961 resultados para Adverse Outcomes


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Erythrocyte concentrates (ECs) are the major labile blood product being transfused worldwide, aiming at curing anemia of diverse origins. In Switzerland, ECs are stored at 4 °C up to 42 days in saline-adenine-glucose-mannitol (SAGM). Such storage induces cellular lesions, altering red blood cells (RBCs) metabolism, protein content and rheological properties. A hot debate exists regarding the impact of the storage lesions, thus the age of ECs on transfusion-related clinical adverse outcomes. Several studies tend to show that poorer outcomes occur in patients receiving older blood products. However, no clear association was demonstrated up to date. While metabolism and early rheological changes are reversible through transfusion of the blood units, oxidized proteins cannot be repaired, and it is likely such irreversible damages would affect the quality of the blood product and the efficiency of the transfusion. In vivo, RBCs are constantly exposed to oxygen fluxes, and are thus well equipped to deal with oxidative challenges. Moreover, functional 20S proteasome complexes allow for recognition and proteolysis of fairly oxidized protein, and some proteins can be eliminated from RBCs by the release of microvesicles. The present PhD thesis is involved in a global research project which goal is to characterize the effect of processing and storage on the quality of ECs. Assessing protein oxidative damages during RBC storage is of major importance to understand the mechanisms of aging of stored RBCs. To this purpose, redox proteomic-based investigations were conducted here. In a first part, cysteine oxidation and protein carbonylation were addressed via 2D-DIGE and derivatization-driven immunodetection approaches, respectively. Then, the oxidized sub- proteomes were characterized through LC-MS/MS identification of proteins in spots of interest (cysteine oxidation) or affinity-purified carbonylated proteins. Gene ontology annotation allowed classifying targets of oxidation according to their molecular functions. In a third part, the P20S activity was evaluated throughout the storage period of ECs, and its susceptibility to highly oxidized environment was investigated. The potential defensive role of microvesiculation was also addressed through the quantification of eliminated carbonylated proteins. We highlighted distinct protein groups differentially affected by cysteine oxidation, either reversibly or irreversibly. In addition, soluble extracts showed a decrease in carbonylation at the beginning of the storage and membrane extracts revealed increasing carbonylation after 4 weeks of storage. Engaged molecular functions revealed that antioxidant (AO) are rather reversibly oxidized at their cysteine residue(s), but are irreversibly oxidized through carbonylation. In the meantime, the 20S proteasome activity is decreased by around 40 % at the end of the storage period. Incubation of fresh RBCs extracts with exogenous oxidized proteins showed a dose-dependent and protein-dependent inhibitory effect. Finally, we proved that the release of microvesicles allows the elimination of increasing quantities of carbonylated proteins. Taken together, these results revealed an oxidative pathway model of RBCs storage, on which further investigation towards improved storage conditions will be based. -- Les concentrés érythrocytaires (CE) sont le produit sanguin le plus délivré au monde, permettant de traiter différentes formes d'anémies. En Suisse, les CE sont stocké à 4 °C pendant 42 jours dans une solution saline d'adénine, glucose et mannitol (SAGM). Une telle conservation induit des lésions de stockage qui altèrent le métabolisme, les protéines et les propriétés rhéologique du globule rouge (GR). Un débat important concerne l'impact du temps de stockage des CE sur les risques de réaction transfusionnelles, certaines études tentant de démontrer que des transfusions de sang vieux réduiraient l'espérance de vie des patients. Cependant, aucune association concrète n'a été prouvée à ce jour. Alors que les modifications du métabolisme et changement précoces des propriétés rhéologiques sont réversibles suite à la transfusion du CE, les protéines oxydées ne peuvent être réparées, et il est probable que de telles lésions affectent la qualité et l'efficacité des produits sanguins. In vivo, les GR sont constamment exposés à l'oxygène, et sont donc bien équipés pour résister aux lésions oxydatives. De plus, les complexes fonctionnels de proteasome 20S reconnaissent et dégradent les protéines modérément oxydées, et certaines protéines peuvent être éliminées par les microparticules. Cette thèse de doctorat est imbriquée dans un projet de recherche global ayant pour objectif la caractérisation des effets de la préparation et du stockage sur la qualité des GR. Evaluer les dommages oxydatifs du GR pendant le stockage est primordial pour comprendre les mécanismes de vieillissement des produits sanguin. Dans ce but, des recherches orientées redoxomique ont été conduites. Dans une première partie, l'oxydation des cystéines et la carbonylation des protéines sont évaluées par électrophorèse bidimensionnelle différentielle et par immunodétection de protéines dérivatisées. Ensuite, les protéines d'intérêt ainsi que les protéines carbonylées, purifiées par affinité, sont identifiées par spectrométrie de masse en tandem. Les protéines cibles de l'oxydation sont classées selon leur fonction moléculaire. Dans une troisième partie, l'activité protéolytique du protéasome 20S est suivie durant la période de stockage. L'impact du stress oxydant sur cette activité a été évalué en utilisant des protéines exogènes oxydées in vitro. Le potentiel rôle défensif de la microvesiculation a également été étudié par la quantification des protéines carbonylées éliminées. Dans ce travail, nous avons observé que différents groupes de protéines sont affectés par l'oxydation réversible ou irréversible de leurs cystéines. De plus, une diminution de la carbonylation en début de stockage dans les extraits solubles et une augmentation de la carbonylation après 4 semaines dans les extraits membranaires ont été montrées. Les fonctions moléculaires engagées par les protéines altérées montrent que les défenses antioxydantes sont oxydées de façon réversible sur leurs résidus cystéines, mais sont également irréversiblement carbonylées. Pendant ce temps, l'activité protéolytique du protéasome 20S décroit de 40 % en fin de stockage. L'incubation d'extraits de GR en début de stockage avec des protéines oxydées exogènes montre un effet inhibiteur « dose-dépendant » et « protéine-dépendant ». Enfin, les microvésicules s'avèrent éliminer des quantités croissantes de protéines carbonylées. La synthèse de ces résultats permet de modéliser une voie oxydative du stockage des GRs, à partir de laquelle de futures recherches seront menées avec pour but l'amélioration des conditions de stockage.

