatory cytokines to professional antigen-presenting cells in vitro and in vivo. Vaccine vectors based on heavily attenuated murine coronavirus genomes were generated to express epitopes from the lymphocytic choriomeningitis virus glycoprotein, or human Melan-A, in combination with the immunostimulatory cytokine granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF). These vectors selectively targeted DCs in vitro and in vivo resulting in vector-mediated antigen expression and efficient maturation of DCs. Single application of only low vector doses elicited strong and long-lasting cytotoxic T-cell responses, providing protective antiviral and antitumor immunity. Furthermore, human DCs transduced with Melan-A-recombinant human coronavirus 229E efficiently activated tumor-specific CD8(+) T cells. Taken together, this novel vaccine platform is well suited to deliver antigens and immunostimulatory cytokines to DCs and to initiate and maintain protective immunity.

Intracisternal delivery of NFκB-inducible scAAV2/9 reveals locoregional neuroinflammation induced by systemic kainic acid treatment.

We have previously demonstrated disease-dependent gene delivery in the brain using an AAV vector responding to NFκB activation as a probe for inflammatory responses. This vector, injected focally in the parenchyma prior to a systemic kainic acid (KA) injection mediated inducible transgene expression in the hippocampus but not in the cerebellum, regions, respectively, known to be affected or not by the pathology. However, such a focal approach relies on previous knowledge of the model parameters and does not allow to predict the whole brain response to the disease. Global brain gene delivery would allow to predict the regional distribution of the pathology as well as to deliver therapeutic factors in all affected brain regions. We show that self-complementary AAV2/9 (scAAV2/9) delivery in the adult rat cisterna magna allows a widespread but not homogenous transduction of the brain. Indeed, superficial regions, i.e., cortex, hippocampus, and cerebellum were more efficiently transduced than deeper regions, such as striatum, and substantia nigra. These data suggest that viral particles penetration from the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) into the brain is a limiting factor. Interestingly, AAV2/9-2YF a rationally designed capsid mutant (affecting surface tyrosines) increased gene transfer efficiency approximately fivefold. Neurons, astrocytes, and oligodendrocytes, but not microglia, were transduced in varying proportions depending on the brain region and the type of capsid. Finally, after a single intracisternal injection of scAAV2/9-2YF using the NFκB-inducible promoter, KA treatment induced transgene expression in the hippocampus and cortex but not in the cerebellum, corresponding to the expression of the CD11b marker of microglial activation. These data support the use of disease-inducible vectors administered in the cisterna magna as a tool to characterize the brain pathology in systemic drug-induced or transgenic disease models. However, further improvements are required to enhance viral particles penetration into the brain.

Effect of hypoxia on cerebral blood flow regulation during rest and exercise : role of cerebral oxygen delivery on performance

