Shakespeare, the Middle Ages and the Luck of the British: Medievalism and National Identity in The Hollow Crown (2012)

Images of the medieval past have long been fertile soil for the identity politics of subsequent periods. Rather than “authentically” reproducing the Middle Ages, medievalism therefore usually tells us more about the concerns and ideological climate of its own time and place of origin. To dramatise the nascent nation, Shakespeare resorts to medievalism in his history plays. Centuries later, the BBC-produced television mini-serial The Hollow Crown – adapting Shakespeare’s second histories tetralogy – revamps this negotiation of national identity for the “Cultural Olympiad” in the run-up to the 2012 London Olympics. In this context of celebratory introspection, The Hollow Crown weaves a genealogical narrative consisting of the increasingly “glorious” medieval history depicted and “national” Shakespearean heritage in order to valorise 21st-century “Britishness”. Encouraging a reading of the histories as medieval history, the films construct an ostensibly inclusive, liberal-minded national identity grounded in this history. Moreover, medieval kingship is represented in distinctly sentimentalising and humanising terms, fostering emotional identification especially with the no longer ambivalent Hal/Henry V and making him an apt model for present-day British grandeur. However, the fact that the films in return marginalise female, Scottish, Irish and Welsh characters gives rise to doubts as to whether this vision of Shakespeare’s Middle Ages really is, as the producers claimed, “for everybody”.

“Crye Fredome”? Medievalism and Twenty-First-Century Scottish National Identity

It is a well-documented fact that the Middle Ages have had a long history of instrumentalisation by nationalisms. 19th-century Eu¬rope in particular witnessed an origins craze during the process of nation-building. In the post-Shoah, post-modern West, on the other hand, we might expect this kind of medievalist master nar¬rative to have been consigned to the dustbin of history. And yet, as nationalism surges again in Europe, negotiations of national identi¬ties in medieval dress seem to have become fashionable once more. In order to come to terms with the fragmented and often contradictory presence of the Middle Ages in these discourses of national identity, I propose we consider medievalism a utilitarian product of the cultural memory. Rather than representing any ‘real’ Middle Ages, then, medievalism tailors available knowledge of the medieval past to the diverse social needs and ideologies of the present. This paper looks at a selection of Scottish examples of present-day medievalism in an attempt to investigate, in particular, the place of the medieval Wars of Scottish Independence in contemporary negotiations of ‘Scottishness’. Both the relationships envisioned between self and other and the role played by ‘the land’ in these cultural, social and political instances of national introspection offer starting points for critical inquiry. Moreover, the analysis of a scholarly intervention in the run-up to the 2014 Scottish independence referendum indicates an intriguing dialogue of academic and non-academic voices in the context of Scottish medievalist cultural memory. We thus find a wide array of uses of the Scottish Middle Ages, some of which feed into the burgeoning nationalism of recent years, while others offer more pensive and ambivalent answers to the question of what it means to be Scottish in the 21st century.

Exchange Market Pressure on the Pound-Dollar Exchange Rate: 1925-1931

An investigation of exchange market pressure against the pound sterling during the inter-war period. The main findings are that a) the behavior of UK fundamentals relative to those of the USA help to explain exchange market pressure against the pound; b) during the run up to devaluation in September 1931 the monetary authorities in the UK were acting to reduce domestic credit; but that c) additional pressure was brought against the pound from speculative sources. These findings relate to current thinking on the choice of exchange rate regime as even well behaved fundamentals may not be sufficient to sustain a currency on its peg.

