PROBABILISTIC MODELING OF RAINFALL INDUCED LANDSLIDE HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN SAN JUAN LA LAGUNA, SOLOLÁ, GUATEMALA

The municipality of San Juan La Laguna, Guatemala is home to approximately 5,200 people and located on the western side of the Lake Atitlán caldera. Steep slopes surround all but the eastern side of San Juan. The Lake Atitlán watershed is susceptible to many natural hazards, but most predictable are the landslides that can occur annually with each rainy season, especially during high-intensity events. Hurricane Stan hit Guatemala in October 2005; the resulting flooding and landslides devastated the Atitlán region. Locations of landslide and non-landslide points were obtained from field observations and orthophotos taken following Hurricane Stan. This study used data from multiple attributes, at every landslide and non-landslide point, and applied different multivariate analyses to optimize a model for landslides prediction during high-intensity precipitation events like Hurricane Stan. The attributes considered in this study are: geology, geomorphology, distance to faults and streams, land use, slope, aspect, curvature, plan curvature, profile curvature and topographic wetness index. The attributes were pre-evaluated for their ability to predict landslides using four different attribute evaluators, all available in the open source data mining software Weka: filtered subset, information gain, gain ratio and chi-squared. Three multivariate algorithms (decision tree J48, logistic regression and BayesNet) were optimized for landslide prediction using different attributes. The following statistical parameters were used to evaluate model accuracy: precision, recall, F measure and area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The algorithm BayesNet yielded the most accurate model and was used to build a probability map of landslide initiation points. The probability map developed in this study was also compared to the results of a bivariate landslide susceptibility analysis conducted for the watershed, encompassing Lake Atitlán and San Juan. Landslides from Tropical Storm Agatha 2010 were used to independently validate this study’s multivariate model and the bivariate model. The ultimate aim of this study is to share the methodology and results with municipal contacts from the author's time as a U.S. Peace Corps volunteer, to facilitate more effective future landslide hazard planning and mitigation.

Polypropylene fiber-reinforced self-compacting concrete for the reconstruction of the cathedral of La Laguna, Canary Island, Spain

High performance materials are needed for the reconstruction of such a singular building as a cathedral, since in addition to special mechanical properties, high self compact ability, high durability and high surface quality, are specified. Because of the project’s specifications, the use of polypropylene fiber-reinforced, self-compacting concrete was selected by the engineering office. The low quality of local materials and the lack of experience in applying macro polypropylene fiber for structural reinforcement with these components materials required the development of a pretesting program. To optimize the mix design, performance was evaluated following technical, economical and constructability criteria. Since the addition of fibers reduces concrete self-compactability, many trials were run to determine the optimal mix proportions. The variables introduced were paste volume; the aggregate skeleton of two or three fractions plus limestone filler; fiber type and dosage. Two mix designs were selected from the preliminary results. The first one was used as reference for self-compactability and mechanical properties. The second one was an optimized mix with a reduction in cement content of 20 kg/m3and fiber dosage of 1 kg/m3. For these mix designs, extended testing was carried out to measure the compression and flexural strength, modulus of elasticity, toughness, and water permeability resistance

Origen y distribución de los hidrocarburos policíclicos aromáticos en sedimentos actuales de la Laguna de El Hito (España central)

Se llevó a cabo la evaluación ambiental y el estudio del estado actual de la cuenca de la Laguna de El Hito referido a 18 hidrocarburos policíclicos aromáticos (PAHs) de 2 a 6 anillos bencénicos. Se determinó su origen a partir de diversos índices (%naftaleno, Fen/Ant y Flu/Pir), interpretándose tanto fuentes no antropogénicas (petrogénica) como antropogénicas (pirogénica). Se obtuvieron los mapas de distribución de las concentraciones de PAHs y de sus índices para localizar los puntos de concentraciones más elevadas. Ningún PAH superó las concentraciones marcadas por los Niveles Genéricos de Referencia (NGR) para la salud humana en los distintos usos del suelo del R.D.09/2005. Los PAHs con las mayores concentraciones fueron el naftaleno y el fenantreno.Environmental evaluation and analysis of the current state of El Hito Lake Basin referred to 18 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) with 2 to 6 benzene rings was carried out. Different indexes were used to determine the source of PAHs (% naftalene, Phe/Ant and Flu/Pyr). Both non anthropogenic (petrogenic) and anthropogenic (pyrogenic) sources were interpreted. Distribution maps for PAHs and indexes were plotted to locate the position of the higher concentrations and, therefore, their possible sources. None of these compounds showed concentrations above the Soil Screening Levels (SSL) for human health in the different uses of soil as is established in R.D.09/2005. The ones that reached the highest concentrations were naphthalene and phenanthrene.

