Which biomarkers are predictive specifically for cardiovascular or for non-cardiovascular mortality in men? Evidence from the Caerphilly Prospective Study (CaPS)

OBJECTIVE: To examine a panel of 28 biomarkers for prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and non-CVD mortality in a population-based cohort of men.

METHODS: Starting in 1979, middle-aged men in Caerphilly underwent detailed medical examination. Subsequently 2171 men were re-examined during 1989-1993, and fasting blood samples obtained from 1911 men (88%). Fibrinogen, viscosity and white cell count (WCC), routine biochemistry tests and lipids were analysed using fresh samples. Stored aliquots were later analysed for novel biomarkers. Statistical analysis of CVD and non-CVD mortality follow-up used competing risk Cox regression models with biomarkers in thirds tested at the 1% significance level after covariate adjustment.

RESULTS: During an average of 15.4years follow-up, troponin (subhazard ratio per third 1.71, 95% CI 1.46-1.99) and B-natriuretic peptide (BNP) (subhazard ratio per third 1.54, 95% CI 1.34-1.78) showed strong trends with CVD death but not with non-CVD death. WCC and fibrinogen showed similar weaker findings. Plasma viscosity, growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) were associated positively with both CVD death and non-CVD death while total cholesterol was associated positively with CVD death but negatively with non-CVD death. C-reactive protein (C-RP), alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT), retinol binding protein 4 (RBP-4) and vitamin B6 were significantly associated only with non-CVD death, the last two negatively. Troponin, BNP and IL-6 showed evidence of diminishing associations with CVD mortality through follow-up.

CONCLUSION: Biomarkers for cardiac necrosis were strong, specific predictors of CVD mortality while many inflammatory markers were equally predictive of non-CVD mortality.

Gender and Cosmopolitanism in Europe: A Feminist Perspective

Gender and Cosmopolitanism in Europe combines a feminist critique of contemporary and prominent approaches to cosmopolitanism with an in-depth analysis of historical cosmopolitanism and the manner in which gendered symbolic boundaries of national political communities in two European countries are drawn. Exploring the work of prominent scholars of new cosmopolitanism in Britain and Germany, including Held, Habermas, Beck and Bhabha, it delivers a timely intervention into current debates on globalisation, Europeanisation and social processes of transformation in and beyond specific national societies.

A rigorous examination of the emancipatory potential of current debates surrounding cosmopolitanism in Europe, this book will be of interest to sociologist and political scientists working on questions of identity, inclusion, citizenship, globalisation, cosmopolitanism and gender.
Contents: Introduction: gendered cosmopolitanism: the scope of this book; Who belongs? Who is the Other?; Recognition, social equality and the current EU anti-discrimination policy; Kulturnation and the homogenised notion of community belonging: Jürgen Habermas's and Ulrich Beck's approaches to 'European' cosmopolitanism; Global trade, the city and commercial cosmopolitanism: David Held's and Homi K. Bhabha's approaches to new cosmopolitanism; About dead-ends, one-way streets and critical crossroads; Transversal conversations on the scope of new cosmopolitanism beyond the Eurocentric framework; Bibliography; Index.

The activity of mouse Cerberus like 2 during cardiogenesis - genetic and morphogenetic studies