Modelización de costas rocosas acantiladas

El retroceso de las costas acantiladas es un fenómeno muy extendido sobre los litorales rocosos expuestos a la incidencia combinada de los procesos marinos y meteorológicos que se dan en la franja costera. Este fenómeno se revela violentamente como movimientos gravitacionales del terreno esporádicos, pudiendo causar pérdidas materiales y/o humanas. Aunque el conocimiento de estos riesgos de erosión resulta de vital importancia para la correcta gestión de la costa, el desarrollo de modelos predictivos se encuentra limitado desde el punto de vista geomorfológico debido a la complejidad e interacción de los procesos de desarrollo espacio-temporal que tienen lugar en la zona costera. Los modelos de predicción publicados son escasos y con importantes inconvenientes: a) extrapolación, extienden la información de registros históricos; b) empíricos, sobre registros históricos estudian la respuesta al cambio de un parámetro; c) estocásticos, determinan la cadencia y magnitud de los eventos futuros extrapolando las distribuciones de probabilidad extraídas de catálogos históricos; d) proceso-respuesta, de estabilidad y propagación del error inexplorada; e) en Ecuaciones en Derivadas Parciales, computacionalmente costosos y poco exactos. La primera parte de esta tesis detalla las principales características de los modelos más recientes de cada tipo y, para los más habitualmente utilizados, se indican sus rangos de aplicación, ventajas e inconvenientes. Finalmente como síntesis de los procesos más relevantes que contemplan los modelos revisados, se presenta un diagrama conceptual de la recesión costera, donde se recogen los procesos más influyentes que deben ser tenidos en cuenta, a la hora de utilizar o crear un modelo de recesión costera con el objetivo de evaluar la peligrosidad (tiempo/frecuencia) del fenómeno a medio-corto plazo. En esta tesis se desarrolla un modelo de proceso-respuesta de retroceso de acantilados costeros que incorpora el comportamiento geomecánico de materiales cuya resistencia a compresión no supere los 5 MPa. El modelo simula la evolución espaciotemporal de un perfil-2D del acantilado que puede estar formado por materiales heterogéneos. Para ello, se acoplan la dinámica marina: nivel medio del mar, cambios en el nivel medio del lago, mareas y oleaje; con la evolución del terreno: erosión, desprendimiento rocoso y formación de talud de derrubios. El modelo en sus diferentes variantes es capaz de incluir el análisis de la estabilidad geomecánica de los materiales, el efecto de los derrubios presentes al pie del acantilado, el efecto del agua subterránea, la playa, el run-up, cambios en el nivel medio del mar o cambios (estacionales o interanuales) en el nivel medio de la masa de agua (lagos). Se ha estudiado el error de discretización del modelo y su propagación en el tiempo a partir de las soluciones exactas para los dos primeros periodos de marea para diferentes aproximaciones numéricas tanto en tiempo como en espacio. Los resultados obtenidos han permitido justificar las elecciones que minimizan el error y los métodos de aproximación más adecuados para su posterior uso en la modelización. El modelo ha sido validado frente a datos reales en la costa de Holderness, Yorkshire, Reino Unido; y en la costa norte del lago Erie, Ontario, Canadá. Los resultados obtenidos presentan un importante avance en los modelos de recesión costera, especialmente en su relación con las condiciones geomecánicas del medio, la influencia del agua subterránea, la verticalización de los perfiles rocosos y su respuesta ante condiciones variables producidas por el cambio climático (por ejemplo, nivel medio del mar, cambios en los niveles de lago, etc.). The recession of coastal cliffs is a widespread phenomenon on the rocky shores that are exposed to the combined incidence of marine and meteorological processes that occur in the shoreline. This phenomenon is revealed violently and occasionally, as gravitational movements of the ground and can cause material or human losses. Although knowledge of the risks of erosion is vital for the proper management of the coast, the development of cliff erosion predictive models is limited by the complex interactions between environmental processes and material properties over a range of temporal and spatial scales. Published prediction models are scarce and present important drawbacks: extrapolation, that extend historical records to the future; empirical, that based on historical records studies the system response against the change in one parameter; stochastic, that represent of cliff behaviour based on assumptions regarding the magnitude and frequency of events in a probabilistic framework based on historical records; process-response, stability and error propagation unexplored; PDE´s, highly computationally expensive and not very accurate. The first part of this thesis describes the main features of the latest models of each type and, for the most commonly used, their ranges of application, advantages and disadvantages are given. Finally as a synthesis of the most relevant processes that include the revised models, a conceptual diagram of coastal recession is presented. This conceptual model includes the most influential processes that must be taken into account when using or creating a model of coastal recession to evaluate the dangerousness (time/frequency) of the phenomenon to medium-short term. A new process-response coastal recession model developed in this thesis has been designed to incorporate the behavioural and mechanical characteristics of coastal cliffs which are composed of with materials whose compressive strength is less than 5 MPa. The model simulates the spatial and temporal evolution of a cliff-2D profile that can consist of heterogeneous materials. To do so, marine dynamics: mean sea level, waves, tides, lake seasonal changes; is coupled with the evolution of land recession: erosion, cliff face failure and associated protective colluvial wedge. The model in its different variants can include analysis of material geomechanical stability, the effect of debris present at the cliff foot, groundwater effects, beach and run-up effects, changes in the mean sea level or changes (seasonal or inter-annual) in the mean lake level. Computational implementation and study of different numerical resolution techniques, in both time and space approximations, and the produced errors are exposed and analysed for the first two tidal periods. The results obtained in the errors analysis allow us to operate the model with a configuration that minimizes the error of the approximation methods. The model is validated through profile evolution assessment at various locations of coastline retreat on the Holderness Coast, Yorkshire, UK and on the north coast of Lake Erie, Ontario, Canada. The results represent an important stepforward in linking material properties to the processes of cliff recession, in considering the effect of groundwater charge and the slope oversteeping and their response to changing conditions caused by climate change (i.e. sea level, changes in lakes levels, etc.).