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The length of female reproductive lifespan is associated with multiple adverse outcomes, including breast cancer, cardiovascular disease and infertility. The biological processes that govern the timing of the beginning and end of reproductive life are not well understood. Genetic variants are known to contribute to ∼50% of the variation in both age at menarche and menopause, but to date the known genes explain <15% of the genetic component. We have used genome-wide association in a bivariate meta-analysis of both traits to identify genes involved in determining reproductive lifespan. We observed significant genetic correlation between the two traits using genome-wide complex trait analysis. However, we found no robust statistical evidence for individual variants with an effect on both traits. A novel association with age at menopause was detected for a variant rs1800932 in the mismatch repair gene MSH6 (P = 1.9 × 10(-9)), which was also associated with altered expression levels of MSH6 mRNA in multiple tissues. This study contributes to the growing evidence that DNA repair processes play a key role in ovarian ageing and could be an important therapeutic target for infertility.

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The aim was to examine the effect of maternal age, gravidity, marital status, previous perinatal deaths, and parental social class on babies born low birthweight, preterm, and small for gestational age. DESIGN--The study used data on discharge summaries from all maternity hospitals in Scotland. SETTING--The study was based on all singleton deliveries in Scotland. PARTICIPANTS--The analysis involved information on 259,462 singleton babies born during the four years 1981-84 in Scotland. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS--Previous perinatal death was found to be the strongest predictor for both preterm and low birthweight. Single mothers were at particularly high risk of having a small for gestational age baby and those who were previously married of having a preterm baby. Women aged less than 20 years old, those over 34 years old, nulligravidae, and those of parity 3 or more were also at increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcome. Mothers and fathers in manual social classes and those who could not be assigned a social class on the basis of their occupation were at increased risk for all three adverse outcomes studied. The babies of parents who were in manual occupations were twice as likely as those of parents in non-manual occupations to be small for gestational age and almost twice as likely to be low birthweight. CONCLUSIONS--Mother's social class is a risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcome independent of maternal age, parity, and adverse reproductive history, and also independent of father's social class. Information on both parents' occupations should be collected in maternity discharge systems.