Cardiogenesis is a delicate and complex process that requires the coordination of an intricate network of pathways and the different cell types. Therefore, understanding heart development at the morphogenetic level is an essential requirement to uncover the causes of congenital heart disease and to provide insight for disease therapies. Mouse Cerberus like 2 (Cerl2) has been defined as a Nodal antagonist in the node with an important role in the Left-Right (L/R) axis establishment, at the early embryonic development. As expected, Cerl2 knockout mice (Cerl2-/-) showed multiple laterality defects with associated cardiac failure. In order to identify the endogenous role of Cerl2 during heart formation independent of its described functions in the node, we accurately analyzed animals where laterality defects were not present. We thereby unravel the consequences of Cerl2 lossof- function in the heart, namely increased left ventricular thickness due to hyperplasia of cardiomyocytes and de-regulated expression of cardiac genes. Furthermore, the Cerl2 mutant neonates present impaired cardiac function. Once that the cardiac expression of Cerl2 is mostly observed in the left ventricle until around midgestration, this result suggest a specific regulatory role of Cerl2 during the formation of the left ventricular myoarchitecture. Here, we present two possible molecular mechanisms underlying the cardiac Cerl2 function, the regulation of Cerl2 antagonist in activation of the TGFßs/Nodal/Activin/Smad2 signaling identified by increased Smad2 phosphorilation in Cerl2-/- hearts and the negative feedback between Cerl2 and Wnt/ß-catenin signaling in heart formation. In this work and since embryonic stem cells derived from 129 mice strain is extensively used to produce targeted mutants, we also present echocardiographic reference values to progressive use of juveniles and young adult 129/Sv strain in cardiac studies. In addition, we investigate the cardiac physiology of the surviving Cerl2 mutants in 129/Sv background over time through a follow-up study using echocardiographic analysis. Our results revealed that Cerl2-/- mice are able to improve and maintain the diastolic and most of systolic cardiac physiologic parameters as analyzed until young adult age. Since Cerl2 is no longer expressed in the postnatal heart, we suggest that an intrinsic and compensatory mechanism of adaptation may be active for recovering the decreased cardiac function found in Cerl2 mutant neonates. Altogether, these data highlight the role of Cerl2 during embryonic heart development in mice. Furthermore, we also suggest that Cerl2-/- may be an interesting model to uncover the molecular, cellular and physiological mechanisms behind the improvement of the cardiac function, contributing to the development of therapeutic approaches to treat heart failures.

Volume da Aurícula Esquerda: um "Velho" Cálculo Ecocardiográfico com uma Importância Prognóstica Renovada. Um Estudo em Doentes com Miocardiopatia Dilatada

Recentemente, surgiram alguns trabalhos que ressaltaram a importância do cálculo do volume da aurícula esquerda (VAE) como um marcador de eventos cardíacos adversos. Foi objectivo deste estudo avaliar a importância prognóstica deste parâmetro em doentes (dts) com deficiente função ventricular esquerda e correlacioná-lo com outros parâmetros clássicos de prognóstico – consumo de O2 (VO2 max) e pro-BNP (pBNP). Métodos: Analisou-se o volume da aurícula esquerda (VAE) por método de Simpson, numa população de 35 dts com cardiopatia dilatada (idiopática e isquémica) com fracção de ejecção (FE) 31±9,6% doentes (dts) eram de sexo masculino e a média de idades foi de 50,5±10,5 anos. Toda a população efectuou estudos de ecocardiografia convencional (incluindo avaliação por M-mode, bidimensional e Doppler), prova cardiorespiratória (VO2max) e doseamento de pro-BNP. O tempo médio de seguimento foi de 24 ± 4 meses, tendo-se considerado como eventos cardíacos (EC): internamento por insuficiência cardíaca, transplante e morte. Resultados: Dos parâmetros da ecocardiografia - o diâmetro da AE foi de 46,6±5,7mm, as dimensões do VE em diástole – 73,5±10mm e em sístole -58,9±11mm, a média da fracção de ejecção foi de 31±9,6%, o VAE foi de 78,6±33 ml, os volumes do VE foram de 214±82ml em diástole e de 153±75ml em sístole, 15 dts tinham padrão restritivo de enchimento ventricular (E/A>2), a média da área (Doppler cor) da insuficiência mitral foi de 4±3,3cm2, 14 dts tinham E/E’>15. O VO2 max médio foi de 20±5,8ml/kg/min e o pro-BNP de 3146±4629pg/mL. Para além da correlação de outros parâmetros clássicos ecocardiográficos com o prognóstico (volumes VE, FE e E/E’), o VAE e o volume indexado da AE (VAE/SC) mostraram uma correlação com o prognóstico (EC) com r=0,4 (p=0,02) que não se verificou para o diâmetro da AE (p=ns). Em relação à tolerância ao esforço, houve uma correlação inversa entre o diâmetro, o volume e o volume indexado da AE e o VO2max, com maior significado estatístico para o VAE e VAE/SC com r=-0,48, p=0,008. Quanto ao pro-BNP, quer o diâmetro, quer o VAE (ou volume indexado) tiverem o mesmo nível de significado estatístico (r=0,43; p=0,02). O valor predictivo de eventos (curvas ROC) para o VAE foi de 70ml e de 37ml/m2 para o VAE/m2. Conclusão: O volume da aurícula esquerda/volume indexado é um parâmetro ecocardiográfico com significado prognóstico em dts com deficiente função ventricular esquerda, correlacionando-se com a tolerância ao esforço e pro-BNP.