Contraste de las formulaciones existentes para la estimación de la tasa de rebase en diques de abrigo portuario

La investigación que se resume en este artículo, resultante de diversos trabajos realizados en el CEDEX [10, 12], tiene por objeto contrastar las formulaciones desarrolladas por diferentes autores en materia de rebases en distintas tipologías de diques de abrigo. Para ello, se realizó en primer lugar la recopilación y el análisis de las formulaciones existentes para estimar la tasa de rebase sobre diques en talud y verticales. Posteriormente, se llevó a cabo el contraste de dichas formulaciones con los resultados obtenidos en dos ensayos realizados en el Centro de Estudios de Puertos y Costas del CEDEX, en Cabo Prioriño, Ferrol y en la alineación tercera de Melilla. The research that is summarized in this article, resultant of several studies carried out in the CEDEX [10, 12], is focused in the existing methods to estimate overtopping rates developed by different authors. For that, the summary was carry out firstly we collected and analyzed the existing formulae, particularly for rubble mound and vertical breakwaters. These formulations was compared with the results obtained in two hydraulic model tests of the Hydraulic Research Laboratory (the Center of Studies of Ports and Coasts of the CEDEX, Madrid, Spain). Keywords: overtopping rates, rubble mound breakwater, vertical breakwater, crown wall, run-up.

