918 resultados para Optimal Sampling Time
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This paper proposes a methodology to predict benzene uptake rate in ambient air, using passive samplers with Tenax TA. Variations in the uptake rate were found to occur as a function of the sampling time; and were greater at the beginning of sampling. An empirical model was obtained and values for uptake rate agree with literature. Concentration prediction errors can be minimized by using sampling times of 4 to 14 days, thus avoiding the influence of excessive uptake rates in the initial days and the influence of back diffusion at the end of the sampling period.
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This paper presents an approach to the solution of moving a robot manipulator with minimum cost along a specified geometric path in the presence of obstacles. The main idea is to express obstacle avoidance in terms of the distances between potentially colliding parts. The optimal traveling time and the minimum mechanical energy of the actuators are considered together to build a multiobjective function. A simple numerical example involving a Cartesian manipulator arm with two-degree-of-freedom is described.
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La fertilisation phosphatée est très répandue dans les pratiques agricoles Nord-Américaines. Bien que généralement très efficace pour augmenter la production végétale, son utilisation peut engendrer certaines contaminations environnementales. Afin de diminuer ce problème, plusieurs pratiques de gestion sont envisagées. Parmi celles-ci, on retrouve l’intéressante possibilité de manipuler la flore microbienne car cette dernière est reconnue pour son implication dans bons nombres de processus fondamentaux liés à la fertilité du sol. Cette étude a démontré que lors d’essais en champs, la forme de fertilisant ajouté au sol ainsi que la dose de phosphore (P) appliquée avaient un impact sur la distribution des microorganismes dans les différentes parcelles. Une première expérience menée sur une culture de luzerne en prairie semi-aride a montré que les échantillons provenant de parcelles ayant reçu différentes doses de P présentaient des différences significatives dans leurs communautés bactériennes et fongiques. La communauté de CMA est restée similaire entre les différents traitements. Une deuxième expérience fut menée pendant trois saisons consécutives afin de déterminer l’effet de différentes formes de fertilisation organiques et minérale ajustées selon une dose unique de P sur les populations bactériennes et fongiques d’une culture intensive de maïs en rotation avec du soja. Les résultats des analyses ont montrés que les populations varient selon le type de fertilisation reçu et que les changements sont indépendants du type de végétaux cultivé. Par contre, les populations microbiennes subissent une variation plus marquée au cours de la saison de culture. La technique de DGGE a permis d’observer les changements frappant la diversité microbienne du sol mais n’a permis d’identifier qu’une faible proportion des organismes en cause. Parallèlement à cette deuxième étude, une seconde expérience au même site fut menée sur la communauté de champignons mycorhiziens à arbuscules (CMA) puisqu’il s’agit d’organismes vivant en symbiose mutualiste avec la majorité des plantes et favorisant la nutrition de même que l’augmentation de la résistance aux stress de l’hôte. Ceci permit d’identifier et de comparer les différents CMA présents dans des échantillons de sol et de racines de maïs et soja. Contrairement aux bactéries et aux champignons en général, les CMA présentaient une diversité très stable lors des différents traitements. Par contre, au cours des trois années expérimentales, il a été noté que certains ribotypes étaient significativement plus liés au sol ou aux racines. Finalement, l’ensemble de l’étude a démontré que la fertilisation phosphatée affecte la structure des communautés microbiennes du sol dans les systèmes évalués. Cependant, lors de chaque expérience, la date d’échantillonnage jouait également un rôle prépondérant sur la distribution des organismes. Plusieurs paramètres du sol furent aussi mesurés et ils présentaient aussi une variation au cours de la saison. L’ensemble des interactions possibles entre ces différents paramètres qui, dans certains cas, variaient selon le traitement appliqué, aurait alors probablement plus d’impact sur la biodiversité microbienne que la seule fertilisation.