Adequate supply of oxygen to the brain is critical for maintaining normal brain function. Severe hypoxia, such as that experienced during high altitude ascent, presents a unique challenge to brain oxygen (O2) supply. During high-intensity exercise, hyperventilation-induced hypocapnia leads to cerebral vasoconstriction, followed by reductions in cerebral blood flow (CBF), oxygen delivery (DO2), and tissue oxygenation. This reduced O2 supply to the brain could potentially account for the reduced performance typically observed during exercise in severe hypoxic conditions. The aims of this thesis were to document the effect of acute and chronic exposure to hypoxia on CBF control, and to determine the role of cerebral DO2 and tissue oxygenation in limiting performance during exercise in severe hypoxia. We assessed CBF, arterial O2 content (CaO2), haemoglobin concentration ([Hb]), partial pressure of arterial O2 (PaO2), cerebrovascular CO2 reactivity, ventilatory response to CO2, cerebral autoregulation (CA), and estimated cerebral DO2 (CBF ⨉ CaO2) at sea level (SL), upon ascent to 5,260 m (ALT1), and following 16 days of acclimatisation to 5,260 m (ALT16). We found an increase in CBF despite an elevated cerebrovascular CO2 reactivity at ALT1, which coincided with a reduced CA. Meanwhile, PaO2 was greatly decreased despite increased ventilatory drive at ALT1, resulting in a concomitant decrease in CaO2. At ALT16, CBF decreased towards SL values, while cerebrovascular CO2 reactivity and ventilatory drive were further elevated. Acclimatisation increased PaO2, [Hb], and therefore CaO2 at ALT16, but these changes did not improve CA compared to ALT1. No differences were observed in cerebral DO2 across SL, ALT1, and ALT16. Our findings demonstrate that cerebral DO2 is maintained during both acute and chronic exposure to 5,260 m, due to the reciprocal changes in CBF and CaO2. We measured middle cerebral artery velocity (MCAv: index of CBF), cerebral DO2, ventilation (VE), and performance during incremental cycling to exhaustion and 15km time trial cycling in both normoxia and severe hypoxia (11% O2, normobaric), with and without added CO2 to the inspirate (CO2 breathing). We found MCAv was higher during exercise in severe hypoxia compared in normoxia, while cerebral tissue oxygenation and DO2 were reduced. CO2 breathing was effective in preventing the development of hyperventilation-induced hypocapnia during intense exercise in both normoxia and hypoxia. As a result, we were able to increase both MCAv and cerebral DO2 during exercise in hypoxia with our CO2 breathing setup. However, we concomitantly increased VE and PaO2 (and presumably respiratory work) due to the increased hypercapnic stimuli with CO2 breathing, which subsequently contributed to the cerebral DO2 increase during hypoxic exercise. While we effectively restored cerebral DO2 during exercise in hypoxia to normoxic values with CO2 breathing, we did not observe any improvement in cerebral tissue oxygenation or exercise performance. Accordingly, our findings do not support the role of reduced cerebral DO2 in limiting exercise performance in severe hypoxia. -- Un apport adéquat en oxygène au niveau du cerveau est primordial pour le maintien des fonctions cérébrales normales. L'hypoxie sévère, telle qu'expérimentée au cours d'ascensions en haute altitude, présente un défi unique pour l'apport cérébral en oxygène (O2). Lors d'exercices à haute intensité, l'hypocapnie induite par l'hyperventilation entraîne une vasoconstriction cérébrale suivie par une réduction du flux sanguin cérébral (CBF), de l'apport en oxygène (DO2), ainsi que de l'oxygénation tissulaire. Cette réduction de l'apport en O2 au cerveau pourrait potentiellement être responsable de la diminution de performance observée au cours d'exercices en condition d'hypoxie sévère. Les buts de cette thèse étaient de documenter l'effet de l'exposition aiguë et chronique à l'hypoxie sur le contrôle du CBF, ainsi que de déterminer le rôle du DO2 cérébral et de l'oxygénation tissulaire comme facteurs limitant la performance lors d'exercices en hypoxie sévère. Nous avons mesuré CBF, le contenu artériel en oxygène (CaO2), la concentration en hémoglobine ([Hb]), la pression partielle artérielle en O2 (PaO2), la réactivité cérébrovasculaire au CO2, la réponse ventilatoire au CO2, et l'autorégulation cérébrale sanguine (CA), et estimé DO2 cérébral (CBF x CaO2), au niveau de la mer (SL), au premier jour à 5.260 m (ALT1) et après seize jours d'acclimatation à 5.260 m (ALT16). Nous avons trouvé des augmentations du CBF et de la réactivité cérébrovasculaire au CO2 après une ascension à 5.260 m. Ces augmentations coïncidaient avec une réduction de l'autorégulation cérébrale. Simultanément, la PaO2 était grandement réduite, malgré l'augmentation de la ventilation (VE), résultant en une diminution de la CaO2. Après seize jours d'acclimatation à 5.260 m, le CBF revenait autour des valeurs observées au niveau de la mer, alors que la réactivité cérébrovasculaire au CO2 et la VE augmentaient par rapport à ALT1. L'acclimatation augmentait la PaO2, la concentration en hémoglobine, et donc la CaO2, mais n'améliorait pas l'autorégulation cérébrale, comparé à ALT1. Aucune différence n'était observée au niveau du DO2 cérébral entre SL, ALT1 et ALT16. Nos résultats montrent que le DO2 cérébral est maintenu constant lors d'expositions aiguë et chronique à 5.260m, ce qui s'explique par la réciprocité des variations du CBF et de la CaO2. Nous avons mesuré la vitesse d'écoulement du sang dans l'artère cérébrale moyenne (MCAv : un indice du CBF), le DO2 cérébral, la VE et la performance lors d'exercice incrémentaux jusqu'à épuisement sur cycloergomètre, ainsi que des contre-la-montres de 15 km en normoxie et en hypoxie sévère (11% O2, normobarique) ; avec ajout ou non de CO2 dans le mélange gazeux inspiré. Nous avons trouvé que MCAv était plus haute pendant l'exercice hypoxique, comparé à la normoxie alors que le DO2 cérébral était réduit. L'ajout de CO2 dans le gaz inspiré était efficace pour prévenir l'hypocapnie induite par l'hyperventilation, qui se développe à l'exercice intense, à la fois en normoxie et en hypoxie. Nous avons pu augmenter MCAv et le DO2 cérébral pendant l'exercice hypoxique, grâce à l'ajout de CO2. Cependant, nous avons augmenté la VE et la PaO2 (et probablement le travail respiratoire) à cause de l'augmentation du stimulus hypercapnique. Alors que nous avons, grâce à l'ajout de CO2, efficacement restauré le DO2 cérébral au cours de l'exercice en hypoxie à des valeurs obtenues en normoxie, nous n'avons observé aucune amélioration dans l'oxygénation du tissu cérébral ou de la performance. En conséquence, nos résultats ne soutiennent pas le rôle d'un DO2 cérébral réduit comme facteur limitant de la performance en hypoxie sévère.