Sola romani: morteros hidráulicos romanos en la Península Ibérica

En esta investigación se han analizado morteros de cal de cronología romana en el interior de la Península Ibérica. Para ello, se seleccionó una serie de muestras procedentes de diversos yacimientos, y de estructuras de carácter industrial. Estas muestras presentan aditivos cerámicos y conglomerantes de cal, como característica principal. Desde un principio el esfuerzo debía de centrarse en los fragmentos cerámicos presentes en los morteros. Para ello se documentaron varios morteros con aditivos cerámicos, a fin de conocer sus características básicas (componentes, distribución, micro-estratigrafía, granulometría, etc.). Por ello, y una vez tomadas las muestras, ésta fueron tratadas y procesadas para desarrollar una primera fase de estudio por medio de macroscopía. Se obtuvieron buenos resultados en cuanto a la caracterización visual de los morteros, localizando y documentando los fragmentos cerámicos. Durante la observación de dichos aditivos se observó que los fragmentos cerámicos tenían unas coronas o anillos de coloración que recorrían el borde, justo al contacto con la matriz de cal. Fueron seleccionados algunos fragmentos en los que eran más visibles dichos anillos. A fin de conocer la posible relación entre algunos yacimientos cercanos y la presencia de dicho anillo cromáticos se desarrolló una microscopía óptica polarizada, realizando láminas delgadas de las muestras y sobre los fragmentos cerámicos más determinantes, en concreto de una serie de enclaves del valle del Henares. Además de caracterizar microscópicamente los morteros, se observó que los anillos no eran un defecto visual ni una alteración física, producida tal vez por la extracción, la fase del corte o por la cocción de la cerámica. Tras analizar varios ejemplares se pudo apreciar que esos anillos eran habituales en todas las muestras y que se presentaban de diferente manera, es decir, que se observaban en granos cerámicos de diferentes características físicas (cochura, tamaño, situación con respecto del conglomerante, etc.). A fin de conocer los aspectos químicos de dicha alteración se seleccionó un grupo de muestras en las que los resultados macroscópicos habían sido muy claros, y en las que la microscopía óptica polarizada había determinado en los bordes, áreas adecuadas para otros análisis. Se realizó un mapeado o mapping de elementos químicos, a fin de saber qué podía estar sucediendo en esa interfaz entre el fragmento cerámico y la matriz de cal. Gracias a los resultados obtenidos se comprobó que existía una acumulación potencial de calcio tanto en el interior de los granos cerámicos como en el exterior, justo en la zona de contacto con el conglomerante, formando manchas que recorrían longitudinalmente el borde. Estos datos fueron muy útiles para llevar a cabo la siguiente fase de estudio, que permitiría conocer puntualmente qué estaba sucediendo químicamente en esa zona de contacto. Finalmente y con el objetivo de describir química y puntualmente este efecto en las adiciones cerámicas, se volvió a seleccionar una serie de muestras, escogidas esta vez en función de los granos cerámicos que cumpliesen unas variables estadísticas. Se eligieron granos con distintos tipos de cocciones, así como granos con tamaños diversos y granos con aditivo ceniciento en la matriz de cal, pensando que podrían ser las variables más útiles de interpretar de existir algún tipo de cambio químico entre la arcilla cocida y la matriz de cal. Tales variables se adaptaron a un sistema estadístico multi-varial y geométrico, con el objetivo de sintetizar los resultados y visualizar de forma óptima los datos en conjunto, como se ha comentado en varias ocasiones en este trabajo. Una vez seleccionados los granos por variables se procedió a realizar un análisis lineal y espectral semi-cuantitativo de SEM-EDX, con el que se caracterizaba químicamente una sección lineal del grano, desde la matriz de arcilla cocida de la cerámica hasta la matriz de cal –del interior al exterior del grano- pasando por el centro de la banda de reacción. Este análisis permitió determinar que se había producido una serie de cambios químicos porcentuales en los granos de cerámica. Dichos cambios se resumen en un incremento global de los porcentajes de calcio en el interior de las bandas de reacción de la cerámica, desde el borde mismo del anillo hasta el exterior. Así también se observaron picos porcentuales en el interfaz del fragmento cerámico con la matriz de cal, lo que confirmaba los resultados obtenidos por medio del mapping. Globalmente en todas las muestras se apreció un hombro en las gráficas de calcio a su paso por la zona de afección del anillo de reacción. Los restantes porcentajes de magnesio, silicio y aluminio se mantienen normales. En esta tesis se ha confirmado que dicho incremento global de calcio se acentúa en las muestras en donde no hay cenizas en la matriz de cal. Los casos correspondientes a estos granos sufren un incremento mayor que en el resto. La segunda variable que sufre un mayor