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Introduction: Delirium is frequent in hospitalized older people, with incidence rate up to 40% in acute care. Delirium is associated with several adverse consequences, including increased mortality and institutionalization. This study aims to investigate the prevalence, incidence, and consequences of delirium in patients hospitalized in an acute care unit for elderly (ACE unit). Methods: Over a 3 months period, every patient (N = 93, mean age 84.1 ± 7.8 years, 66/93(71%) women) admitted to a 28-bed ACE unit were systematically assessed for delirium. Trained nurses used the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) instrument to determine the presence of delirium at admission and on each subsequent day over patients' stay. Delirium prevalence rate was defined as the proportion of patients with a positive CAM within 24 hours of admission to the ACE unit. Delirium incidence rate was defined as the proportion of patients with a negative CAM at admission whose CAM became positive at least once during their stay. This evaluation was part of a functional assessment, including Basic Activities of Daily Life (Katz BADL, from 0 to 6, higher score indicating better function). Delirium prevention interventions and specific treatment was provided if needed. Results: Overall,25/93(27%)patients had delirium during their stay. Prevalence of delirium at admission was 10/93 (11%), with an incidence of 15/83(18%). Compared with non-delirious patients, those with delirium were more frequently men (10/25(40%) vs 17/68(25%), p <.001) and had reduced functional status at admission(BADL 2.0 ± 1.9 vs 3.6 ± 2.1, p = .004). They tended to be older (86.0 ± 6.7 vs 83.3 ± 8.1 years, p = .110). At discharge, delirium was associated with reduced functional status (BADL 2.0 ± 2.1 vs 4.3 ± 1.9, p <.001), lower rate of home discharge (6/20(30%) vs 28/65 (43%), p = .009) and increased mortality (5/25 (20%) vs 3/68 (5%), p <.001). On average, patients with delirium stayed 5.7 days longer (17.0 ± 9.8 vs 11.31 ± 6.3, p = .011). Conclusion: Delirium occurred in almost a third of these older patients, even though its incidence was relatively low in this frail population. Despite specific management, delirium remained associated with higher risk for adverse outcomes at discharge. These results suggest that early preventive interventions, implemented as soon as possible after hospital admission, might be needed in similar population to achieve better outcomes. Effectiveness of such interventions will be evaluated in future studies.

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PURPOSE: The nutritional risk score is a recommended screening tool for malnutrition. While a nutritional risk score of 3 or greater predicts adverse outcomes after digestive surgery, to our knowledge its predictive value for morbidity after urological interventions is unknown. We determined whether urological patients at nutritional risk are at higher risk for complications after major surgery than patients not at nutritional risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a prospective observational study in consecutive patients undergoing major surgery. A priori sample calculation resulted in a study cohort of 220 patients. Interim analysis was planned after 110 patients. The nutritional risk score was assessed preoperatively by a specialized study nurse. Nutritional care was standardized in all patients. Postoperative complications were defined previously using the standardized Dindo-Clavien classification. The primary end point was 30-day morbidity. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify predictors of complications. RESULTS: The study was discontinued due to significant results after interim analysis. A total of 125 patients were included in analysis from June 2011 to June 2012 and 15 were excluded because of incomplete data. Of 51 patients at nutritional risk 38 (74%) presented with at least 1 complication compared to 28 of 59 controls (47%). Patients at nutritional risk were at threefold risk for complications on univariate and multivariate analysis (OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.3-8.0). Cystectomy was the only other predictor of morbidity (OR 10, 95% CI 2-48). CONCLUSIONS: Patients at nutritional risk are more prone to complications after major urological procedures. Whether this increased morbidity can be reversed by perioperative nutritional support should be studied.