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L'hétérogénéité de réponses dans un groupe de patients soumis à un même régime thérapeutique doit être réduite au cours d'un traitement ou d'un essai clinique. Deux approches sont habituellement utilisées pour atteindre cet objectif. L'une vise essentiellement à construire une observance active. Cette approche se veut interactive et fondée sur l'échange ``médecin-patient '', ``pharmacien-patient'' ou ``vétérinaire-éleveurs''. L'autre plutôt passive et basée sur les caractéristiques du médicament, vise à contrôler en amont cette irrégularité. L'objectif principal de cette thèse était de développer de nouvelles stratégies d'évaluation et de contrôle de l'impact de l'irrégularité de la prise du médicament sur l'issue thérapeutique. Plus spécifiquement, le premier volet de cette recherche consistait à proposer des algorithmes mathématiques permettant d'estimer efficacement l'effet des médicaments dans un contexte de variabilité interindividuelle de profils pharmacocinétiques (PK). Cette nouvelle méthode est fondée sur l'utilisation concommitante de données \textit{in vitro} et \textit{in vivo}. Il s'agit de quantifier l'efficience ( c-à-dire efficacité plus fluctuation de concentrations \textit{in vivo}) de chaque profil PK en incorporant dans les modèles actuels d'estimation de l'efficacité \textit{in vivo}, la fonction qui relie la concentration du médicament de façon \textit{in vitro} à l'effet pharmacodynamique. Comparativement aux approches traditionnelles, cette combinaison de fonction capte de manière explicite la fluctuation des concentrations plasmatiques \textit{in vivo} due à la fonction dynamique de prise médicamenteuse. De plus, elle soulève, à travers quelques exemples, des questions sur la pertinence de l'utilisation des indices statiques traditionnels ($C_{max}$, $AUC$, etc.) d'efficacité comme outil de contrôle de l'antibiorésistance. Le deuxième volet de ce travail de doctorat était d'estimer les meilleurs temps d'échantillonnage sanguin dans une thérapie collective initiée chez les porcs. Pour ce faire, nous avons développé un modèle du comportement alimentaire collectif qui a été par la suite couplé à un modèle classique PK. À l'aide de ce modèle combiné, il a été possible de générer un profil PK typique à chaque stratégie alimentaire particulière. Les données ainsi générées, ont été utilisées pour estimer les temps d'échantillonnage appropriés afin de réduire les incertitudes dues à l'irrégularité de la prise médicamenteuse dans l'estimation des paramètres PK et PD . Parmi les algorithmes proposés à cet effet, la méthode des médianes semble donner des temps d'échantillonnage convenables à la fois pour l'employé et pour les animaux. Enfin, le dernier volet du projet de recherche a consisté à proposer une approche rationnelle de caractérisation et de classification des médicaments selon leur capacité à tolérer des oublis sporadiques. Méthodologiquement, nous avons, à travers une analyse globale de sensibilité, quantifié la corrélation entre les paramètres PK/PD d'un médicament et l'effet d'irrégularité de la prise médicamenteuse. Cette approche a consisté à évaluer de façon concomitante l'influence de tous les paramètres PK/PD et à prendre en compte, par la même occasion, les relations complexes pouvant exister entre ces différents paramètres. Cette étude a été réalisée pour les inhibiteurs calciques qui sont des antihypertenseurs agissant selon un modèle indirect d'effet. En prenant en compte les valeurs des corrélations ainsi calculées, nous avons estimé et proposé un indice comparatif propre à chaque médicament. Cet indice est apte à caractériser et à classer les médicaments agissant par un même mécanisme pharmacodynamique en terme d'indulgence à des oublis de prises médicamenteuses. Il a été appliqué à quatre inhibiteurs calciques. Les résultats obtenus étaient en accord avec les données expérimentales, traduisant ainsi la pertinence et la robustesse de cette nouvelle approche. Les stratégies développées dans ce projet de doctorat sont essentiellement fondées sur l'analyse des relations complexes entre l'histoire de la prise médicamenteuse, la pharmacocinétique et la pharmacodynamique. De cette analyse, elles sont capables d'évaluer et de contrôler l'impact de l'irrégularité de la prise médicamenteuse avec une précision acceptable. De façon générale, les algorithmes qui sous-tendent ces démarches constitueront sans aucun doute, des outils efficients dans le suivi et le traitement des patients. En outre, ils contribueront à contrôler les effets néfastes de la non-observance au traitement par la mise au point de médicaments indulgents aux oublis