incremento de calcio es la que corresponde a granos con buena cocción de la arcilla. Por lo tanto, parece que la tercera variable, la que corresponde con el tamaño del fragmento cerámico, no es decisiva. Por lo tanto, teniendo en cuenta la prueba visual de los anillos de reacción, y atendiendo a los resultados químicos, podríamos pensar que ese incremento de calcio en la banda de reacción de los fragmentos cerámicos se debió a una absorción de calcio en el interior de la arcilla cocida en la fase inmediatamente previa al fraguado, incluso durante el apagado de la cal. Es en este punto donde estaría la clave del cambio químico que se produce en esta interfaz, el calcio sílice-aluminato del que algunos autores ya han investigado. Esta absorción de calcio en el interior del grano no vendría sola, sino que generaría una costra de cal en el interfaz exterior de la cerámica, la cual ha sido observada químicamente por mapping y mineralógicamente por medio de microscopía óptica de polarización. La consecuencia de estos resultados es, primero, la mejora de nuestro conocimiento general acerca del factor hidráulico en los morteros. Asimismo se aprecia que la incorporación de materiales orgánicos como cenizas, puede alterar los porcentajes de calcio en el interior de los aditivos cerámicos, por lo que habría que sopesar, en trabajos futuros, si este tipo de material es adecuado o no en las mezclas destinadas a la restauración, así como seguir indagando en las propiedades de los morteros con la incorporación de aditivos orgánicos. Desde el punto de vista de la catalogación de los suelos industriales hidráulicos de época romana, además de mejorar la documentación incorporando micro-estratigrafías y granulometrías, la investigación de este material histórico constructivo mejora en cuanto a que se incorporan ensayos sencillos, que facilitan incluso la peritación de un estado de conservación por medio de una lupa binocular. Arqueológicamente hablando, es muy interesante correlacionar fábricas diferentes de estructuras situadas o bien en un mismo yacimiento, o bien en una misma área regional. Los estudios de caracterización y micro-estratigrafía no sólo aportan datos nuevos de cara a la restauración de morteros, sino que crean la posibilidad de generar patrones constructivos que sirvan de fósiles-guía para datar relativamente a unas estructuras o a otras. En lo referido a los resultados obtenidos en los diferentes complejos arqueológicos se ha observado una diferencia entre los morteros destinados a piletas y cubetas con respecto a los suelos industriales de uso indeterminado. La muestra correspondiente al yacimiento de Las Arenas no dispone de ninguna micro-estratigrafía, como sí por el contrario en las muestras obtenidas en Rotonda de Mejorada, Val de la Viña y La Magdalena. En estos enclaves las estructuras presentan grandes similitudes, con diferentes niveles constructivos empleando morteros de cal con áridos y gravas en las capas interiores, y áridos con adiciones cerámicas en las exteriores. En lo relativo a la granulometría las adiciones cerámicas de las muestras de Val de la Viña y La Magdalena presentan varias coincidencias en cuanto al tamaño de los granos y la distribución. Asimismo, de las muestras tomadas en La Magdalena, existe una gran diferencia entre las muestras MG1, MG2, MG3 y MG4 con respecto a las muestras MG5 y MG6, correspondientes éstas últimas a un mortero con fragmentos cerámicos de gran tamaño. Las estructuras EMG1 y EMG2, correspondientes a una cubeta y una pileta de La Magdalena, guardan similitud en lo referido a la micro-estratigrafía y a la granulometría. Se ha determinado que su función, así como su fabricación, debieron estar vinculadas a un mismo contexto cronocultural. Química y mineralógicamente, las muestras presentan características iguales, con presencia de un conglomerante de cal con áridos y aditivos cerámicos de diferentes cochuras. Destaca la muestra de Las Arenas, con un tamaño de los fragmentos cerámicos muy superior al resto, seguido de la estructura EMG3 de La Magdalena. Las muestras restantes de éste enclave, junto con las muestras recogidas en Val de la Viña y Rotonda de Mejorada presentan condiciones similares. En conclusión, los datos revelan que existían diferentes fábricas destinadas a distintas finalidades, y que las estructuras industriales empleaban aditivos cerámicos para la manipulación de productos con líquidos, de distintas densidades pero que requerían de cierto grado de hidraulicidad. ABSTRACT Lime Roman mortars from the Iberian Peninsula has been analyzed in this reesearch. A group of samples were selected from some sites and all the samples come from industrial structures. All this samples show ceramic additives. From the start, the effort was centered in the pieces of pottery that were found in the mortars. The samples were treated and processed to develop a first phase of the research using macroscopy. With this technique, great results were achieved in the characterization of mortars, the microstratigraphy and the location of the ceramic pieces. While