Impact numbers: measures of risk factor impact on the whole population from case-control and cohort studies

Objective: To describe new measures of risk from case-control and cohort studies, which are simple to understand and relate to numbers of the population at risk. Design: Theoretical development of new measures of risk. Setting: Review of literature and previously described measures. Main results: The new measures are: (1) the population impact number (PIN), the number of those in the whole population among whom one case is attributable to the exposure or risk factor (this is equivalent to the reciprocal of the population attributable risk),- (2) the case impact number (CIN) the number of people with the disease or outcome for whom one case will be attributable to the exposure or risk factor (this is equivalent to the reciprocal of the population attributable fraction); (3) the exposure impact number (EIN) the number of people with the exposure among whom one excess case is attributable to the exposure (this is equivalent to the reciprocal of the attributable risk); (4) the exposed cases impact number (ECIN) the number of exposed cases among whom one case is attributable to the exposure (this is equivalent to the reciprocal of the aetiological fraction). The impact number reflects the number of people in each population (the whole population, the cases, all those exposed, and the exposed cases) among whom one case is attributable to the particular risk factor. Conclusions: These new measures should help communicate the impact on a population, of estimates of risk derived from cohort or case-control studies.

Impact numbers in health policy decisions

Objective: To outline the major methodological issues appropriate to the use of the population impact number (PIN) and the disease impact number (DIN) in health policy decision making. Design: Review of literature and calculation of PIN and DIN statistics in different settings. Setting: Previously proposed extensions to the number needed to treat (NNT): the DIN and the PIN, which give a population perspective to this measure. Main results: The PIN and DIN allow us to compare the population impact of different interventions either within the same disease or in different diseases or conditions. The primary studies used for relative risk estimates should have outcomes, time periods and comparison groups that are congruent and relevant to the local setting. These need to be combined with local data on disease rates and population size. Depending on the particular problem, the target may be disease incidence or prevalence and the effects of interest may be either the incremental impact or the total impact of each intervention. For practical application, it will be important to use sensitivity analyses to determine plausible intervals for the impact numbers. Conclusions: Attention to various methodological issues will permit the DIN and PIN to be used to assist health policy makers assign a population perspective to measures of risk.

Nutritional effects on neuron numbers

Undemutrition during early life is known to cause deficits and distortions of brain structure although it has remained uncertain whether or not this includes a diminution of the total numbers of neurons. Estimates of numerical density (e.g. number of cells per microscopic field, or number of cells per unit area of section, or number of cells per unit volume of tissue) are extremely difficult to interpret and do not provide estimates of total numbers of cells. However, advances in stereological techniques have made it possible to obtain unbiased estimates of total numbers of cells in well defined biological structures. These methods have been utilised in studies to determine the effects of varying periods of undernutrition during early life on the numbers of neurons in various regions of the rat brain. The regions examined so far have included the cerebellum, the dentate gyrus, the olfactory bulbs and the cerebral cortex. The only region to show, unequivocally, that a period of undernutrition during early life causes a deficit in the number of neurons was the dentate gyrus. These findings are discussed in the context of other morphological and functional deficits present in undernourished animals.

Classificação de empreendimentos super prime: aplicação ao caso prático - Palácio Estoril Residências

O tema deste trabalho visa abordar a Construção de Edifícios Residenciais de características singulares no mercado da Construção / Imobiliário, nomeadamente no que diz respeito à garantia das características a eles implícitas. Assim, abordam-se conseitos como a diferenciação e customização na construção, a especialização da equipa de trabalho e a classificação de empreendimentos, aqui designados como Super Prime. Um empreendimento Super Prime deve permitir alcançar um modo de vida bastante particular, movido pelo gosto, pela ostentação e pelo prazer. Um produto com estas características deve ser definido pela sua qualidade, exclusividade, criatividade, marca, emoção, autenticidade, prestígio e glamour. Num sector em constante mudança, cada vez mais exigente e competitivo e altamente dependente do mercado económico, facilmente se compreende a necessidade de diferenciação na construção de imóveis e da consciencialização do consumidor para a qualidade dos produtos. No entanto, não existe nenhuma metodologia, quer a nível nacional, quer a nível internacional, que garanta este conceito de classificação de edifícios residenciais. Este facto levou à proposta de uma Metodologia de Classificação de Empreendimentos Super Prime, que se designou por MCESP, e que tem como objectivo principal a verificação do cumprimento dos requisitos técnicos implícitos a estes empreendimentos, possibilitando a sua classificação dentro desse segmento. Desta forma, identificaram-se esses requisitos técnicos, definiu-se uma hierarquia lógica de exigências a cumprir, procedeu-se à distinção qualitativa de cada característica apresentada e obteve-se uma avaliação numérica, gráfica e justificativa. De uma forma geral, a proposta deste método de classificação surge como um critério de diferenciação e de notoriedade para empreiteiros, donos de obra e promotores, aumentando a rentabilidade e competitividade de uma empresa. A sua adopção possibilita a optimização de soluções, o aumento do nível de confiança dos clientes e o aumento de prestígio das suas empresas. Procurou-se igualmente, contribuir para o avanço do conhecimento no campo da tecnologia de construção residencial Super Prime, apoiando a inovação, o desenvolvimento e a personalização, contribuindo para um melhor produto final.