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The increased use of cereal/legume crop rotation has been advocated as a strategy to increase cereal yields of subsistence farmers in West Africa, and is believed to promote changes in the rhizosphere that enhance early plant growth. In this study we investigated the microbial diversity of the rhizoplane from seedlings grown in two soils previously planted to cereal or legume from experimental plots in Gaya, Niger, and Kaboli, Togo. Soils from these legume rotation and continuous cereal plots were placed into containers and sown in a growth chamber with maize (Zea mays L.), millet (Pennisetum glaucum L.), sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L. Moench.), cowpea (Vigna unguiculata L.) or groundnut (Arachis hypogaea L.). At 7 and 14 days after sowing, 16S rDNA profiles of the eubacterial and ammoniaoxidizing communities from the rhizoplane and bulk soil were generated using denaturing gradient gel electrophoresis (DGGE). Community profiles were subjected to peak fitting analyses to quantify the DNA band position and intensities, after which these data were compared using correspondence and principal components analysis. The data showed that cropping system had a highly significant effect on community structure (p <0.005), irrespective of plant species or sampling time. Continuous cereal-soil grown plants had highly similar rhizoplane communities across crop species and sites, whereas communities from the rotation soil showed greater variability and clustered with respect to plant species. Analyses of the ammonia-oxidizing communities provided no evidence of any effects of plant species or management history on ammonia oxidizers in soil from Kaboli, but there were large shifts with respect to this group of bacteria in soils from Gaya. The results of these analyses show that crop rotation can cause significant shifts in rhizosphere bacterial communities.
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The effects of continuous tillage on the distribution of soil organic matter (SOM) and aggregates have been well studied for arable soils. However, less is known about the effects of sporadic tillage on SOM and aggregate dynamics in grassland soils. The objectives of the present thesis were (I) to study the longer-term effects of sporadic tillage of grassland on organic carbon (Corg) stocks and the distribution of aggregates and SOM, (II) to investigate the combined effects of sporadic tillage and fertilization on carbon and nitrogen dynamics in grassland soils, and (III) to study the temporal dynamics of Corg stocks, aggregate distribution and microbial biomass in grassland soils. Soil samples were taken in three soil depths (0 – 10 cm; 10 – 25 cm; 25 – 40 cm) from a field trial with loamy sandy soils (Cambisols, Eutric Luvisols, Stagnosols, Anthrosols) north of Kiel, Germany. For Objective I we have sampled soil two and five years after one or two tillage operation(s). Treatments consisted of (i) permanent grassland, (ii) tillage of grassland followed by a re-establishment of grassland and (iii) tillage of grassland followed by a re-establishment of grassland with one season of winter wheat in between. The tillage in grassland led to a reduction in Corg stocks, large macroaggregates (>2000 µm) and SOM in the top 10 cm soil depth. These findings were still significant two years after tillage; however, five years after tillage no longer present. Regarding the soil profile (0 – 40 cm) no significant differences in the mentioned parameters between the tilled plots and the permanent grassland existed. A second tillage event and the insertion of one season of winter wheat did not lead to any further effects on Corg stocks as well as aggregate and SOM concentrations in comparison with a single tillage event in these grassland soils. Treatments adapted for Objective II included (i) long-term grassland and (ii) tillage of grassland followed by a re-establishment of grassland with one season of winter wheat in between. The plots were split and received either 240 kg N ha-1 year-1 in the form of cattle slurry or no cattle slurry application. The application of slurry within a period of four years had no effects on the Corg and total nitrogen stocks or the aggregate distribution, but led to a reduction of free and not physically protected SOM. However, the application of cattle slurry and the grassland renovation seems to change the plant species composition and therefore generalizations on the direct effects are not yet possible. For studying Objective III a further field trial was initiated in September 2010. Soil samples were taken six times within one year (from October 2010 to October 2011) (i) after the conversion from arable land into grassland, (ii) after the tillage of grassland followed by a re-establishment of grassland and (iii) in a permanent grassland. We found an increase in the microbial and fungal biomass after the conversion of arable land into grassland, but no effect on aggregate distribution and Corg stocks. A one-time tillage operation in grassland led to a reduction in large macroaggregates and Corg stocks in the top 10 cm soil depth with no effect on the sampled soil profile. However, we found large variations in the fungal biomass and aggregate distribution within one year in the permanent grassland, presumably caused by environmental factors. Overall, our results suggest that a single tillage operation in grassland soils markedly decreased the concentrations of Corg, larger aggregates and SOM. However, this does not result in long-lasting effects on the above mentioned parameters. The application of slurry cannot compensate the negative effects of a tillage event on aggregate concentrations or Corg stocks. However, while the Corg concentration is not subject to fluctuations within a year, there are large variations of the aggregate distribution even in a permanent grassland soil. Therefore conclusions of results from a single sampling time should be handled with care.