observing these pieces, it was seen that the fragments of pottery had a ring bordering the piece. The pieces with the bigger and more vivid rings were chosen and they were analyzed by a polarized light microscope. The mortars were characterized microscopically and it also showed that the rings were not a physical alteration or a visual defect. After some more tests, the rings were a chemical change associated with the hydraulicity of the mortar. The best samples were selected and mappings of their chemical elements were performed in order to know what could be happening in the interface between the ceramic matrix fragment and lime. With the results obtained it was found that there was a potential; both calcium accumulation within the ceramic grains and outside, just in the area of contact with the binder, forming spots longitudinally along the edge. These data were very useful for carrying out the next phase of study, which would meet promptly what was happening chemically in the area of contact. Another group of samples were taken, and this time focused on ceramic grains that met a statistical variables. Grains were chosen with two types of cooking as well as grains with different sizes and grains with ash additive in the matrix of lime, thinking that might be the most logical to be some sort of chemical change between the baked clay and lime array variables . Such variables were adapted to a multi-varial and geometric statistical system in order to synthesize the results and optimally display the data together, as mentioned several times in this work. After selecting the variables grains proceeded to perform a linear and spectral analysis SEM-EDX. This analysis led to determine that the chemical changes were graduals. These changes are summarized in an increase in the percentages of calcium inside the reaction rim of ceramics, from the edge to the outer ring. So percentage increasing is also observed at the interface of the ceramic matrix fragment with lime, confirming the results obtained by the mapping. Overall in all samples can be seen a shoulder in graphic calcium through the area of the ring reaction condition. The remaining percentages of magnesium, silicon and aluminum are usual. We have promptly confirmed that the increase of calcium is accentuated in samples where there is no ash and lime matrix. Cases for these grains suffer a greater increase than the rest. The second variable suffering more calcium is increased corresponding to good cooking grains with clay. Therefore, it appears that the variable size of the fragment is not critical. Therefore, considering the visual tests to the rings and their response to chemical results, we might think that increasing calcium inside the ceramic fragments was due to an injection of calcium inside clay in the run-up to the setting phase. It is at this point that would be the key to the chemical change that occurs at this interface, silica-calcium aluminate some authors have already investigated. This injection of calcium into the grain does not come alone, but generate a lime crust on the outside interface of ceramics, which we tested for mapping is real in our samples. The consequence of these results is the improvement of our understanding of historical hydraulic factor in building materials, such as mortar. For example, knowing that the incorporation of organic materials such as ash powder, may be detrimental to the injection of calcium inside the ceramic additives. Archaeologically speaking, it's very interesting to correlate different factories or structures located on a single site, or in the same regional area. Characterization studies and microstratigraphy not only provide new information to help restore mortars, but create the possibility of generating constructive patterns that serve as guide fossils to determinate the age of the structures. With regard to the results obtained in different archaeological sites it has seen a difference between mortars of pools or sinks with respect to industrial floors of undetermined use. The sample of the site of Las Arenas does not have any micro-stratigraphy, as if instead in the samples obtained in Rotonda de Mejorada, Val de la Viña and La Magdalena sites. In these settlements the structures are really similar, with different construction levels using lime mortars with aggregates and gravel in the inner layers, and ceramic aggregates as external additions. With regard to the grain size of the ceramic additions Val de la Viña and La Magdalena samples has several coincidences about the size of grains and distribution. Also, samples taken at La Magdalena, there is a difference between the MG1, MG2, MG3 and MG4 samples and the MG5 and MG6 samples, so the last corresponding to a mortar samples with larger ceramic fragments. The EMG1 and EMG2 structures, corresponding to a bucket and a pool of La Magdalena settlement, have similarities with regard to micro-stratigraphy and grain size. It has been determined that the function and manufacturing must be linked with a same chronocultural context.