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BACKGROUND: Abdominal infections are frequent causes of sepsis and septic shock in the intensive care unit (ICU) and are associated with adverse outcomes. We analyzed the characteristics, treatments and outcome of ICU patients with abdominal infections using data extracted from a one-day point prevalence study, the Extended Prevalence of Infection in the ICU (EPIC) II. METHODS: EPIC II included 13,796 adult patients from 1,265 ICUs in 75 countries. Infection was defined using the International Sepsis Forum criteria. Microbiological analyses were performed locally. Participating ICUs provided patient follow-up until hospital discharge or for 60 days. RESULTS: Of the 7,087 infected patients, 1,392 (19.6%) had an abdominal infection on the study day (60% male, mean age 62 ± 16 years, SAPS II score 39 ± 16, SOFA score 7.6 ± 4.6). Microbiological cultures were positive in 931 (67%) patients, most commonly Gram-negative bacteria (48.0%). Antibiotics were administered to 1366 (98.1%) patients. Patients who had been in the ICU for ≤ 2 days prior to the study day had more Escherichia coli, methicillin-sensitive Staphylococcus aureus and anaerobic isolates, and fewer enterococci than patients who had been in the ICU longer. ICU and hospital mortality rates were 29.4% and 36.3%, respectively. ICU mortality was higher in patients with abdominal infections than in those with other infections (29.4% vs. 24.4%, p < 0.001). In multivariable analysis, hematological malignancy, mechanical ventilation, cirrhosis, need for renal replacement therapy and SAPS II score were independently associated with increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The characteristics, microbiology and antibiotic treatment of abdominal infections in critically ill patients are diverse. Mortality in patients with isolated abdominal infections was higher than in those who had other infections.

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Rationale: Although associated with adverse outcomes in other cardiopulmonary conditions, the prognostic value of hyponatremia, a marker of neurohormonal activation, in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is unknown. Objectives: To examine the associations between hyponatremia and mortality and hospital readmission rates for patients hospitalized with PE. METHODS: We evaluated 13,728 patient discharges with a primary diagnosis of PE from 185 hospitals in Pennsylvania (January 2000 to November 2002). We used random-intercept logistic regression to assess the independent association between serum sodium levels at the time of presentation and mortality and hospital readmission within 30 days, adjusting for patient (race, insurance, severity of illness, use of thrombolytic therapy) and hospital factors (region, size, teaching status). Measurements and Main Results: Hyponatremia (sodium ?135 mmol/L) was present in 2,907 patients (21.1%). Patients with a sodium level greater than 135, 130-135, and less than 130 mmol/L had a cumulative 30-day mortality of 8.0, 13.6, and 28.5% (P < 0.001), and a readmission rate of 11.8, 15.6, and 19.3% (P < 0.001), respectively. Compared with patients with a sodium greater than 135 mmol/L, the adjusted odds of dying were significantly greater for patients with a sodium 130-135 mmol/L (odds ratio [OR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.33-1.76) and a sodium less than 130 mmol/L (OR, 3.26; 95% CI, 2.48-4.29). The adjusted odds of readmission were also increased for patients with a sodium of 130-135 mmol/L (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.12-1.46) and a sodium less than 130 mmol/L (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.02-2.02). Conclusions: Hyponatremia is common in patients presenting with PE, and is an independent predictor of short-term mortality and hospital readmission.