A subsampling approach to estimating the distribution of diversing statistics with application to assessing financial market risks

In this paper we propose a subsampling estimator for the distribution ofstatistics diverging at either known rates when the underlying timeseries in strictly stationary abd strong mixing. Based on our results weprovide a detailed discussion how to estimate extreme order statisticswith dependent data and present two applications to assessing financialmarket risk. Our method performs well in estimating Value at Risk andprovides a superior alternative to Hill's estimator in operationalizingSafety First portofolio selection.

The impact of "early" nineteenth-century globalization on foreign trade in the Southern Cone: A study of British trade statistics

This paper deals with the impact of "early" nineteenth-century globalization (c.1815-1860) on foreign trade in the Southern Cone (SC). Most of the evidence is drawn from bilateral trades between Britain and the SC, at a time when Britain was the main commercial partner of the new republics. The main conclusion drawn is that early globalization had a positive impact on foreign trade in the SC, and this was due to: improvements in the SC's terms of trade during this period; the SC's per capita consumption of textiles (the main manufacture traded on world markets at that time) increased substantially during this period, at a time when clothing was one of the main items of SC household budgets; British merchants brought with them capital, shipping, insurance, and also facilitated the formation of vast global networks, which further promoted the SC's exports to a wider range of outlets.

Combined analysis of grey matter voxel-based morphometry and white matter tract-based spatial statistics in late-life bipolar disorder.

Background: Previous magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies in young patients with bipolar disorder indicated the presence of grey matter concentration changes as well as microstructural alterations in white matter in various neocortical areas and the corpus callosum. Whether these structural changes are also present in elderly patients with bipolar disorder with long-lasting clinical evolution remains unclear. Methods: We performed a prospective MRI study of consecutive elderly, euthymic patients with bipolar disorder and healthy, elderly controls. We conducted a voxel-based morphometry (VBM) analysis and a tract-based spatial statistics (TBSS) analysis to assess fractional anisotropy and longitudinal, radial and mean diffusivity derived by diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). Results: We included 19 patients with bipolar disorder and 47 controls in our study. Fractional anisotropy was the most sensitive DTI marker and decreased significantly in the ventral part of the corpus callosum in patients with bipolar disorder. Longitudinal, radial and mean diffusivity showed no significant between-group differences. Grey matter concentration was reduced in patients with bipolar disorder in the right anterior insula, head of the caudate nucleus, nucleus accumbens, ventral putamen and frontal orbital cortex. Conversely, there was no grey matter concentration or fractional anisotropy increase in any brain region in patients with bipolar disorder compared with controls. Limitations: The major limitation of our study is the small number of patients with bipolar disorder. Conclusion: Our data document the concomitant presence of grey matter concentration decreases in the anterior limbic areas and the reduced fibre tract coherence in the corpus callosum of elderly patients with long-lasting bipolar disorder.