Household debt and the European crisis. ECRI Research Report No. 13, June 2013

The fall in economic output all over Europe since 2008 has had important consequences for household liabilities. Major growth in demand and supply for household credit products has generated an increase in household debt, which contributed to growth rates during the pre-crisis period but – in some countries – became household-debt overhangs and helped inflate asset bubbles. In the run-up to the crisis, long-term economic lessons and theories were often overlooked and signs that the economic situation could worsen were ignored. Although not at the core of the crisis, household debt had important consequences for macroeconomic stability, robustness of growth and the depth of recessions. The last ten years in Europe have demonstrated the typical final stage of a household debt cycle: rapid increase and abrupt retrenchment. Widely varying outcomes across Europe enable us to consider the causes of the rapid growth in household debt and draw theoretical lessons that can help policy-makers and academics devise a coherent regulatory response to avoid extremes of the debt cycle in future.

The Sovereign Debt Crisis: Placing a curb on growth. CEPS Paperbacks. May 2012

To ward off the threat of a worldwide depression that loomed at the end of the 2000s, governments opted to run up substantial fiscal deficits. In doing so, they sowed the seeds of the sovereign debt crisis. Saddled with often high debt burdens and modest growth prospects, developed countries’ governments must now rebalance their budgets. Doing so too rapidly, however, will choke growth. Faced with this dilemma, Japan and the United States have pursued growth policies while the euro area members are quickly trying to rebalance their budgets. This book explores the respective risks associated with these two strategies. It further investigates the consequences for the international monetary and financial system of developing countries’ public debts ceasing to be risk-free.

Shifting EU Institutional Reform into High Gear. Report of the CEPS High-Level Group. CEPS Task Force Reports

To contribute to the important debate on EU institutional reform in the run-up to the European Parliament elections and the start of a new Commission, CEPS formed a High-Level Group on EU Institutional Reform under the leadership of Danuta Hübner MEP and member of the CEPS Board of Directors. The report of this distinguished group of MEPs, former and current EU institutional members and leading scholars on EU law and institutional affairs focuses on reforms that could be taken within the framework of the current treaties to build a more responsive and accountable Union. The report analyses the main inter- and intra-institutional weaknesses in terms of efficiency, democracy and differentiation and puts forward a number of recommendations addressing issues such as the reorganisation of the College of Commissioners, the promotion of strategic legislative planning, the enhancement of the role of the EP and the rotating Presidency of the Council, the improvement of the democratic accountability of the European Council and the adequate engagement of the national parliaments.

Ukraine and Security Disorder in Europe – A Defining Moment for the OSCE? CEPS Commentary, 24 April 2014

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) is the first and currently the only international body to have a monitoring mission deployed in Ukraine. This is as it should be, argues Erwan Fouéré. Today, with EU members making up half the membership of the OSCE, the EU needs to show greater responsibility and far-sightedness in its dealings with the OSCE. In the run-up to the 40th anniversary of the Helsinki Final Act, and faced with its most serious security crisis since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the EU should take the lead once again in fostering collective responsibility on the part of all Participating States to ensure a meaningful and effective role for the OSCE.

spotlight europe #2014/02 — May 2014: The Populist Networks

In 2013, 73 percent of the population of the European Union used the internet. And the number of users is still going up. In the run up to the European elections, we are led to ask a number of crucial questions: How do anti-European populists market themselves on the internet? Are they opinion leaders of the web community? Turns out they're not. The Pro-Europeans are strong. We'll explain why and what to do to make them even stronger.

Ukraine and Security Disorder in Europe - A Defining Moment for the OSCE? CEPS Commentary, 24 April 2014

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) is the first and currently the only international body to have a monitoring mission deployed in Ukraine. This is as it should be, argues Erwan Fouéré. Today, with EU members making up half the membership of the OSCE, the EU needs to show greater responsibility and far-sightedness in its dealings with the OSCE. In the run-up to the 40th anniversary of the Helsinki Final Act, and faced with its most serious security crisis since the fall of the Berlin Wall, the EU should take the lead once again in fostering collective responsibility on the part of all Participating States to ensure a meaningful and effective role for the OSCE.

