Avaliação do desempenho da carta CUSCORE: estudo comparativo com a estatística CUSUM

A evolução da qualidade tem sido fundamental na monitorização de processos produtivos, quer de produtos ou de serviços, e é um conceito que está cada vez mais presente nas organizações. Actualmente existem diversas metodologias que auxiliam e contribuem para o alcance da qualidade, sendo o controlo estatístico do processo uma das que mais se destaca em contexto industrial, representada pela aplicação das cartas de controlo. As cartas de controlo são ferramentas que têm cativado o interesse das organizações que se dedicam a processos industriais modernos. No entanto, existem alguns factores, nomeadamente, a auto-correlação de dados (ocorre quando, num dado instante, uma observação depende de outras ocorridas em instantes antecedentes), que dificultam a interpretação sobre a estabilidade do processo ao nível estatístico. Neste sentido, a presente dissertação tem como objectivo apresentar um estudo comparativo entre o desempenho da carta

A importância da estatística na emergência da Psiquiatria Portuguesa do Século XIX

Atendendo à emergência da estatística, como área autónoma do conhecimento científico no século XIX, procuraremos avaliar a influência desta disciplina no surgimento da psiquiatria portuguesa, utilizando para isso a contribuição filosófica de Ian Hacking. Tentaremos discutir se os marcos considerados importantes por Ian Hacking ocorreram igualmente no seio da psiquiatria portuguesa. Este apuramento far-se-á tanto no que diz respeito à análise da bibliografia dos primeiros alienistas, como através da análise da documentação dos arquivos do Hospital de Rilhafoles, o primeiro asilo psiquiátrico do país. Reflectiremos sobre a existência de um eventual efeito de feedback que o pensamento estatístico possa ter operado sobre a produção científica e os relatórios daquela instituição, no sentido de influenciarem o desenvolvimento da psiquiatria portuguesa e a assistência aos alienados no país. Não sendo histórica, a teoria de Hacking situa-se dentro na mesma janela temporal escolhida para o período do nosso estudo e recai principalmente sobre o aparecimento da estatística em França, país que à data, era a mais determinante influência cultural para o nosso país. Assim, incidiremos a nossa investigação sobre a seguinte hipótese: ter-se-ão os alienistas portugueses da época, apetrechado em termos científicos, de referências estatísticas que, de acordo com o autor canadiano, já então eram usadas noutros países, sobretudo em França para, nomeadamente, aperfeiçoar os sistemas classificativos das doenças mentais que, então, davam os primeiros passos na psiquiatria europeia? Com este trabalho pretende-se, além de dar a conhecer e valorizar a importância dos dados estatísticos no funcionamento do Hospital de Rilhafoles que cessou funções em 2012, preencher uma lacuna na história da psiquiatria portuguesa do século XIX, apontando novas ferramentas o estudo da emergência de novas áreas disciplinares.

Forame oval patente e acidente vascular cerebral isquêmico em jovens: associação causal ou estatística?

OBJETIVOS: Determinar se há evidências de uma relação causal entre forame oval patente (FOP) e acidente vascular cerebral isquêmico (AVCI) criptogênico em jovens. Analisar essa relação à luz dos critérios de causalidade. MÉTODOS: Avaliaram-se, retrospectivamente, 168 pacientes jovens com AVCI, divididos em dois grupos: criptogênico e de causa definida. Como parte da rotina, os pacientes foram submetidos a pesquisa de FOP por ecocardiograma transesofágico e/ou Doppler transcraniano, ambos associados ao teste de bolhas. Demonstrada a associação estatística univariada entre FOP e AVCI, procedeu-se a análise multivariada. RESULTADOS: Após análise multivariada, a associação FOP e AVCI criptogênico mostrou-se ainda estatisticamente significante, com razão de chance (RCajustada de 3,3 (IC95% 1,5-7,4). O número total de lesões no encéfalo também apresentou associação significativa com o AVCI criptogênico (RCajustada= 0,4 IC95% 0,2-0,9). A associação FOP e AVCI criptogênico satisfez todos os critérios de causalidade. CONCLUSÃO: A relação causal entre o FOP e o AVCI criptogênico em jovens é altamente provável. Esse fato deve ser considerado na decisão terapêutica.