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One of the primary goals of the Center for Integrated Space Weather Modeling (CISM) effort is to assess and improve prediction of the solar wind conditions in near‐Earth space, arising from both quasi‐steady and transient structures. We compare 8 years of L1 in situ observations to predictions of the solar wind speed made by the Wang‐Sheeley‐Arge (WSA) empirical model. The mean‐square error (MSE) between the observed and model predictions is used to reach a number of useful conclusions: there is no systematic lag in the WSA predictions, the MSE is found to be highest at solar minimum and lowest during the rise to solar maximum, and the optimal lead time for 1 AU solar wind speed predictions is found to be 3 days. However, MSE is shown to frequently be an inadequate “figure of merit” for assessing solar wind speed predictions. A complementary, event‐based analysis technique is developed in which high‐speed enhancements (HSEs) are systematically selected and associated from observed and model time series. WSA model is validated using comparisons of the number of hit, missed, and false HSEs, along with the timing and speed magnitude errors between the forecasted and observed events. Morphological differences between the different HSE populations are investigated to aid interpretation of the results and improvements to the model. Finally, by defining discrete events in the time series, model predictions from above and below the ecliptic plane can be used to estimate an uncertainty in the predicted HSE arrival times.
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This review considers microbial inocula used in in vitro systems from the perspective of their ability to degrade or ferment a particular substrate, rather than the microbial species that it contains. By necessity, this required an examination of bacterial, protozoal and fungal populations of the rumen and hindgut with respect to factors influencing their activity. The potential to manipulate these populations through diet or sampling time are examined, as is inoculum preparation and level. The main alternatives to fresh rumen fluid (i.e., caecal digesta or faeces) are discussed with respect to end-point degradabilities and fermentation dynamics. Although the potential to use rumen contents obtained from donor animals at slaughter offers possibilities, the requirement to store it and its subsequent loss of activity are limitations. Statistical modelling of data, although still requiring a deal of developmental work, may offer an alternative approach. Finally, with respect to the range of in vitro methodologies and equipment employed, it is suggested that a degree of uniformity could be obtained through generation of a set of guidelines relating to the host animal, sampling technique and inoculum preparation. It was considered unlikely that any particular system would be accepted as the 'standard' procedure. However, before any protocol can be adopted, additional data are required (e.g., a method to assess inoculum 'quality' with respect to its fermentative and/or degradative activity), preparation/inoculation techniques need to be refined and a methodology to store inocula without loss of efficacy developed. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Following a malicious or accidental atmospheric release in an outdoor environment it is essential for first responders to ensure safety by identifying areas where human life may be in danger. For this to happen quickly, reliable information is needed on the source strength and location, and the type of chemical agent released. We present here an inverse modelling technique that estimates the source strength and location of such a release, together with the uncertainty in those estimates, using a limited number of measurements of concentration from a network of chemical sensors considering a single, steady, ground-level source. The technique is evaluated using data from a set of dispersion experiments conducted in a meteorological wind tunnel, where simultaneous measurements of concentration time series were obtained in the plume from a ground-level point-source emission of a passive tracer. In particular, we analyze the response to the number of sensors deployed and their arrangement, and to sampling and model errors. We find that the inverse algorithm can generate acceptable estimates of the source characteristics with as few as four sensors, providing these are well-placed and that the sampling error is controlled. Configurations with at least three sensors in a profile across the plume were found to be superior to other arrangements examined. Analysis of the influence of sampling error due to the use of short averaging times showed that the uncertainty in the source estimates grew as the sampling time decreased. This demonstrated that averaging times greater than about 5min (full scale time) lead to acceptable accuracy.