Origen y distribución de los pesticidas organoclorados (OCPs) en sedimentos actuales de la Laguna de El Hito (Cuenca, España Central)

Se llevó a cabo el estudio del estado ambiental actual de la Laguna de El Hito basado en el análisis y cuantificación de 24 pesticidas organoclorados (OCPs): hexaclorobenceno, hexaclorociclohexanos, diclorodifenil-tricloroetano sus homólogos y metabolitos (DDTs), y ciclodienos (aldrín, dieldrín, endrín, endrín aldehido, endrín cetona, ?-clordano, ?-clordano, endosulfán I, endosulfán II, endosulfán sulfato, heptacloro, heptacloro epóxido B y metoxicloro). Algunos compuestos superaron los Niveles Genéricos de Referencia (NGR) para la salud humana y los ecosistemas del R.D.09/2005. Se determinó su origen a partir de diversos índices interpretándose tanto aplicaciones históricas como más recientes. Se obtuvieron los mapas de distribución de los índices y de las concentraciones de OCPs.Environmental evaluation of the current state of El Hito Lake referred to 24 organochlorine pesticides (OCPs) was carried out: hexachlorobenzene, hexachlorocyclohexanes, dichlorodiphenyltrichloroethane their homologs and metabolites (DDTs), and cyclodienes (aldrin, dieldrin, endrin, endrin aldehyde, endrin ketone, α- chlordane, γ- chlordane, endosulfan I, endosulfan II, endosulfan sulphate, heptachlor, heptachlor epóxide B and metoxichlor). Some of these compounds showed concentrations above the Soil Screening Levels (SSLs) for human health and ecosystems as is established in R.D.09/2005. Different indexes were used to determine their origin. Both historical and recent applications sources were interpreted. Distribution maps for concentrations and indexes were plotted

Aplicación de la fotografía aérea por drone al estudio y documentación del arte rupestre: los grabados de la Laguna Tinaja (Lagunas de Ruidera, Albacete) desde un nuevo punto de vista.

La presente comunicación tiene por objetivo analizar las posibilidades que el uso de la fotogrametría nos ofrece en el estudio y documentación del arte rupestre, en concreto los grabados.

Análisis de la dinámica hídrica de la Laguna Mar Chiquita, Córdoba, durante la última década.

La Laguna Mar Chiquita constituye un sistema hidro-ecológico cerrado, conformando un importante hábitat para regiones semiáridas (Williams, 1993). Durante el año 2003, esta laguna alcanzó una superficie superior a los 6000 km2 y llegó a ocupar la categorìa del mayor lago salado de la República Argentina (con una profundidad promedio de 10 m). La biodiversidad del sistema, su carácter de área nacional e internacionalmente protegida (Sitio RAMSAR 2002) y la relativamente baja alteración antropica, avalaron la continuidad ininterrumpidas de 15 años de investigaciones que los investigadores del Laboratorio de Hidràulica desarrollaron para mejorar el conocimiento del sistema. Durante la última década, este sistema se encuentra vulnerable debido al período de sequía que se registra. En la actualidad la superficie de la Laguna apenas supera los 3500 km2 con una profundidad promedio de 5 m. Esta situación ambiental justifica interiorizarse en la interpretación de la dinámica hídrica y ecológica de la Laguna Mar Chiquita, la cual está fuertemente condicionada por el alto nivel de salinidad que la caracteriza. Mejorar el conocimiento de la situación actual del sistema y evaluar el mecanismo de respuesta frente a los aportes de su principal tributario (el río Dulce), constituye el principal antecedente al momento de definir, justificar o reclamar, políticas de manejo para este recurso hídrico comprometido. Mediante este proyecto de transferencia se difundirán los resultados obtenidos y los conceptos desarrollados sobre cómo ha variado la dinámica hídrica de la Laguna Mar Chiquita, dedibo a la influencia del efecto del oleaje por viento sobre su costa a través de modelaciones hidrodimámicas y los resultados obtenidos con los aforos realizados sobre el rìo Dulce en los últimos años.

Amparo: Cía [i.e. Compañía] Industrial Jabonera de la Laguna, S.A., contra actos de la 2a. sala del Tribunal Superior del Distrito Federal;

Mode of access: Internet.