Does ASEM work? CEPS Policy Brief No. 321, 14 October 2014

This CEPS Policy Brief is based on a larger study for the EEAS and European Commission, written by the same authors in the run-up of the Milan ASEM summit of 16-17 October 2014. The main idea of the study is to assess whether ASEM works and how, by verifying the factual evidence in detail. After all, ASEM has no institutions, no budget and no treaty, whilst dialogues and a loose improvement over time in Asia-Europe relations refer to process much more than genuine ‘results’. The stocktaking covers all ASEM activities since the 2006 Helsinki summit. Summit and foreign ministers’ declarations and ASEM calendar of activities (and interviews) are used to trace ASEM activities in the three ASEM pillars (political, economic, and peoples-to-peoples/cultural). All the ‘regular’ ASEM meetings at ministerial and other levels (many of which are only known to relatively few) have been mapped. Also the ASEM working methods, based on the 2000 AECF framework and many subsequent initiatives, have been scrutinised, including whether they are actually implemented or not or partially. Such methods refer to how to work together in areas of cooperation (beyond the typical ASEM dialogue), organisation, coordination and ASEM visibility. The main conclusion is that ASEM works reasonably well, once one accepts the ASEM of today, although some inefficiencies still characterise the ‘system’. There is a host of secondary conclusions on the three pillars, the foreign ministers, the strong government-to-government nature of ASEM and the working methods. We recommend that today’s ASEM needs no reform and that not having ASEM would entail political and diplomatic costs. We emphasise that ASEM is well placed to stimulate exchange of information between the mega-FTAs such as TPP, RCEP and TTIP. However, the ASEM of tomorrow might be different, given the great changes in geo-political and economic conditions since ASEM began in the mid-1990s. Moreover, the size of ASEM has become such that classical ways of operating with (after Milano) 53 countries (including the EU and ASEAN) cannot possibly be effective all the time. We suggest that, in the run-up to the 20th ASEM birthday (2016), EU and Asian independent think-tanks get together to write an ‘options report’ reconsidering options for a new ASEM, as the basis for a profound and wide debate how to get more value-added out of ASEM.

The parliamentary elections in Ukraine: new hope? EPC Policy Brief, 21 October 2014

Ukraine’s parliamentary elections on 26 October 2014 seem set to be the most important and most challenging the country has ever held. For the first time in Ukraine’s history, the presidential election of Petro Poroshenko in May gave many Ukrainians new hope. His victory seemed to unite the country, being the first president to have won in most of the regions despite the ongoing conflict in the East. However, with many corrupt elites still in power, reforms have become hostage to vested interests and in-fighting which has raised fears of ‘business as usual’. This has made this election campaign set against a backdrop of serious challenges dominating the agenda for the foreseeable future. In this policy brief, Amanda Paul and Svitlana Kobzar explore the status of the reform agenda needed for a stable and democratic Ukraine as well as the challenges in the run up to the election including corruption, energy and EU relations.

DEMOCRACY AND CITIZENSHIP IN NORTH AFRICA AFTER THE ARAB AWAKENING: CHALLENGES FOR EU AND US FOREIGN POLICY (EUSPRING). Arab Citizenship Review No. 6, October 2014. EGYPT. The Return to Authoritarianism and the Crisis of Citizenship Rights

Citizenship and democratic rights have been shrinking in Egypt with the rise of president Abd El Fattah El Sisi, widely popular among Egyptians who fear more violence and unrest in an increasingly volatile region. In this EU Spring Policy Brief, Moataz El Fegiery examines the political landscape in the run-up of parliamentary elections, arguing that the short term is likely to see further curtailment of acquired rights, further crackdown on the opposition and consolidation of military power. In the longer term, however, it is in the interest of Egyptian society and institutions as well as of Europe to reverse the politics of exclusion and ensure that freedoms, pluralism and participation prevent the rise of extremism and political violence.