Beyond intracranial pressure: optimization of cerebral blood flow, oxygen, and substrate delivery after traumatic brain injury.

Monitoring and management of intracranial pressure (ICP) and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) is a standard of care after traumatic brain injury (TBI). However, the pathophysiology of so-called secondary brain injury, i.e., the cascade of potentially deleterious events that occur in the early phase following initial cerebral insult-after TBI, is complex, involving a subtle interplay between cerebral blood flow (CBF), oxygen delivery and utilization, and supply of main cerebral energy substrates (glucose) to the injured brain. Regulation of this interplay depends on the type of injury and may vary individually and over time. In this setting, patient management can be a challenging task, where standard ICP/CPP monitoring may become insufficient to prevent secondary brain injury. Growing clinical evidence demonstrates that so-called multimodal brain monitoring, including brain tissue oxygen (PbtO2), cerebral microdialysis and transcranial Doppler among others, might help to optimize CBF and the delivery of oxygen/energy substrate at the bedside, thereby improving the management of secondary brain injury. Looking beyond ICP and CPP, and applying a multimodal therapeutic approach for the optimization of CBF, oxygen delivery, and brain energy supply may eventually improve overall care of patients with head injury. This review summarizes some of the important pathophysiological determinants of secondary cerebral damage after TBI and discusses novel approaches to optimize CBF and provide adequate oxygen and energy supply to the injured brain using multimodal brain monitoring.

Statistics in archaeology: New directions

Connections between Statistics and Archaeology have always appeared veryfruitful. The objective of this paper is to offer an outlook of somestatistical techniques that are being developed in the most recentyears and that can be of interest for archaeologists in the short run.

Geographical deviations in foreign trade statistics: A study into European trade with Latin American Countries, 1925

We have analyzed the spatial accuracy of European foreign trade statistics compared to Latin American. We have also included USA s data because of the importance of this country in Latin American trade. We have developed a method for mapping discrepancies between exporters and importers, trying to isolate systematic spatial deviations. Although our results don t allow a unique explanation, they present some interesting clues to the distribution channels in the Latin American Continent as well as some spatial deviations for statistics in individual countries. Connecting our results with the literature specialized in the accuracy of foreign trade statistics; we can revisit Morgernstern (1963) as well as Federico and Tena (1991). Morgernstern had had a really pessimistic view on the reliability of this statistic source, but his main alert was focused on the trade balances, not in gross export or import values. Federico and Tena (1991) have demonstrated howaccuracy increases by aggregation, geographical and of product at the same time. But they still have a pessimistic view with relation to distribution questions, remarking that perhaps it will be more accurate to use import sources in this latest case. We have stated that the data set coming from foreign trade statistics for a sample in 1925, being it exporters or importers, it s a valuable tool for geography of trade patterns, although in some specific cases it needs some spatial adjustments.

On the accuracy of Latin American trade statistics: A nonparametric test for 1925

This paper proposes a nonparametric test in order to establish the level of accuracy of theforeign trade statistics of 17 Latin American countries when contrasted with the trade statistics of the main partners in 1925. The Wilcoxon Matched-Pairs Ranks test is used to determine whether the differences between the data registered by exporters and importers are meaningful, and if so, whether the differences are systematic in any direction. The paper tests for the reliability of the data registered for two homogeneous products, petroleum and coal, both in volume and value. The conclusion of the several exercises performed is that we cannot accept the existence of statistically significant differences between the data provided by the exporters and the registered by the importing countries in most cases. The qualitative historiography of Latin American describes its foreign trade statistics as mostly unusable. Our quantitative results contest this view.