O impacto da comunicação interna na criação da cultura organizacional

A importância da comunicação interna recebe cada vez mais atenção do seio das organizações. Ela é vista, atualmente, como um elemento fundamental da criação da cultura das empresas, e estas dedicam-lhe cada vez mais tempo e recursos. Este estudo visa avaliar o impacto da comunicação interna na transmissão dos valores e da cultura corporativa. Para tal, foi realizado um estudo empírico, através da realização de inquéritos a 52 colaboradores do BNP Paribas CIB Portugal. As hipóteses analisadas no estudo variavam no conhecimento (ou falta dele) da cultura da instituição e na importância dada (ou não) à comunicação interna como transmissora da cultura organizacional. Os resultados dos questionários comprovam a hipótese inicial, provando que a amostra conhece a instituição e avalia como positivas quer as ferramentas de comunicação interna quer a atitude geral da empresa no que diz respeito à comunicação.

A Constructivist perspective on EU'S democracy promotion in Turkey

The European Union, as a regional actor and an example of stability and well-being, has embraced a set of principles it has stood for and which constitute its own identity. The diffusion of these values among third countries is one of the objectives of EU’s External Policy. Democracy can be found among the principles that are sought to be exported through comprehensive and complex strategies within different frameworks, such as neighbourhood relations, trade partnerships and the accession process. Focusing on the latter, candidates are object of an intensive process of Europeanisation that operates through different mechanisms like socialisation and conditionality. Turkey, on the other side, has decided to apply for full membership several decades ago and, ever since, it has been pressured to Europeanise, which includes improving its unstable democracy. This case, however, is different from all other previous enlargements; for its special socio-cultural and civilisational features, Turkey constitutes a more complex novelty for the European Union. Therefore, this thesis aims to study the influence of the European Union on the democratisation process of Turkey, focusing on the period ranging between 1999, the year the European Council recognised Turkey’s candidacy status, and 2009 that marks the 10-year period of that condition. It is the intention of this project to assess the impact of the European Union at that level through the study of the democratic evolution of the country and its co-relation with other variables related to the presence or pressure of the EU. As this is a challenging objective, it will require a deep reflection upon central concepts like democracy and democratic consolidation, and a diversified use of methodological techniques, such as statistical analysis and mathematical co-relations, historical analysis, literature review and in-depth interviews. This study will privilege a Constructivist approach, emphasising the social construction of reality and the role of the ideational aspects – identity, perceptions and the broader socio-cultural dimension – in Turkey-EU relations.

Inventário do romance Alexandra Alpha de José Cardoso Pires

Este relatório de estágio curricular, efectivado como parte conclusiva do Mestrado em Edição de Texto ministrado na FCSH-UNL, teve como objectivos de trabalho a organização, descrição e inventariação dos manuscritos do romance Alexandra Alpha que fazem parte do espólio de José Cardoso Pires. Foi realizado na BNP-ACPC sendo o projecto final a criação de entradas de registo do inventário. O presente relatório começa com uma introdução, estando posteriormente estruturado em quatro capítulos, ao longo dos quais se apresenta o trabalho realizado. O primeiro capítulo contém uma apresentação da instituição onde foi realizado o estágio assim como as bases teóricas em que assentou. O segundo capítulo introduz o autor e a obra trabalhada. No terceiro capítulo, é exposto todo o processo de organização, descrição e inventariação, e no quarto capítulo são apresentados os problemas que surgiram ao longo de todo o processo e as resoluções adoptadas para os mesmos. Inclui igualmente um último e quinto capítulo que consiste num exemplo de edição crítico-genética do romance. O relatório termina com uma conclusão sobre o trabalho realizado e os resultados obtidos. São ainda apresentados vários anexos com tabelas, quadros e exemplos ilustrativos de todo o trabalho realizado

Angiotensin II favors progression to heart failure in diabetic hearts: role of myocardial fatty acid oxidation downregulation