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We carried out a systematic review of HPV vaccine pre- and post-licensure trials to assess the evidence of their effectiveness and safety. We find that HPV vaccine clinical trials design, and data interpretation of both efficacy and safety outcomes, were largely inadequate. Additionally, we note evidence of selective reporting of results from clinical trials (i.e., exclusion of vaccine efficacy figures related to study subgroups in which efficacy might be lower or even negative from peer-reviewed publications). Given this, the widespread optimism regarding HPV vaccines long-term benefits appears to rest on a number of unproven assumptions (or such which are at odd with factual evidence) and significant misinterpretation of available data. For example, the claim that HPV vaccination will result in approximately 70% reduction of cervical cancers is made despite the fact that the clinical trials data have not demonstrated to date that the vaccines have actually prevented a single case of cervical cancer (let alone cervical cancer death), nor that the current overly optimistic surrogate marker-based extrapolations are justified. Likewise, the notion that HPV vaccines have an impressive safety profile is only supported by highly flawed design of safety trials and is contrary to accumulating evidence from vaccine safety surveillance databases and case reports which continue to link HPV vaccination to serious adverse outcomes (including death and permanent disabilities). We thus conclude that further reduction of cervical cancers might be best achieved by optimizing cervical screening (which carries no such risks) and targeting other factors of the disease rather than by the reliance on vaccines with questionable efficacy and safety profiles.

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The age of erythrocyte concentrates (EC) in transfusion medicine and the adverse outcomes when transfusing long-term-stored EC are highly controversial issues. Whereas the definition of a short-term-stored EC or a long-term-stored EC is unclear in clinical trials, data based on in vitro storage assays can help defining a limit in addition of the expiration date. The present review merges together these data in order to highlight an EC age cut-off and points out potential misleading consideration. The analysis of in vitro data highlights the presence of reversible and irreversible storage lesions and demonstrates that red blood cells (RBC) exhibit two limits during storage: one around 2 weeks and another one around 4 weeks of storage. Of particular importance, the first lesions to appear, i.e. the reversible ones, are per se reversible once transfused, whereas the irreversible lesions are not. In clinical trials, the EC age cut-off for short-term storage is in general fewer than 14 days (11 ± 4 days) and more disperse for long-term-stored EC (17 ± 13 days), regardless the clinical outcomes. Taking together, EC age cut-off in clinical trials does not totally fall into line of in vitro aging data, whereas it is the key criteria in clinical studies. Long-term-stored EC considered in clinical trials are not probably old enough to answer the question: "Does transfusion of long-term-stored EC (older than 4 weeks) result in worse clinical outcomes?" Depending on ethical concerns and clinical practices, older EC than currently assayed in clinical trials should have to be considered. These two worlds trying to understand the aging of erythrocytes and the impact on patients do not seem to speak the same language.

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BACKGROUND: To study the 'metabolic profile' of different surgical procedures and correlate it with pertinent surgical details and postoperative complications. METHODS: We conducted a prospective pilot study of 70 patients, ten for each of the seven following groups: (1) laparoscopic cholecystectomy, (2) incisional hernia repair, (3) laparoscopic and (4) open colon surgery, (5) upper gastrointestinal, (6) hepatic, and (7) pancreatic resections. Biochemical assessment included white blood cell count (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), glucose, triglycerides (TG), albumin (Alb), and pre-albumin (Pre-Alb), from the day before surgery until 5 days thereafter. Biological markers were compared for major versus minor surgery groups, which were defined on a clinical basis. Univariable analysis was used to identify risk factors for postoperative complications and p < 0.05 was the significance threshold. RESULTS: Common findings in all surgery groups were the acute inflammatory response (↑: WBC, CRP, ↓: TG, Alb, pre-Alb). Using cut-off values of 240 min operative (OR) time and 300 ml estimated blood loss (EBL), laparoscopic cholecystectomy, incisional hernia repair, and laparoscopic colectomy could be distinguished from open colectomy, upper gastrointestinal, liver, and pancreas resections. In a biochemical level, increased CRP and reduced postoperative Alb levels were highly discriminative of all types of 'major surgery.' Significant risk factors for postoperative complications were age, male gender, malignancy, longer OR time, higher blood loss, high CRP, and low Alb levels. CONCLUSIONS: Biochemically, CRP and Alb levels can help quantify the magnitude of the surgical trauma, which is correlated with adverse outcomes.