Systematic and liquidity risk in sub-prime mortgage-backed assets

The mis-evaluation of risk in securitized financial products is central to understanding the global financial crisis. This paper characterizes the evolution of risk factors affecting collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) based on subprime mortgages. A key feature of subprime mortgage-backed indices is that they are distinct in their vintage of issuance. Using a latent factor framework that incorporates this vintage effect, we show the increasing importance of common factors on more senior tranches during the crisis. An innovation of the paper is that we use the unbalanced panel structure of the data to identify the vintage, credit, common and idiosyncratic effects from a state-space specification.

Phase diagrams of binary mixtures of patchy colloids with distinct numbers and types of patches: Theempty fluid regime

We investigate the effect of distinct bonding energies on the onset of criticality of low functionality fluid mixtures. We focus on mixtures ofparticles with two and three patches as this includes the mixture where "empty" fluids were originally reported. In addition to the number of patches, thespecies differ in the type of patches or bonding sites. For simplicity, we consider that the patches on each species are identical: one species has threepatches of type A and the other has two patches of type B. We have found a rich phase behavior with closed miscibility gaps, liquid-liquid demixing, and negative azeotropes. Liquid-liquid demixing was found to pre-empt the "empty" fluid regime, of these mixtures, when the AB bonds are weaker than the AA or BB bonds. By contrast, mixtures in this class exhibit "empty" fluid behavior when the AB bonds are stronger than at least one of the other two. Mixtureswith bonding energies epsilon(BB) = epsilon(AB) and epsilon(AA) < epsilon(BB), were found to exhibit an unusual negative azeotrope. (C) 2011 American Institute of Physics. [doi:10.1063/1.3561396]

Joining the online video conversation? Discourse and practices of European political institutions and politicians on YouTube

To mimic the online practices of citizens has been declared an imperative to improve communication and extend participation. This paper seeks to contribute to the understanding of how European discourses praising online video as a communication tool have been translated into actual practices by politicians, governments and organisations. By contrasting official documents with YouTube activity, it is argued that new opportunities for European political communication are far from being fully embraced, much akin to the early years of websites. The main choice has been to use YouTube channels fundamentally for distribution and archiving, thus neglecting its social media features. The disabling of comments by many heads of state and prime ministers - and, in 2010, the European Commission - indicates such an attitude. The few attempts made to foster citizen engagement, in particular during elections, have had limited success, given low participation numbers and lack of argument exchange.

William Kingston e the prime minister: uma representação ficcional da era pombalina

Dissertação de Mestrado em Estudos Anglo-Portugueses

Hepatitis C viral load does not predict disease outcome: going beyond numbers

The analysis of 58 patients with chronic hepatitis C without cirrhosis and treated with interferon-alpha demonstrated that hepatitis C viral (HCV) load does not correlate with the histological evolution of the disease (p = 0.6559 for architectural alterations and p = 0.6271 for the histological activity index). Therefore, the use of viral RNA quantification as an evolutive predictor or determinant of the severity of hepatitis C is incorrect and of relative value. A review of the literature provided fundamental and interdependent HCV (genotype, heterogeneity and mutants, specific proteins), host (sex, age, weight, etc) and treatment variables (dosage, time of treatment, type of interferon) within the broader context of viral kinetics, interferon-mediated immunological response (in addition to natural immunity against HCV) and the role of interferon as a modulator of fibrogenesis. Therefore, viral load implies much more than numbers and the correct interpretation of these data should consider a broader context depending on multiple factors that are more complex than the simple value obtained upon quantification.

A importância da análise económico-financeira na performance empresarial: relatório de estágio na empresa Prime Century, Lda

Com o acentuar da crise financeira (que se traduziu numa situação de recessão económica a nível mundial com efeitos consideráveis na economia portuguesa), cada empresa tem ainda mais em atenção a sua performance, como maximizar o seu valor, e talvez ainda mais importante nos dias que correm, como minimizar o risco de falência. Para tal, os gestores têm de ter em consideração todos os aspetos relevantes e que possam interferir com o sucesso do seu negócio. Nesse sentido, devem ter em seu poder o mais alargado leque de informação possível, para tomarem as decisões corretas tanto a curto como a médio longo prazo. A informação disponibilizada pela análise económico-financeira torna-se então um importante instrumento para a tomada de decisão embora não poderá ser apenas o único instrumento utilizado pelos decisores. Com o presente relatório de estágio pretende-se aferir da importância da análise económico-financeira na performance das empresas, tendo em consideração o estágio realizado na empresa Prime Century, Lda. Para além da já referida análise económico-financeira, iremos abordar, na sequência do trabalho desenvolvido durante o estágio, a criação de planos de negócios e a avaliação de empresas.

InnovationCity Ruhr: a prime example for social and technological innovation

The project “InnovationCity Ruhr” deals with the reconstruction of the city of Bottrop with regard to energy saving measures. The aim is to make the city more environmental friendly in order to create a model for other industrial cities. Until the conclusion of the project in the year 2020, it is planned to change the surface of Bottrop in several positive ways. This paper focuses on the description of the project to give the reader an example of what exactly is done within the scope of InnovationCity Ruhr. Besides that, the link to the subject of sociology shall be given in order to show that the project is a prime example for social innovation.

ABNORMAL SPERMATHECAE NUMBERS IN PERUVIAN SANDFLIES (DIPTERA: PSYSCHODIDAE)

We report and illustrate two abnormal spermatheca numbers found in Peruvian sandflies, a supernumerary spermatheca in Lutzomyia cernerai and the absence of one spermatheca in L. amazonensis.