Purpose: Diabetic myocardium is particularly vulnerable to develop heart failure in response to chronic stress conditions including hypertension or myocardial infarction. We have recently observed that angiotensin II (Ang II)-mediated downregulation of the fatty acid oxidation pathway favors occurrence of heart failure by myocardial accumulation of lipids (lipotoxicity). Because diabetic heart is exposed to high levels of circulating fatty acid, we determined whether insulin resistance favors development of heart failure in mice with Ang II-mediated myocardial remodeling.Methods: To study the combined effect of diabetes and Ang II-induced heart remodeling, we generated leptin-deficient/insulin resistant (Lepob/ob) mice with cardiac targeted overexpression of angiotensinogen (TGAOGN). Left ventricular (LV) failure was indicated by pulmonary congestion (lung weight/tibial length>+2SD of wild-type mice). Myocardial metabolism and function were assessed during in vitro isolated working heart perfusion.Results: Forty-eight percent of TGAOGN mice without insulin resistance exhibited pulmonary congestion at the age of 6 months associated with increased myocardial BNP expression (+375% compared with WT) and reduced LV power (developed pressure x cardiac output; -15%). The proportion of mice presenting heart failure was markedly increased to 71% in TGAOGN mice with insulin resistance (TGAOGN/Lepob/ob). TGAOGN/Lepob/ob mice with heart failure exhibited further increase of BNP compared with failing non-diabetic TGAOGN mice (+146%) and further reduction of cardiac power (-59%). Mice with insulin resistance alone (Lepob/ob) did not exhibit signs of heart failure or LV dysfunction. Myocardial fatty acid oxidation measured during in vitro perfusion was markedly increased in non-failing hearts from Lepob/ob mice (+380% compared with WT) and glucose oxidation decreased (-72%). In contrast, fatty acid and glucose oxidation did not differ from Lepob/ob mice in hearts from TGAOGN/Lepob/ob mice without heart failure. However, both fatty acid and glucose oxidation were markedly decreased (-47% and -48%, respectively, compared with WT/Lepob/+) in failing hearts from TGAOGN/Lepob/ob mice. Reduction of fatty acid oxidation was associated with marked reduction of protein expression of a number of regulatory enzymes implied in fatty acid oxidation.Conclusions: Insulin resistance favors the progression to heart failure during chronic exposure of the myocardium to Ang II. Our results are compatible with a role of Ang II-mediated downregulation of fatty acid oxidation, potentially promoting lipotoxicity.

Institutional legacies, employment and professional integration of non EU/EEA doctors in France

Internationally, policies for attracting highly-skilled migrants have become the guidelines mainly used by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Governments are implementing specific procedures to capture and facilitate their mobility. However, all professions are not equal when it comes to welcoming highly-skilled migrants. The medical profession, as a protective market, is one of these. Taking the case of non-EU/EEA doctors in France, this paper shows that the medical profession defined as the closed labour market, remains the most controversial in terms of professional integration of migrants, protectionist barriers to migrant competition and challenge of medical shortage. Based on the path-dependency approach, this paper argues that non-EU/EEA doctors' issues in France derive from a complex historical process of interaction between standards settled in the past, particularly the historical power of medical corporatism, the unexpected long-term effects of French hospital reforms of 1958, and budgetary pressures. Theoretically, this paper shows two significant findings. Firstly, the French medical system has undergone a series of transformations unthinkable in the strict sense of a path-dependence approach: an opening of the medical profession to foreign physicians in the context of the Europeanisation of public policy, acceptance of non-EU/EEA doctors in a context of medical shortage and budgetary pressures. Secondly, there is no change of the overall paradigm: significantly, the recruitment policies of non-EU/EEA doctors continue to highlight the imprint of the past and reveal a significant persistence of prejudices. Non-EU/EEA doctors are not considered legitimate doctors even if they have the qualifications of physicians which are legitimate in their country and which can be recognised in other receiving countries.