Análise estatística da distribuição de Poisson

The general properties of POISSON distributions and their relations to the binomial distribuitions are discussed. Two methods of statistical analysis are dealt with in detail: X2-test. In order to carry out the X2-test, the mean frequency and the theoretical frequencies for all classes are calculated. Than the observed and the calculated frequencies are compared, using the well nown formula: f(obs) - f(esp) 2; i(esp). When the expected frequencies are small, one must not forget that the value of X2 may only be calculated, if the expected frequencies are biger than 5. If smaller values should occur, the frequencies of neighboroughing classes must ge pooled. As a second test reintroduced by BRIEGER, consists in comparing the observed and expected error standard of the series. The observed error is calculated by the general formula: δ + Σ f . VK n-1 where n represents the number of cases. The theoretical error of a POISSON series with mean frequency m is always ± Vm. These two values may be compared either by dividing the observed by the theoretical error and using BRIEGER's tables for # or by dividing the respective variances and using SNEDECOR's tables for F. The degree of freedom for the observed error is one less the number of cases studied, and that of the theoretical error is always infinite. In carrying out these tests, one important point must never be overlloked. The values for the first class, even if no concrete cases of the type were observed, must always be zero, an dthe value of the subsequent classes must be 1, 2, 3, etc.. This is easily seen in some of the classical experiments. For instance in BORKEWITZ example of accidents in Prussian armee corps, the classes are: no, one, two, etc., accidents. When counting the frequency of bacteria, these values are: no, one, two, etc., bacteria or cultures of bacteria. Ins studies of plant diseases equally the frequencies are : no, one, two, etc., plants deseased. Howewer more complicated cases may occur. For instance, when analising the degree of polyembriony, frequently the case of "no polyembryony" corresponds to the occurrence of one embryo per each seed. Thus the classes are not: no, one, etc., embryo per seed, but they are: no additional embryo, one additional embryo, etc., per seed with at least one embryo. Another interestin case was found by BRIEGER in genetic studies on the number os rows in maize. Here the minimum number is of course not: no rows, but: no additional beyond eight rows. The next class is not: nine rows, but: 10 rows, since the row number varies always in pairs of rows. Thus the value of successive classes are: no additional pair of rows beyond 8, one additional pair (or 10 rows), two additional pairs (or 12 rows) etc.. The application of the methods is finally shown on the hand of three examples : the number of seeds per fruit in the oranges M Natal" and "Coco" and in "Calamondin". As shown in the text and the tables, the agreement with a POISSON series is very satisfactory in the first two cases. In the third case BRIEGER's error test indicated a significant reduction of variability, and the X2 test showed that there were two many fruits with 4 or 5 seeds and too few with more or with less seeds. Howewer the fact that no fruit was found without seed, may be taken to indicate that in Calamondin fruits are not fully parthenocarpic and may develop only with one seed at the least. Thus a new analysis was carried out, on another class basis. As value for the first class the following value was accepted: no additional seed beyond the indispensable minimum number of one seed, and for the later classes the values were: one, two, etc., additional seeds. Using this new basis for all calculations, a complete agreement of the observed and expected frequencies, of the correspondig POISSON series was obtained, thus proving that our hypothesis of the impossibility of obtaining fruits without any seed was correct for Calamondin while the other two oranges were completely parthenocarpic and fruits without seeds did occur.

Pesquisas sôbre a análise estatística de experiências de adubação com o auxílio da lei de Mitscherlich

Statistical analyses of an experiment on wheat were carried out with the aid of Mitscherlich's law. The experiment was made in Ponta Grossa, Paraná, by the Ministry of Agriculture of Brasil. Lime, in the form of Ca(OH)2, was applied at the levels of 0, 2, 4, 6 and 8 metric tons per hectare. A 5 x 5 Latin square was used. Lime was applied in 1940 and wheat was cultivated in the same plots for several years. The following fertilizers were annually used for all plots: NaNO3 100 kilograms per hectare, Superphosphate 350 kilograms per hectare, K2S04 80 kilograms per hectare. The statistical analysis of the data collected in 1941, 1942, 1943, 1947 and 1948, carried out in accordance with the methods previously introduced by Pimentel Gomes and Malavolta (1949 a, 1949 b) and Pimentel Gomes (1950), proved: I. That Mitscherlich's law could be correctly applied to the data. II. That there was a statistically significant effect of lime on wheat yield. III. That the optimum amount of lime to be applied to the soil lies between 5 and 15 hundred kilograms of Ca(OH)2 per hectare. IV. That there is a migration of calcium from some plots to others, in such a way that the data obtained in 1947 and 1948 are not representative of the amounts of lime applied in 1940. V. That the analysis of variance can be used, as the Bartlett test shows that the variances at the distinct levele of lime application are not statistically different. It must be noted that, with improved variety and fertilization, the yield was rised to about 2500 kilograms per hectare in 1947, and 1600 in 1948, being only of about 100 kilograms per hectare in 1940.

Repeating with the right hemisphere: reduced interactions between phonological and lexical-semantic systems in crossed aphasia?