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PURPOSE: The aim of this longitudinal study was to investigate the value of uterine artery Doppler sonography during the second and third trimesters in the prediction of adverse pregnancy outcome in low-risk women. METHODS: From July 2011 to August 2012, a total of 205 singleton pregnant women presenting at our antenatal clinic were enrolled in this prospective study and were assessed for baseline demographic and obstetric data. They underwent ultrasound evaluation at the time of second and third trimesters, both included Doppler assessment of bilateral uterine arteries to determine the values of the pulsatility index (PI) and resistance index (RI) and presence of early diastolic notch. The endpoint of this study was assessing the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of Doppler ultrasonography of the uterine artery, for the prediction of adverse pregnancy outcomes including preeclampsia, stillbirth, placental abruption and preterm labor. RESULTS: The mean age of cases was 26.4±5.11. The uterine artery PI and RI values for both second (PI: 1.1±0.42 versus 1.53±0.59, p=0.002; RI: 0.55±0.09 versus 0.72±0.13, p=0.000 respectively) and third-trimester (PI: 0.77±0.31 versus 1.09±0.46, p=0.000; RI: 0.46±0.10 versus 0.60±0.14, p=0.010 respectively) evaluations were significantly higher in patients with adverse pregnancy outcome than in normal women. Combination of PI and RI >95th percentile and presence of bilateral notch in second trimester get sensitivity and specificity of 36.1 and 97% respectively, while these measures were 57.5 and 98.2% in third trimester. CONCLUSIONS: According to our study, it seems that uterine artery Doppler may be a valuable tool for the prediction of a variety of adverse outcomes in second and third trimesters.

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An aging population and increasing rates of diabetes mellitus contribute to a high prevalence of kidney dysfunction – approximately 10 percent of adults in developed countries have chronic kidney disease (CKD). CKD is a progressive loss of kidney function and this remains permanent. Early recognition of this condition is important for prevention or impeding severe adverse cardiac and renal outcomes. Cystatin C is a low molecular weight cysteine protease inhibitor that has emerged as a biomarker of kidney function. The special potential of plasma cystatin C in this setting is related to its independency of muscle mass, which is a remarkable limitation of the traditional marker creatinine. Cystatin C is a sensitive marker in diagnosing mild and moderate CKD, especially in small children, in the elderly and in conditions where muscle mass is affected. Cystatin C is quantified with immunoassays, mainly based on particle-enhanced nephelometry (PENIA) or turbidimetry (PETIA). The aim of this study was to develop a rapid and reliable assay for quantification of human cystatin C in plasma or serum by utilizing time-resolved fluorescence-based immunoassay methods. This was accomplished by utilizing different antibodies, including polyclonal and 7 monoclonal antibodies against cystatin C. Different assay designs were tested and the best assay was further modified to a dry-reagent double monoclonal assay run on an automated immunonalyzer. This assay was evaluated for clinical performance in estimating reduced kidney function and in predicting risk of adverse outcomes in patients with non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome. Of the tested assay designs, heterogeneous non-competitive assay had the best performace and was chosen to be developed further. As an automated double monoclonal assay, this assay enabled a reliable measurement of clinically relevant cystatin C concentrations. It also showed a stronger concordance with the reference clearance method than the conventional PETIA method in patients with reduced kidney function. Risk of all-cause mortality and combined events, defined by death and myocardial infarction, increased with higher cystatin C and cystatin C remained an independent predictor of death and combined events after adjustment to nonbiochemical baseline factors. In conclusion, the developed dry-reagent double monoclonal assay allows rapid and reliable quantitative measurement of cystatin C. As measured with the developed assay, cystatin C is a potential predictor of adverse outcomes in cardiac patients.