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The planning of semi-autonomous vehicles in traffic scenarios is a relatively new problem that contributes towards the goal of making road travel by vehicles free of human drivers. An algorithm needs to ensure optimal real time planning of multiple vehicles (moving in either direction along a road), in the presence of a complex obstacle network. Unlike other approaches, here we assume that speed lanes are not present and that different lanes do not need to be maintained for inbound and outbound traffic. Our basic hypothesis is to carry forward the planning task to ensure that a sufficient distance is maintained by each vehicle from all other vehicles, obstacles and road boundaries. We present here a 4-layer planning algorithm that consists of road selection (for selecting the individual roads of traversal to reach the goal), pathway selection (a strategy to avoid and/or overtake obstacles, road diversions and other blockages), pathway distribution (to select the position of a vehicle at every instance of time in a pathway), and trajectory generation (for generating a curve, smooth enough, to allow for the maximum possible speed). Cooperation between vehicles is handled separately at the different levels, the aim being to maximize the separation between vehicles. Simulated results exhibit behaviours of smooth, efficient and safe driving of vehicles in multiple scenarios; along with typical vehicle behaviours including following and overtaking.
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High soil phosphorus (P) concentration is frequently shown to reduce root colonization by arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi, but the influence of P on the diversity of colonizing AM fungi is uncertain. We used terminal restriction fragment length polymorphism (T-RFLP) of 18S rDNA and cloning to assess diversity of AM fungi colonizing maize (Zea mays), soybean (Glycene max) and field violet (Viola arvensis) at three time points in one season along a P gradient of 10280mgl1 in the field. Percentage AM colonization changed between sampling time points but was not reduced by high soil P except in maize. There was no significant difference in AM diversity between sampling time points. Diversity was reduced at concentrations of P > 25mgl1, particularly in maize and soybean. Both cloning and T-RFLP indicated differences between AM communities in the different host species. Host species was more important than soil P in determining the AM community, except at the highest P concentration. Our results show that the impact of soil P on the diversity of AM fungi colonizing plants was broadly similar, despite the fact that different plants contained different communities. However, subtle differences in the response of the AM community in each host were evident.