Mécanismes moléculaires d’activation du récepteur A des peptides natriurétiques

Le récepteur A des peptides natriurétiques (NPRA) fait partie de la famille des guanylates cyclases membranaires. L’activation du NPRA par ses agonistes naturels, ANP et BNP, induit une production de GMPc qui est responsable de leur rôle dans l’homéostasie cardiovasculaire, l’inhibition de l’hypertrophie et de la fibrose cardiaques et la régulation de la lipolyse. Le NPRA est un homodimère non covalent composé d’un domaine extracellulaire de liaison du ligand (ECD), d’un unique domaine transmembranaire (TM), d’un domaine d’homologie aux kinases et d’un domaine guanylate cyclase. Bien que le NPRA ait un rôle physiologique important, les mécanismes moléculaires régissant son processus d’activation restent inconnus. Nous avons donc analysé les premières étapes du processus d’activation du NPRA. Nous avons d'abord étudié le rôle de la dimérisation des ECD dans l’activation du récepteur. Nous avons utilisé les techniques de liaison de radioligand, de FRET et de modélisation moléculaire, pour caractériser la liaison à l’ECD des agonistes naturels, d’un superagoniste et d’un antagoniste. L’ANP se lie à un dimère d’ECD préformé et la dimérisation spontanée est l’étape limitante du processus de liaison. De plus, comme le démontrent nos études de FRET, tous les peptides, incluant l’antagoniste, stabilisent le récepteur sous sa forme dimérique. Cependant, l’antagoniste A71915 stabilise le dimère d’ECD dans une conformation différente de celle induite par l’ANP. La dimérisation du NPRA semble donc nécessaire, mais non suffisante à l’activation du récepteur. L’état d’activation du NPRA dépend plutôt de l’orientation des sous unités dans le dimère. Nous avons ensuite étudié le mécanisme moléculaire de transduction du signal à travers la membrane. Plusieurs études ont suggéré que l’activation du NPRA implique un changement de conformation du domaine juxtamembranaire (JM). Cependant, les études de cristallographie de l’ECD soluble de NPRA n’ont pas permis de documenter la structure du JM et le changement de conformation impliqué dans la transduction du signal reste inconnu. Pour analyser ce changement de conformation, nous avons d’abord séquentiellement substitué les neuf acides aminés du JM par une cystéine. En étudiant la capacité des mutants à former des dimères covalents de façon constitutive ou induite par l’ANP, nous avons pu évaluer la proximité relative des résidus du JM, avant et après activation du NPRA. Ces résultats ont démontré la proximité élevée de certains résidus spécifiques et sont en contradiction avec les données cristallographiques. Nous avons également démontré que le domaine intracellulaire impose une contrainte conformationnelle au JM à l’état de base, qui est levée après liaison de l’ANP. En introduisant de 1 à 5 alanines dans l’hélice-α transmembranaire, nous avons montré qu’une rotation des TM de 40° induit une activation constitutive du NPRA. Le signal d’activation pourrait donc être transmis à travers la membrane par un mécanisme de rotation des TM. En utilisant nos données expérimentales, nous avons généré le premier modèle moléculaire illustrant la conformation active du NPRA, où les domaines JM et TM sont représentés. Dans son ensemble, cette étude apporte une meilleure compréhension des mécanismes moléculaires régissant les premières étapes du processus complexe d’activation du NPRA.

Étude des réponses physiologiques aiguës à l’exercice intermittent de haute intensité chez le patient insuffisant cardiaque

L’optimisation de l’exercice par intervalles de haute intensité (EIHI) chez les patients insuffisants cardiaques (IC) n’a jamais été étudiée auparavant. Nous avons comparé les réponses cardio-pulmonaires aiguës lors de 4 différents EIHI dans le but de trouver le protocole optimisé chez les patients IC. Les patients IC étaient aléatoirement alloués à 4 sessions d’EIHI. Chaque phase d’exercice était à une intensité de 100% de la puissance aérobie maximale (PAM), mais de différentes durées (30s ou 90s) et de type de récupération (passive ou active). Chaque protocole d’EIHI durait un maximum de 30 minutes ou jusqu’à épuisement. Considérant le temps total d’exercice, l’adhérence, une perception d’effort moins élevée, le confort du patient ainsi que des temps similaires passés à un haut pourcentage du VO2pic, le mode avec intervalles courts (30s) et récupération passive s’est avéré être le protocole d’EIHI optimisé chez ces patients. Suite à cette étude, nous avons voulu comparer les réponses cardio-pulmonaires aiguës d’un exercice continu d’intensité modéré (ECIM) par rapport à celles de l’EIHI optimisé de dépense énergétique équivalente chez les patients IC. L’objectif de cette étude était de comparer les réponses cardio-pulmonaires, l’adhérence, la perception de l’effort, l’inflammation et les biomarqueurs cardiaques. Comparativement à l’ECIM, l’adhérence, l’efficience et la tolérance étaient plus élevées lors de l’EIHI optimisé chez les patients IC tout en produisant un stimulus physiologique important. L’EIHI n’a causé aucune arythmie significative ou d’effets délétères sur l’inflammation (CRP), le BNP et la nécrose myocardique (C-TnT) chez les patients IC. L’EIHI semble être un mode d’exercice prometteur et devrait être considéré lors de la réadaptation cardiaque chez les patients IC.