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Air pollution has been associated with health effects on different age groups. The present study was designed to assess the impact of daily changes in air pollutants (NO2, SO2, CO, O3, and particle matter (PM10)) on total number of daily neonatal deaths (those that occur between the first and the 28th days of life) in São Paulo, from January 1998 to December 2000, since adverse outcomes such as neonatal deaths associated with air pollution in Brazil have not been evaluated before. Generalized additive Poisson regression models were used and nonparametric smooth functions (loess) were adopted to control long-term trend, temperature, humidity, and short-term trends. A linear term was used for holidays. The association between air pollutants and neonatal deaths showed a short time lag. Interquartile range increases in PM10 (23.3 µg/m³) and SO2 (9.2 µg/m³) were associated with increases of 4% (95% CI, 2-6) and 6% (95% CI, 4-8), respectively. Instead of adopting a two-pollutant model we created an index to represent PM10 and SO2 effects. For an interquartile range increase in the index an increase of 6.3% (95% CI, 6.1-6.5) in neonatal deaths was observed. These results agree with previous studies performed by our group showing the deleterious effects of air pollutants during the perinatal period. The method reported here represents an alternative approach to analyze the relationship between highly correlated pollutants and public health problems, reinforcing the idea of the synergic effects of air pollutants in public health.

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The objective of the present study was to investigate clinical, echocardiographic and electrocardiographic (12-lead resting ECG, 24-h ambulatory ECG monitoring and signal-averaged ECG (SAECG)) parameters in subjects with chronic Chagas' disease in a long-term follow-up as prognostic markers for adverse outcomes. Fifty adult outpatients (34 to 74 years old, 31 females) staged according to Los Andes class I, II or III and complaining of palpitation were enrolled in a longitudinal study. SAECG was analyzed in time and frequency domains and the endpoint was a composite of cardiac death and ventricular tachycardia. During a follow-up of 84.2 ± 39.0 months, 34.0% of the patients developed adverse outcomes (9 cardiac deaths and 11 episodes of ventricular tachycardia). After optimal dichotomization, in a stepwise multivariate Cox-hazard regression model, apical aneurysm (HR = 3.7; 95% CI = 1.2-1.3; P = 0.02), left ventricular ejection fraction <62% (HR = 4.60; 95% CI = 1.39-15.24; P = 0.01) and incidence of ventricular premature contractions >614 per 24 h (hazard ratio = 6.1; 95% CI = 1.7-22.6; P = 0.006) were independent predictors of the composite endpoint. Although a high frequency content in SAECG demonstrated association with the presence of left ventricular dysfunction and myocardial fibrosis, its predictive value for the composite endpoint was not significant. Apical aneurysms, reduced left ventricular function and a high incidence of ventricular ectopic beats over a 24-h period have a strong predictive value for a composite endpoint of cardiac death and ventricular tachycardia in subjects with chronic Chagas' disease.

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In order to evaluate the performance of a 1-h 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) for the diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a cohort of 4998 women, 20 years or older, without previous diabetes being treated in prenatal care clinics in Brazil answered a questionnaire and performed a 75-g OGTT including fasting, 1-h and 2-h glucose measurements between their 24th and 28th gestational weeks. Pregnancy outcomes were transcribed from medical registries. GDM was defined according to WHO criteria (fasting: ≥126 mg/dL; 2-h value: ≥140 mg/dL) and macrosomia as a birth weight equal to or higher than 4000 g. Areas under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) were compared and diagnostic properties of various cut-off points were evaluated. The AUCs for the prediction of macrosomia were 0.606 (0.572-0.637) for the 1-h and 0.589 (0.557-0.622) for the 2-h plasma glucose test. Similar predictability was demonstrable regarding combined adverse outcomes: 0.582 (0.559-0.604) for the 1-h test and 0.572 (0.549-0.595) for the 2-h test. When the 1-h glucose test was evaluated against a diagnosis of GDM defined by the 2-h glucose test, the AUC was 0.903 (0.886-0.919). The cut-off point that maximized sensitivity (83%) and specificity (83%) was 141 mg/dL, identifying 21% of the women as positive. A cut-off point of 160 mg/dL, with lower sensitivity (62%), had higher specificity (94%), labeling 8.6% as positive. Detection of GDM can be done with a 1-h 75-g OGTT: the value of 160 mg/dL has the same diagnostic performance as the conventional 2-h value (140 mg/dL). The simplification of the test may improve coverage and timing of the diagnosis of GDM.