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This paper describes the hydrochemistry of a lowland, urbanised river-system, The Cut in England, using in situ sub-daily sampling. The Cut receives effluent discharges from four major sewage treatment works serving around 190,000 people. These discharges consist largely of treated water, originally abstracted from the River Thames and returned via the water supply network, substantially increasing the natural flow. The hourly water quality data were supplemented by weekly manual sampling with laboratory analysis to check the hourly data and measure further determinands. Mean phosphorus and nitrate concentrations were very high, breaching standards set by EU legislation. Though 56% of the catchment area is agricultural, the hydrochemical dynamics were significantly impacted by effluent discharges which accounted for approximately 50% of the annual P catchment input loads and, on average, 59% of river flow at the monitoring point. Diurnal dissolved oxygen data demonstrated high in-stream productivity. From a comparison of high frequency and conventional monitoring data, it is inferred that much of the primary production was dominated by benthic algae, largely diatoms. Despite the high productivity and nutrient concentrations, the river water did not become anoxic and major phytoplankton blooms were not observed. The strong diurnal and annual variation observed showed that assessments of water quality made under the Water Framework Directive (WFD) are sensitive to the time and season of sampling. It is recommended that specific sampling time windows be specified for each determinand, and that WFD targets should be applied in combination to help identify periods of greatest ecological risk. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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Esta tese é composta de três artigos sobre finanças. O primeiro tem o título "Nonparametric Option Pricing with Generalized Entropic Estimators " e estuda um método de apreçamento de derivativos em mercados incompletos. Este método está relacionado com membros da família de funções de Cressie-Read em que cada membro fornece uma medida neutra ao risco. Vários testes são feitos. Os resultados destes testes sugerem um modo de definir um intervalo robusto para preços de opções. Os outros dois artigos são sobre anúncios agendados em diferentes situações. O segundo se chama "Watching the News: Optimal Stopping Time and Scheduled Announcements" e estuda problemas de tempo de parada ótimo na presença de saltos numa data fixa em modelos de difusão com salto. Fornece resultados sobre a otimalidade do tempo de parada um pouco antes do anúncio. O artigo aplica os resultados ao tempo de exercício de Opções Americanas e ao tempo ótimo de venda de um ativo. Finalmente o terceiro artigo estuda um problema de carteira ótima na presença de custo fixo quando os preços podem saltar numa data fixa. Seu título é "Dynamic Portfolio Selection with Transactions Costs and Scheduled Announcement" e o resultado mais interessante é que o comportamento do investidor é consistente com estudos empíricos sobre volume de transações em momentos próximos de anúncios.
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Objetivou-se avaliar o efeito da inclusão de aditivos na ensilagem de cana-de-açúcar (Saccharum officinarum L.) sobre a degradação de MS e de componentes da parede celular e sobre os parâmetros de fermentação ruminal em bovinos alimentados com dietas contendo essas silagens. Utilizaram-se cinco novilhos da raça Nelore providos de cânula ruminal, alocados em delineamento quadrado latino 5 ´ 5 e alimentados com dietas com 65% de volumoso (%) MS. Foram avaliadas cinco silagens (base úmida): controle - cana-de-açúcar, sem aditivos; uréia - cana-de-açúcar + 0,5% ureia; benzoato - cana-de-açúcar + 0,1% de benzoato de sódio; LP - cana-de-açúcar inoculada com Lactobacillus plantarum (1 ´ 10(6) ufc/g MV); LB - cana-de-açúcar inoculada com L. buchneri (3,6 ´ 10(5) ufc/g forragem). A forragem foi armazenada em silos do tipo poço por 90 dias antes do fornecimento aos animais. Os parâmetros ruminais foram afetados de forma moderada pelas silagens e tiveram forte efeito do horário de coleta de amostras. As concentrações molares médias dos ácidos acético, propiônico e butírico foram de 60,9; 19,3 e 10,2 mM, respectivamente. O ambiente ruminal proporcionado por dietas formuladas com silagens de cana-de-açúcar foi satisfatório e similar ao tradicionalmente observado em dietas contendo cana. O uso de aditivos na ensilagem influenciou, de forma não-significativa, a degradabilidade ruminal da MS e da MO, mas não alterou a degradabilidade ruminal da fração fibrosa. Os aditivos aplicados à cana-de-açúcar resultaram em pequenas alterações na maior parte das variáveis avaliadas. Apesar de a degradabilidade ruminal das silagens ter sido pouco afetada pelo uso de aditivos, os valores observados foram próximos aos observados para a cana-de-açúcar in natura.
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Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)