Knowledge on the patterns of repetition amongst individuals who develop language deficits in association with right hemisphere lesions (crossed aphasia) is very limited. Available data indicate that repetition in some crossed aphasics experiencing phonological processing deficits is not heavily influenced by lexical-semantic variables (lexicality, imageability, and frequency) as is regularly reported in phonologically-impaired cases with left hemisphere damage. Moreover, in view of the fact that crossed aphasia is rare, information on the role of right cortical areas and white matter tracts underpinning language repetition deficits is scarce. In this study, repetition performance was assessed in two patients with crossed conduction aphasia and striatal/capsular vascular lesions encompassing the right arcuate fasciculus (AF) and inferior frontal-occipital fasciculus (IFOF), the temporal stem and the white matter underneath the supramarginal gyrus. Both patients showed lexicality effects repeating better words than non-words, but manipulation of other lexical-semantic variables exerted less influence on repetition performance. Imageability and frequency effects, production of meaning-based paraphrases during sentence repetition, or better performance on repeating novel sentences than overlearned clichés were hardly ever observed in these two patients. In one patient, diffusion tensor imaging disclosed damage to the right long direct segment of the AF and IFOF with relative sparing of the anterior indirect and posterior segments of the AF, together with fully developed left perisylvian white matter pathways. These findings suggest that striatal/capsular lesions extending into the right AF and IFOF in some individuals with right hemisphere language dominance are associated with atypical repetition patterns which might reflect reduced interactions between phonological and lexical-semantic processes.

LMM: an OWL-DL metamodel to represent heterogeneous lexical knowledge

In this paper we present a Linguistic Meta-Model (LMM) allowing a semiotic-cognitive representation of knowledge. LMM is freely available and integrates the schemata of linguistic knowledge resources, such as WordNet and FrameNet, as well as foundational ontologies, such as DOLCE and its extensions. In addition, LMM is able to deal with multilinguality and to represent individuals and facts in an open domain perspective.

Using qualia information to identify lexical semantic classes in an unsupervised clustering task

Acquiring lexical information is a complex problem, typically approached by relying on a number of contexts to contribute information for classification. One of the first issues to address in this domain is the determination of such contexts. The work presented here proposes the use of automatically obtained FORMAL role descriptors as features used to draw nouns from the same lexical semantic class together in an unsupervised clustering task. We have dealt with three lexical semantic classes (HUMAN, LOCATION and EVENT) in English. The results obtained show that it is possible to discriminate between elements from different lexical semantic classes using only FORMAL role information, hence validating our initial hypothesis. Also, iterating our method accurately accounts for fine-grained distinctions within lexical classes, namely distinctions involving ambiguous expressions. Moreover, a filtering and bootstrapping strategy employed in extracting FORMAL role descriptors proved to minimize effects of sparse data and noise in our task.

Towards the Fully Automatic Merging of Lexical Resources: A Step Forward

This article reports on the results of the research done towards the fully automatically merging of lexical resources. Our main goal is to show the generality of the proposed approach, which have been previously applied to merge Spanish Subcategorization Frames lexica. In this work we extend and apply the same technique to perform the merging of morphosyntactic lexica encoded in LMF. The experiments showed that the technique is general enough to obtain good results in these two different tasks which is an important step towards performing the merging of lexical resources fully automatically.

Automatic Lexical Semantic Classification of Nouns

The work we present here addresses cue-based noun classification in English and Spanish. Its main objective is to automatically acquire lexical semantic information by classifying nouns into previously known noun lexical classes. This is achieved by using particular aspects of linguistic contexts as cues that identify a specific lexical class. Here we concentrate on the task of identifying such cues and the theoretical background that allows for an assessment of the complexity of the task. The results show that, despite of the a-priori complexity of the task, cue-based classification is a useful tool in the automatic acquisition of lexical semantic classes.

Towards the Automatic Merging of Lexical Resources: Automatic Mapping

Lexical Resources are a critical component for Natural Language Processing applications. However, the high cost of comparing and merging different resources has been a bottleneck to have richer resources with a broad range of potential uses for a significant number of languages.With the objective of reducing cost byeliminating human intervention, we present a new method for automating the merging of resources,with special emphasis in what we call the mapping step. This mapping step, which converts the resources into a common format that allows latter the merging, is usually performed with huge manual effort and thus makes the whole process very costly. Thus, we propose a method to perform this mapping fully automatically. To test our method, we have addressed the merging of two verb subcategorization frame lexica for Spanish, The resultsachieved, that almost replicate human work, demonstrate the feasibility of the approach.

A Method Towards the Fully Automatic Merging of Lexical Resources

Lexical Resources are a critical component for Natural Language Processing applications. However, the high cost of comparing and merging different resources has been a bottleneck to obtain richer resources and a broader range of potential uses for a significant number of languages. With the objective of reducing cost by eliminating human intervention, we present a new method towards the automatic merging of resources. This method includes both, the automatic mapping of resources involved to a common format and merging them, once in this format. This paper presents how we have addressed the merging of two verb subcategorization frame lexica for Spanish, but our method will be extended to cover other types of Lexical Resources. The achieved results, that almost replicate human work, demonstrate the feasibility of the approach.