Sélection de gènes de référence pour la normalisation des expériences de PCR quantitative dans un modèle de dysfonction diastolique de lapin

La dysfonction diastolique du ventricule gauche (DDVG) réfère à une rigidité ainsi qu’à des troubles de relaxation au niveau de ce ventricule pendant la phase de la diastole. Nos connaissances sur les mécanismes moléculaires sous-jacents de cette pathologie demeurent limités. Les analyses géniques sont indispensables afin de bien identifier les voies par lesquelles cette maladie progresse. Plusieurs techniques de quantification de l’expression génique sont disponibles, par contre la RT-qPCR demeure la méthode la plus populaire vu sa haute sensibilité et de ses coûts modérés. Puisque la normalisation occupe un aspect très important dans les expériences de RT-qPCR, nous avons décidé de sélectionner des gènes montrant une haute stabilité d’expression dans un modèle de DDVG de lapin. Nous avons alors exposé 18 lapins blancs soit à une diète normale (n=7) ou bien à une diète hypercholestérolémiante additionnée de vitamine D2 (n=11). La DDVG a été évaluée par des mesures échocardiographiques. L’expression de l’ARNm de dix gènes communément utilisés dans la littérature comme normalisateur (Gapdh, Hprt1, Ppia, Sdha, Rpl5, Actb, Eef1e1, Ywhaz, Pgk1, et G6pd) a été mesurée par RT-qPCR. L’évaluation de leur stabilité a été vérifiée par les algorithmes de geNorm et Normfinder. Sdha et Gapdh ont obtenu les meilleurs scores de stabilité (M<0.2) et ont été suggérés par le geNorm, comme meilleure combinaison. Par contre, l’utilisation de Normfinder mène à la sélection d’Hprt1 et Rpl5 comme meilleure combinaison de gènes de normalisation (0.042). En normalisant par ces deux combinaisons de gènes, l’expression de l’ARNm des peptides natriurétiques de type A et B (Anp et Bnp), de la protéine chimiotactique des monocytes-1 (Mcp-1) et de la sous unité Nox-2 de la NADPH oxydase ont montré des augmentations similaires chez le groupe hypercholestérolémique comparé au groupe contrôle (p<0.05). Cette augmentation d’expressions a été corrélée avec plusieurs paramètres échocardiographiques de DDVG. À notre connaissance, c’est la première étude par laquelle une sélection de gènes de référence a été réalisée dans un modèle de lapin développant une DDVG.

MCMI-II borderline personality disorder in anorexia and bulimia nervosa. 'Trastorno l??mite de personalidad seg??n el MCMI-II en la anorexia y bulimia nerviosas'

Resumen tomado de la publicaci??n

Incidencia de los actores armados ilegales en la tributación minera de los municipios auríferos de Antioquia 2007 - I. 2012

Inmersos en un conflicto armado y guiados por un modelo político que busca aprovechar el boom minero en pro del desarrollo de Colombia, se han potencializado dinámicas ilegales donde los Actores Armados Ilegales (A.A.I), como ‘bandidos estacionarios’, se han ido adaptando a las nuevas dinámicas del mercado donde el lucro, la rentabilidad y la financiación son su objetivo central. En el departamento de Antioquia, esa situación data desde la formación de sus regiones, como son el caso del Bajo Cauca y Nordeste Antioqueño. Empero, lo novedoso en el conflicto armado, y que tiene relación directa con la minería aurífera es, la alta posibilidad que los A.A.I. estén viendo en esta actividad su principal fuente de financiación como consecuencia de dos hechos importantes: 1). El éxito que ha tenido la lucha contra el narcotráfico y por ende, contra los cultivos ilícitos. Y, 2) El elevado precio del oro en el mercado internacional puesto que, se estima que en los próximos años alcance entre $2.000 y $2.107 dólares la onza. En este orden de ideas, el lector encontrará como los actores armados ilegales actúan como bandidos estacionarios que ejerciendo la “minería criminal”, inciden en la política fiscal municipal a partir de la para-tributación o ‘impuesto de protección’, captación de regalías y el lavado de activos; donde el fin es financiar sus actividades criminales, afectando negativamente la política tributaria de los gobiernos municipales que se caracteriza por su baja capacidad de gestión.